byu (+4.5) 2 units
byu (ML) 1 unit to win 1.7. i'm going to keep wagering against michigan st until they improve. this would be a larger play, except byu has to start wearing down at some point. this has been their schedule so far:
at arizona
at utah
ucla
at west virginia
toledo
they haven't had a bye yet. that's a tough stretch.
michigan state's problems on defense mostly stem from an inability to stop the pass this year. they are 88th in the country, allowing 7.86 yards/attempt. taysom hill is going to have to avoid the big mistake, as sparty is still tough against the run.
assuming byu doesn't run out of gas, i like their chances of getting a big win today.
k st (-10) 2 units. this line is begging for tt money. but tech has played 3 horrible defenses so far. this is their first test. they played arizona st (dead last in the country, allowing 396 passing yards/game), la tech (114th in the country), and kansas (only 74th, allowing 238 yards/game. but, let's face it, that's only because all their opponents are running the ball, protecting their big leads.) k st is 14th in the country, only allowing 155 passing yards/game. sure, tech will put up more than that today, but k st keeps everything in front of them and they tackle well. that's the key to beating this offense.
minnesota (-2) 2 units. well, so much for getting the gophers as a dog in this one. but minnesota should grind out a win for the floyd of rosedale trophy. uncharacteristically, iowa can't stop the run this year. they are 86th in the country, allowing 183 yards/game. that will be the difference.
VT (-1.5) 3 units. another team i thought i would be getting as a small dog. this line is nuts. unc wins at fsu, and now they're a home dog to va tech? the huge question mark is, of course, what the impact of the weather will be. but i think va tech can grind out enough long drives today to get a nice win.
nc st (-3) 2 units. another crazy line in a game that will be impacted by the weather. nc st has beaten bill & mary, old dom, and wake forest. and they're laying a fg to nd. similar to va tech, i think the wolfpack will be able to grind out a bunch of long drives and get a nice win.
ucla (-9) 2 units. rosen against that 128th ranked pass defense. time for him to have a big game this year.
washington (-10) 2 units. more road chalk? seriously? the pac 12 is enjoying beating on the ducks this year, and the huskies have the extra incentive of 12 straight losses to oregon.
colorado (+6) 2 units.
colorado (ML) 1 unit to win 2. well, i'm hoping Liufau is back, but i can't find solid info. the buffs have been good with montez though, and should be able to beat the trojans no matter who is lining up under center. colorado has the extra incentive of revenge after blowing an 11-point halftime lead against the trojans last year. that was also the game liufau got hurt last year, so he may have a little extra motivation.
washington st (+6.5) 2 units.
washington (ML) 1 unit to win 2. it'll be interesting to see how stanford responds to the beatdown they took last week. but i think the cougars are worth a shot here. revenge for wash st, as they missed a game-winning fg at the buzzer last year that would have beaten the cardinal.
byu (ML) 1 unit to win 1.7. i'm going to keep wagering against michigan st until they improve. this would be a larger play, except byu has to start wearing down at some point. this has been their schedule so far:
at arizona
at utah
ucla
at west virginia
toledo
they haven't had a bye yet. that's a tough stretch.
michigan state's problems on defense mostly stem from an inability to stop the pass this year. they are 88th in the country, allowing 7.86 yards/attempt. taysom hill is going to have to avoid the big mistake, as sparty is still tough against the run.
assuming byu doesn't run out of gas, i like their chances of getting a big win today.
k st (-10) 2 units. this line is begging for tt money. but tech has played 3 horrible defenses so far. this is their first test. they played arizona st (dead last in the country, allowing 396 passing yards/game), la tech (114th in the country), and kansas (only 74th, allowing 238 yards/game. but, let's face it, that's only because all their opponents are running the ball, protecting their big leads.) k st is 14th in the country, only allowing 155 passing yards/game. sure, tech will put up more than that today, but k st keeps everything in front of them and they tackle well. that's the key to beating this offense.
minnesota (-2) 2 units. well, so much for getting the gophers as a dog in this one. but minnesota should grind out a win for the floyd of rosedale trophy. uncharacteristically, iowa can't stop the run this year. they are 86th in the country, allowing 183 yards/game. that will be the difference.
VT (-1.5) 3 units. another team i thought i would be getting as a small dog. this line is nuts. unc wins at fsu, and now they're a home dog to va tech? the huge question mark is, of course, what the impact of the weather will be. but i think va tech can grind out enough long drives today to get a nice win.
nc st (-3) 2 units. another crazy line in a game that will be impacted by the weather. nc st has beaten bill & mary, old dom, and wake forest. and they're laying a fg to nd. similar to va tech, i think the wolfpack will be able to grind out a bunch of long drives and get a nice win.
ucla (-9) 2 units. rosen against that 128th ranked pass defense. time for him to have a big game this year.
washington (-10) 2 units. more road chalk? seriously? the pac 12 is enjoying beating on the ducks this year, and the huskies have the extra incentive of 12 straight losses to oregon.
colorado (+6) 2 units.
colorado (ML) 1 unit to win 2. well, i'm hoping Liufau is back, but i can't find solid info. the buffs have been good with montez though, and should be able to beat the trojans no matter who is lining up under center. colorado has the extra incentive of revenge after blowing an 11-point halftime lead against the trojans last year. that was also the game liufau got hurt last year, so he may have a little extra motivation.
washington st (+6.5) 2 units.
washington (ML) 1 unit to win 2. it'll be interesting to see how stanford responds to the beatdown they took last week. but i think the cougars are worth a shot here. revenge for wash st, as they missed a game-winning fg at the buzzer last year that would have beaten the cardinal.
opcorn2
