Don't do a thread each week because I don't have 15 picks each week and I like being able to track my record and find my picks easily. From looking at the last two season long threads:
2012: 30-17 (64%)
2013: 35-22 (61%)
Stick to mostly SEC games because that's what I watch. Since moving to Tejas last year I see a few other conferences as well, which is nice. Think the P12 is gonna be tough this year. B12 probably a 2 horse race between OU and KSU. ACC :mj07: B1G :mj07:
Do a lot of team totals because it's easier to single out matchups on one side of the ball. Hopefully your book offers these, as there's good money to be made there. Will post those when they come out (5D)
Will do a "units" deal just because. But most of the time it's just a straight $50-100 bet amount.
As of right now only have two plays:
1* Bama/WV Under 55.5
Saban is gonna have a good defense every year. This year they have some new faces and lost some really really good players, CJ in particular is extremely hard to replace. Their front 7 will still be very solid though. DBs are questionable but WV hasn't had the tools to challenge anyone's DBs in a couple years. Their offense doesn't scare me and I doubt WV sees the endzone more than once. On the other side, Bama's offense this year is gonna be RUN RUN RUN. Do they have good WRs? Absolutely. Do they have a Quarterback? as of this point, they absolutely do not. Everyone, Bama fans included (I only talk bama football with levelheaded people, not those crazies), says that QB is an extremely shakey situation right now. This game isn't gonna be a barn burner and Saban will be able to play it extremely conservative on Offense. Would guess something like 33-10 final score.
1* South Cackalaka -9.5 (-130)
Yes I buy hooks a lot. Not betting enough for the extra juice to really matter. Said it in the week 1 thread, A&M lost a ton on offense. Evans and Manziel were the offense. It takes QBs a little time to adjust to Sumlin's system. See: Manziels first game vs UF and then how he looked in the same offense by the end of the year. South Carolina is a tough place to play. At night. On national TV. Spurrier is great at getting what he needs out of his team against inferior opponents. I can easily see a young QB going into Columbia and making a few mistakes in his first big game.
Towards the end of the year last year I started throwing out a random one hail mary parlay/teaser per week just for shits and giggles for some amount between $2-10. Will not be factoring these into any record keeping and if I hit one of them it pays itself off 100X over. Just posting them in case there are other people that like to use spare change for long shots.
13tm 5pt teaser (ties win) $6 / $684
USC -5.5
Rutgers/Wazzou Over 56
Wazzou -3
BG -2.5
UCF +3
UCLA -16
NW -6
Bama -21
AU/Ark Over 52.5
UGA -2.5
Wash -11.5
LSU pk
USU +11
:toast:
2012: 30-17 (64%)
2013: 35-22 (61%)
Stick to mostly SEC games because that's what I watch. Since moving to Tejas last year I see a few other conferences as well, which is nice. Think the P12 is gonna be tough this year. B12 probably a 2 horse race between OU and KSU. ACC :mj07: B1G :mj07:
Do a lot of team totals because it's easier to single out matchups on one side of the ball. Hopefully your book offers these, as there's good money to be made there. Will post those when they come out (5D)
Will do a "units" deal just because. But most of the time it's just a straight $50-100 bet amount.
As of right now only have two plays:
1* Bama/WV Under 55.5
Saban is gonna have a good defense every year. This year they have some new faces and lost some really really good players, CJ in particular is extremely hard to replace. Their front 7 will still be very solid though. DBs are questionable but WV hasn't had the tools to challenge anyone's DBs in a couple years. Their offense doesn't scare me and I doubt WV sees the endzone more than once. On the other side, Bama's offense this year is gonna be RUN RUN RUN. Do they have good WRs? Absolutely. Do they have a Quarterback? as of this point, they absolutely do not. Everyone, Bama fans included (I only talk bama football with levelheaded people, not those crazies), says that QB is an extremely shakey situation right now. This game isn't gonna be a barn burner and Saban will be able to play it extremely conservative on Offense. Would guess something like 33-10 final score.
1* South Cackalaka -9.5 (-130)
Yes I buy hooks a lot. Not betting enough for the extra juice to really matter. Said it in the week 1 thread, A&M lost a ton on offense. Evans and Manziel were the offense. It takes QBs a little time to adjust to Sumlin's system. See: Manziels first game vs UF and then how he looked in the same offense by the end of the year. South Carolina is a tough place to play. At night. On national TV. Spurrier is great at getting what he needs out of his team against inferior opponents. I can easily see a young QB going into Columbia and making a few mistakes in his first big game.
Towards the end of the year last year I started throwing out a random one hail mary parlay/teaser per week just for shits and giggles for some amount between $2-10. Will not be factoring these into any record keeping and if I hit one of them it pays itself off 100X over. Just posting them in case there are other people that like to use spare change for long shots.
13tm 5pt teaser (ties win) $6 / $684
USC -5.5
Rutgers/Wazzou Over 56
Wazzou -3
BG -2.5
UCF +3
UCLA -16
NW -6
Bama -21
AU/Ark Over 52.5
UGA -2.5
Wash -11.5
LSU pk
USU +11
:toast:
Last edited:
opcorn2
