I was going to argue for Minn Highroller. But then I seen Nolan had a piece on it in the free pics. He makes alot of sense..
oh what to do what to do ?
COMMENTS: Minnesota should keep the score close and is certainly capable of pulling off the outright upset. The Vikings have played excellent football the last three weeks -- all against playoff-bound teams (Atlanta, Green Bay, and New Orleans). Vikings offense can outscore any team in the league. It appears that Minnesota remains motivated (to win) and now with pressure off and out of the playoffs, they are playing their best football of the season. Miami has certainly looked very strong in recent weeks, but could have a letdown here after playing a phenomenal game last week at home against Oakland. In fact, Miami is coming off two consecutive high-profile home games (an appearance on MNF, followed by the Oakland game) and now must somehow stay focused on a non-conference road opponent as a favorite. That's bad news. Dolphins defense has been exceptional when playing in Miami (only 13 PPG), but is very average on the road (23 PPG). Non-conference road favorites routinely have problems in this situation (recall Jets-Bears last week). There are also two angles pointing to a play on Minnesota here -- first, playing a team with a losing (SU) record versus a winning team late in the season, and second, playing against road favorites coming off a SU home win. In terms of motivation -- Minnesota has to be looking at this game as a chance to redeem themselves against a Super-Bowl caliber opponent, especially in their final home game of the season. Miami is playing for home field and a first-round bye, but after two very emotional games, I expect them to have some difficulty this week.
The 1Q and 1H bets look just as strong. In each of their last three games, Minnesota has led at the end of the first quarter -- 7-0, 10-0, and 14-10 respectively. Minnesota has also been ahead or tied at halftime in 4 of their last 5 games. This team plays much better at home than on the road. These two teams also have some strong emotional attachments to each other -- which indicates a tough, close game can be expected. WR Carter returns to Minnesota to face his old team. Look for WR Moss to beg for the ball and come up with a couple of big plays. The Vikings also have three players that played for Miami last year. To summarize -- we take the dog (56 percent covers this season), the home team in its final game, with a couple of angles pointing to Minnesota, plus we get a team playing with confidence, and getting three points. Excellent value. Nolan Dalla
HighRoller...... any response ? I cant make up my mind...
Thanks
Scott King of the Underdogs