Colts were right there with NE offensively and had a much better defense than NE. With Manning and thin air to boot. What did that get Denver?
Ravens ML is a LOCK
- Thread starter Bisket23
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Colts were right there with NE offensively and had a much better defense than NE. With Manning and thin air to boot. What did that get Denver?
Hey, I'm on the Ravens side this game, so you don't have to convince me. I was just pointing out the general irrelevance of the Gronk stat Cie gave out. I'm not sure it will make that big of a difference. They lost with him to the Ravens in week 3.
You mean Denver? You are correct in a sense... Den was 2nd in yards per game to NE, but by a difference of 4.7 pts/gm, which is pretty significant. On a yards per play basis, they were much closer... just a tenth of a yard.
And of course we agree that Den had a better defense, although you can see that the Pats have improved as the season's gone on.
I'm just saying that nobody should go out betting this game based on Brady's stats with and without Gronk.
I think the biggest factor in the game is not one that can be measured statistically, but rather an intangible one, and it boils down to one simple thing...
Baltimore KNOWS that it can hang with this team AND beat them.
Only one other team, SF (and maybe SEA if you want to include them), can say that. They are not scared of the Pats and won't settle for defeat, like Houston did after they failed to convert their great opening kickoff into 7 points rather than settling for 3.
Add the Ray Lewis retirement factor and I guarantee the last team he wants to go out to in the final game of his career is the Patriots.
Baltimore KNOWS that it can hang with this team AND beat them.
Only one other team, SF (and maybe SEA if you want to include them), can say that. They are not scared of the Pats and won't settle for defeat, like Houston did after they failed to convert their great opening kickoff into 7 points rather than settling for 3.
Add the Ray Lewis retirement factor and I guarantee the last team he wants to go out to in the final game of his career is the Patriots.
I think books know they are going to take a lot of action on the Pats come gameday. There isn't a more public team left in the playoffs.
The pat's ypg and ppg splits with/without Gronk may not reflect it, but it is my opinion that brady's td ratio and comp % without gronk reflect an overall decrease in his effectiveness in the absence of gronk. Of course, I did not bet this game solely based on my interpretation of those splits......
- Nov 28, 2007
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agreed
I took a small taste of Ravens +650 to win all the marbles before I saw this, so i'm happy...
I don't know ml but I think if they play Niners, they are 7 point dogs and if its Atlanta its 3-4. I usually dislike the Ravens cause of Lewis I will pull for them in this one cause I'm sick of the Patriots being there much like (Bama)
Not going back but someone mentioned the Texans were better defense than Ravens, when 100% I would agree but the Texan defense has been lit up of late that includes the Jags and Vikings. Good passing teams scorched em and the Texans play the Jags and Titans twice
I just heard one of these so called "experts" on the radio in vegas say that if Baltimore advances, they'd be a 4pt dog to SF and a PK against ATL. Dunno if that makes sense, but apparently he go his info from one of the sportsbooks out there.
I think I just heard on NBC sports radio that the remaining AFC teams have losing records vs the NFC, while the NFC is undefeated vs the AFC. It can easily be verified, but I haven't done so yet.
- Mar 19, 2006
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SAG's 1/16/13
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.78]
N.E. 31.10
BALT. 24.71
SAN FRAN 30.59
ATL. 26.78
sportsbook line
AFC N.E. -9' /SAG -9
NFC S.F. -3'/SAG -1
POTENTIAL SUPERBOWL MATCHUP
#'s just about right w/a Raven win as a 9 point dog would move their SAG real close to 26.00 thus bringing the SAG numbers real close to those projected above..
about this time of year SAG numbers are not off by very much.
