So you like fading consensus?

I

IE

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">10:15 AM</small>
JACKSONVILLE+4-105 38.7%ov43.5 -110 45.9%+185 59.5%
INDIANAPOLIS-4-115 61.3%un43.5 -110 54.1%-215 40.6%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">10:15 AM</small>
HOUSTON+4.5 -109 34.2%ov47.5 -110 74.3%+190 46.4%
ATLANTA-4.5 -111 65.8%un47.5 -110 25.7%-230 53.7%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">10:15 AM</small>
CAROLINA-3-115 77.9%ov40-110 54.3%-165 65.0%
TAMPA BAY+3-105 22.1%un40-110 45.7%+145 35.0%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">10:15 AM</small>
NY GIANTS+6.5 -105 57.8%ov46.5 -110 72.1%+234 75.8%
BUFFALO-6.5 -115 42.2%un46.5 -110 27.9%-299 24.2%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">10:15 AM</small>
OAKLAND-3-130 56.8%ov44.5 -110 73.9%-179 27.7%
CHICAGO+3+110 43.3%un44.5 -110 26.2%+158 72.3%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">10:15 AM</small>
PHILADELPHIA-3EV 70.4%ov45.5 -110 44.7%-150 64.7%
WASHINGTON+3-120 29.6%un45.5 -110 55.3%+130 35.3%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">10:15 AM</small>
KANSAS CITY+3.5 -120 39.0%ov45-110 79.2%+155 51.4%
CINCINNATI-3.5 EV 61.0%un45-110 20.8%-175 48.6%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">1:05 PM</small>
CLEVELAND+5-115 29.6%ov44.5 -110 50.0%+200 45.5%
SAN DIEGO-5-105 70.4%un44.5 -110 50.0%-240 54.5%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">1:25 PM</small>
GREEN BAY-7-11581.5%ov48-11181.9%-335 69.5%
SAN FRANCISCO+7-10518.5%un48-10918.1%+270 30.5%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">1:25 PM</small>
MINNESOTA+6.5 -10540.6%ov42-11061.0%+230 49.1%
DENVER-6.5 -11559.4%un42-11039.0%-295 50.9%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">1:25 PM</small>
ST. LOUIS+6.5 -11020.6%ov43.5 -11064.0%+255 40.0%
ARIZONA-6.5 -11079.5%un43.5 -11036.0%-320 60.0%

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<small style="font-size: 0.7em;">5:30 PM</small>
DALLAS+3EV54.4%ov48-11055.4%+150 81.2%
NEW ORLEANS-3-12045.6%un48-11044.6%-170 18.8%

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WildBillPicks7

WildBillPicks7

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Top NFL Public Bets

#1 257 Carolina Panthers 83%
#2 274 Arizona Cardinals 83%
#3 269 Green Bay Packers 81%
#4 263 Philadelphia Eagles 74%
#5 261 Oakland Raiders 73%
#6 256 Atlanta Falcons 70%
#7 278 Seattle Seahawks 70%
#8 251 New York Jets 68%
#9 254 Indianapolis Colts 63%
#10 272 Denver Broncos 63%
 
sds222

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WildBillPicks7 said:
Top NFL Public Bets
Click to expand...

Is this from covers/wagerline as well Bill?
The problem with these so called consensus #'s is none are concrete in anyway. I believe covers #'s are from their members plays and not necessarily actual wagers. The plays being a side or ML are also blurred not to mention the varying spread when plays are made. % of wagers is different than % of money too.
Other sites claim to have data using several sportsbooks but who knows.

I appreciate the work in tracking this.
I use multiple sites to compare #'s and they can vary greatly.
 
WildBillPicks7

WildBillPicks7

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sds222 said:
Is this from covers/wagerline as well Bill?
The problem with these so called consensus #'s is none are concrete in anyway. I believe covers #'s are from their members plays and not necessarily actual wagers. The plays being a side or ML are also blurred not to mention the varying spread when plays are made. % of wagers is different than % of money too.
Other sites claim to have data using several sportsbooks but who knows.

I appreciate the work in tracking this.
I use multiple sites to compare #'s and they can vary greatly.
Click to expand...

Those were copied from across the street free picks forum, but from my research those are the consensus picks ATS from scoresnodds.

GL and you're welcome! :toast:

View attachment 4424
 
MadJack

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MadJack said:
Saturday went 5-3 public winners using wagerline 65% and above.

YTD: 39-21-1
Click to expand...

YTD: 45-25-2

Added in last 2 weeks 65% consensus and higher from final numbers at wagerline.

This past week was 2-2-1
Previous week graded by Old School was 4-2

:0008
 
Old School

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so at 3 unit plays..

YTD: 45-25-2


6872508939_3bc390c970.jpg



friggin Joe Smooo.....going to the damn poor house.
 
MadJack

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MadJack said:
YTD: 45-25-2

Added in last 2 weeks 65% consensus and higher from final numbers at wagerline.

This past week was 2-2-1
Previous week graded by Old School was 4-2

:0008
Click to expand...

Picking up even more ground vs the faders.

Yesterday 65% and higher went 9-5 from final numbers at WL.

YTD: 54-30-1
 
MadJack

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MadJack said:
Picking up even more ground vs the faders.

Yesterday 65% and higher went 9-5 from final numbers at WL.

YTD: 54-30-1
Click to expand...

4-4 last Saturday betting the public WL consensus of 65% and higher.

YTD: 58-34
 
D

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My guess is that this will even out remainder of season. During this past college basketball season, the public cleaned up the past few weeks of the season heading into the NCAA tourney. I was fading public during that time and got crushed. I kept fading public heavily during NCAA tournament and I won it all back and then some. Hottest streak ever for me during first week of tourney. Public got killed by the books first few days of tourney. Point is it all evens out. I don't make my picks off fading public, but I definitely prefer being on the minority side of a play. If you really like a play, and then check the consensus and 70 percent plus are on the other side, then that is a good sign l believe. Similar to the stock market. Best to buy when everyone thinks sky is falling.
 
J

jesscolb

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Dizzayton said:
My guess is that this will even out remainder of season. During this past college basketball season, the public cleaned up the past few weeks of the season heading into the NCAA tourney. I was fading public during that time and got crushed. I kept fading public heavily during NCAA tournament and I won it all back and then some. Hottest streak ever for me during first week of tourney. Public got killed by the books first few days of tourney. Point is it all evens out. I don't make my picks off fading public, but I definitely prefer being on the minority side of a play. If you really like a play, and then check the consensus and 70 percent plus are on the other side, then that is a good sign l believe. Similar to the stock market. Best to buy when everyone thinks sky is falling.
Click to expand...

The same comment was said about a month ago.:0003....I have made some money this year and will continue going with the 65% or more.:0074
 
Cie

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jesscolb said:
The same comment was said about a month ago.:0003....I have made some money this year and will continue going with the 65% or more.:0074
Click to expand...

Cool, but his point remains valid. I considered fading for a few weeks when it was 39-21. Glad i didn't...65%+ is roughly 59% (19-13) since then

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
 
kickserv

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Not that anybody gives a shit but for Over/Unders in tennis last year.....

The "public" won 68 percent of the time and pushed 2 percent of the time.

The numbers were used from a huge book in Australia and yes I guess we will never know for sure if the "percentages of public money" numbers the books give out are accurate or not, after all the books give them out, so who really knows. But if those numbers are accurate "fading the public" cost you big time in Over/Unders in tennis in 2014:scared

And that stat is for THOUSANDS of tennis matches, yes THOUSANDS so it is better to gage because of such a large sample size.





Interesting numbers in this thread, my only issue is are the Sportsbooks giving out accurate percentages:shrug:

How are we to know if those percentages are accurate or not:shrug:

The only way you'd know for sure is if you worked at the Sportsbook and saw all the wagers, then you'd know for sure. I am not saying Jack is making up the percentages I am just making the point that anytime I read "fading the public" or "Joe Public" or any of that lingo how do we know what side is really "the public" if we don't know that the numbers are accurate?
 
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