Upset special of the YEAR

grandpa

grandpa

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I don't usually do GOY or GOM or AFC GOY or anything like that, but I feel very strongly about a play today.

ML Seattle +425
Sea +10.5

NO lack of RBs coupled with no road playoff wins in its history, frigid conditions, and Seattle being discounted for their 7-9 record ( rightfully so).

And this game is being played in the loudest outdoor stadium in the league.

Defending SB champs haven't won a playoff game the following year since 2005.

The other thing, Seattle doesn't lose close games. They lost 9 times this year, and all by 15+. Which Seattle team shows up?

Brees has turned it over in 12 straight games, so if that streak continues, you know the 'Hawks have a puncher's chance.


Stranger things have happened........
 
Full court press

Full court press

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You have a shot here. Just what has N.O. done this season to warrant being a double digit road chalk in a hostile playoff environment ? Nothing.
 
grandpa

grandpa

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NO defense is actually statistically better than last year's championship team, except in the takeaway dept. So everything on paper indicates that Saints should win. This is a crazy hunch, and I am taking a shot at ML simply because they Seachickens get blown out when they lose, so it's basically all or nothing here.
 
grandpa

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Deezy said:
Just want to point out that history is on your side here:

http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcwest/post/_/id/30713/precedent-says-seahawks-have-decent-shot

But I have to say that there is little to value on the ML at that number. For a +11/10.5 dog, shouldn't the Seahawks be much closer to +500?
:shrug:

That said I do like your Seattle pick. BOL to ya :toast:
Click to expand...

Nice, thanks.

Also , from the article you linked:

"Since 1990, when the NFL expanded the playoffs from 10 teams to 12 to include an extra wild-card team, the six teams that made the playoffs with a point differential of minus-20 or worse all won their opening-round playoff games."
 
Old School

Old School

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But I have to say that there is little to value on the ML at that number. For a +11/10.5 dog, shouldn't the Seahawks be much closer to +500?
:shrug:

That said I do like your Seattle pick. BOL to ya :toast:
Click to expand...

has been bet down

open here at 498

<TABLE class="gradient data" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR class=odd><TD class=lm_time>01/03/2011 8:21 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 -05</TD><TD>45.5</TD><TD>-600</TD><TD>+498</TD></TR><TR class=even><TD class=lm_time>01/03/2011 9:12 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 -01</TD><TD></TD><TD>-550</TD><TD>+461</TD></TR><TR class=odd><TD class=lm_time>01/03/2011 10:03 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 -04</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=even><TD class=lm_time>01/03/2011 10:12 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 -05</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=odd><TD class=lm_time>01/03/2011 10:21 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 -03</TD><TD>45u10</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=even><TD class=lm_time>01/03/2011 10:35 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 </TD><TD>45</TD><TD></TD><TD>+425</TD></TR><TR class=odd><TD class=lm_time>01/03/2011 10:37 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 -05</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=even><TD class=lm_time>01/03/2011 11:53 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 </TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=odd><TD class=lm_time>01/03/2011 7:37 PM EST</TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD></TD><TD>-600</TD><TD>+450</TD></TR><TR class=even><TD class=lm_time>01/04/2011 9:47 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD>44.5</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=odd><TD class=lm_time>01/05/2011 7:15 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD>45</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=even><TD class=lm_time>01/05/2011 12:09 PM EST</TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD>44.5</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=odd><TD class=lm_time>01/07/2011 12:05 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10.5 -05</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=even><TD class=lm_time>01/08/2011 6:07 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD>45</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=odd><TD class=lm_time>01/08/2011 10:27 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -10 </TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=even><TD class=lm_time>01/08/2011 11:39 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD>45.5</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD></TR><TR class=odd><TD class=lm_time>01/08/2011 11:45 AM EST</TD><TD noWrap></TD><TD></TD><TD>-550</TD><TD>+425</TD></TR><TR><TD class=footerLinks colSpan=6>10% SIGN UP BONUS|MATCHUP REPORTS|$30 FRIDAYS|TEXAS HOLD'EM</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
grandpa

grandpa

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Yes. And the value is no concern. If they don't win SU, I lose the same amount no matter, and if they win, I'll spend the 4.25:1 winnings recklessly and enjoy the hell out of it.
 
Old School

Old School

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grandpa said:
Yes. And the value is no concern. If they don't win SU, I lose the same amount no matter, and if they win, I'll spend the 4.25:1 winnings recklessly and enjoy the hell out of it.
Click to expand...


givem hell pa...:00hour
 
Old School

Old School

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:00hour :00hour :00hour

gotta be lovin' this..


interesting to see if Seahawks keep their composer..
 
grandpa

grandpa

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I was hoping to win the turnover battle. Tied at 1-1 now. Hopefully Chickens don't come unglued or turn it over.
30 minutes to go
 
Old School

Old School

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2914583507_a7b005bfbd.jpg
 
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