The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Divisional Games
- Thread starter WillyBoy
- Start date
I presume that the change in projection from Bills win to Broncos win--in the injury & line-up change projections--is due to the Bills injury reports. We already knew about the Bills WR injuries, and safety Poyer being out. Ed Oliver looks like a game-time decision, from what I've heard.
Just curious on the change in projections, there.
A full 2-point swing, also, on Rams-Bears projection, which confounds my understanding. Stafford improvement might be a reason, but I see no Bears designations that would warrant their rating falling.
I'm just looking for a reason to believe in something, for these games.
Still got my dart board, if all else fails.
Good luck to you this weekend.
Just curious on the change in projections, there.
A full 2-point swing, also, on Rams-Bears projection, which confounds my understanding. Stafford improvement might be a reason, but I see no Bears designations that would warrant their rating falling.
I'm just looking for a reason to believe in something, for these games.
Still got my dart board, if all else fails.
Good luck to you this weekend.
Frankly, the point swings bother me as well, and I can’t explain it without opening up the Injury Module which I routinely apply to the model’s results after each injury report. Such tinkering and researching the code is more work than I care to do at present; so, I have to be satisfied with understanding that, as I wrote it, the Injury Module takes each line-up change, the reported injury severity, and the match-up variations these factors present in terms of points gained or lost. Weather conditions – a variable separate from line-up changes – had a surprising impact in the final projections (see below); and are – to me – more questionable given that I have to post today after inputting weather conditions expected for tomorrow and Sunday. I’m out of town and unable to post on the game days. Good luck.I presume that the change in projection from Bills win to Broncos win--in the injury & line-up change projections--is due to the Bills injury reports. We already knew about the Bills WR injuries, and safety Poyer being out. Ed Oliver looks like a game-time decision, from what I've heard.
Just curious on the change in projections, there.
A full 2-point swing, also, on Rams-Bears projection, which confounds my understanding. Stafford improvement might be a reason, but I see no Bears designations that would warrant their rating falling.
I'm just looking for a reason to believe in something, for these games.
Still got my dart board, if all else fails.
Good luck to you this weekend.
