Saturday Fades...

Destructor D

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Well after tonight, please feel free to fade away. Doesn't help when every single favorite covers and I took all underdogs.

Drexel @ Cleveland State - Dragons haven't lost since January 2nd while Cleveland State has lost 3 straight. The Colonial is really bad this year, but Drexel has still been dominating the conference and they still have a couple decent teams like VCU and George Mason. Old Dom is okay, but nothing special IMHO... kind of feel the same about GMU. Scary thing is Drexel doesn't have any real good wins this year, but I think they'll hang tough in this early morning game. Cleveland State just lost by 18 to Valpo at home. I think Drexel is primed to steal this game, but want the points for insurance.

Drexel +3.5 (-120) for 3.5*

Marquette @ UConn - When you have 2 of the top 5 projected players in the upcoming NBA draft on your team (Drummond & Lamb), you should at least be decent. However, after Calhoun leaves the team and you have been a huge disappointment the whole year, UConn is NOW fighting for their tourney lives... UConn has been tough at home and Marquette is notorious for slow starts in games (UConn 1st half would be a smart wager, but I'm not a 1st half guy in general) and Marquette's Gardner will likely be out tomorrow giving them one less big man to bang against a fairly big UConn club (Drummond goes 6-11 and about 275 anyway and Oriakhi isn't small). I think the Huskies will come ready and win a close game by about 5 to 7 points. Having Boatright healthy is huge for the Huskies and think they make a little run to end the season.

UConn -2 (-120) for 3.5*

Wichita State @ Davidson - The first thing I notice about Davidson is they play MUCH better at home than on the road. The 2nd thing I notice is Davidson has been 9-2 ATS at home and should have their best crowd of the year tomorrow. Tough to go against the Shockers as they're rolling and Stutz is starting to look like a 1st round pick IMHO (guy is 7 feet and plays like a small forward with his ball handling skills and perimeter shooting... a little muscle and he'll be a 1st round pick next year). Still, feel the Wildcats get the better of the Shockers in this game. Wichita State is put in a tough spot and laying points on the road... if this game was in Wichita, they win by double digits almost for certain, but on the road and traveling into a tough environment, like the points.

Davidson +3.5 (-120) for 3.5*
 
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Destructor D

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Okay, done looking at angles on the UNLV @ New Mexico game and going to fade myself! Hah! Rebels have been awful on the road and Lobos excellent ATS at home yet line is dropping. My guess is UNLV comes to play as a win gives them a good shot at the Mountain West title after reviewing their remaining schedule. Also, Rebels have enjoyed some solid success at the Pit and guessing they still haven't been getting blown out on the road. Hoping it's a close game. UNLV did beat New Mexico 80-63 @ home so they can play them tough at the feared PIT where San Diego State already won.

UNLV +5 for 3.5*

Kansas State @ Baylor - Bears coming off one of their best games in forever against Iowa State while KSU has been awful lately. However, KSU really, really needs this game if they want to make the tourney and think they bring their "A" game. Also, like the contrarian value as everyone who watched Monday saw Baylor look SO good while K-State looked SO bad! Kansas State also has some nice bigs to bang with Baylor and they should have probably won the game in Manhatten if not for a horrible collapse late. Also, the Underdog has dominated this series and I'll take a chance the Wildcats make it a grinder, meaning they rebound well, play good defense, and keep this game close.

Kansas State +8 (-120) for 3.5*

Missouri @ Texas A&M - Well since the Aggies got crushed at MU, they have gone 7-1 ATS. They're now finally getting healthy and MU could have some matchup problems in the post as A&M is fairly tall while MU isn't. Just a gut feeling as well the Tigers might be a good fade late in the year. They have obviously overachieved the entire season and I think College Station will be an extreme struggle...

Texas A&M +8 (-120) for 3.5*

Louisville @ DePaul - Blue Demons aren't playing a lick of defense and also don't handle the ball well and take terrible shots. Louisville is coming off a tough loss, but they still covered against Syracuse and are playing pretty good ball. Already saw VegasKiller & Mr. Poon have large plays on the Cards so I'll join the party!

Louisville -10 for 2.5*

Okay, go ahead and fade away as I shot 4 airballs today and got killed... so pissed as a couple of the games could have been winners, but that is how gambling works... sometimes you win BIG and sometimes you get your head KICKED IN! Well, I'm really hoping to REBOUND SATURDAY!

In most of these games, I'm taking the team who I expect to want the game more... IE UConn, UNLV, Kansas State, Texas A&M, and Davidson. Just think these teams will play hungrier, well hoping anyway.:0074

GLTA
 
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Full court press

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Tend to agree with Drex but......

Waiting on the status of D Brown, arguably CSU's best all around player before taking a side there. It's no accident that CSU's slump has coincided with his absence .

Just a little heads up
 

Destructor D

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Thanks Full Court for the heads up... Drexel is looking great up 17 in the 1st half! Still, a lot of game left, but Cleveland State looks horrid. Horizon is WAY down this year IMHO.
 

joefrog91

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Thanks Full Court for the heads up... Drexel is looking great up 17 in the 1st half! Still, a lot of game left, but Cleveland State looks horrid. Horizon is WAY down this year IMHO.

Last night I had Drexel penciled in as a play and then changed it to the Over. :facepalm: I just can't get out of my own way sometimes. Hate to see you on opposites sides of me today on some. Good luck to you.! :toast:
 

Destructor D

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Adding South Dakota State -6 (-120) for 3* - Game about to tip. Buffalo appears to be struggling and now facing a team that plays very well at home.
 
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Destructor D

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Oral Roberts -4 (-120) for 3* vs. Akron - Might just fade the Midget America Conference as their teams don't appear very tough on paper this year. Oral is tough at home and should have a jacked up crowd in Tulsa.
 

Destructor D

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Shitty group of games. UConn is f*cking terrible... sure they'll make the tourney, but they shouldn't.

Wichita State is a serious Final 4 threat. Just a real solid team and great in every aspect. Why I bet against these guys is just plain shtoopid.

Drake +10 (-120) for 3* @ New Mexico State - Aggies are decent, but Drake coming off a couple nice wins and think they represent a decent Mo Valley conference well today.
 

Destructor D

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Arizona +3.5 (-120) for 2.5* - Don't really like this play much, but Zona really playing good ball at the moment and winning a lot of close games since losing a close game vs. UDub a few weeks ago.
 

Destructor D

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Fuck this day is turning brutal... fucking Aggies just vomited down the stretch.

Clemson +12, Nevada +9, San Diego State -4, & Oklahoma State +4 for 2.5* each. Going to lower my wagers a bit since this day isn't going how I planned.

Need Oral Roberts to just be 4-5 on the day...
 
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