Tournament plays

DZ

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Friday

Gonzaga -4 (-120) 8x

Down to four flat now... I am making this a 10x play. Maybe my best play of the tourney. Expecting big game out of Sabonis tonight who's game is suited to exploit the Cuse zone D.

Now have...

Gonzaga -4 10x (risking 11.8x)


Also added...

Iowa St. +7 (-115) 2x

Was leaning to Virginia and even thought of putting them in a ML parlay with the Zags, but the proximity to Ames and the likelihood that the 'Clones will enjoy significant fan support tonight should made me balk at that idea. Seven is too many points for a team that can win straight up if they can control pace, while still keep it close if this becomes a low-scoring affair as is the case with UVA games typically.

(Once again, I take too long to post my thoughts/plays and the UVA/ISU game already started :facepalm: )
 

DZ

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NY $$$ can do that to lines!!

GL Deezy!!

:0008

Thanks Bill. Same to you :toast:


My thoughts on the remaining games...

Strong lean to Wisc +2. I expect this game to come down to the wire and in that case the dog is the optimal play. I will be looking for a play on Wisconsin at +6 or better with in-game/halftime betting and would consider at play on ND at a similar plus number, although I prefer the Badgers.

Ind/UNC total I think is a bit high. Played the 1H because I prefer to avoid any late game scramble/fouling situations, but the total is dropping now so that tells me the late/sharp money is on the game under. I will be looking for an in-game/halftime play on the under at 164.5 or better if this one gets off to a fast start. Lean to Indiana plus the points as well.

Gonzaga I like a lot today because their offense is well-suited against the Orangemen zone. This zone defense is getting a lot of love in the media but they haven't really faced anybody worthy in this tournament yet. They are in for a big surprise against Gonzaga who is rolling, hasn't lost a game since mid February and has won and covered 7 straight.
 

DZ

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I've been cold as ice lately so I hesitate to even post, but I played this...

Kansas ML -140 6x


...decided to lay the juice on the ML rather than the spread because there have been so many blowouts recently. Just have a feeling we are due for a tight game (gamblers fallacy, right?:facepalm:), but I feel strongly that KU pulls it out in a nailbiter....or a blowout, whatever works :lol:
 

DZ

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Kansas ML +160 and +3.5 LIVE both x2

Might need a break if this loses. I'm overdue for a win, but we'll see.
 

DZ

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For the record, played...

Virginia/UNC ML parlay 5x to win 2.2x


Can't even watch. Going to a movie. Been running cold so one dog will probably win SU :rolleyes:
 

DZ

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Got owned by NCAA tournament. Hopefully, can recoup some before the end of the postseason...

GW/SDSt o61 1H 2x


Also lean to GW. Think they are very motivated to win the NIT. Playing closer to home while SDSt hasn't had to travel out of the pacific time zone much at all this season. May look for something in-game/halftime.
 
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