The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Divisional Games
- Thread starter WillyBoy
- Start date
I presume that the change in projection from Bills win to Broncos win--in the injury & line-up change projections--is due to the Bills injury reports. We already knew about the Bills WR injuries, and safety Poyer being out. Ed Oliver looks like a game-time decision, from what I've heard.
Just curious on the change in projections, there.
A full 2-point swing, also, on Rams-Bears projection, which confounds my understanding. Stafford improvement might be a reason, but I see no Bears designations that would warrant their rating falling.
I'm just looking for a reason to believe in something, for these games.
Still got my dart board, if all else fails.
Good luck to you this weekend.
Just curious on the change in projections, there.
A full 2-point swing, also, on Rams-Bears projection, which confounds my understanding. Stafford improvement might be a reason, but I see no Bears designations that would warrant their rating falling.
I'm just looking for a reason to believe in something, for these games.
Still got my dart board, if all else fails.
Good luck to you this weekend.
Frankly, the point swings bother me as well, and I can’t explain it without opening up the Injury Module which I routinely apply to the model’s results after each injury report. Such tinkering and researching the code is more work than I care to do at present; so, I have to be satisfied with understanding that, as I wrote it, the Injury Module takes each line-up change, the reported injury severity, and the match-up variations these factors present in terms of points gained or lost. Weather conditions – a variable separate from line-up changes – had a surprising impact in the final projections (see below); and are – to me – more questionable given that I have to post today after inputting weather conditions expected for tomorrow and Sunday. I’m out of town and unable to post on the game days. Good luck.I presume that the change in projection from Bills win to Broncos win--in the injury & line-up change projections--is due to the Bills injury reports. We already knew about the Bills WR injuries, and safety Poyer being out. Ed Oliver looks like a game-time decision, from what I've heard.
Just curious on the change in projections, there.
A full 2-point swing, also, on Rams-Bears projection, which confounds my understanding. Stafford improvement might be a reason, but I see no Bears designations that would warrant their rating falling.
I'm just looking for a reason to believe in something, for these games.
Still got my dart board, if all else fails.
Good luck to you this weekend.
Thanks for the word.
Just a thought, but the Bears movement might be for Noah Sewell, and/or (more importantly) TJ Edwards being out. Going to hurt Bears, especially on the second level, and the Rams might be able to have their way with their running backs and tight ends. Of course, some folks think that the Rams will be able to have their way, on offense, regardless.
I see the Final Projections adjusted back, lowering Rams margin. The cold shouldn't hurt the Rams any more that it hurts the Bears. Maybe Rams beat-up more that I realize. Tough call on this one, what with the Bears voodoo magic season. Maybe I'll book me some over; dropped about 3 points from the opener (I see 48.5, now) due to weather and/or Stafford's fingers, but this one looks like a possible shoot-out at the ok corral.
Good luck to ya.
Just a thought, but the Bears movement might be for Noah Sewell, and/or (more importantly) TJ Edwards being out. Going to hurt Bears, especially on the second level, and the Rams might be able to have their way with their running backs and tight ends. Of course, some folks think that the Rams will be able to have their way, on offense, regardless.
I see the Final Projections adjusted back, lowering Rams margin. The cold shouldn't hurt the Rams any more that it hurts the Bears. Maybe Rams beat-up more that I realize. Tough call on this one, what with the Bears voodoo magic season. Maybe I'll book me some over; dropped about 3 points from the opener (I see 48.5, now) due to weather and/or Stafford's fingers, but this one looks like a possible shoot-out at the ok corral.
Good luck to ya.
