Spread sheet picks - WEEK 5

Jimboski

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Dec 15, 2005
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Plenty of SHEET picks this week and that ain't no Sheet. I would have a very hard time coming up with picks for a week like this. That is, there's a LOT of 2 touchdown spreads this week and IMO those are the toughest spreads to beat.

This spreadsheet usually isn't so chalky, but when somebody tells me "too many favorites" I tellem, "Hey, thems win too".

Sheet's top picks for this week:

Purdue -17: One of the Sheet's top pick. I like this one myself.

Tex A&M -13 (if I can get this spread): I wrote about this one in tball's thread. Now that the computer likes it - count me in.

Georgia -14: Sheet likes this one A LOT. I always feel leary about going against a team that had so much hoopla from the pro cappers for the season and start off looking mediocre. Yeah, Florida beat them soundly but the fact that Florida continues to prove itself also makes me shy away from going against the Vols. Anyway, puter likes this play.

Arizona -3: Er... no thanks. Wish it woulda liked State instead.

Akron +2: My number cruncher has a crush on these Zippies, don't know why. Paid off last week but I ain't pushing my luck with a team I know nothing about.

Mizzou +2: Well, they're sure gonna like the "class drop" (yeah, I play the ponies too). Their QB has shoulder trouble but is scheduled to start. Don't matter to me cause the backup QB (Berkstresser) can do. He threw for 200 yds. to beat Zona St. earlier. I don't see Central running the ball at all vs. the Tiger defense and they're "turnoner prone" too. Like this game. Going for a little more scratch and taking the money line on this one.

Florida State -16: I got bad vibes with this game even though the computer isn't showing any sign of nerves whatsoever with this pick.

Nevada Reno -19: Even at that high no., which I usually steer away from, still looks like a wiener to me.

Nebraska - 11: Dang, another favorite :0

BTW, for last week - despite it's top plays I listed here (went 3 and 4), the Sheet's top 10 plays went 5 and 5. Like I wrote, it usually gets better as it gets additional data as the weeks go by. It uses ALL the previous week's data (taking into account it's ratings for each team a particular team played in each of it's previous week's games; that's the hard work part) It's record for prior seasons shows that it also will throw in a REALLY bad stink bomb week at ANY TIME... AND, it usually throws in one GREAT week at any time as well.

Good luck this week.
 

Jimboski

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Tempted to go with Tenn+14 and Oregon St. BOTH would be plays against the SHEET. Decided not to do it but it would be interesting to see "my picks" vs. the "Sheet". For me, I couldn't find a play this week that I really had much confidence with.

So far, early games are looking good. Hope you found something worthwhile. It'll be a very good start if Mizzou can hold on.

Knew I could count on you to stop in, SixFive; which is why I post this thing.
 

Jimboski

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Dec 15, 2005
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Wrap up

Wrap up

Six/Five, looks like it's me, you, and the SHEET :(

You probably know better than I do how EACH GAME did, so no sense for me to go make sure I got it's record exactly right. LOOKS like it may have either came up short like 4/5 or 3/6.

FOR ME, I can tellyas that I did use the Sheet's top picks, like I posted, plus a couple of my own and made a few parlays with them. Got very UNlucky with how the losahs fell - one in each parlay to ruin the dang thangs. ... and very lucky with a much heavier single play on one play that I luved and was also picked by the computer, Mizzou M,L. I couldn't decide whether that big play would be them or Purdue. Picked the right one, whew!

I do know the results for the "me vs. the puter" thingy.... I beat the dang thang 2 to 0, Oregon St., Tenn. Didn't put a cent on either of the bastages either. No regrets putting in the weeks that it took me to make that monster though. I still believe that it will beat me in the long run.

Maybe I'll post my picks along with the Sheet's next week if I post something.

BTW, how bout that freakin Wisc/Nebraska game? I don't want to think how it woulda changed my bankaroo IF the Nebraska player who couldn't quite pick up that freakin fumbled ball woulda just run into the end zone with it on that last play of the game. Braska woulda covered. UGH!

G.L. SixFive and MJers.
 
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