Potential letdown spots?

[GM]

A few ideas I have for teams that might go into this week a little unfocused...

New England - Big "prove it to us again" game Week 1 on MNF vs Pitt...they pass that test. Big divisional game vs rival Jets in Week 2...they crush them. Offence scores 30 and 44 pts respectively...defence allows just over 10 PPG. Now they host non-div opp. KC in a game that pales in comparison to the first two. Line has finally caught up to the talent level, people are starting to believe in NE. Do they ease up against the Chiefs?

Denver - Wow, they knock off two of the NFC's most powerful teams, the Rams and the 49ers, in back to back weeks. They gotta be feeling pretty good about themselves huh? Now they get Buffalo. Do they care, do they notice?

San Diego - After outscoring two of the worst 3 teams in the league by a combined score of 58-9, with a rookie QB at the helm to boot, they must be feeling pretty good about themselves. Now a trip to non-conf, unheralded Arizona. Matchup vs undefeated New England on deck for these Chargers, thoughts of that big game in their heads? Hmmmm...

NY Giants - Biggest win for this team in a long while, knocking off the Rams in their park. Home they come to play a winless Seattle team that can't scare them a whole lot.

Carolina - Two wins in a row! Almost parade time in Charlotte I would think. Is it possible for a team this bad to be overconfident? Probably. Of course, both wins were at home, against two teams (Balt and Det) with virtually no offence, and certainly no QB for either. Now the Panthers head out for their first road game against a Viking team off a nasty loss. And Minny does have a QB and passing game that is, oh, not bad.

I'd also include a couple other teams in here (Dallas - the big monkey is off their backs, they got their win to erase the previous embarassment and should now revert to their usual ways; Philly - huge MNF win to take control of the division, now face letdown against a team they don't take seriously). But these two teams play each other unfortunately.

BTW these are not my picks for this week (yet). Just angles I am looking at to inspire a little discussion.

Discuss!

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

Hi greg,

good info, I think the books expect the PUBLIC to hit NE this week, so it will be interesting to see if any WISE GUY $ goes the other way at the last minute as the public might bring the number up a tad!

If it does I am hitting it!

 

[Redfish]

My sentiments exactly.......especially the NE/KC game. In the past, KC is not scared to upset a overwhelmingly public favorite.

 

[THE KOD]

nice write up GM.

Scott-Atlanta

 

[GM]

Thank you.

I'm putting in Minny now while I can get them at -6. The rest are dogs and can wait.

I should add, those of you who know me know I just hate taking favorites of between a FG and a TD. But I really do think the Vikings are the right side here.

 

[baby johnson]

great write up
; also think the pack will spank detroit
st lou won't go 0-3
minny by 30+
and tenn will outclass cleve

 

[gardenweasel]

i like your style

i like your style

i smell a big payday for the books this week...the spreads on the nfl look like the college board....and what amazes me most is that all these big time gamblers are laying the points(in most cases-i think the bills are an exception).....very difficult to lay 7-10 points to a professional football team....in college when you see large spreads,there usually is a talent gap that is obvious and exorbitant....in the pro`s,there is usually not that large of a talent gap(i think carolina lost 7 games last year by 4 points or less and one by 6)....wagerstreet shows a very high percentage of bettors laying the heavy wood...i guess that`s why the books are rich....gamblers have short memories....g.l.