Small Schools

[Musca]

Wagner +13: Wagner defense is solid and while they are stepping up here to face an FBS team... it is not much of one. They were very pedestrian vs Bethune Cookman and I just do not believe they will score enough points to get the cover here. 16-9 final score

Gardner Webb +22: Very unimpressed with Wake last week. I do not believe that ULM was that good but rather WF that bad. WF starting true frosh at QB... Gardner not an offensive juggernaut. May be smarter to play this under as i see it 22-7 or there abouts.

EKU +3: Awesome line movement on this one as EKU opened as 5 point faves... I understand the line movement but I believe that Miami's offensive outburst vs Marshall was due to Marshall's complacency and not due to Miami's skill. Small play here but I like the FCS school to win this game.

Morgan State +8: I like there offense and Holy Cross absolutely had the biggest heartbreak last week. there were up 13-7 and running out the clock. 44 seconds left and the RB fumbles a handoff and the Albany players picks it up and houses it and Holy Cross loses 14-13. I believe Morgan State can win SU.

Central Ct. State -3: Short line here as me wondering if I am over valuing the win vs Towson last week. I was impressed with the CCSU offense and believe they can handle Albany. Albany coming off insane win vs HC and may be in a little bit of a let down spot emotionally.

SEMO +25: This redhawk team can play. KU has a lot of questions.

Thats it for now...

NBL
M

 

[hawkeye]

gl-thanks I like your input on these small schools

 

[Musca]

1 more

1 more

Eastern Washington +16.5: EWU is the #1 or 2 team in the FCS. They have an all world QB and they can score on anyone. Washington coming back from Hawaii after a close matchup. these 2 teams met in 2011 and Washington eeked out a W 30-27. I believe EWU has a chance at the SU win here. Statistically, washington offense may nto have enough weapons to keep up. Obviously, a huge game for EWU as they are playing an in-state big boy. I like this one a lot. 33-31 final score.

 

[Jimboski]

Great idea

Great idea

I once read that getting really familiar with these small schools can payoff. The article said that the oddsmakers are overwhelmed with Saturdays lke this. That is, they can not or just do not get the spreads and lines right for these schools and a player who follows these teams real close like has an edge. They put much more effort into the games that are going to get much higher action as well.

I rarely do much tailing, but if I can find a capper that can figure these little schools out, "Gimme one of these parlay boosters."

Good luck with the plays and thanks for posting these, Musca.

 

[hawkeye]

Your doing well:toast:

 

[jesscolb]

Great day my friend:00hour.........Keep posting these plays

 

[Musca]

5-2

5-2

5-2 hitting my big one.
Morgan State had a chance to win SU as Holy Cross went for it on 4th and goal with 2 seconds left and scored to win the game 29-26.
Gardner Webb was dominated but got a late roughing call that kept a drive a live and allowed for a late TD.
CCSU really was dominated from the word go. So, Albany is better than I expected and CCSU not as good.. thus Towson not as good.
Wagner: Wagner had chances in the first half to keep it close. But once they got behind never could get back into it.
SEMO: Fell behind but was able to battle back. If they would have kept it closer in the 1st they could have won this one SU.
EWU: What an exciting game. Man, the late fumble by EWU cost them a chance to win this SU. Loved this game. Fun.
EKU +3: This line got up to 5.5 before kickoff. Awesome! As I suspected Miami's offense is not as good as the Marshall game led people to believe. EKU defense is solid.

Anyway had a good night. Gambling gods on my side.

Musca