Tuesday August 21st

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
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Tuesday August 21st 2007

yesterday: 5-7 -13.15
August: 133-106 +55.41
ml 58-37 +31.43
rl 7-7 -0.36
totals 27-18 +7.4
parlays 41-44 +16.94
system picks 1-3 yesterday; 34-19 in August (64%) (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 1-1 yesterday; 37-25 in August (59.7%)

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

Phil 67% (-141)+8 RL 53 (+136)+10
Cin 51 (Livingston-Reyes)
sd 53 (+101)+3
Hou 57 (-145)-3
Stl 74 (-180)+9 RL 60 (+114)+13
Col 60 (-131)+3
mil 51 (+110)+3
Sf 61 (-129)+4
Tor 53 (+101)+3
tex-Balt?
clev 57 (-132)even
bost 63 (-139)+4
Min 53 (-109)even
Cws 52 (-154)-9 kc 48 (+146)+7
Laa 58 (-130)+1

system totals

sd@Mets un7.5 69% (-112)+16
clev@Det un9.5 65 (+105)+16
kc@Cws un9 70 (-120)+15 --ump Timmons is even


Clint Hurdle is a freakin' moron?that's about all I have to say about the Rockies game?this team will never make the playoffs with him at the Helm.
Day was a total waste for me. It was due to happen.

Phillies are Cards are system picks for Tuesday but both are kinda expensive and neither terribly appeals to me after my downward movement on Monday. Cards, obviously by my calls, look to be the better option; Wainwright has been pretty solid, all season, and Barone hasn't shown much in his first two '07 starts. Phillies call is greatly a Tomko fade as Kendrick has been only mediocre in 2 of his past 4 starts (the other 2 were pretty solid); Phillies hitting pretty good, especially at home, and should have a field day with Tomko, who's had 2 shitty and 2 mediocre starts over his past 4.
Also thinking about the Padres, Rockies, Brewers, Giants, Jays, Indians, Bosox and Royals; plays on these, if any, would be small.

That Shea total looks worth a shot?should be gold if Maine can get his shit together (3 poor starts in a row since his last pair of beauties); even is Maine is only mediocre that might be enough as the Padres sticks continue to be a joke. Comerica total looks iffy as Jurrjens is a bit of an X-factor there, plus we've got two of the most potent offenses in MLB going at it. That US Cellular total might be the best of the 3 as Nunez has some pretty wicked stuff and the Royals bullpen (which they'll need as Nunez doesn't often go deep) has been pretty good, especially lately; Vazquez should do his part to help that one, too. Also thinking about the Minute Maid game under 8.5 (would go at a 9); Wandy's great work at home and yesterday's result (Astros have actually scored under 4 for 5 straight games, now) has me interested; 8.5 is too low, really, for Minute Maid and Hanrahan is no lock to make any future All-Star games, plus ump Joyce has a very low K% this season, through his first 24 games (12-12 on the total; he's been "even" in previous years); still, Wandy actually tossed a decent game on the road and has been superb at home PLUS the Astros are in a funk at the plate; I dunno?confidence level took a hit with yesterday's results?freakin' Yanks coulda at least won in extras?

Will post what's played. Go ahead and fade.
GL
 

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
8,050
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Balt 68% (Bedard-Padilla)

(need better than -210 for value, according to this probability)
 
Last edited:

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
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Toronto
I'm alright, Jack. Keep your hands off my stack.

I'm alright, Jack. Keep your hands off my stack.

PLAYS

system picks

Phillies -141 2.82/2
Cardinals -180 5.4/3

other picks

padres +103 1/1.03
Giants -129 1.29/1
Orioles -1.5 -105 1.05/1
red sox -135 1.35/1
royals +146 0.81/1.19

totals

sd@Mets un7.5 -107 1.07/1
rangers under3.5 -120 0.9/0.75
kc@Cws un9 -120 1.8/1.5

2-teamer
--Astros ml
--Chisox under5
+194
0.51/1

8-team IF bet
1.Phillies -1.5 0.5/0.65
2.kc-Cws un9 0.6/0.5
3.nats under4 0.55/0.5
4.Angels -1.5 0.5/0.8
5.Giants -1.5 0.75/1.2
6.bosox -1.5 0.65/0.65
7.Twins 1.2/1
8.Jays 1.05/1
0.5 to win max.6.3

11-team IF bet
1.Mets under3.5 0.6/0.66
2.Angels 0.65/0.5
3.kc-Cws un9 0.6/0.5
4.Rockies over6 0.6/0.63
5.bosox -1.5 0.71/0.71
6.Astros 0.87/0.6
7.Phillies 1.55/1
8.Cards -1.5 1/1.1
9.brewers 2/2.1
10.Giants 1.35/1
11.Jays 2.1/2
0.6 to win max.10.8

9-team IF bet
1.wash-Hou un8.5 0.63/0.6
2.Cards -1.5 0.5/0.55
3.bosox over5.5 0.55/0.5
4.Phillies -1.5 0.5/0.65
5.sd-Mets un7.5 1.2/1
6.royals 0.69/1
7.oak-Tor un8 1.2/1
8.Angels 1.3/1
9.Twins 1.2/1
0.63 to win max.7.3

13-team as-IF bet
1.Cards -1.5 0.5/0.55
2.Phillies -1.5 0.5/0.65
3.bosox -1.5 0.7/0.7
4.Astros -1.5 0.8/1.16
5.indians 1.05/0.75
6.Giants 1.35/1
7.Rockies 1.35/1
8.padres 1.29/1.29
9.Jays 1.05/1
10.Angels 1.95/1.5
11.brewers 2/2.1
12.royals 2/2.9
13.Twins 1.8/1.5
0.5 to win max.16.1

11-team IF bet
1.Rockies -1.5 0.5/0.7
2.Chisox under5 0.67/0.5
3.Cards -1.5 0.5/0.55
4.Giants 0.67/0.5
5.brewers 0.5/0.53
6.Angels 0.65/0.5
7.bosox -1.5 0.72/0.72
8.Phillies -1.5 1/1.3
9.Astros 1.5/1
10.oak-Tor un8 1.2/1
11.padres 1.3/1.3
0.5 to win max.8.6

10-team IF bet
1.brewers 0.5/0.53
2.Cards -1.5 0.5/0.55
3.padres 0.52/0.52
4.nyy-Laa un9 0.6/0.6
5.nats under4 1.1/1
6.kc-Cws un9 1.2/1
7.Giants 1.35/1
8.oak-Tor un8 1.2/1
9.Phillies -1.5 1/1.3
10.indians 1.4/1
0.5 to win max.8.5

12-team IF bet
1.oak-Tor un8 0.72/0.6
2.brewers 0.5/0.53
3.Phillies over5.5 0.57/0.57
4.Rockies 0.67/0.5
5.royals 0.7/0.99
6.sd-Mets un7.5 0.9/0.75
7.bosox -1.5 0.86/0.86
8.Astros 1.5/1
9.Angels 1.3/1
10.Cards -1.5 1/1.1
11.Twins 1.2/1
12.indians 1.54/1.1
0.72 to win max.10.00.000.happy

11-team IF bet
1.bosox -1.5 0.7/0.7
2.sd-Mets un7.5 0.6/0.5
3.royals 0.6/0.85
4.Cards -1.5 0.5/0.55
5.Rockies 1.35/1
6.Jays 1.26/1.2
7.Angels 1.69/1.3
8.Giants 1.89/1.4
9.Phillies -1.5 1/1.3
10.Astros 3/2
11.brewers 2/2.1
0.7 to win max.12.9

and with my final gasp?

15-team IF bet
1.Blue Jays 0.6/0.6
2.Orioles -1.5 0.57/0.5
3.Cards -1.5 0.5/0.53
4.cubs-Sf un8 0.57/0.57
5.kc-Cws un9 0.6/0.5
6.sd-Mets un7.5 0.6/0.5
7.Phillies -1.5 0.7/0.95
8.bosox -1.5 0.75/0.75
9.Angels 2.6/2
10.brewers 2.04/2
11.Astros 3.1/2
12.Rockies 2.8/2
13.indians 2.8/2
14.Twins 3.6/3
15.Reds 2.1/2
0.6 to win max.19.9


I think I'll stop there, at 20 plays. Anything over .500 should net me a plus, today.
Mostly need the Cardinals?then the Phillies.
Missed my 3 biggest plays yesterday so I'm due.
Sounds good to me.
GL
 

peteyboy

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Feb 10, 2005
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X,
What book do you use for the massive if bets you are making? Mine cut me off at 8, 6, or 3. Thanks
 

EXTRAPOLATER

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Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
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Toronto
I only use the freak.corn for IF bets (and some other stuff).
Their lines are pretty raunchy (20-centers).
With them you can IF it up to 15 plays which is ideal for a baseball sched.
(notice the lines on my IF plays may differ from the straights)
Using 8-cent lines for any straights.

Let's Do This Thing!

:00hour

GL

:weed:

:SIB
 

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
thanks a lot, all

Got a real break in St.Louis (4 runs bottom 8)
but I'll take it.

A plus is a plus is a plus.

GL Wednesday
 
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