FCS:
10 Unit
Maine/Colgate Over 46....*I ate crow in Week 1 thinking Colgate would continue their Defensive dominance but that theory was tossed early and for some reason the book is still hanging numbers that reflect last year's team. Colgate isn't playing a good brand of D and Maine should exploit. Think this is safe.
Mercer +10 & Over 68.......*Yes, I know how good Furman is but Mercer is no slouch and I like this QB Riddle who leads the SOCon with 11 TD passes. Bears should be 3-0 but the Riddler threw 2 pick 6 to Austin Peay, so that was that. Furman has 2 losses to FBS teams but I haven't been terribly impressed with VTech and that 4 point loss to Georgia St is kinda a head scratcher. 68 points is a lot but these are the best Offenses in the SOCon and 2 of the better ones in the FCS (Bears avr 42.7 ppg and Paladins 35)...Mercer is running an evolved pistol/spread Off and Furmans QB Grainger is a dual threat with already 613 pass yards/97 rush (4th in total Off)... History between these two last couple of years has been close and I think this easily surpasses the number.
JMU/Chattanooga Over 42 *Love this Over as JMU could do this by themselves. JMU is outgaining opponents 456-269 total yards pg. Dukes QB DiNucci has passed for 617 yards w/6 TDs... Mocs have started rough which reflects the low number but they have a very dangerous QB to WR combo that is going to have a good day soon (hopefully tomorrow).
Duquesne/Dayton Under 58'......*Musca likes it and so do I... My number is 10 light and this seems generous.
Long Island/Sacred Heart Under 51' *Musca is on Long Island and I will be following his play but my stronger bet is the Under here as Long Island has a great run D and only allowed 12.9 ppg ly with most of the Defense top tacklers returning. Pioneers finished tied for 1st in the NEC and allowed 22.1 ppg... SH replaces starting QB but returns 10 Defensive Starters. Long Islands first year in the FCS will be interesting but Sharks Off replaces QB, RB and Top 3 WR so this should stay Under.
Wofford/Gardner-Webb Under 47.....*Not sure where Wofford Offense has been only avr 13.5 ppg and 292 Total yards pg... Gardner-Webb numbers are a little off as their 2 losses were to 2 FBS teams. G-W has a great run game behind RB Jaylin Cagle and I expect them to run a bunch in this one. Wofford hasn't had any deep threats but Terriers play good D.
Norfolk St +27'...*This is simply way too many points and Norfolk could very well win this, They return 9 Off Starters and QB Juwan Carter is a 3rd year starter (passed for 2,302 yards ly w/13 TDs but had 13 INT) hopefully his mechanics have improved. 4 of 5 OL return as does 2 of 3 top RBs...... Wrs are a work in progress but I like this offense to stay close.
So Dakota -4...... *Coyotes have had a rough start but this game can get them going in the right direction and I have no confidence in No Colorado..... Coyotes QB Austin Simmons passed for 3,124 yards last year and rushed for another 332. Has 9 of his top pass catchers back and new D Coordinator was brought in to fix a 34.2 ppg leak. Not sure that's been fixed yet after surrendering 54 points last week to Houston Baptist, but the Offense works as they put up 53.....I have no clue why No Colorado has kept this HC there (34-74 overall) (26-62 league) but the 9th year Coach is still putting out a defective product and although QB Jacob Knipp has Pro Scouts excited as the #1 ranked QB to go pro the knock has always been his durability and last week guess what happened at Sac St? He got hurt again so who knows what this weeks offense will look like but if Sac St can beat you by 50 then I expect So Dakota to cover the easy number.
DA Rest....
Lafayette/Albany Over 58.....7 u
UC Davis/No Dakota Over 59.....7 u
UC Davis +25'........5 u
Kennesaw St/Missouri St Over 54......5 u
Tennessee Tech +17'.....6 u
Colombia -5..........8 u *Lions were 6-4 last season with 25 injuries... HC Bagnoli is the active winningest Coach at all levels Lions have 9 players returning that garnered All-Conf Honors last year (**Before you laugh and say well it's the IVY.... I think IVY could be one of the most competitive FCS Conf this year, and there's talent everywhere. Lions return 16 Starters so expect them to end up even better than their 8-2 finish in 2017.
Dartmouth/Jacksonville Under 55'...6 u.. *Always a little tricky to predict exactly how Ivy teams will look in their first game but Dartmouth D was ranked 2nd in the FCS last year only allowing 12 ppg and Big Green return most of their starters on D. Dolphins don't play great D however this is the first game for Dartmouth so I expect the Offense to be groggy after a lot of skill players from 2018 are gone.
Monmouth +23'...& Monmouth /Montana Over 63... 5 u *Monmouth isn't used to playing in front of 24,000+ and that could spell disaster, however, Hawks have won last 8 of 10 and have a career 6,000 yard passer and a scary two headed monster at RB.... They finished as the #2 team in the Big South (behind Kennesaw) and Montana has UC Davis up next so possible look ahead but at any rate, I think this over is about 8 light and Hawks have the athletes to stay in range.
Alabama A&M/Samford Over 74...5 u *Don't fear the big number... There won't be much Defense on display.
Austin Peay/ETSU Over 52'.....6 u
Citadel -17........6 u
Yale -12........7 u *Injury bug kept Yale from full potential last year but returns nearly every position and is the unaminous pick to win the IVY
Arkansas Pine-Bluff/Tennessee St Over 72'......5 u *Another game not going to see much D
See how these go... Gl
I am doing charity event today so plays arefew.
Colgate QB is out.
