THE CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2020-2021 SEASON NEWS,TRENDS, PICKS !

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s 6-pack
Week 13 NFL spreads:
? Cleveland @ Tennessee (-5.5)
? NJ Giants @ Seattle (-10)
? LA Rams (-3) @ Arizona
? Philadelphia @ Green Bay (-9.5)
? New England @ LA Chargers (even)
? Denver @ Kansas City (-14)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 270,369
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?Actually, we brought Coach (Bob) Stoops out of retirement today. He was on the field and coached with us today. It was great to have him out there.?
Oklahoma coach Lincoln Riley, whose staff has some COVID issues

Wednesday?s quiz
Virginia is technically the defending national champ in college basketball, since they won the tournament two years ago; who did they beat in the championship game?

Tuesday?s quiz
John Turturro played both Joey Knish in Rounders and coach Billy Sunday in He Got Game.

Monday?s quiz
UCLA coach Chip Kelly was the Eagles? head coach before Doug Pederson.

************************

Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??..

13) Trevor Ariza has played for nine teams in his 16-year NBA career; he?s scored 11,215 points, banked over $103M in salary, but it had to be strange when he was traded twice Nov 24-27.

Rockets traded him to Detroit November 24, but his career as a Piston lasted around 72 hours- they dealt him to Oklahoma City. Its good to be wanted, if you look on the bright side.

Ariza has been involved in ten different NBA trades, more than any player ever; he?s been around so long, he was traded with Penny Hardaway in 2006? Hardaway is in his third year as a college head coach? he was a high school coach before that!!!

Bottom line is this: be a good teammate, shoot the ball well, be a good defender and you can last a long time/make serious money in the NBA, even if you?re not one of the biggest stars.

12) NBA training camps started Tuesday; the league?s health/safety protocol handbook is 139 pages long- they take this stuff very seriously.

11) Texas 66, Indiana 44? Longhorns held Indiana to 23.9% from the floor, advance to face North Carolina in the finals of the Maui Classic. Texas outrebounded the Hoosiers, 48-29.

10) North Carolina 67, Stanford 63? Cardinal led by 8 late in first half, but UNC had all five starters score in double figures, winning in their home state. Teams combined to made 9-32 on the arc; playing on consecutive days early in season can result in brickfests. Tar Heels controlled the boards 43-23, which is important in a brickfest.

9) Michigan State 75, Duke 69? Spartans were down 13-3 early, but they pulled ahead by the half, and then hung on at the end for a solid road win. Julius Marble scored 12 points in 12:00 off the bench, making all five of his shots from the floor.

8) Kansas 65, Kentucky 62:
? Kentucky was up 28-15 early, but couldn?t maintain it.
? Kentucky is 0-2 this season, shooting 3-31 on arc.
? Teams combined to go 8-42 behind the arc.
? Two proud programs who both might be little down this year.

7) Providence 63, Davidson 62: With 1:20 left in this game, Providence up 2, kid goes to line for Davidson for two shots, and play-by-play guy points out that he hasn?t missed a foul shot yet this year. No bueno.

Analyst Cory Alexander calls him out for saying that, without saying the word ?jinx? but you could tell he was thinking it. Kid made first shot, missed the second. Davidson missed a driving layup with 0:03 left, lost by a point.

This season, Davidson has players from six different countries; in his career with the Wildcats, Bob McKillop has coached players from 24 different countries.

6) Navy 78, Georgetown 71? Patrick Ewing is in his 4th year as Georgetown?s coach; his Hoyas are 19-35 in Big East games the last three years. Losing to a service academy team here doesn?t help; losing Mac MacClung as a transfer to Texas Tech was a disaster.

5) Buffalo Bills are having a great season, but three weeks ago, they lost 32-30 in Arizona, on a Hail Mary TD on the last play of the game. Now, because of COVID rules in northern California, Bills will find themselves back in the desert Monday night to play the 49ers, who are sharing the Cardinals? facilities for the next few weeks. What a weird year this is.

4) It is important to keep your nose pointed in a positive direction; Most baseball fans know that Don Larsen pitched a perfect game in the 1956 World Series, but that was only two years after he went 3-21 pitching for the Orioles. Talk about going from the outhouse to the penthouse; its a long way from 3-21 to winning a World Series game, much less tossing a perfect game.

3) Shaquille O?Neal tried 22 3-point shots in his Hall of Fame career but made only one of them, which came in the 4th year of his 19-year career; apparently he also made two treys in exhibition games. In 216 career playoff games, Shaq never tried a 3-pointer.

2) Denver Broncos signed QB Kyle Shurmur, son of Denver OC Pat Shurmur; Kyle Shrmur played QB at Vanderbilt, was on the Chiefs? practice squad previously. He gives Denver insurance in case COVID ravages their QB room again this season.

1) Current odds to win the NFC East:
+180? Giants
+225? Washington
+300? Eagles
+475? Cowboys

 

[Cnotes53]

Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

Week 14 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday Dec. 3 and concludes on Sunday, Dec. 6.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Thursday, Dec. 3

LOUISIANA TECH at NORTH TEXAS (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)
After UTSA loss, UNT 6-19 last 25 on board since mid 2018.
Skip Holtz and La Tech have won and covered 5 of last 6 vs. Mean Green.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team and series trends.

AIR FORCE at UTAH STATE (CBSSN, 9:30 p.m.)
Win over UNM broke Utags? 0-5 SU and spread skid since late LY.
USU still just 5-10 vs. line last 15 on board since mid 2019.
Force on 4-0-1 spread uptick in series.

Tech Edge:Air Force, based on team and series trends.


Friday, Dec. 4

UL-LAFAYETTE at APPALACHIAN STATE (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)
Even after big win vs. Troy last weekend, App having a miserable 2020 vs. spread for new HC Clark, just 2-7 vs. line, now 2-8 last 10 vs. number since late 2019.
If Ragin? Cajuns getting points note 8-3-1 dog mark for Billy Napier since 2018.

Tech Edge: UL-Lafayette, especially if dog, based on recent trends.

BOISE STATE at UNLV (CBSSN, 8:30 p.m.)
After Wyoming loss, UNLV 0-5 SU and vs. line in 2019 (counts SJSU as loss).
Rebs 2-6 vs. spread last 8 as host (0-3 at Allegiant Stadium TY).
Boise 15-8 vs. line last 23 as MW visitor.

Tech Edge: Boise State, based on team trends.


Saturday, Dec. 5

GEORGIA TECH at N.C. STATE (ACC, 4 p.m.)
Pack a pleasant surprise in 2020, 7-3 SU and vs. 6-4 line after 2-10 spread nosedive in 2019.
NCS also ?over? 10-4 last 14 since late 2019.
GT 7-12-1 vs. spread for Collins since he arrived LY (though did narrowly win and cover vs Wolfpack in 2019).
Jackets also on 12-4 ?over? run since early 2019.

Tech Edge: NCS and ?over,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

VANDERBILT at GEORGIA (SEC, 4:00 p.m.)
Georgia has won and covered last 4 meetings after Kirby Smart lost to Dores in 2016.

Tech Edge: Georgia, based on series trends.

CLEMSON at VIRGINIA TECH (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
Even after Pitt win, Dabo only 3-6 vs. spread his first 9 in 2020, now 3-7 vs, line since late last season.
Though extended marks still very good (11-6-1 vs. points as visitor since 2017).
VT on 3-8 spread slide since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA (FSN, 3:30 p.m.)
Hafley 4-2 as dog at BC, and Eagles 18-7-1 as dog since 2017.
Cavs however have covered last four this season, and Bronco Mendenhall 22-13 vs. points since 2018.
Cavs also ?over? 12-2 last 14 since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: ?Over,? based on recent UVa ?totals? trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at KENTUCKY (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)
SC has really hit skids with 5 SU and spread losses in a row in 2020, costing Muschamp his job.
UK only 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 vs. line last five TY.
Cats had won 5 straight and 6-0-1 vs. line in previous seven in series prior to last year?s 24-7 Gamecocks win.

Tech Edge: Slight to UK, based on extended series trends.

LIBERTY at COASTAL CAROLINA (ESPNU, 2:00 p.m.)
Flames have covered last seven in 2020, Freeze also 6-1 last 7 as dog, while Coastal 8-1-1 vs. line this season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.

MARYLAND at MICHIGAN (BTN, 3:30 p.m.)
Harbaugh no covers last five in 2020, now on 1-7 spread skid since late 2019.
Harbaugh, however, has won and covered all five vs. Terps since taking over Wolverines in 2015.

Tech Edge: Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.

OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN STATE (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)
Buckeyes no covers last two in 2020, OSU now 3-6 last nine on board after 8 straight covers in 2019.
But MSU struggling for Tucker at 2-3 SU and vs. line, also just 7-15 vs. number since late 2018.
Bucks have won and covered last three in series by 108-19 total score.

Tech Edge: OSU, based on team and recent series trends.

NEBRASKA at PURDUE (BTN, 12:00 p.m.)
Boilermakers no covers last four TY after covers in 8 of their previous 9 games.
Meanwhile Huskers got cover at Iowa but Frost still just 5-12 vs. spread since LY.
Purdue only 1-5 last six as chalk overall but 5-1 vs. spread last six in series.

Tech Edge: Purdue, based on team and series trends.

PENN STATE at RUTGERS (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)
Penn State finally with a W in 2020 but still just 1-5 vs. line.
Scarlet Knights have covered last three in series.
Schiano 3-2 vs. line in return to Rutgers.

Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on recent and series trends.

FAU at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPN+, 6:00 p.m.)
FAU ?under? 5-1 for Taggart TY, GSU ?under? 8-4 last 12 since late 2019.

Tech Edge: ?Under,? based on ?totals? trends.

BOWLING GREEN at AKRON (ESPN3, 2:00 p.m.)
Akron 0-16 SU, 2-14 since LY vs. line for Arth.
BGSU 4-12 vs. spread for Loeffler.
Falcs won and covered 35-6 LY.

Tech Edge: BGSU, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN (ESPNU, 5:30 p.m.)
Ball 1-3 vs. line in 2020, McElwain now 13-5 vs. line for Chips after EMU win.
CMU 7-1 vs. spread at home for McElwain.

Tech Edge: CMU, based on recent trends.

KENT STATE at MIAMI-OHIO (CBSSN, 12:00 p.m.)
KSU on 9-3 spread uptick since mid 2019, and has covered six of last seven away from Dix Stadium (counts Buffalo loss last week).
Though one of the Ls in that span came against RedHawks.
Golden Flashes also on 7-2 ?over? run since that lost to Miami in 2019.

Tech Edge: Kent State, based on recent trends.

BUFFALO at OHIO (CBSSN, 3:30 p.m.)
Home team has covered last three in series.
Solich 14-5 as dog since 2015, even though just 6-10 overall vs. spread since last season.
Leipold 29-13-3 spread uptick last three+ years.

Tech Edge: Ohio, based on team and series home trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at WESTERN MICHIGAN (ESPN+, 1:00 p.m.)
Eagles not quite same spread magic this season now 2-2 vs. line after blowing CMU game.
On road EMU has covered its first two and as road dog Creighton has been superb (19-3-1 as dog away from home since late 2015).
Also 3-0-1 vs. line last four vs. WMU. Broncos however 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line to open 2020.

Tech Edge: EMU, based on team and series trends.

FIU at CHARLOTTE (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Golden Panthers struggling, 0-5 SU TY and just 5-13 vs. spread since 2019.
Though FIU has won outright last five in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to Charlotte, based on recent trends.

RICE at MARSHALL (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Herd unbeaten 7-0 SU, 5-2 vs. line TY.
Though Doc only 2-2 vs. line at home TY, 3-8 vs. spread as host since 2019.
Owls actually 8-3 vs. number last 11 away.

Tech Edge: Slight to Rice, based on team trends.

FLORIDA at TENNESSEE (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)
Bottom has dropped out for Vols, lost and failed to cover last five TY, all by DD margins.
Gators have won and covered last three meetings (Dan Mullen 81-24 total score last two years).

Tech Edge: Florida, based on team and series trends.

OREGON STATE at UTAH (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
After Oregon upset, Beavs have covered last three TY and now 12-3 vs. spread last 15 on board.
Though one of those recent Ls was a 52-7 loss at Corvallis LY vs. a better Utah team.

Tech Edge: OSU, based on recent trends.

COLORADO at ARIZONA (FS1, 7 p.m.)
Sumlin 3-14 SU last 17 with Cats since late 2018, also 4-12 last 16 vs. spread.
Though has won and covered last two years vs. Buffs, part of UA 3-game series SU and spread win streak.
CU 3-0 SU and vs. line TY for Dorrell.

Tech Edge: Colorado, based on recent trends.

UCLA at ARIZONA STATE (FS1, 10:30 p.m.)
Bruins have covered 3 in a row in 2020, and Chip has covered last two vs. ASU.
UCLA also on 3-game series cover streak.
Herm on 2-6 spread skid at Tempe.

Tech Edge: UCLA, based on recent and series trends.

SYRACUSE at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 2:30 p.m.)
Dino 9-13 vs. spread since last season, 3-6 vs. spread last 9 away.
Domers on 10-4 spread uptick after UNC win.

Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on recent trends.

STANFORD at WASHINGTON (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)
Stanford has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series.
Though David Shaw just 1-6 last seven in what used to be a profitable dog role for him.
Huskies just 3-0 vs. spread last 12 as Pac-12 host.

Tech Edge: Stanford, based on series trends.

FRESNO STATE at NEVADA (FS2, 10:30 p.m.)
Wolf Pack 5-1 SU, 4-2 vs. line in 2020, won and covered first three at home.
Pack 8-2 vs. spread last 10 vs. MW foes at Reno.
DeBoer has won and covered last three TY for Fresno though schedule broke well in that stretch, and Bulldogs off since Nov. 14.

Tech Edge: Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.

OREGON at CALIFORNIA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Ducks ?over? 5-0-1 last six since late 2019 after OSU game.
Bears 16-7 in dog role for Wilcox entering 2020.

Tech Edge:Slight to Cal, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at TCU (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)
OSU no covers last four TY, also on 9-3 ?under? run since late 2019.
Patterson ?under? 6-4 since late 2019, though last three ?over? in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to ?under,? based on ?totals? trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at IOWA STATE (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
ISU has won and covered last two meetings, and Cyclones have covered 5 of last 7 TY after Texas win.
Mounties 1-2 vs. line away in 2020, after covering last three as visitor in 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to ISU, based on team trends.

INDIANA at WISCONSIN (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Tom ?Mr. Intensity? Allen is 6-0 vs. line in 2020, has covered last seven and 10 of last 12 since late 2019.
Hoosiers 6-2 vs. line last 8 away from Bloomington, and have covered last 4 and 7 of last 8 as dog.
Wisky just 3-6 vs. spread last 9 as Big Ten host.

Tech Edge: Indiana, based on recent trends.

KANSAS at TEXAS TECH (FS2, 12:00 p.m.)
KU 0-8 SU, 0-7-1 vs. line TY, Les Miles now 0-8-1 last 9 and 1-10-1 last 12 vs. spread since late 2019.
Last Jayhawks SU win was vs. Red Raiders LY.
Matt Wells 3-1 vs. spread at home vs. Big 12 this season, 3-4 as chalk since taking over TT a year ago.
Tech had won previous 8 SU in series into 2019.

Tech Edge: Texas Tech, based on KU negatives.

TOLEDO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Rockets have recovered somewhat from their slow close to 2019 (0-6-1 last 7 vs. line), with 2-2 SU and spread marks in 2020.
Rockets also 7-3 ?over? run since mid 2019.
Hammock 2-4 vs. line as MAC host since LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to ?Over? and Toledo, based on ?totals? and team trends.

BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
Bears only 1-4-1 vs. line last six TY, inclined to toss out the pre-Aranda marks for Rhule prior to 2020.
OU surging with five wins and covers in a row since Iowa State loss.
Sooners have covered 4 of last 5 reg season meetings (excludes 2019 Big 12 title game).

Tech Edge: OU, based on recent trends.

TEXAS A&M at AUBURN (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)
If Jimbo a dog here not just 2-3 last five in role since LY, and Malzahn has beaten Ags three in a row outright.
Malzahn 8-3 vs. spread at Jordan-Hare since last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Auburn, based on team and series trends.

TEXAS at KANSAS STATE (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)
Tom Herman only 1-5-1 last seven vs. line TY after close ISU loss.
Herman also no covers last 3 vs. KSU, and Horns no covers last four in series.
Klieman 10-4 as dog with Cats after Bill Snyder was 15-5 as dog his last three years (2016-18).

Tech Edge: KSU, based on team and series trends.

IOWA at ILLINOIS (ESPNU, 4 p.m.)
Ferentz has won and covered last three trips to Champaign-Urbana by combined 121-14 score, with two shutouts.
Iowa has won SU last six in series, didn?t quite get spread in 19-10 win LY.
Hawkeyes 9-3-1 last 13 vs. line as Big Ten visitor.
Lovie however is 8-3 his last 11 as dog.

Tech Edge: Iowa, based on team and series trends.

HAWAII at SAN JOSE STATE (4:00 p.m.)
Spartans 4-0 SU and vs. line (counts UNLV as win) in 2020, and Brent Brennan has covered last three years vs. UH (though SJSU hasn?t won outright in series since 2015).
Spartans on 13-4-1 spread uptick.

Tech Edge: San Jose State, based on team and series trends.

WYOMING at NEW MEXICO (ESPN2, 7 p.m.)
New Mexico 0-5 SU after USU loss, now on 14-game SU losing streak.
Lobos 5-12 vs. line since LY.
Wyo plays for second straight week in Vegas.
UNM did cover this game in 2019, but after UNLV romp, Bohl enters on 15-7 spread uptick since late 2018.

Tech Edge: Wyoming, based on recent trends.

COLORADO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)
Aztecs 2-1 as home chalk TY (at Carson) after 4-12 mark previous 16 in role.
Addazio just 1-2 vs. line TY in CSU debut but was 14-5-1 as dog previous three years at BC.

Tech Edge: Slight to SDSU, based on recent trends.

MEMPHIS at TULANE (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)
Tulane had covered 5 in a row before bitter OT loss at Tulsa.
Meanwhile Memphis needed SF Austin to break recent spread skid, but Tigers still just 1-9 vs. line last ten against FBS foes (1-7 for Silverfield).
Home team has covered last four meetings.

Tech Edge: Tulane, based on recent and series trends.

TULSA at NAVY (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
Magical Tulsa 5-1 SU and vs. line TY, 9-3 last 12 vs. spread since mid 2019.
Though has lost and failed to cover last five years vs. Navy.
Mids only 3-3 in dog role TY since LY, but 20-9-1 as dog from 2013-18 for Niumatalolo.

Tech Edge: Slight to Navy, based on series trends.

TROY at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPN3, 2:00 p.m.)
Troy has won and covered handily last two vs. nearby Belt rival, but Trojans just 7-13 vs. spread for Chip Lindsey since LY.
USA has cooled off, now 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 vs. line last four TY.
Troy also on 8-1-1 ?under? run since late 2019, and Jags ?under? six straight in 2020.

Tech Edge: ?Under,? based on ?totals? trends.

UL-MONROE at ARKANSAS STATE (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m.)
ASU having subpar year (3-7 SU, only 1-4 vs. line last five) but has owned ULM, with wins and covers last ten meetings!
Warhawks have slipped in backdoor for a couple of recent covers but still just 3-6 vs. line TY, and 11-24 vs. line since late 2017.

Tech Edge: Arkansas State, based on series trends.

ARKANSAS at MISSOURI (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)
Ark has dropped last two vs. line TY but still 6-2 vs. spread for Pittman in 2020.
Drinkwitz 5-2 vs. spread in first spin with Mizzou, 4-0 vs. line at home.
Home team has covered last six in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to Mizzou, based on series trends.

HOUSTON at SMU (ESPNU, 9:00 p.m.)
Holgorsen very so-so since LY with UH (9-9 vs. line) and just 6-7 as dog (0-3 as dog TY).
Sonny Dykes 7-3 vs. spread as host since LY.
Home team has covered last four meetings.

Tech Edge: SMU, based on team and series trends.

ALABAMA at LSU (CBS, 8:00 p.m.)
Bama has covered last five is season and has won and covered last four trips to LSU, with shutouts last two.
LSU 1-1 as dog in 2020 and Orgeron 9-2 last eleven in role.

Tech Edge: Bama, based on team and series trends.


Sunday, Dec. 6

WASHINGTON STATE at USC (FS1, 7:30 p.m.)
Cougs have covered 3 of last 4 in series (first meeting since 2018).
Rolovich 1-1 vs. line after Leach had dropped 11 of last 15 vs. spread into 2020.
Trojans ?under? first 3 in 2020 after ?over? last six in 2019.
SC 8-12 vs. line last 20 at Coliseum.

Tech Edge: WSU, based on extended trends.

 

[Cnotes53]

The Florida State-Duke game will not be played on Saturday ... Instead, Miami will travel to Duke for a 8PM kickoff


Minnesota vs. Northwestern canceled


Kent State vs. Miami University has been canceled

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the golf tournament in Mexico this week:
+725? Justin Thomas
+1900? Brooks Koepka, Harris English
+1950? Russell Henley
+2000? Abraham Ancer, Daniel Berger, Viktor Hovland
+2900? Tony Finau, Corey Conners
+3200? Brendan Todd

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 271,247
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?We came in on that Tuesday and got some extra work in when no one was here, and we got too lackadaisical with [the protocols]. It ended up hurting us and it hurt this program and I apologize for letting that happen. We could have been better. That?s the point of the matter here. We needed to be perfect and we weren?t perfect. That?s something that we?ve got to be better at.?
Broncos? QB Drew Lock

Thursday?s quiz
Where did John Wall play his college basketball?

Wednesday?s quiz
Virginia is technically the defending national champ in college basketball, since they won the tournament two years ago; they beat Texas Tech in the 2019 championship game.

Tuesday?s quiz
John Turturro played both Joey Knish in Rounders and coach Billy Sunday in He Got Game.

***************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??.

13) Pittsburgh 19, Ravens 14
? Ravens had ball on 1-yard line at end of first half, but didn?t score.
? RGIII threw a pick-6 for first score of the game in first quarter.
? Baltimore lost four of last five games, after a 5-1 start.
? Ravens are 9-3-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.

? Steelers won first 11 games (8-3 ATS), scoring 27.9 ppg.
? Pittsburgh scored only 13 points on four red zone drives.
? Only 2nd time in 12 years Steelers swept season series from Baltimore.
? Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

12) Last NFL team to start a season 11-0? The 2015 Carolina Panthers.

11) NFL teams with worst records in games decided by 6 or fewer points:
0-5-1: Cincinnati
0-3: Atlanta, Washington
0-2: Jets
1-5: Baltimore

10) NFL teams with best records in games decided by 6 or fewer points:
5-0: Cleveland, Pittsburgh
4-0: Kansas City, New Orleans
5-1: Tennessee
3-1: Buffalo, Seattle

Browns-Titans play Sunday; two team that have won lot of close games.

9) Texas 69, North Carolina 67:
? Longhorns win the Maui Classic
? UNC took 32 foul shots, Texas 14; Bill Walton wasn?t happy about that.
? Texas was 9-22 on the arc, Carolina 1-9.

8) Speaking of Walton, I say every year how I learn things from listening to him, but the things I learn usually aren?t basketball-related.
? Maui Classic was held in Asheville, NC; veteran umpire Joe West was born in Asheville.
? Davidson had the first college of forestry in this country.

7) Robert Griffin III was the 2nd pick in the 2012 NFL Draft, taken with a pick acquired from the Rams, who parlayed the draft picks they got from Washington into other picks, until they had essentially added eight players from trading that pick.

Griffin went 14-21 in three years as a starter for Washington- they made the playoffs his rookie year, but it was all downhill from there. When you trade four draft picks to take a QB, he damn well better be really good.

As for the Rams and the eight players they added, well, there?s a reason they sucked from 2013-16; except for Michael Brockers, those picks didn?t pan out. Janoris Jankins, Alec Ogletree were contributors, but the others didn?t do so well.

6) People on MLB Network were debating Hall of Fame possibilities this week, and Todd Helton?s name came up. Helton played his whole career for the Rockies, so the question of how playing at Coors Field helped him. Here are some facts:

Career at home: 4,841 PA, 874 runs scored, 859 RBI, 1.048 OPS
Career on road: 4,612 PA, 527 runs scored, 547 RBI, .855 OPS

His .386 career on-base %age on the road is still impressive, but he may have a hard time getting those lesser power numbers on the road into Cooperstown.

5) Kyle Schwarber (Cubs), Hansel Alberto (Orioles) were two of the more prominent players who were non-tendered Wednesday, which makes them free agents.

4) Gonzaga 87, West Virginia 82:
? Mountaineers led 39-34 at halftime
? Gonzaga shot 56.6% inside arc.
? Teams combined to make 9-33 on the arc; a brickfest.

High-level game, two NCAA-level teams.

3) Houston Rockets traded Russell Westbrook to the Washington Wizards for John Wall and a lottery-protected 1st-round pick. Westbrook is reunited with coach Scott Brooks, who was also one of his coaches in Oklahoma City.

2) NBA season will start December 22, with two games:
Warriors-Nets and Clippers-Lakers.

The next night, Bucks-Celtics, Mavericks-Suns will have the spotlight.

1) Baylor 82, Illinois 69? Flagler scored 18 off the bench for a Baylor team whose head coach is back in Waco, with COVID. This game easily could?ve passed for a Final Four game; Baylor plays Gonzaga next, which should be a very good matchup.

 

[Cnotes53]

THESE WERE MY PLAYS AT COVERS BUT FORGOT TO POST !

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 3

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LT at UNT
LT -1.0
U 65.0

AFA at USU
AFA -12.5
U 51.0

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s 6-pack
NBA regular season win totals:
42.5? Dallas Mavericks
41.5? Toronto Raptors, Utah Jazz
40.5? Portland Trailblazers
39.5? Indiana Pacers
38.5? Phoenix Suns
36.5? Atlanta, Golden State, Milwaukee

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 275,201
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?In 40 years of coaching college basketball, I don?t think I?ve ever seen more stress on our player?s faces than I have this year.?
Oregon basketball coach Dana Altman

Friday?s quiz
Baker Mayfield was Oklahoma?s QB for three years after starting his college career at which school?

Thursday?s quiz
John Wall played his college basketball at Kentucky.

Wednesday?s quiz
Virginia is technically the defending national champ in college basketball, since they won the tournament two years ago; they beat Texas Tech in the 2019 championship game.

****************************

Friday?s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here

13) If the entire NCAA basketball tournament is going to be in the Indianapolis area in March, CBS should hire Maris Valainis to do the lead-in to the show when they release the brackets on Selection Sunday.

Maris Valainis played Jimmy Chitwood in Hoosiers; would be fitting for a tournament being held in Indiana for one of Hickory High?s stars to play a role in introducing the 68-team field.

12) Dick Vitale is 81 years old now; over the last 25-27 years, he has helped raise over $100M to fund cancer research, thru the V Foundation, which came to be after Jim Valvano?s death from cancer in 1993.

Coach Vitale has amazing energy, especially for an octogenarian; he deserves a ton of credit for working so hard to save people?s lives. Thank you, coach.

11) Liberty-Coastal Carolina were supposed to play football on ESPN this weekend; ESPN is having College Gameday in Conway, SC, on the Coastal campus, but then Liberty had COVID issues, and the game was scratched. Not good.

ESPN got to work and BYU was quickly signed up to come to Conway for a 5:30 game on ESPNU Saturday. Two undefeated teams going at it; will the winner get invited to the college playoff?

10) NBA will increase active rosters from 12 to 15 players, because of COVID.

9) UConn 61, USC 58:
? Trojans were 3-19 on arc, had only one guy score double figures.
? Bouknight scored 18 for UConn; Huskies were +11 on the boards.
? Last 10:00 of this game, teams combined to score only 11 points.

8) Florida 90, Boston College 70:
? Gators struggled with Army Wednesday, but they hammered the Eagles here, shooting 62.2% inside the arc.
? One of the big variables this season is how much these teams have/have not practiced; unlike a normal season, teams are going to progress at different rates.

7) This past offseason, two great college basketball coaches passed away, Lute Olson and John Thompson, two guys who both won a hell of a lot of games. Here are their resumes:

John Thompson (596-239)
? All 27 years as a head coach were at Georgetown.
Made it to three Final Fours, won 1984 national title.

Lute Olson (776-285):
? 24-2 at Long Beach State
? 165-93 at Iowa
? 587-190 at Arizona.
Made it to four Final Fours, won 1997 national title.

Two guys who were regulars on TV in the 80?s/90?s. Big loss for the sport.

6) Big week for the Lakers? accountants:
? Lebron James singed a 2-year, $85M extension
? Anthony Davis signed a 5-year, $190M extension.

5) Houston Rockets dropped from 40-1 to 30-1 to win the NBA title, after they traded Russell Westbrook to the Wizards.

4) Utah 76, Washington 62:
? Huskies are off to a dreadful 0-3 start, scoring 52 ppg, making 14-74 on the arc.

3) Arizona State 70, California 62
? Sun Devils improve to 3-1 by beating their conference rival.
? Bears have now already lost to both ASU, Oregon State

2) This football season, St Louis Cardinals? pitcher Adam Wainwright formed a ?Players Only? fantasy league that benefits not only his own foundation but 31 other charities; Each participant, 32 major leaguers, played for the charity of his choice.

League is down to its Final Four:
Wainwright vs Sonny Gray and Matt Holliday vs Nick Ahmed.

Winner of the league gets $50,000 for their charity. Good for them.

1) More people died each of the last two days than died on September 11, 2001; we need to be careful for the next few months, until there is a vaccine in place. It is truly a matter of life and death; wearing a mask isn?t so bad (I actually look better in a mask). Please wear a mask.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

13 of the weekend?s best games
Georgia Tech (3-5) @ NC State (7-3)
? Tech lost three of its last four games, giving up 46.3 ppg.
? Yellow Jackets are 1-5 when they score fewer than 46 points.
? Tech has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Yellow Jackets has a freshman QB with 8 starts.
? Tech is 4-5 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

? NC State won its last three games, scoring 29.7 ppg.
? State allowed 44+ points in all three of their losses.
? Wolfpack is 7-0 when they allow less than 44 points.
? Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? State has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wolfpack has used couple of QB?s; the current starter is a junior.
? Since 2018, State is 8-7 ATS as a home favorite.

? Tech won 11 of last 14 series games.
? Yellow Jackets are 4-0-1 ATS in last five visits to Raleigh.
? Underdogs are 6-2-2 ATS in last ten series games.

BYU (9-0) @ Coastal Carolina (9-0)
? Long road trip on short notice for BYU.
? BYU is 9-0, winning eight of its nine games by 17+ points.
? Cougars is 3-0 on road vs I-A teams, scoring 49.7 ppg.
? Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cougars have a junior QB with 25 career starts.
? Since 2017, BYU is 3-7 ATS as a road favorite.

? Coastal won its three Sun Belt I-A games by a average of 39-17.
? Chanticleers allowed total of 43 points in last four games.
? Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
? Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Coastal?s freshman QB has 20 TD passes, one INT.
? Chanticleers are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as home underdogs.

? These teams haven?t met in the last five years.

Penn State (1-5) @ Rutgers (2-4)
? Penn State lost five of its first six games, giving up 32.8 ppg.
? Nittany Lions lost by point at Indiana, 30-23 at Nebraska, won LW at Michigan.
? PSU has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? Penn State has 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Nittany Lions have a junior QB with 17 career starts.
? Penn State is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite, 0-2 TY.

? Rutgers lost four of its last five games, allowing 37.4 ppg.
? Scarlet Knights allowed 442+ total yards in three of last four games.
? Rutgers is 0-3 at home this year, losing by 16-3-6 points.
? Scarlet Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Rutgers has 34 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Rutgers? junior QB has started eight games.
? Scarlet Knights are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

? Penn State won last six games with Rutgers, but Scarlet Knights covered last three.
? Nittany Lions won last two visits here by a combined 59-7.

Oregon State (2-2) @ Utah (0-2)
? Oregon State won its last two games by total of 7 points.
? Beavers gave up 439+ total yards in three of four games.
? OSU has 5 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? Ducks have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Oregon State has a junior QB with five starts.
? Beavers covered their last seven games as a road underdog.

? Utah lost its first two games, scoring 19 ppg.
? Utes out rushed first two foes 324-181 but are -3 in turnovers.
? Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Utah?s new quarterback started 33 games at South Carolina.
? Utah is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.

? Utah won last four series games, three by 6 or fewer points.
? Utes drilled OSU 52-7 in Corvallis last year, running for 256 yards.

UCLA (2-2) @ Arizona State (0-1)
? UCLA lost its road games, 48-42 at Colorado, 38-35 at Oregon.
? Bruins ran ball for 264 ypg in last three games.
? UCLA is giving up 43 ppg on road, 10 ppg at home.
? UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
? Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UCLA?s junior QB is making his 23rd career start.
? Under Kelly, Bruins are 7-5 ATS as a road underdog.

? Arizona State played one game so far; it was four weeks ago.
? ASU lost its opener 28-27 at USC, blowing a 13-point lead in last 2:52.
? Sun Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? ASU has 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Sun Devils have a soph QB with 13 career starts.
? Under Edwards, ASU is 3-9 ATS as a favorite, 3-5 at home.

? Home side won last four series games; underdogs covered four of last five.
? Bruins lost 31-28/23-20 in last two visits to Tempe.

Stanford (1-2) @ Washington (3-0)
? Stanford split last two games, both decided by 3 points.
? Cardinal have allowed 440 ppg this season.
? Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cardinal has a junior QB with 9 career starts.
? Stanford is 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

? Washington won its first three games, scoring 31.7 ppg.
? Huskies are +4 in turnovers, are gaining 413.3 ypg. .
? Huskies have 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Washington has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Huskies have a junior QB with 9 career starts.
? Washington is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as home favorites.

? Home side won last five series games.
? Cardinal lost 27-23/44-6 in their last two visits to Seattle.
? Underdogs covered six of last eight series games.

Fresno State (3-1) @ Nevada (5-1)
? Fresno won its last three games, scoring 37.7 ppg.
? Bulldogs gained 487-541 total yards last two games.
? Fresno has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Bulldogs have 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Fresno?s junior QB has four career starts.
? Bulldogs covered seven of last eight tries as a road underdog.

? Nevada lost 24-21 in Hawai?i LW, their first loss in six games.
? Wolf Pack is 3-0 at home, scoring 32.3 ppg.
? Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Nevada?s soph QB has 16 career starts.
? Wolf Pack is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 games as a home favorite.

? Nevada won three of last five series games.
? Fresno won three of its last four visits to Reno.
? Underdogs are 6-4 ATS in last ten series games.

Oklahoma State (6-2) @ TCU (4-4)
? Oklahoma State split last four games, after a 4-0 start.
? OSU allowed 41+ points in three of last four games.
? State won at both Kansas schools, lost 41-13 at Oklahoma.
? Cowboys have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
? OSU has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cowboys? soph QB has started 19 games.
? OSU is 4-6 ATS in last ten games as road favorites.

? TCU won three of last four games, after a 1-3 start.
? Horned Frogs scored 33+ points in all four wins, 17 ppg in losses.
? TCU is 0-3 when they score less than 33 points.
? Horned Frogs have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? TCU has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Horned Frogs have a soph QB with 18 career starts.
? TCU is 2-4-1 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite

? Teams split last six series games; underdogs won four of last five SU.
? Cowboys lost two of last three visits to TCU.
? Horned Frogs ran ball for 218+ yards in four of last six series games.

Texas A&M (6-1) @ Auburn (5-3)
? Texas A&M won last five games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
? A&M was held to 267 yards in LW?s 20-7 win over LSU
? Aggies won at Miss St/South Carolina; lost 52-24 at Alabama.
? A&M has 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? Aggies have 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
? A&M?s has a senior QB with 40 career starts.
? Aggies are 7-2 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.

? Auburn won three of last four games; they lost 42-13 at Alabama LW.
? Tigers scored 29+ points in their wins; 6-22-13 in losses.
? Auburn gave up 444+ total yards in three of last four games.
? Tigers have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Auburn has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tigers have a soph QB with 21 career starts.
? Auburn is 8-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.

? Road team won seven of last eight series games.
? Auburn won last three series games, by 15-4-8 points.
? Aggies won three of last four visits to the Plains.
? Underdogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last three series games.

Texas (5-3) @ Kansas State (4-5)
? Longhorns won three of their last four games.
? Six of their last seven games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
? Texas has 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? Longhorns have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Texas has a senior QB with 40 career starts.
? Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as road favorites.

? K-State lost its last four games, after a 4-1 start.
? Wildcats are minus-8 in turnovers in their last four games.
? Wildcats have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? K-State has only 2 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wildcats are using freshman backup QB who has six career starts; he?s thrown six TD passes, eight INT?s.
? K-State is 16-4 ATS in last 20 games as home underdogs.

? Texas won last three series games, by 3-5-6 points.
? Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in last six visits to the Little Apple.
? Underdogs are 10-4 ATS in last 14 series games.

Memphis (6-2) @ Tulane (5-5)
? Memphis won its last three games, scoring 33.3 ppg.
? Tigers are 5-0 if they score 34+ points, 1-2 if they don?t.
? Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tigers? senior QB has started 36 games.
? Memphis is 1-6-1 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.

? Tulane won three of last four games, after a 2-4 start.
? Green Wave allowed 24 or fewer points in wins, 38.8 ppg in losses.
? Green Wave has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Tulane has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 16 TD?s, 5 INT?s.
? Tulane is 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.

? Memphis won 12 of last 13 series games.
? Tigers are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Bourbon Street.

Arkansas (3-5) @ Missouri (4-3)
? Arkansas lost three of last four games; they?re 0-5 allowing more than 21 points.
? Razorbacks gained 437+ total yards in four of last six games.
? Razorbacks has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Arkansas has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Razorbacks has a senior QB with 32 career starts, 24 at Florida.
? Arkansas is 6-2 ATS this season, 3-1 on road.

? Missouri won four of last five games, after an 0-2 start.
? Tigers held three of last four opponents under 300 total yards.
? Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Missouri has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tigers have a junior QB with 13 career starts.
? Missouri is 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

? Missouri won last four series games, scoring 34.5 ppg.
? Razorbacks are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Columbia.
? Underdogs covered four of last six series games.

Sunday?s game
Washington State (1-1) @ USC (3-0)
? This is Wazzu?s first game in three weeks.
? WSU split its first two games, giving up 71 points.
? Wazzu allowed 1,032 TY in those two games.
? Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? WSU has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Coogs have a freshman QB with two starts; he is playing really well.
? Wazzu is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.

? USC won its first three games, scoring average of 31.7 ppg.
? Only one of Trojans? three wins was by more than 4 points.
? USC threw for 970 yards in their three wins.
? Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
? USC has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Trojans have a soph QB has started 14 games.
? USC is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

? USC won 10 of its last 12 games with Washington State.
? Coogs covered their last three visits to the Coliseum.

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 5

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PSU at RUTG 12:00 PM
RUTG +11.5
U 51.0

MEM at TULN 12:00 PM
O 63.5

RICE at MRSH 12:00 PM
RICE +21.0

OKST at TCU 12:00 PM
TCU +2.5

OSU at MSU 12:00 PM
MSU +21.5

NEB at PUR 12:00 PM
U 63.5

ARK at MIZZ 12:00 PM
O 53.5

TAM at AUB 12:00 PM
AUB +6.0

TEX at KSU 12:00 PM
O 51.0

KU at TTU 12:00 PM
TTU -25.5

TOL at NIU 12:00 PM
TOL -10.0

TROY at USA 02:00 PM
USA +4.0

BALL at CMU 02:00 PM
BALL -2.5

EMU at WMU 02:00 PM
WMU -13.5

BGSU at AKR 02:00 PM
AKR -3.0

SYR at ND 02:30 PM
SYR +34.5

ULM at ARST 03:00 PM
ARST -21.0

WVU at ISU 03:30 PM
O 47.5

TLSA at NAVY 03:30 PM
U 45.5

IND at WIS 03:30 PM
IND +13.5

IOWA at ILL 03:30 PM
O 52.5

FLA at TENN 03:30 PM
FLA -17.5
U 63.5

BC at UVA 03:30 PM
UVA -3.5

STAN at WASH 04:00 PM
WASH -10.5

GT at NCST 04:00 PM
O 59.5

BYU at CCU 05:30 PM
CCU +10.0
O 62.0

SJSU at HAW 06:00 PM
HAW +2.5
O 60.0

FAU at GASO 06:00 PM
GASO -1.5

 

[Cnotes53]

EVENING GAMES:

CSU at SDSU 07:00 PM
SDSU -7.0
U 46.5

ORE at CAL 07:00 PM
CAL +9.0
O 59.0

COLO at ARIZ 07:00 PM
COLO -8.5
U 58.0

SOCAR at UK 07:30 PM
UK -11.5

CLEM at VT 07:30 PM
CLEM -23.0

ALA at LSU 08:00 PM
LSU +29.0
U 64.5

BAY at OKLA 08:00 PM
OKLA -22.0
O 60.0

MIA at DUKE 08:00 PM
MIA -14.5

FRES at NEV 09:00 PM
NEV -6.5

ORST at UTAH 10:30 PM
UTAH -13.5

WYO at UNM 10:30 PM
U 52.5

UCLA at ASU 10:30 PM
UCLA +2.5
O 56.5

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail

Totals...........32-22-0.....59.25%....+39.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday?s 6-pack
Eight best months of the year:
8) November? Football/basketball overlap, Thanksgiving.
T5) June-August? All tied; baseball every day, great weather
4) October? Usually spend 10-11 days in Las Vegas.
3) May? Baseball, plus NBA/NHL playoffs. Weather gets better
2) September? Baseball/football overlap, weather still good.
1) March? College basketball everywhere, spring training on TV.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 281,121
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?You can shear a sheep many times, but skin him only once.?
Amarillo Slim

Sunday?s quiz
Troy Aikman finished his college career at UCLA; where did he start it?

Saturday?s quiz
Billie Jean King once played a judge on Law and Order.

Friday?s quiz
Baker Mayfield was Oklahoma?s QB for three years after starting his college career at Texas Tech.

****************************

Sunday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Coastal Carolina 22, BYU 17? This game was put together Thursday morning, after Liberty had to back out because of COVID issues. Was a fun game to watch; unsure how Chanticleers convinced McCall to come play QB for them, but he?s a hell of a player.

BYU completed a pass to the Coastal 1-yard line on last play of the game, but the receiver was stopped short of the goal line, much like Kevin Dyson in Super Bowl XXXIV for the Titans.

12) Indiana 14, Wisconsin 6:
? Indiana coach Tom Allen is the national Coach of the Year. Period.
? Hoosiers lost their QB for the year last week; they win here as a 13-point dog.
? Indiana is 6-1 for the first time since 1993.

11) Missouri 50, Arkansas 48:
? Arkansas scored TD with 0:43 left, got 2-point conversion, took a 48-47 lead.
? Missouri kicked a 32-yard FG at the gun for the win.
? Arlansas led 40-26 with 13:00 left in the game; Mizzou scored 27 points in 4th quarter.

10) Iowa State 42, West Virginia 6? Cyclones clinch their first-ever appearance in the Big X title game; not sure why a bigger $$$ school hasn?t scooped up coach Campbell.

9) TCU 29, Oklahoma State 22:
? TCU QB Duggan threw for 265 yards, ran for 104 more.
? Oklahoma State led 13-0 after first quarter, 16-7 at halftime.
? Horned Frogs won despite turning ball over five times (-4)

8) California 21, Oregon 17:
? Oregon?s loss makes standings in Pac-12 North a muddled mess.
? Three Cal coaches, including the head coach, are Oregon alums.

7) Upsets of the Week:
? Rice (+24) 20, Marshall 0
? Indiana (+13.5) 14, Wisconsin 6
? Eastern Michigan (+13.5) 53, Western Michigan 42
? Stanford (+12) 31, Washington 26
? Coastal Carolina (+10.5) 22, BYU 17
? California (+9) 21, Oregon 17

6) San Diego State 29, Colorado State 17? Aztecs are first college team in last five years to return a kick back for a TD and a punt back for a TD, both in same quarter.

5) Alabama 55, LSU 17:
? Crimson Tide led 45-14. At halftime.
? DeVonta Smith had 7 catches, 219 yards, three TD?s. At halftime.

4) Florida 31, Tennessee 19? Florida QB Trask has thrown 38 TD passes this season, only three INT?s, pretty impressive numbers.

3) SMU 66, Dayton 64? 4-0 Mustangs were down 10 early in second half; by Selection Sunday, this win will look better than it does now.

2) Kansas 65, North Dakota State 61? Kansas outscored the Bison 7-0 over final 3:57 to avoid a big upset. North Dakota State led 8-0 early, came up just a little bit short.

1) Iona 82, Hofstra 74? Rick Pitino gets his first win as coach of the Gaels.

 

[Cnotes53]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 6

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WKU at CHAR 12:00 PM
WKU +1.5
O 46.0

WSU at USC 07:30 PM
WSU +11.5
O 68.5

 

[Cnotes53]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail

Totals...........34-24-0.....58.62%....+38.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday?s 6-pack
Odds to win the college football playoff:
4-5? Alabama
3-1? Clemson
7-2? Ohio State
14-1? Notre Dame
30-1? Florida
60-1? Cincinnati, Texas A&M

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 281,854
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?My emotions right now, I can?t even think straight. I?m just trying to wrap my head around this whole thing on what just happened.?
Detroit Lions? coach Darrell Bevell

Monday?s quiz
Who was the Seahawks? coach the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Sunday?s quiz
Troy Aikman finished his college career at UCLA; he started it at Oklahoma.

Saturday?s quiz
Billie Jean King once played a judge on Law and Order.

*******************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

NJ Giants 17, Seattle 12
? Giants held Seattle without a TD until there was 6:09 left to play.
? Giants won their last four games, covered eight of last nine.
? Seven of Giants? last eight games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
? Big Blue ran ball for 190 yards; Gallman had 135 of those.

? Seattle is 3-4 in its last seven games, after a 5-0 start.
? Seahawks led 5-0 at halftime, blocking a punt for a safety.
? Teams combined to convert only 7-25 on third down.
? Seahawks are minus-6 in turnovers (3-9) their last five games.

Colts 26, Houston 20
? Houston had ball on 2-yard line with 1:30 left; a poor shotgun snap ended drive.
? Texans lost four of their six home games.
? Houston is 0-7 this year when they score fewer than 27 points.
? Under is 6-0 in Houston?s home games this year.

? Last three games, Colts allowed 83 first half points.
? Indy won four of its last five road games.
? Colts are 7-1 when they score 26+ points. 1-3 when they do not.
? Indy won four of its last five visits to Houston.

Lions 34, Chicago 30
? Detroit scored 14 points in last 2:18 for the unlikely win.
? Stafford was 27-42 passing, for 402 yards, three TD?s.
? Lions snap a 5-game losing streak to Chicago.
? Five of last six Lion games went over the total.

? Leading 30-27, Trubisky was sacked/fumbled on his own 10 with 1:49 left.
? Bears lost their last six games, after a 5-1 start.
? Chicago is 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite.
? Chicago has only four takeaways in its last six games (-7).

Miami 19, Bengals 7
? Boyd scored on a 72-yard TD pass in first quarter for first score of game.
? Boyd was later ejected after a scuffle; this was chippy game, five players got tossed.
? Cincinnati?s last 7 drives: 36 plays, 88 yards, zero points.
? Bengals lost last four games by a combined 94-43.

? Dolphins won/covered seven of their last eight games.
? Dolphins won/covered their last four home games.
? Miami allowed 17 or fewer points in six of eight wins; 21-31-31-20 in losses.
? Miami is 8-1-1 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.

Minnesota 27, Jaguars 24 OT
? Jacksonville led 16-6 after a pick-6 early in third quarter.
? Jaguars tied game 24-all with 1:08 left, after a 75-yard drive.
? Glennon is 48-77/501 passing in his first two Jaguar starts, but he threw critical INT in OT.
? Jaguars lost last 11 games, but covered four of last five.

? Vikings won five of six games, are currently #7 seed in NFC.
? Minnesota won field position by 10 yards, first time this year they won this stat.
? Vikings have one win this season by more than 8 points.
? Cook ran ball for 120 yards, caught six passes for 59 yards.

Raiders 31, NJ Jets 28
? Carr hit single-covered Ruggs on 46-yard TD pass with 0:05 left.
? Raiders are 5-2 SU on road, winning by 4-8-10-5-3 points.
? Raiders are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight games as road favorites.
? Waller caught 13 passes for 200 yards, two TD?s.

? Jets stopped Raiders on downs in red zone with 1:37 left, didn?t get first down to ice game.
? For long term success of Jets, they need to get #1 pick and parlay it into a bounty of draft picks (or trade Darnold for picks); only a very cynical person would suggest that Ruggs was single covered to give Las Vegas a shot at the win.
? Winless Jets are 4-8 ATS; they ran ball for 206 yards.
? Johnson ran ball for 104 yards, Adams ran it for 74 more.

Saints 21, Atlanta 16
? New Orleans won its last nine games, covering last five.
? Saints allowed two TD?s on opponents? last 44 drives.
? New Orleans won six of last seven games in this underrated rivalry.
? Last five Saint games stayed under the total.

? Falcons scored 13 points on four drives in red zone; no bueno.
? Atlanta had ball on Saints? 20 in last 2:00, turned it over on downs.
? Atlanta is 2-4-1 ATS in last seven games as home underdogs.
? Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.

Browns 41, Tennessee 35
? Browns in first half: six drives- five TD?s and a field goal.
? Mayfield is first Cleveland QB since 1951 to throw 4 TD?s in first half of a game.
? Cleveland won its last four games overall, by 3-5-2-6 points.
? Last five games, Browns outscored foes 68-26 in first half.

? Down 38-7 at half, Tennessee got within 41-35 with 0:28 left.
? 3rd down conversions: Browns 10-16, Titans 2-10.
? Over is 8-2-1 in Titans? last 11 games.
? Titans are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

Rams 38, Arizona 28
? Rams won last seven series games, scoring 34.3 ppg in last four.
? LA has outscored opponents 157-82 in second half of games.
? Rams converted 9-15 third down plays, had 30 first downs.
? Goff was 37-47 passing, for 351 yards.

? Arizona hit 59-yard TD pass on first series; rest of half, they ran 18 plays for 46 yards.
? Cardinals allowed 30.7 ppg in their last six games.
? Redbirds lost four of five games since their bye week.
? Arizona trailed at halftime in nine of its 12 games.

Green Bay 30, Eagles 16
? Eagles lost last four games, by 10-5-6-14, scoring 17-17-17-16 points.
? QB Hurts came off bench, was 5-12/109 passing, throwing a TD pass.
? Eagles are 3-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-8-1 if they allow more than 21.
? Reagor ran a punt back 73 yards for Philly?s second TD.

? Green Bay won four of its last five games, scoring 31-41-30 last three weeks.
? Packers sacked Wentz/Hurts seven times.
? Green Bay is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.
? First time in nine games Packers outscored their opponent in 2nd half.

New England 45, LA Chargers 0
? Patriots ran punt back for a TD, blocked FG for a TD.
? New England won field position by 28 yards; that doesn?t count the two TD?s.
? New England won four of its last five games overall.
? Underdogs covered last eight Patriot games.

? Chargers lost their last five games, giving up 32.6 ppg.
? Last three games, LA converted only 14-47 third down plays.
? Chargers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games.
? In their last nine games, Chargers gave up 27+ points every week.

Kansas City 22, Broncos 16
? Denver led this game 10-9 at halftime.
? Broncos lost five of last six games, giving up 32.8 ppg.
? Denver held Chiefs to four FG?s in four trips to red zone.
? Broncos ran ball for 179 yards, trying to keep their defense off field.

? KC didn?t score a TD until there was 1:06 left in third quarter.
? Tyreek Hill made a great catch for a TD in first half, but refs called it incomplete, and no one, not even Hill, realized he caught the ball, so call wasn?t challenged. Very strange play.
? Kansas City won its last 11 games vs Denver.
? Chiefs won their last six games overall, last four by total of 15 points.

Other scores from Sunday:
College football:
? USC 38, Washington State 13
? Western Kentucky 37, Charlotte 19

College hoop:
? Villanova 68, Texas 64
? West Virginia 80, Georgetown 71
? Georgia Tech 79, Kentucky 62? Wildcats are 1-3
? Xavier 77, Cincinnati 69
? Seton Hall 98, Penn State 92 OT
? San Diego State 65, Pepperdine 60

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 8

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF

Week 15

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Trend Report
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[Cnotes53]

Tech Trends - Week 15
Bruce Marshall

Week 15 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday Dec. 10 and concludes on Saturday, Dec. 12.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Thursday, Dec. 10

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at SOUTHERN MISS (CBSSN, 6:30 p.m.)
Even after Ga Southern loss, FAU 2-1 vs. line away TY for Taggart, now 7-2 vs. spread away from Boca Raton since LY.
USM has covered last two in 2020 but still 3-9 vs. line since late 2019.
Owls 6-1 ?under? this season, USM ?under? 5-1 last 6.

Tech Edge: FAU and ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

PITT at GEORGIA TECH (FSN, 7:00 p.m.)
Pitt on 8-2 ?over? run TY.
Panthers have won and covered last two in series, Tech on 12-5 over? run since early 2019.

Tech Edge: ?Over? and slight to Pitt, based on ?totals? and team trends.


Friday, Dec. 11

UTEP at NORTH TEXAS (ESPN3, 6:00 p.m.)
After loss to La Tech, UNT now on 6-20 spread skid since mid 2018.
Home team has covered last four in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to UTEP, based on team trends.

CHARLOTTE at MARSHALL (CBSSN, 5:30 p.m.)
49ers no covers last four (0-3-1) after WKU loss on Sunday.
Herd 7-1 SU, 5-3 vs. line TY (3-3 at home vs. line).

Tech Edge: Slight to Marshall, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at ARIZONA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Territorial Cup.
Sumlin on 4-12 spread skid since LY, though dog team has covered last four in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to ASU, based on team trends.

UTAH at COLORADO (FS1, 8:30 p.m.)
Karl Dorrell 4-0 SU and vs. line TY, while Whittingham 1-2 vs. line.
Utes have won and covered last four in series after CU covered first five after these schools joined the Pac in 2011.
Utes 7-2 vs. line last 9 as Pac-12 visitor.

Tech Edge: Slight to CU, based on current trends.

NEVADA vs. SAN JOSE STATE (CBSSN, 9:00 p.m.)
Pack 10-1 SU last 11 in series.
But Spartans on 14-4-1 spread run since late 2018.

Tech Edge: Slight to SJSU, based in recent trends.


Saturday, Dec. 12

WISCONSIN at IOWA (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)
Wiscy has won last four outright in series.
If Badgers a dog note 9-5 mark in role since 2015 for Chryst; if Iowa a dog 5-5-1 in role since 2017.

Tech Edge: Slight to Wiscy, based on series trends.

PURDUE at INDIANA (BTN, 3:30 p.m.)
Old Oaken Bucket!
Purdue no covers last 5 TY after 8-1 mark previous 9 vs. line.
IU 7-0 vs. line TY, and 14-3 last 16 vs. number since early 2019.
Boilermakers however have covered last 4 and 7 of last 9 Buckets.

Tech Edge: IU, based on recent trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at PENN STATE (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
MSU 7-16 vs. line last 23 on board since late 2018, 2-4 vs. points this year for Tucker.
James Franklin 2-5 vs. line TY and has dropped last 8 vs. spread at Beaver Stadium, though Nittany Lions now on 2-game win and cover streak.

Tech Edge: Slight to Penn State, based on team trends.

RUTGERS at MARYLAND (BTN, 12:00 p.m.)
Schiano 4-3 vs. line TY, though Terps have won and covered 4 of last 5 in series (all pre-Schiano).

Tech Edge: Slight to Rutgers, based on recent trends.

APP STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPN3, 6:00 p.m.)
App State 2-9 vs. line TY, 2-10 last 12 on board.
Also no covers last five on road for App State.
GSU has won last two meetings as dog in each.

Tech Edge: Georgia Southern, based on team and recent series trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)
WMU 4-1 SU, 3-2 vs. line TY.
Last four ?over? in series.
Ball 4-6 vs. line last nine since late 2019, and 1-4 vs. line last five in Muncie, though Cards have won their last four outright in 2020.
Ball has covered last two meetings after Broncos covered all four from 2014-17.

Tech Edge: Slight to Ball State and ?over,? based on recent and ?totals? trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at BOWLING GREEN (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
BGSU 4-12 vs. line since LY for Loeffler, Falcs also 1-3 SU and vs. line last four in series.
RedHawks 8-3 vs. spread last 11 since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: Miami-O, based on BGSU negatives.

AKRON at BUFFALO (CBSSN, 2:30 p.m.)
Akron 1-16 SU, 3-14 vs. line for Arth since LY but on one-game win streak!
Bulls 3-0-1 vs. line last four in series.
UB has covered last seven as host.

Tech Edge: Buffalo, based on team trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at EASTERN MICHIGAN (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
NIU 5-12 SU for Hammock since LY but better 9-8 vs. line.
Road team has covered last four meetings.
As good as Eagles have performed vs. spread on road, EMU only 2-8 vs. number last 10 at Ypsilanti.

Tech Edge: Slight to NIU, based on team and series trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at TOLEDO (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m.)
McElwain 13-6 vs. spread since arriving at CMU in 2019, and has covered 6 of last 7 as visitor.
Chips? pre-McElwain numbers not as relevant.
Rockets 3-2 SU and vs. line TY but on 3-8-1 spread skid since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: CMU, based on recent trends.

LSU at FLORIDA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Florida 9-1-1 vs. line last 11 at Swamp for Mullen since late 2018.
Orgeron 9-3 as dog since 2017 (1-2 TY).

Tech Edge: Florida, based on team trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at MIAMI-FLA (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
Home team has covered last 3 in series, and UNC 4-1 SU and vs. line last five meetings.

Tech Edge: UNC, based on team and series trends.

VIRGINIA at VIRGINIA TECH (ACCN, 8:00 p.m.)
Last year, UVa won this game for the first time since 2003.
Bronco Mendenhall has won last 4 SU and covered last 5 in 2020, Cavs also on 13-2 ?over? run.
VPI on 3-9 spread skid since late LY, also 8-4 ?over? last 12 since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Virginia and ?over,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)
Huskers just 5-12 vs. spread since 2019, 3-6 last nine at Lincoln.
Though home team has won and covered last four meetings.
Gophers 12-6 ?over? since last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Nebraska and ?over,? based on series and ?totals? trends.

ILLINOIS at NORTHWESTERN (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)
Illini only 1-4 SU and vs. line last 5 in series.
Cats 6-1-2 vs. spread last nine since late 2019, also on 18-8 ?under? run since mid 2018.

Tech Edge: NU and ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

FRESNO STATE at NEW MEXICO (at Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas) (FS2, 10:30 p.m.)
Lobos finally got first SU win of 2020 last week but still just 7-16 vs. spread since late 2018.
Bulldogs have won and covered last five meetings.

Tech Edge: Fresno State, based on recent trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at BYU (ESPN2, 10:00 p.m.)
This was once a very heated series in the old WAC days.
Aztecs did win 13-3 LY when Cougs were on 5-game spread skid to end season.
But Cougs 9-1 SU, 7-2-1 vs. line TY.
Aztecs also on 24-9 ?under? run since early 2018.

Tech Edge: BYU and ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

NAVY at ARMY (CBS, 3:00 p.m.)
No neutral site this year!
Army had won three in a row before Mids got West Point 31-7 LY.
?Under? series deluxe...14 straight!

Tech Edge: ?Under,? based on ?totals? trends.

USC at UCLA (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
Bruins have covered 4 in a row in 2020, and are 5-3 vs. line last 8 against Trojans.
UCLA 2-0 SU and vs. line at home in 2020.
Clay Helton 6-11 vs. spread last 17 away from Coliseum.

Tech Edge: UCLA, based on recent trends.

WASHINGTON at OREGON (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)
Not long ago, Huskies were on a 12-game series losing streak before winning in 2016-17, but Ducks have bounced back with exciting wins past two years.
Huskies just 4-7 vs. line last 11 as Pac-12 visitor.
Ducks on 9-3-1 ?over? run since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Oregon and ?over,? based on series and ?totals? trends.

CAL at WASHINGTON STATE (FS1, 10:30 p.m.)
Cal has covered last 3 meetings, though Bears are just SU 1-3 in 2020.
Into SC last Sunday night, WSU only 5-12 last 17 on board (1-1 for Rolovich).

Tech Edge: Slight to Cal, based on series trends.

UAB at RICE (ESPN3, 1:00 p.m.)
No sight of UAB lately, Blazers just 2-5 vs. line TY for Clark, who had been a spread overachiever prior.
Though UAB has won and covered handily last three years vs. Owls.

Tech Edge: Slight to UAB, based on series trends.

WAKE FOREST at LOUISVILLE (ACCN, 12:00 p.m.)
Clawson has covered last 5 and 6 of 7 this season.
If getting points, note Deacs 6-2 last 8 as dog.
Last four meetings way ?over? in series, and ?Ville 11-4 ?over? run.

Tech Edge: Wake Forest especially if go, and ?over? based on team and ?totals? trends.

DUKE at FLORIDA STATE (ACCN, 4:00 p.m.)
FSU 2-6 vs. line TY, 5-11 last 16 as chalk.
Noles 15-29-2 overall vs. line since 2017.
Cutcliffe on 16-8 ?over? run since late 2018.
Cutcliffe just 2-4 as dog TY and 4-8-1 in role since LY, but was 25-12-1 from 2013-18 as dog.

Tech Edge: Slight to Duke and ?over,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

OKLAHOMA at WEST VIRGINIA (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)
Sooners hot with 6-0 SU and 5-1 spread mark last six TY.
WVU, however, is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 vs. line at home in 2020.
Sooners 6-0 SU, 5-0-1 vs. line last six in series, now 8-0 SU vs. Mounties since WVU entered Big 12.

Tech Edge: Slight to OU, based on team trends.

COASTAL CAROLINA at TROY (ESPN+, 3:00 p.m.)
Troy 8-14 vs. line since LY for Chip Lindsey, also 8-3-1 ?under? since late 2019.
Chants 10-0 SU, 8-1-1 vs. line TY, 4-0 vs. line away.

Tech Edge: Coastal Carolina, based on recent trends.

STANFORD at OREGON STATE (ESPNU, 10:30 p.m.)
Stanford 1-3 vs. line TY, 4-12 since last season.
Meanwhile, OSU on 13-3 spread uptick its last 16 games.

Tech Edge: OSU, based on recent trends.

TEXAS at KANSAS (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)
Tom Herman just 2-5-1 last eight on board this season, but KU 1-7-1 vs. line in 2020.

Tech Edge: Slight to Texas, based on team trends.

HOUSTON at MEMPHIS (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Tigers 1-8 vs. line TY, now on 1-11 spread skid since late 2019.
Though five straight series covers for Memphis.
Holgorsen 0-3 as dog in 2020.

Tech Edge: Slight to Houston, based on recent trends.

BOISE STATE at WYOMING (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)
Bohl has covered 4 of last 5 in series, and Wyo 9-4 last 13 as Laramie dog.
Broncos just 3-5 vs. spread last 8 away.

Tech Edge: Wyo, based on team and series trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at BAYLOR (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m.)
No covers last 5 TY for OSU after Gundy was on 13-4 spread run prior.
Bears, however, 2-4-1 last six vs. line TY, though 7-2-1 as dog since LY (2-1-1 TY for Aranda).
Baylor has won and covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
OSU 10-3 ?under? run.

Tech Edge: ?Under? and slight to Baylor, based on ?totals? and series trends.

LOUISIANA TECH at TCU (FS1, 7:00 p.m.)
After UNT win, Skip Holtz 3-2 as dog TY, 22-10-1 in role since arriving at Ruston in 2014.
TCU 6-16-1 as home chalk since 2016.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at COLORADO STATE (CBSSN, 9:30 p.m.)
After Air Force loss, Utags now 1-5 SU and vs. spread TY, and 5-11 last 16 on board since early 2019.
CSU has covered last 4 in series.

Tech Edge: CSU, based on team and series trends.

UNLV at HAWAII (11:00 p.m.)
Rebs 0-5 SU and vs. line in 2019 (counts SJSU as loss), now 1-5 vs. spread last six on MW road.
UH has covered 2 of 4 at home this season as the poor Honolulu marks dating to the Norm Chow years minimized.

Tech Edge: Hawaii, based on recent trends.

AUBURN at MISSISSIPPI STATE (SECN, 7:30 p.m.)
Leach has now covered 2 in a row after dropping five straight vs. line, and 5-16 spread mark in previous 21 dating back to 2018 at WSU.
Malzahn, however, has won and covered 3 of last 4 vs. MSU.
Tigers just 1-4 vs. line last 5 away from Jordan-Hare.

Tech Edge: ?Under,? based on ?totals? trends.

 

[Cnotes53]

Ole Miss at Texas A&M postponed


Michigan vs Ohio St canceled


Cincinnati vs. Tulsa will not be played

Marshall vs. Charlotte canceled


Purdue at Indiana canceled


Ohio at Kent State canceled

 

[Cnotes53]

College Football Odds Week 15: Opening Lines and Sharp Money
Patrick Everson

Miami QB D'Eriq King leads 8-1 Miami into an ACC showdown with No. 17 UNC this weekend. Despite being the No. 10-ranked team in the country, North Carolina is taking 58 percent of early bets and 74 percent of early cash.

College football odds for Week 15 are up and drawing dollars, as this COVID-wracked regular season draws closer to the finish line. Among the noteworthy games, unbeaten Cincinnati faces a key clash against Tulsa, while Michigan-Ohio State has been canceled due to COVID.

(1) Alabama at Arkansas Odds
Opening line
Arkansas +31.5, Over/Under 68.5

Why the line moved
Another game, another massive point spread in favor of the Crimson Tide. Alabama opened -31.5 at FanDuel on Monday afternoon, and the number is still there Monday night on what is surely light action, with 94 percent of tickets and 98 percent of money on the Crimson Tide. The total is stable at 68.5, with ticket count split 50/50 and 95 percent of early cash on the Under.

(11) Oklahoma at West Virginia Odds
Opening line
West Virginia +10.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved
The Sooners are already up to -13.5 Monday night at FanDuel, with 90 percent of early tickets and practically every early dollar on the spread going to Oklahoma. The total is down a point to 57.5, with 62 percent of bets on the Over, but 67 percent of money on the Under.

(7) Cincinnati at (24) Tulsa Odds
Opening line
Tulsa +12.5, Over/Under 44.5

Why the line moved
Cincinnati (8-0 SU) aims to maintain its perfect record against a 6-1 Tulsa outfit. This line initially moved down to Bearcats -10.5 at FanDuel, popped back to -12.5 and is at -11.5 Monday night, with 72 percent of tickets and 64 percent of money on Cincy. The total quickly jumped three points to 47.5 and is now 46.5, but the betting splits are quite disparate, with 89 percent of tickets on the Over, but 75 percent of money on the Under.

(16) Wisconsin at (19) Iowa Odds
Opening line
Iowa -2.5, Over/Under 44.5

Why the line moved
FanDuel made the Hawkeyes short home favorites, and those 2.5 points evaporated quickly, as this game is down to pick 'em Monday night. And that's despite 72 percent of tickets and 65 percent of money going to Iowa. The total is down to 43.5, with 88 percent of bets and almost every dollar so far on the Under.

Michigan at (4) Ohio State Odds
Opening line
Ohio State -29.5, Over/Under 66.5

Why the line moved
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: As announced earlier today, Michigan-Ohio State was canceled due to continuing COVID issues within the Wolverines' program. That puts a dent in the Buckeyes' College Football Playoff hopes. Ohio State has played only five games and has no more on the schedule for the moment, leaving the Buckeyes a game short of the six-game minimum set by the Big Ten to to be eligible for the league title game.

Michigan lost its last eight meetings against archrival Ohio State, and the past two years, the Wolverines have been the proverbial one-legged man in a butt-kicking contest, losing 62-39 in 2018 and 56-27 in 2019. This year's Michigan squad is apparently far worse, as the point spread indicates.

The initial move at FanDuel was up a point to Buckeyes -30.5, but the line is -28.5 Monday night, with tickets and money in the 3/1 range on Ohio State. The total moved from 66.5 to 67.5, with 55 percent of tickets and 83 percent of money on the Over.

LSU at (6) Florida Odds
Opening line
Florida -22.5, Over/Under 67.5

Why the line moved
Louisiana State is having a train wreck of a season as the defending national champion, and it looks as if more derailment is likely Saturday in Gainesville. Florida is already up two points to -24.5 at FanDuel on Monday night, although the betting splits are kind of interesting: the Tigers are drawing 55 percent of tickets, while the Gators are attracting 64 percent of the money.

The total is up a point to 68.5 at FanDuel, with ticket count 2/1 and money approaching 9/1 on the Over.

(17) North Carolina at (10) Miami Odds
Opening line
Miami -4.5, Over/Under 64.5

Why the line moved
This line has bounced around through Monday night, dipping to Miami -2.5, then rebounding to -3.5 at FanDuel, where North Carolina is taking 58 percent of early bets and 74 percent of early cash. The total is up to 66.5 from 64.5, with 94 percent of bets and 67 percent of dollars on the Over.

Navy at Army Odds
Opening line
Army -5.5, Over/Under 41.5

Why the line moved
The Black Knights are up to -6.5 Monday night at FanDuel, where Army is collecting 81 percent of tickets and 96 percent of money on the spread. The total opened at just 41.5, yet is already down three points to 38.5, with 93 percent of bets/96 percent of cash on the Under.

(20) USC at UCLA Odds
Opening line
UCLA +3.5, Over/Under 62.5

Why the line moved
Southern Cal opened -3.5 at FanDuel and is down a point to -2.5 Monday night for this crosstown rivalry clash, although tickets and money are both about 2/1 on the Trojans. The total also dipped a point to 61.5 on interesting splits: ticket count is 2/1 on the Over, but money is about 3/1 on the Under.


(22) Washington at (23) Oregon Odds
Opening line
Oregon -5.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
This line has been on the move early at FanDuel, as well, with the Ducks initially dipping to -3.5, then moving up to -4.5. Tickets are running 2/1 and money 3/1 on Oregon through Monday night. The total inched up to 55.5, but betting splits aren't yet available.