Spreadsheet picks - Oct 4

[Jimboski]

Not sure about record, it's -2 I think (lost 2 more than it won so far). This is about seeing how the "SHEET" does this year and my own record is a bit better than making all single plays. What works for me is - >play ONE solid side bet with enough to show a profit even if parlays (2 and 3 teamers, mostly from the sheet) lose. BTW, you don't put that side bet (best bet) in any of the parlays.

The spreadsheet is going banannas over this weeks card. THAT'S GOOD NEWS cause every pick is rated as "VERY strong". If it could write a comment for the picks, it would be "Crushes the oponent".

Well, lets see how it does:

Kent St. -3: for me, I like it, I like it... .. I like.. etc.

Tex Tech +4.5: Such a strong play, gimme the money line. Downside is the oposition they've faced so far. This team has been a scoring machine for quite some time and I think Okie is over rated. Home team advantage is a big plus for TT , in particular methinks. The "SHEET" also makes a calculated spread for the games. I don't pay too much attention to it cause sometimes it's way outa line. Usually it IS within 2 pts. of the actual line though. For this game, the calc line is MINUS more than a touchdown for TT. :scared I am gonna check for key player injuries for this one.

Tar Heels -6

Maryland -6. Tthat is what tbe line was when I entered the data in the SS. I'd buy it down to -6 (no typo) if I had to. It's a strong consensus pick (just about unanimous) and that does make me a little nervous.

Duke - 1: My thoughts?.. . .er, :shrug:

Tulsa +4: ditto.

Purdue +3: IF I use this one, I'm gonna buy it up to 3 1/2. Sheet rates this one high enough to make it a Money Liner. I just ain't that confident about this one. I call this one a "parlay stuffer".

Missouri -7: this one is a shade lower than the above in the sheet's rating; it just makes it to a "Strong Play" rating.

Six/Five: I KNOW you're interested in this spreadsheet stuff. Prob. don't track how it's exactly doing, but if so - you welcomed to post it's record. Hope you come up with a winnah from the above list.

G.L. MJers

 

[SixFive]

Let's get em!

 

[ldabdou]

GL. Can't understand why everyone is on E.Mich. :shrug: I Like Mizzou but :scared

 

[Jimboski]

Wrap up

Wrap up

GREAT NEWS, Six/Five - We gots company

Now, today's happenings of interest... .
Well, going from 3-4 (or was it 4-5?) to 4-4 ain't exactly what I was looking for. Esp. since the dang Sheet was so gun ho with today's picks. I sure was upbeat while the early games were playing. I've been watching the complete series of Rocky's/Stalone's movies that one of the stations was running this past week and planned on PLAYING Rocky's tune in this wrap up foryas. Late games sure put a damper on that idea.

For me, today? A picture is worth a 1000 words -> :00x25. EACH of my parlays (3 of them) had 1 or 2 losahs. The REAL ass-burner was the that I didn't employ my usual betting system AND the freakin thing just bailed me out last week too. I didn't make the side, single play on my and the sheet's BESTEST PLAY of the freakin day... Kent. St. SOB! It woulda bailed me out again and produced a slightly profitable day too. FLUCK! And man, did they ever cover

I really liked the stats I saw just like the Sheet did, but just couldn't make the bigger bet on a game with BOTH teams that I am so unfamiliar with. Gotta learn from this.

Six/Five, I'm finding a little something that I may employ (tweak) in the calculation the SS makes. Hate to make a change, but it sure looks like it will help. It's very minor, so I'm gonna do it starting next week. Hang in there.

I HOPE you found one of the wieners on the list today.

Idabdou, NO QUESTION, me, the SS, and you were on the team that put a far superior team on the field when the Missouri game started. What happens?.. . . . WAY before halftime - out goes their "ONLY" QB (Franklin) who can QB and RUN like hell, then out goes Murphy (their best rusher?). Both essential players did not return. Oh, later in the game, out goes their center who can't hike a ball and in comes HIS REPLACEMENT who has the same problem :00x10.

When Franklin's replacement, a recent high schooler who never played a full half comes in the game in the second quarter - we lost ALL chance. Fact is, they almost pulled that game out.

BTW, I already wrote about how "strong consensus picks" make me nervous so lets see how they did. I think these were the strongest Capper's Consensue for today - Maryland and Purdue. Hmmm.

Thanks, Idabdou, for stopping in.