- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 132-94-7 (+46.1)
OU: 72-60-2 (+4.7)
ML dogs: 5-9 (+2.6)
Nuggets
At this point in the season, wins matter to the good playoff teams such as Denver, who is fighting for home court advantage in the playoffs. Losing teams can play for the big upsets, but in some cases, when you?re losing there is no drive to win. The Nuggets do not want to drop five straight road games, and they need this win tonight.
The Bobcats are the fifth worst team in the league at defending the paint. As the season winds down, players on losing teams get less inspired, and this has been seen in their last three games where they allowed a league high 52 points in the paint per game. After a loss this season, the Bobcats have been outscored in the paint in 58% of their next games. Teams playing as a road favorite of 6 or more are 66-11 SU (+13.4 ppg) and 56-20-1 ATS since the 2008 season when they outscore their opponent by 1.5x in the paint. The Nuggets have managed to outscore the Bobcats easily by that margin in the paint in their last three meetings averaging 63 to Charlotte?s 36. Earlier this season, they outscored them 78 to 40. The Nuggets have outscored every opponent they have played this year in the paint when playing on no rest.
Not only can the Bobcats not defend, but they also struggle to score. They lead the league with the worst field goal percentage at 42%. Although the Nuggets don?t play the best defense, you need to put up a lot of points to beat them. After the Nuggets loss last night, Karl stressed their need to defend better against bad teams on the road. As long as the Nuggets can hold Charlotte under 45%, they have a good chance to cover, as they are 19-2 SU (+12.5 ppg) and 17-4 ATS as a favorite this season when they hold opponents under 45%.
Pacers
After accumulating two typed pages of trends supporting the Pacers today, I just had to cut myself off.
Pacers as a road favorite this year are 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 ATS. They are 3-0 SU and ATS vs. the Pistons this year, winning by an average margin of over 20 ppg. The Pacers play great, balanced team ball - all of their starters were in double figures last night.
"Look, we got our (butts) handed to us, it was a total embarrassment," Frank said. "You got the same team, the same guys who kicked our tails, 24 hours later. Hey, I'm not Muhammad Ali, the response has to come on the court."
At least Lawrence finally recognizes some truth. He is definitely not Ali... I just don't see it coming together tonight for this young team, playing their third game in four days, against one of the best teams in the league.
Mmmmm...savor the sweet taste of heavy road chalk. It is a rare delectable experience.
Nuggets -8.5 x2
Pacers -3.5
Good luck...
OU: 72-60-2 (+4.7)
ML dogs: 5-9 (+2.6)
Nuggets
At this point in the season, wins matter to the good playoff teams such as Denver, who is fighting for home court advantage in the playoffs. Losing teams can play for the big upsets, but in some cases, when you?re losing there is no drive to win. The Nuggets do not want to drop five straight road games, and they need this win tonight.
The Bobcats are the fifth worst team in the league at defending the paint. As the season winds down, players on losing teams get less inspired, and this has been seen in their last three games where they allowed a league high 52 points in the paint per game. After a loss this season, the Bobcats have been outscored in the paint in 58% of their next games. Teams playing as a road favorite of 6 or more are 66-11 SU (+13.4 ppg) and 56-20-1 ATS since the 2008 season when they outscore their opponent by 1.5x in the paint. The Nuggets have managed to outscore the Bobcats easily by that margin in the paint in their last three meetings averaging 63 to Charlotte?s 36. Earlier this season, they outscored them 78 to 40. The Nuggets have outscored every opponent they have played this year in the paint when playing on no rest.
Not only can the Bobcats not defend, but they also struggle to score. They lead the league with the worst field goal percentage at 42%. Although the Nuggets don?t play the best defense, you need to put up a lot of points to beat them. After the Nuggets loss last night, Karl stressed their need to defend better against bad teams on the road. As long as the Nuggets can hold Charlotte under 45%, they have a good chance to cover, as they are 19-2 SU (+12.5 ppg) and 17-4 ATS as a favorite this season when they hold opponents under 45%.
Pacers
After accumulating two typed pages of trends supporting the Pacers today, I just had to cut myself off.
Pacers as a road favorite this year are 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 ATS. They are 3-0 SU and ATS vs. the Pistons this year, winning by an average margin of over 20 ppg. The Pacers play great, balanced team ball - all of their starters were in double figures last night.
"Look, we got our (butts) handed to us, it was a total embarrassment," Frank said. "You got the same team, the same guys who kicked our tails, 24 hours later. Hey, I'm not Muhammad Ali, the response has to come on the court."
At least Lawrence finally recognizes some truth. He is definitely not Ali... I just don't see it coming together tonight for this young team, playing their third game in four days, against one of the best teams in the league.
Mmmmm...savor the sweet taste of heavy road chalk. It is a rare delectable experience.
Nuggets -8.5 x2
Pacers -3.5
Good luck...
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