Wishing everyone a Merry Christmas!!
Start with some bets in the NFL and my Minnesota Vikings.
First looking at New Orleans offense. They rank 21 St in passing and 8th in rushing. Minnesota defense ranks 25th in passing and 18th in rushing. So normally I would head to New Orleans passing game, but I think Drew is not fully recovered and looked terrible last week. I think they will put an emphasis on running the ball because of this. Just to give you a couple reason why I think this. Last game against KC they were behind the entire game and he only completed 15 out of 34. In the 8 games before the San Fran when he was injured Drew completed an average of 26.4 passes a game with a low of 18 in the first game of the season. The posted completions for Drew is 23.5 under minus 140. The posted line for rushing attempts for Kamara is 15.5. Which leads me to believe more emphasis on the run game.
When Kamara has rushed the ball 13 or more times, he has rushed for 79, 83, 83,45 and 88 yards.
On the flip side Minnesota defense front continues to lose players to injuries. Over the course of the year our young defensive backs have made a huge improvement. Teams are running the ball right at our defense and we have been unable to stop the run. Last 5 games the leading rusher has 146, 80, 78, 55 and 103.
But there is something more glaring about those stats. Those teams have ranked on the season: 28, 26, 23, 15, and 20th in rushing offenses. So poor rushing teams have been able to run the ball. So, having the 8th best rushing team run the ball makes sense.
With that said I am taking Kamara over 68.5 -105 yards rushing
For the Vikings I am taking Jefferson over 4.5 receptions. He is quickly becoming a stud on offense and has the following targets and receptions the last 4 games: 11/8, 8/4, 12/9 and 13/7. He is fun to watch.
Jefferson over 4.5 receptions
If you are looking for some fun props on the game at higher odds.
Thielen has scored a TD in 9 of 13 games. My favorite Viking player. New Orleans has given up 25 passing TD?s and only 8 rushing. Minnesota has 29 passing TD and 16 rushing. I will try Thielen first TD at plus 1100.
First score of the game goes back to Drew struggling a bit. New Orleans has 25 passing TD, 22 rushing TD and 20 Field Goals. Minnesota has given up 27 passing TD?s, 10 rushing TD?s but 33 Field Goals. So almost as many field goals as touchdowns. The Vikes seem to hold the opponents to field goals. I will take my chances at +350 on first score of the game a New Orleans field goal.
My bonus NBA play is in the NBA. Early game on Christmas and teams are sluggish. I am playing under in the Heat game for first half and game. This angle has been very good in the past for me.
As Always Good Luck and Merry Christmas!
Northern Star
Start with some bets in the NFL and my Minnesota Vikings.
First looking at New Orleans offense. They rank 21 St in passing and 8th in rushing. Minnesota defense ranks 25th in passing and 18th in rushing. So normally I would head to New Orleans passing game, but I think Drew is not fully recovered and looked terrible last week. I think they will put an emphasis on running the ball because of this. Just to give you a couple reason why I think this. Last game against KC they were behind the entire game and he only completed 15 out of 34. In the 8 games before the San Fran when he was injured Drew completed an average of 26.4 passes a game with a low of 18 in the first game of the season. The posted completions for Drew is 23.5 under minus 140. The posted line for rushing attempts for Kamara is 15.5. Which leads me to believe more emphasis on the run game.
When Kamara has rushed the ball 13 or more times, he has rushed for 79, 83, 83,45 and 88 yards.
On the flip side Minnesota defense front continues to lose players to injuries. Over the course of the year our young defensive backs have made a huge improvement. Teams are running the ball right at our defense and we have been unable to stop the run. Last 5 games the leading rusher has 146, 80, 78, 55 and 103.
But there is something more glaring about those stats. Those teams have ranked on the season: 28, 26, 23, 15, and 20th in rushing offenses. So poor rushing teams have been able to run the ball. So, having the 8th best rushing team run the ball makes sense.
With that said I am taking Kamara over 68.5 -105 yards rushing
For the Vikings I am taking Jefferson over 4.5 receptions. He is quickly becoming a stud on offense and has the following targets and receptions the last 4 games: 11/8, 8/4, 12/9 and 13/7. He is fun to watch.
Jefferson over 4.5 receptions
If you are looking for some fun props on the game at higher odds.
Thielen has scored a TD in 9 of 13 games. My favorite Viking player. New Orleans has given up 25 passing TD?s and only 8 rushing. Minnesota has 29 passing TD and 16 rushing. I will try Thielen first TD at plus 1100.
First score of the game goes back to Drew struggling a bit. New Orleans has 25 passing TD, 22 rushing TD and 20 Field Goals. Minnesota has given up 27 passing TD?s, 10 rushing TD?s but 33 Field Goals. So almost as many field goals as touchdowns. The Vikes seem to hold the opponents to field goals. I will take my chances at +350 on first score of the game a New Orleans field goal.
My bonus NBA play is in the NBA. Early game on Christmas and teams are sluggish. I am playing under in the Heat game for first half and game. This angle has been very good in the past for me.
As Always Good Luck and Merry Christmas!
Northern Star
