Just in case somebody's interested, here's some stuff about what going on with this spreadsheet thingy:
Unlike last week, it's not luvin the picks that much for this week's card. The strong plays are below but they weren't rated as high as last week's picks.
Other not-so-good news is that it is predominantly rating the favorites to cover. We'll see... hey, favorites win too
The bestest news is that I continually track this thang, correlating it's ratings with the margin that the pick covers (or loses) by. F'rinstance, say this week N.D.@ -7 wins by 10. I correlate (don't ask - it's boring as hell to explain the equations, and reading about them is even worser for YOU) the no. 3 (that's how much it covered the spread by) with the rating that the sheet gave N.D. The news is that it is getting better and better - it's gradually giving teams that covered by a lot a higher rating and those that failed to cover a lower (actually, got a minus no. for it's rating). Bottom line is -> THAT'S A GOOD THING!
Without bothering (not that much interest in here about this thing) to get exactly how it's doing - IT IS just a little "under water" at this point IF you bet every strong pick I posted. Betting it the way I wrote about in my previous threads shows a profit. BTW, I am having a prob. this week in finding that side Best Bet, single play that covers the costs of the parlays PLUS some profit for the day IF IT WINS, of course. Not really one or two picks that rate MUCH stronger than the others like in past weeks.
Enough of that; here's it's strong plays for today:
Bowling (for) Greenies -7.5
Toledo -14 (for parlays, I make that no. -12 1/2)
Rutgers -7: my alma mater has treated me terribly in the past, I betem - they lose, fadem - they win.
Kansas St. -6
Washington +13 1/2: and the sheet does NOT figure in home team advantages too.
Miss St. -3 (vs. Tenn): a little stronger pick than the others.
Ole Miss -6
TCU +7: M.L. as well.
Bama -22: This one may be my side play this week. We saw Mizzou leave the field in pieces last week, Bama comes off a rest, even if Franklin starts for the Tigers - he's definitely not 100%. Others on that team are beat up too.
BYU +5 1/2: IF you're looking to pull one out of this list of SHEET picks, I sho as hell wouldn't recommend this one. Rarely do it, but I may go the other way on this one.
SMU - 18 1/2: Tulane just has nuthin. Just awfull.
Cal. -7: another stronger than most pick. I do like this play and the OVER even more so.
Good luck and do drop in with any comments to keep this thread going every week.
Unlike last week, it's not luvin the picks that much for this week's card. The strong plays are below but they weren't rated as high as last week's picks.
Other not-so-good news is that it is predominantly rating the favorites to cover. We'll see... hey, favorites win too
The bestest news is that I continually track this thang, correlating it's ratings with the margin that the pick covers (or loses) by. F'rinstance, say this week N.D.@ -7 wins by 10. I correlate (don't ask - it's boring as hell to explain the equations, and reading about them is even worser for YOU) the no. 3 (that's how much it covered the spread by) with the rating that the sheet gave N.D. The news is that it is getting better and better - it's gradually giving teams that covered by a lot a higher rating and those that failed to cover a lower (actually, got a minus no. for it's rating). Bottom line is -> THAT'S A GOOD THING!
Without bothering (not that much interest in here about this thing) to get exactly how it's doing - IT IS just a little "under water" at this point IF you bet every strong pick I posted. Betting it the way I wrote about in my previous threads shows a profit. BTW, I am having a prob. this week in finding that side Best Bet, single play that covers the costs of the parlays PLUS some profit for the day IF IT WINS, of course. Not really one or two picks that rate MUCH stronger than the others like in past weeks.
Enough of that; here's it's strong plays for today:
Bowling (for) Greenies -7.5
Toledo -14 (for parlays, I make that no. -12 1/2)
Rutgers -7: my alma mater has treated me terribly in the past, I betem - they lose, fadem - they win.
Kansas St. -6
Washington +13 1/2: and the sheet does NOT figure in home team advantages too.
Miss St. -3 (vs. Tenn): a little stronger pick than the others.
Ole Miss -6
TCU +7: M.L. as well.
Bama -22: This one may be my side play this week. We saw Mizzou leave the field in pieces last week, Bama comes off a rest, even if Franklin starts for the Tigers - he's definitely not 100%. Others on that team are beat up too.
BYU +5 1/2: IF you're looking to pull one out of this list of SHEET picks, I sho as hell wouldn't recommend this one. Rarely do it, but I may go the other way on this one.
SMU - 18 1/2: Tulane just has nuthin. Just awfull.
Cal. -7: another stronger than most pick. I do like this play and the OVER even more so.
Good luck and do drop in with any comments to keep this thread going every week.
