the day the line came out I bought a point and played under 50 for the game and under 24- first h for the maximum my local guy allows. one of the handicapping tools I have found really helpful is a system that Lem Banker uses (or at least used, don't know if hes capping or even alive anymore.) the thing gets me in the ballpark very very oftenin nfl and is even better in the nba this time of year. so in the superbowl it says that each team is going to score around 14 points FOR THE GAME. I have never seen a game where both teams rate identically offensively and defensively, but each one has an offensive score of 23- and each has a defensive rating of giving up 11- points. Since 11- is about 10- or 11- below the average points scored in an nfl game, the system says to subtract 10- or 11- from the opposing teams offensive score. lets see 23- minus 10- means both teams are coming in around 13or 14 points scored.even if it is not exactly right, there is a lot of gap between that number and the posted total. i also love the fact that both teams went over in both their playoff games, and that Seattle went over in last years super bowl. This game will be different. The two weeks preparation will help both defenses as well. I will be playing whatever alternate line under he offers as soon as it comes out. I have also played each team total under. my guy had new England at 24- and seattle at 24, even though his posted total is 48. I have been doing really well in the nba since football has quieted down using the banker system and have currently six parlays . (one five, one four, two three and two two teamers. the five teamer had a sixth play that pushed,199 on the memphis dallas total) w the under at 48 as the last open wheel before payoff. I am making myself stop now, but suffice it to say i m going to cash for close to what I hit on the national championship college game if im right about this under. i will be playing the second half under too as long as it starts in the 20's. betting a side in this game is for gamblers and will be a tough call.it says here the under in this game will be a clear cut win. hope everyone enjoys their day
super bowl plays
- Thread starter edludes
- Start date
Jord- you are an unfailingly positive influence here, besides being a bona fide winning handicapper of great renown. I ll try and stop by the nba forum. I will definitely post in the latter rounds of the ncaa basket ball tourney, the banker thing gets very accurate after three tourney games. thanks for saying hi. hope its all going your way. ludes
thanks Jack! i hope the Ravens make it to the bowl next year. I can understand how you must feel about the football pressure deal. I was really expecting the ravens to beat ne and if they had ........ lucks too young just yet, uda been there this year. Seattle can expect everything to go wrong for them in this game im afraid, because of defending champion syndrome. it almost got em vs the pack but like a true champion ( or a cat w nine lives) they jumped out of the coffin at the last instant. ive grown to like the players on this team, and want to root for them without gambling interest. in each of the patriots playoff losses the last few years brady has been off in accuracy, not an awful lot but by enough to effect his efficiency.pressure helps that happen and hes gonna get some sunday I think. I hope that s the brady that show up sunday. im expecting it in fact. both teams are going to try to run a lot for different reasons. eat up clock clock clock
Thank you. I appreciate it.
I remember your NCAA tourney plays from the past... very solid.
Let's get this under!
played alternate line under 37- +300 1000 to win 3000. played 3rd qtr under 10 and 4th qtr under 14 for 1100 each.
upping the ante
upping the ante
Gosh its getting REALLY dramatic around here today. people are getting desperate to show just how heavy business their play is. so ive decidedI'll behead myself live on the internet if this loses.Then I'll pay the bookie and go to work. god the old "if this doesn't hit'( sniff sniff, wheres my silk hanky you mean mean mean madjackers)im never ever going to come back to madjacks" ploy.cmon man, we'veseen that before!! bet suicide on your pick if its serious bsiness, don't just leave madjacks. leave the world
upping the ante
Gosh its getting REALLY dramatic around here today. people are getting desperate to show just how heavy business their play is. so ive decidedI'll behead myself live on the internet if this loses.Then I'll pay the bookie and go to work. god the old "if this doesn't hit'( sniff sniff, wheres my silk hanky you mean mean mean madjackers)im never ever going to come back to madjacks" ploy.cmon man, we'veseen that before!! bet suicide on your pick if its serious bsiness, don't just leave madjacks. leave the world
nice write up edludes .........heres what i see happening
Patriots game plan is to corral wilson and stop Lynch
well if that happens wilson opens up the passing game as he has done before with teams who tried that last year too ...
Seahawks only need to stop Patriots short game thats thier strenght thats all Bardy is good at now 25 yards and under...
Patriots DO NOR run 1st then pass .........other way around for them Blount Yqards per carry is not up to super bowl champs caliber 4 yards or more per carry with another back getting 10 carries or more per game
Sure you might limit Lynch and thier Fb's in running but your not stopping the beast from getting in the end zone at laest twice
Seahawks have Legs thats the winning formula it's been used in every superbowl champs wins.
Seattle has 3 horses that can run LYNCH Wilson and thier FB
Patriots have 1 Blount and thier top WR TE Gronk
This is why i like overs because too many people are taking unders it dropped too much
47 from 49.5 opener 2 1/2 points creates middles 47's everywhere Vegas and offshore somethings up here ............
whatever i'm not risking totals i'm on one side not leaning i'm diving in off the high dive and in the pool Seahawks win by way more than 3 points
Patriots game plan is to corral wilson and stop Lynch
well if that happens wilson opens up the passing game as he has done before with teams who tried that last year too ...
Seahawks only need to stop Patriots short game thats thier strenght thats all Bardy is good at now 25 yards and under...
Patriots DO NOR run 1st then pass .........other way around for them Blount Yqards per carry is not up to super bowl champs caliber 4 yards or more per carry with another back getting 10 carries or more per game
Sure you might limit Lynch and thier Fb's in running but your not stopping the beast from getting in the end zone at laest twice
Seahawks have Legs thats the winning formula it's been used in every superbowl champs wins.
Seattle has 3 horses that can run LYNCH Wilson and thier FB
Patriots have 1 Blount and thier top WR TE Gronk
This is why i like overs because too many people are taking unders it dropped too much
47 from 49.5 opener 2 1/2 points creates middles 47's everywhere Vegas and offshore somethings up here ............
whatever i'm not risking totals i'm on one side not leaning i'm diving in off the high dive and in the pool Seahawks win by way more than 3 points
