KDogg
KDogg
Listen...I know you guys (Cubs Fans) have been pulling for my Sox big time. I saw some in attendance last night in Oakland cheering us on. I love it. BUT, tonight, and only tonight, I believe the value lies with the Marlins. This is basically their only chance to strike first before the face Prior/Wood in 4 of the next 5 games.
I agree with everything you said about Castillo and Pierre and here's why I like the Marlins tonight:
Marlins rely heavily on speed and defense, Cubs will need the long ball more times than not(much like the Red Sox). And in most games I think the Cubs will get a few home runs. Florida has 4 exceptional baserunners in Pierre, Castillo, Encarnacion, and Derek Lee. If Pierre or Castillo reach base with no outs chances are they will be on 2nd with 0-1 outs, 3rd with 1-2 outs. Middle of Marlins order has been solid, driving in runs in key spots. Here's the edge: with speed...ground balls with 0-1 outs can score runs, given that Pierre or Castillo are on 3rd and Encarnacion and Lee are up. I know I'm betting on situational baseball to win but I like the matchups tonight. Very small though.
My Play
Marlins (+115) $50 to earn $57.50
Might Parlay Marlins and Under 8
I'm seeing a 3-2, 2-1, maybe even a 1-0 affair. It seems a lot of people like the over but I like both pitchers to pitch well. The Marlins are one team where walking one of the first three guys in the top of the order is a REAL mistake. Small Ball tonight.