THE CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2020-2021 SEASON NEWS,TRENDS, PICKS !

Cnotes53

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Friday, Dec. 18

UAB at Marshall (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Conference USA Title Game

John C Edwards Stadium, Huntington, West Virginia
After recent overachieving vs. the line, UAB tailed off in 2020, just 2-6 vs. spread
Blazers also no covers in their last five

Tech Edge: Slight to Marshall, based on recent trends.

Ball State at Buffalo (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
MAC Championship

Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Buffalo covered 4 of 5 while recording an unbeaten 5-0 SU mark this season
Upping head coach Lance Leipold?s spread mark to 30-13-3 the last three+ seasons

Tech Edge: Buffalo, based on team trends.

Oregon at USC (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Pac-12 Championship
L.A. Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
Ducks no covers last three in 2020
USC 3-0 last three games vs. the spread
Trojans ?under? 4-1 this season

Tech Edge: Slight to USC and ?under,? based on recent team and ?totals? trends

Nebraska at Rutgers (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
Scarlet Knights an improved 5-3 vs. line this season in head coach Greg Schiano debut.
Huskers 6-13-1 vs. line for Frost since last season

Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on team trends.
 

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UAB at (21) Marshall Odds
Opening line
Marshall -5.5, Over/Under 41.5


Why the line moved
FanDuel opened the Thundering Herd 5.5-point home favorites in the Conference USA championship game, and the number is still Marshall -5.5 Monday night. Marshall is taking 86 percent of early tickets and 74 percent of early money. The total bounced from 41.5 to 42.5 and back to 41.5, but FanDuel's betting splits aren't yet available.

Ball State vs Buffalo Odds
Opening line
Buffalo -11.5, Over/Under 66.5


Why the line moved
Buffalo is already up two points Monday night at Fanduel, sitting at -13.5 for the Mid-American Conference title game at Detroit's Ford Field. The Bulls are drawing 86 percent of tickets and 97 percent of money. The total is steady at 66.5, though practically all the tickets and dollars through Monday night are on the Over.

(23) Oregon at (13) USC Odds
Opening line
Southern Cal -3.5, Over/Under 62.5


Why the line moved
Oregon is a substitute invitee to Friday night's Pac-12 championship game, after Washington had to withdraw Monday due to COVID issues within the program. Host USC opened -3.5 and remains there late Monday evening on some interesting early betting splits: 78 percent of tickets are on the Trojans, while 79 percent of money is on the Ducks.

The total is down a point to 61.5, though the early splits don't reflect that, with 87 percent of tickets and pretty much every dollar on the Over.
 

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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 18

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


UAB at MRSH 07:00 PM
MRSH -4.5
U 42.5

NEB at RUTG 07:30 PM
RUTG +7.0
O 54.0


BALL at BUFF 07:30 PM
BUFF -13.5 *****
U 67.5


ORE at USC 08:00 PM
USC -3.0
O 63.0
 

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/18/2020 2-5-1 31.25% -1750
12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail
12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail


Totals...........54-43-2.....55.67%....+33.50
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 19

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NW at OSU 12:00 PM
NW +18.0
U 56.0


TAM at TENN 12:00 PM
TAM -13.5
U 51.0

OKLA at ISU 12:00 PM
ISU +6.0
O 58.5


WSU at UTAH 01:30 PM
WSU +10.5
U 55.5


AFA at ARMY 03:00 PM
ARMY +2.5
U 38.0


MISS at LSU 03:30 PM
LSU +1.0
U 74.0


MIZZ at MSST 03:30 PM
MIZZ -1.0
U 49.5

MINN at WIS 04:00 PM
WIS -12.5
U 46.5


CLEM at ND 04:00 PM
ND +10.0
O 59.5

BSU at SJSU 04:15 PM
SJSU +6.5
O 56.5


ILL at PSU 05:30 PM
PSU -15.5
U 53.0


STAN at UCLA 07:00 PM
UCLA -6.5
U 59.0


TLSA at CIN 08:00 PM
CIN -14.0
O 44.5


ALA at FLA 08:00 PM
ALA -17.0
O 74.0


ASU at ORST 10:30 PM
ORST +7.0
O 54.5
 

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Monday?s 6-pack
Interesting Week 16 NFL spreads:
? Minnesota @ New Orleans (-7.5)
? Tampa Bay (-8) @ Detroit
? San Francisco @ Arizona (-3.5)
? Miami (-2.5) @ Las Vegas
? Denver @ LA Chargers (-3)
? Cleveland (-10) @ NJ Jets

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 316,013
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
?This is one of those disappointing wins the way that we played in the second half. So I have a sour taste in my mouth how we played in the second half. We?ve got to get back to the drawing board. That kind of football is not going to beat a lot of teams.?
Aaron Rodgers

Monday?s quiz
When was the last time an NFL team made the playoffs with a losing record?

Sunday?s quiz
Florida State was the last football team other than Clemson to win the ACC title, in 2014.

Saturday?s quiz
Alvin Gentry was coach of the Phoenix Suns last time they made the playoffs, in 2010.

*****************************

Monday?s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

Indianapolis 27, Texans 20:
? WR Coutee fumbled on Colts? 1-yard line in last minute.
? Texans in red zone: 4 drives, 13 points. Indy: 4 drives, 24 points.
? Houston is 0-9 this year when they score fewer than 27 points.
? Texans? last five drives: 50 plays, 363 yards, 2 TDs, 2 FGs, one fumble.

? Colts won seven of their last nine games overall.
? Indy/Tennessee are tied for first in AFC South.
? Indianapolis won seven of last nine series games.
? Last five games, Colts outscored opponents 92-33 in 2nd half.

Tennessee 46, Lions 25:
? Lions are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games.
? Detroit allowed 27+ points in seven of its last eight games.
? Detroit scored 27.0 ppg the last four weeks.
? Six of last eight Lion games went over the total.

? Titans converted nine of 11 third down plays.
? Tennessee won four of last five games, is tied for first in AFC South.
? First three drives: 21 plays, 243 yards, three TD?s.
? Last three drives: 25 plays, 160 yards, three TD?s.

Buccaneers 31, Atlanta 27
? Buccaneers trailed this game 17-0 at halftime.
? Bucs? first three drives in third quarter: 22 plays, 231 yards, three TD?s.
? Last five games, Bucs converted 29-60 third down plays.
? Bucs won last four road games, scoring 37.0 ppg.

? Falcons lost four of their last five games.
? Atlanta lost six of its eight home games.
? Atlanta led seven of its last nine games at halftime.
? Falcons? last five drives: 19 plays, 33 yards, 3 points.

Miami 22, Patriots 12:
? New England misses playoffs for first time since 2008.
? Last two Patriot games: no TD?s, five FG?s on 19 drives.
? New England lost five of its last seven visits to Miami.
? Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games.

? Dolphins won eight of their last ten games.
? Dolphins covered nine of their last ten games.
? Miami is 9-1-2 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
? Dolphins have 16 takeaways in last seven games (+9)

Seahawks 20, Washington 15:
? Seattle won four of its last five games overall.
? Seahawks take over first place in NFC West.
? Last five games, Seahawks outscored foes 71-21 in first half.
? Last six Seattle games stayed under the total.
? Seahawks won field position by ten yards.

? Backup QB Haskins was 38-55/295 passing; he is 3-9 as an NFL starter.
? Loss snaps Washington?s four-game win streak.
? Washington outscored last seven opponents 120-37 in second half.
? Washington converted 10-17 third down plays, outgained Seattle 353-302.

Bears 33, Minnesota 27
? Bears ran for 199 yards, scored seven of nine times they had ball.
? Last four games, Chicago scored 31.0 ppg.
? Bears won field position by 13 yards in this game.
? Bears won five of their last six games with Minnesota.

? Vikings split last four games, giving up 27 ppg.
? Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last four games.
? Vikings won field position in only one game so far this year (1-12-1)
? Minnesota is 1-6 ATS as a home favorite TY.
? Seven of eight Viking home games went over the total.

Baltimore 40, Jaguars 14
? Jaguars lost their last 13 games; they?re now in line for #1 pick in draft.
? Last four weeks, Jacksonville gave up 190 rushing yards/game.
? On first series, Jaguars picked off pass on 1-yard line, then gave up a safety on offense.
? Jacksonville in first half: 5 drives, 61 yards, outscored 2-0 by Ravens? defense.

? Baltimore won last three games, scoring 34-47-40 points.
? On their first eight drives, Ravens scored 5 TD?s, tried 2 FG?s.
? Ravens lost field position in only one game this season.
? Over is 4-1 in Baltimore?s last five games.

Arizona 33, Eagles 26:
? Eagles lost five of last six games; they?re 1-6 SU on road.
? Philly is 2-7-1 SU outside their division.
? Eagles are 4-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-9-1 if they allow more than 21.
? Eagles trailed 16-0 after first quarter, would?ve led had they not failed on 2-point plays when it was 26-20/26-26.

? Cardinals drove 86 yards for game-winning TD with 7:17 left.
? Arizona has a one-game lead for the #7-seed (last playoff spot)
? Murray threw ball for 406 yards, three TD?s.
? Hopkins caught nine passes for 169 yards.

NJ Jets 23, Rams 20
? Jets scored TD on first drive of each half.
? Jets scored on first drive in their last eight games, best in NFL.
? Jets blocked punt in 2nd quarter, started drives on LA?s 27/22-yard line.
? Third down conversions: Jets 7-17, Rams 2-11.

? Rams fall out of first place in NFC West.
? LA?s first six series: 23 plays, 68 yards, zero points.
? Rams lost three of four games vs AFC East this year.
? LA had only two plays that gained 20+ yards.

Chiefs 32, New Orleans 29:
? Chiefs won their last nine games, are 0-5-1 ATS in last six.
? Kansas City won all eight of its road games this year (3-4-1 ATS)
? Chiefs outgained Saints 411-285; they had 34 first downs, Saints 15.
? Last six games, Kansas City allowed 26.3 ppg.

? New Orleans lost its last two games, both by 3 points.
? Saints ran only 52 plays; Chiefs ran 92 plays.
? Third down conversions: Chiefs 9-18, Saints 1-11.
? Saints scored only once on seven first half drives.

Dallas 41, 49ers 33:
? 49ers lost six of their last seven games SU.
? SF is 5-16 SU in last 21 games Garoppolo didn?t play.
? Last seven games, SF was outscored 101-55 in first half.
? 49ers are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games as a favorite away from home.

? Dallas was outgained 458-291, but was +4 in turnovers.
? Cowboys won field position by 17 yards.
? Dallas was leading at halftime in five of last seven games.
? Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.
 

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267NORTH TEXAS -268 APPALACHIAN ST
NORTH TEXAS are 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after playing a game at home in the last 3 seasons.

269TULANE -270 NEVADA
TULANE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a conference game in the current season.

271UCF -272 BYU
UCF is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored in the last 3 seasons.

273GA SOUTHERN -274 LOUISIANA TECH
LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after a bye week in the last 3 seasons.

275FLA ATLANTIC -276 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as an favorite of 3.5-10 since 1992.

277HAWAII -278 HOUSTON
HAWAII is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) vs. good offenses (>31 PPG) since 1992.

287W KENTUCKY -288 GEORGIA ST
W KENTUCKY is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
 

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NCAAF
Long Sheet


Monday, December 21

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NORTH TEXAS (4 - 5) vs. APPALACHIAN ST (8 - 3) - 12/21/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, December 22

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TULANE (6 - 5) vs. NEVADA (6 - 2) - 12/22/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCF (6 - 3) vs. BYU (10 - 1) - 12/22/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, December 23

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GA SOUTHERN (7 - 5) vs. LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 4) - 12/23/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 3) vs. MEMPHIS (7 - 3) - 12/23/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, December 24

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HAWAII (4 - 4) vs. HOUSTON (3 - 4) - 12/24/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
HAWAII is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 26

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W KENTUCKY (5 - 6) vs. GEORGIA ST (5 - 4) - 12/26/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
W KENTUCKY is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAF

Week 17


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, December 21

Appalachian State @ North Texas
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Appalachian State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
North Texas
North Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
North Texas is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 games


Tuesday, December 22

Tulane @ Nevada
Tulane
Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nevada
Nevada is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games

Central Florida @ Brigham Young
Central Florida
Central Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Florida's last 10 games
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games


Wednesday, December 23

Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Louisiana Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Georgia Southern
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games
Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Memphis @ Florida Atlantic
Memphis
Memphis is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games on the road
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games at home


Thursday, December 24

Hawaii @ Houston
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games
Hawaii is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games


Saturday, December 26

Western Kentucky @ Georgia State
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia State's last 10 games
Georgia State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 17


attachment.php
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17


Bowl Games

Myrtle Beach Bowl
Appalachian State vs North Texas

Appalachian State (8-3)
? App State won seven of its last nine games.
? ASU was minus-6 in turnovers in its three losses, +6 in its wins.
? App State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? ASU has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
? App State has a senior QB with 37 career starts.
? ASU is 1-4 ATS this year as a double digit favorite.
? App State won its last five bowls, scoring 31+ points in all five.

North Texas (4-5)
? North Texas allowed 31+ points in eight of its nine games.
? Mean Green allowed 200+ rushing yards in six of last eight games.
? North Texas has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
? Mean Green has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
? North Texas has a soph QB with 9 career starts.
? Mean Green are 4-5 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.
? North Texas lost last three bowls, giving up 46.7 ppg.
 

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/19/2020 13-16-1 45.00% -2300 Detail
12/18/2020 2-5-1 31.25% -1750
12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail

12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail


Totals...........67-59-3.....53.17%....+10.50
 

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 22

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TULN at NEV 03:30 PM
TULN -2.5
U 57.5


UCF at BYU 07:00 PM
BYU -6.0
O 76.0
 
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Tuesday, December 22

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TULANE (6 - 5) vs. NEVADA (6 - 2) - 12/22/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCF (6 - 3) vs. BYU (10 - 1) - 12/22/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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Tuesday, December 22

Tulane @ Nevada
Tulane
Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Nevada
Nevada is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games

Central Florida @ Brigham Young
Central Florida
Central Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Central Florida's last 10 games

Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games


***************************************

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Games


Dec 22

Idaho Potato Bowl, Boise
Tulane (6-5) vs Nevada (6-2)

? Tulane won four of last five games, after a 2-4 start.
? Green Wave allowed 24 or fewer points in wins, 38.8 ppg in losses.
? Green Wave has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Tulane has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 18 TD?s, 5 INT?s.
? Tulane is 5-3 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
? Tulane won four of last five bowls, winning 41-24/30-13 last two years.

? Nevada lost two of last three games after a 5-0 start.
? Wolf Pack allowed 30-34 points in its losses, 21.5 ppg in wins.
? Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Nevada?s soph QB has 18 career starts.
? Wolf Pack is 2-2 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
? Nevada is 2-3 in its last five bowls; this is their 3rd straight bowl.
? Nevada lost 30-21 to Ohio U in this bowl last year.

Boca Raton Bowl
Central Florida (6-3) vs BYU (10-1)

? Central Florida won four of last five games, after a 2-2 start.
? UCF gained 455+ yards in seven of their nine games.
? Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? UCF has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Knights have a sophomore QB with 21 career starts.
? UCF is 3-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
? Knights are 2-3 in last five bowls; average total in last three, 68.7.

? BYU had its first loss of year December 5, at Coastal Carolina.
? Eight of BYU?s ten wins are by 17+ points.
? Cougars beat Navy (55-3), Houston (43-26) of AAC.
? Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cougars have a junior QB with 28 career starts.
? BYU is 3-0 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
? BYU is 2-3 in its last five bowls; this is their 3rd straight bowl.
 

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/22/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/19/2020 13-16-1 45.00% -2300 Detail
12/18/2020 2-5-1 31.25% -1750
12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail

12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail


Totals...........68-62-3.....52.30%....-1.00
 

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Wednesday?s 6-pack
Over/under NBA win totals (72-game season):

? Portland Trailblazers 40.5
? Sacramento Kings 28.5
? San Antonio Spurs 28.5
? Toronto Raptors 41.5
? Utah Jazz 41.5
? Washington Wizards 29.5

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 321,968
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?What we?re really proud of is the first name of our team, which is Cleveland. Regardless of how we felt about it, what was important was how other people who it was affecting felt about it. I don?t think anybody was ever trying to be disrespectful. But that wasn?t a good enough answer anymore.?
Cleveland Indians manager Terry Francona, on the team switching mascots

Wednesday?s quiz
When was last time a team won back-to-back NBA titles?

Tuesday?s quiz
In the baseball movie For Love of the Game, where Kevin Costner is a pitcher for the Tigers, John C. Reilly plays the Tigers? catcher.

Monday?s quiz
2015 was the last time an NFL team made the playoffs with a losing record; Carolina Panthers won the NFC South, with a 7-8-1 record.

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Wednesday?s Den: Mid-week musings??.

13) Much like the 49ers did in September, Cleveland Browns are playing back/back games in the Meadowlands, playing the Jets this week after beating the Giants last week.

12) Speaking of the 49ers, San Francisco QB Nick Mullens may need Tommy John surgery on his elbow; the 49ers added QB Josh Rosen to their roster, plucking him off Tampa Bay?s practice squad. He will back up CJ Beathard for the 49ers? last two games.

11) Monday night was first time since 1986 the Steelers didn?t have any first downs in their first five series of a game- they had only two first downs the whole first half.

10) NBA teams have skill development coaches who work with players on improving shooting, passing, all kinds of skills; it makes a huge difference. Take Kawhi Leonard.

In two years at San Diego State, Leonard shot 20.5%/29.1% behind the arc; he shot 49.7% inside the arc in two years as an Aztec. He was the 15th pick in the 2001 pick. Go figure.

In the NBA, Leonard is a 38.3% shooter behind the arc, a longer shot than in college and he is a 53.3% shooter inside the arc. San Antonio had a shooting coach named Chip Engelland- he played for Duke- who worked wonders with Leonard and helped make him really, really rich.

9) NC State 79, North Carolina 76:
? State beat Carolina for only 4th time in last 30 series games.
? Wolfpack led 46-29 in first half.
? State?s freshman G Moore scored 17 points off the bench.

8) Texas Tech 69, Oklahoma 67:
? Tech?s first two Big X games (1-1) were decided by total of three points.
? Oklahoma was 17-27 on the foul line, Tech 9-10.

7) Kansas 79, West Virginia 65:
? Jayhawks were 16-37 behind the arc; they?ve won their last eight games.

6) Iowa 70, Purdue 55:
? Hawkeyes bounce back from their Gonzaga loss with strong effort here.
? Iowa was 10-14 on foul line, Purdue 1-3.

5) Wichita State 82, South Florida 77 OT
? Shockers win first two AAC games, by 5-4 points.
? USF jumped out to a 27-14 lead.
? Lot of whistles: Bulls were 27-41 on foul line; Wichita 22-33.

4) Former big league OF Sam Fuld was named general manager of the Phillies; Fuld played in the majors as recently as 2015. 39 years old is young to be a major league GM, but the guy who will make the final decisions in Philly is Dave Dombrowski.

3) College football coaches lead a nomadic existence; LSU had a lousy year, so they?re shuffling lot of their coaches. Same thing at Michigan, where they fired their defensive coordinator, who had been there five years, which is a long time for a college assistant.

2) Nevada 38, Tulane 27:
? Nevada QB Strong threw for 271 yards, five TD?s.
? Wolf Pack had two guys run for 100+ yards each.

1) BYU 49, Central Florida 23:
? Cougars rang up 655 yards, led 35-10 at halftime.
? BYU QB Wilson threw for 425 yards, three TD?s.
 

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GA SOUTHERN (7 - 5) vs. LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 4) - 12/23/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 3) vs. MEMPHIS (7 - 3) - 12/23/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, December 23

Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern

Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Louisiana Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Georgia Southern
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games
Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Memphis @ Florida Atlantic
Memphis
Memphis is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games on the road

Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games at home

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LOUISIANA TECH vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Skip Holtz remarkable bowl mark, 6-0 SU with La Tech, and has won seven in a row outright dating to USF tenure.
Skip 2-3 as dog in 2020 but entering this season was 19-8-1 in role with Bulldogs.
GSU no covers last two bowls, also just 2-6 vs. spread last 8 away from Statesboro.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team and bowl trends.

MEMPHIS vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Memphis no covers last six as chalk vs. FBS opposition.
Tigers are 2-10 vs. spread last 12 vs. FBS foes.
Also 0-5 SU and vs. line last five bowls.
FAU remarkably 4-0 SU and vs. line all-time in bowls (Schnellenberger 2007-08, Lane Kiffin 2017 & ?19).
Though Willie Taggart surprisingly yet to covers in a bowl (0-2 with USF; also left WKU & Oregon before bowl dates in 2012 & ?17, respectively).
Owls no covers last three in 2020 though were 1-0 as dog (Kiffin 2-1 as dog LY).

Tech Edge: FAU, based on bowl and team trends.


------------------------------------


NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Games


Dec 23

New Orleans Bowl
Louisiana Tech (5-4) vs Georgia Southern (7-5)

? Tech is 4-0 when it scores 31+ points, 1-4 when it does not.
? Bulldogs gave up 330+ rushing yards in two of last three games.
? Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 2 starters back on defense.
? Bulldogs have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tech has a senior QB with 26 career starts.
? Bulldogs are 2-3 ATS this season as an underdog.
? Tech won its last five bowls, allowing total of 24 points in last three.

? Eagles want to run ball; they ran for 200+ yards in 9 of 12 games.
? Georgia Southern lost three of its last four games.
? Eagles have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
? Bulldogs have 90 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tech has a senior QB with 46 career starts.
? Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS this year in games with single digit spread.
? Georgia Southern won two of its three bowl games.

Montgomery Bowl
Memphis (7-3) Florida Atlantic (5-3)

? Memphis won four of its last five games.
? Tigers are 5-0 if they score 34+ points, 2-3 if they don?t.
? Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tigers? senior QB has started 38 games.
? Memphis is 1-4 ATS this season as a favorite.
? Memphis lost its last five bowls, giving up 38.4 ppg.

? FAU lost its last two games, 20-3/45-31, after a 5-1 start.
? Owls gave up 574 rushing yards in their last two games.
? FAU is allowing only 16.5 ppg this season.
? FAU has 6 starters back on offense, 3 starters back on defense.
? Owls have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
? FAU has a junior QB with 34 career starts.
? Owls are 2-4 ATS in games this year with a single digit spread.
? FAU is 4-0 in bowl games, scoring 50-52 points in last two; they were an underdog in two of the four games.
 

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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 23

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


LT at GASO 03:00 PM
GASO -7.0
U 47.0


MEM at FAU 07:00 PM
FAU +9.0
O 52.5
 

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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/23/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
12/22/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/19/2020 13-16-1 45.00% -2300 Detail
12/18/2020 2-5-1 31.25% -1750
12/12/2020 11-11-1 50.00% -550 Detail
12/11/2020 6-0-0 100.00% +3000 Detail
12/10/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
12/06/2020 2-2-0 100.00% -1.00 Detail
12/05/2020 29-21-0 58.00% +29.50 Detail
12/03/2020 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50 Detail

Totals...........70-64-3.....52.23%....-2.00
 

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Thursday?s 6-pack
Some interesting college football bowl spreads:

? Coastal Carolina (-7.5) vs Liberty
? Louisiana (-14) vs Texas-San Antonio
? Georgia State (-4) vs Western Kentucky
? Oklahoma State (-2) vs Miami
? Texas (-9.5) vs Colorado
? Wisconsin (-7) vs Wake Forest

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 324,905
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
?Carson Wentz is being perhaps the worst teammate that you could possibly be ever.?
Former RB/current talk show host Tiki Barber

Thursday?s quiz
Coming into this season, who had the all-time career-best free-throw %age in the NBA?

Wednesday?s quiz
Last time a team won back-to-back NBA titles was 2016-2018, when Golden State won both years.

Tuesday?s quiz
In the baseball movie For Love of the Game, where Kevin Costner is a pitcher for the Tigers, John C. Reilly plays the Tigers? catcher.

****************************

Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??..

13) First things first today; happy 80th birthday to Dr Anthony Fauci, the scientist who has tried to educate all of us about COVID-19. Dr Fauci has been a bastion of knowledge during these hideous times; hope he has a very happy birthday.

12) Detroit Lions are hosting the Buccaneers Saturday, but interim coach Bevell and DC Cory Undlin are among Detroit coaches who are in isolation and unable to be at the Lions? facility due to contact tracing after a player and coach tested positive for COVID-19 Tuesday.

No one has said who will call plays for Detroit if Bevell isn?t there; Lions also fired their special teams coach Monday, so the players might be coaching themselves Saturday.

11) College football coaching changes:
? Illinois hired former Wisconsin/Arkansas coach Bret Bielema.
? Auburn hired Boise State coach Bryan Harsin.
? UL-Monroe hired former Auburn/Akron coach Terry Bowden.
? Arizona hired Patriots? QB coach Jedd Fisch.

10) Harsin probably left Boise in part because the Broncos aren?t happy in the Mountain West, and may want to move on to the AAC, at least on the football side. That would mean a lot of very long road trips, and they wouldn?t be a big fish in a small pond anymore (they?d lose more!!!)

9) For six years from 2004-10, Phoenix Suns averaged 55.3 wins/year, but they lost twice in the Western Conference final, once in NBA Finals; Phoenix hasn?t been in the NBA playoffs since then, averaging 30.6 wins/year.

Watching Phoenix play in their opener with Dallas, looks like the Suns have a chance to end their drought and make the playoffs this season.

8) Ohio State 80, Rutgers 68:
? Rutgers led this one 48-32 with 14:51 left in the game.
? Which means, over last 14:51, Buckeyes outscored Rutgers 48-20.
? Ohio State outscored Rutgers 22-10 on the foul line.

7) Illinois 98, Penn State 81:
? Penn State led 19-4 5:01 into this game.
? Illini has split its last six games; they were 23-28 on foul, PSU 4-7.
? Both teams shot 63%+ inside the arc; lot of easy baskets.

6) Northwestern 74, Indiana 67:
? Nothing is more 2020 than the Wildcats beating Michigan St/Indiana to start league play.
? Northwestern outscored Hoosiers 24-13 over last 8:57 of the game.
? Wildcats shot 67.7% inside the arc.

5) Celtics 122, Bucks 121:
? Antetokounmpo scored 35 points, but missed game-tying foul shot with 0:01 left.
? Milwaukee was +22 with Brook Lopez on floor (29:00), -23 with him on bench.
? Tatum/Brown combined for 63 points for Boston.

4) Cal-Bakersfield 79, Pepperdine 51:
? Waves are disappointing; they?ve already lost to three Big West teams.
? Bakersfield starts five seniors, is #2 experience team in country.
? Pepperdine star Ross scored only 10 points in 36:00.

3) Kings 124, Nuggets 122 OT
? Buddy Hield tipped in a missed layup at the buzzer for the win.
? Three Sacramento starters scored 20+ points.
? Jokic scored 29 points, had 15 rebounds, 14 assists for Denver.

2) Creighton 66, Xavier 61:
? Bluejays won 3rd straight game, last two by 2-5 points.
? Creighton was 14-20 on foul line, Musketeers 5-7.
? First loss for Xavier after an 8-0 start.

1) Was kind of sad to see that they?re taking Jack Murphy Stadium down in San Diego; Chargers/Padres played there for decades, there was a Super Bowl there. San Diego is the 8th biggest city in the country; hard to believe there isn?t an NFL team there.
 

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Thursday, December 24

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HAWAII (4 - 4) vs. HOUSTON (3 - 4) - 12/24/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
HAWAII is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, December 24

Hawaii @ Houston
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games
Hawaii is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Houston
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games


----------------------------------------------


NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Games


Dec 24

New Mexico Bowl (Frisco, TX)

Hawai?i (4-4) vs Houston (3-4)
? Hawai?i allowed 31+ points in their losses; 23.5 ppg in wins.
? Rainbows allowed 208+ rushing yards in six of last seven games.
? Hawai?i has 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? Rainbows have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hawai?i?s soph QB has started 13 games.
? Rainbows are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
? This is first time since 2008 Hawai?i is bowling on the mainland.
? Rainbows lost three of last five bowls, giving up 42.2 ppg.

? Houston allowed 30+ points in five of their seven games.
? Cougars have a minus-7 turnover ratio this season.
? Houston scored 37+ points in their wins; they?re 0-4 scoring less than 37.
? Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? Houston has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Houston?s junior QB has started 16 games.
? Cougars are 3-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
? Houston is 3-2 in last five bowls, but lost 70-14 in last bowl, in ?18 vs Army.


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