Smitty's Second Round Selections

Smitty

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gonna do the same thing as the first round, and keep my picks for saturday & sunday in this thread. got off to the great start i expected on thursday. kept my head barely above water yesterday. would have been a solid day if georgetown dribbled out the clock. oh well, that's gambling.

tennessee (-2.5) 3 units. i'm loving this play more and more. now, i was all over both winthrop and withita state in the first round. but, as i said in my first-round thread, i fully expected tennessee to squeak by winthrop and then go on a run that justifies their #2 seed. that run starts today. bruce pearl will have them both loose and focused. the fact that most people seem to be on wichita state makes me like it even more.

lsu (-5.5) 3 units. texas a&m took advantage of an emotionally drained (and not very good) syracuse squad. quite the contrary with lsu. tyrus thomas is back, and is already looking like a force on the defensive end again. that will ease some pressure off glenn davis.

illinois (-2) 1 unit. suddenly, washington seems to be a trendy pick. maybe it's another case of a team actually being helped by getting knocked out of their conference tourney early. they surprised me with a convincing win over utah state. roy is a great ball player. but i still do not think this is a very good team. illinois has the athletes to stay with the huskies. but illinois will also actually play some defense. i've never been a dee brown fan, but i've gotten to the point where i respect him. that kind of leadership from the backcourt goes a long way in the tourney.

i was going to play uw milwaukee. i was all over them during their run last year. and i was on them against oklahoma. but that little voice inside my head is screaming that this is where their run ends. the line seems a couple points too high, as i have to believe joe public is starting to realize these guys can play. i'm showing 65% on them. i never like it when the public is on the dog. something strange is afoot at the circle k. i may get smart and make a small play on florida. or i could be really smart, and just stay off it. :)
 

DoubleDown

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Vegas Baby !!
Good luck to ya Smitty, but as for me, I'm done betting faves this year. I can't believe that Vegas is so far off on these faves in this years tourney !! GLTA !! FAVES=:scared !!
 

Smitty

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double down, i'm mostly a dog player. but when i see most guys on the dogs, that's when it's time to jump on the short favs. just like when wall street is selling, that's the time to buy buy buy**. :)

it is kinda funny though... i didn't even realize i was playing 3 favs. and possibly 4, with florida. i may have to play indiana or GW, just to get ONE dog in there.

**this investing tip brought to you at no extra charge.
 

Smitty

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thanks, trolln4walii. i'm hoping to build up a bankroll for tomorrow. i really like a couple games. :scared
 

Smitty

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Sunday

Sunday

boy, just an outstanding day yesterday. at least i was "smart" enough to get away from wisky-milw. i should have known... any time i look a day ahead and see some games i really love, i tend to take a beating. damn hindsight... i should have just taken yesterday off and waited for today.

george mason (+6.5) 3 units. tony skinn is back today for the patriots. hopefully he won't punch anybody in the nads. with him in the lineup, i think gm has the better backcourt here. and in the tourney, give me the team with the better backcourt every time.

villanova (-6.5) 1 unit. geez, didn't i learn my lesson yesterday about taking favorites? no, i'm not that bright. arizona has not been very good all year. 'nova is one of the serious contenders for the national championship. i think the wildcats will take care of business here today. :)

bradley (+6) 3 units. bradley is playing it's best basketball of the season. they'll play some d today. i don't see pittsburgh shooting 95%** from the floor again.

bucknell (+8.5) 3 units. in one of my brackets, i have bucknell winning this one. they will slow down the game and force memphis to play halfcourt basketball. not the tigers' strength. of course, if memphis is able to get out and run, they'll win this one by 30. :)

northwestern state (+8) 2 units. this is more against wv than anything else. the mountaineers faltered down the stretch this year. they got a great matchup with southern illinois and took care of business. the demons are much more athletic than southern ill. i look for them to keep this one close.

** an approximation of the panthers' field goal percentage against kent state. i haven't actually checked the box score.
 
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