weds bases...

cooz3

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1-1 posted plays...
1-0 posted leans..

leans until i get these plays in with my local...but my reasoning nonetheless

1.) pitt

2.) and pitt/cinci over 9....Dempster was absolutely horrendous last year...he led the league in earned runs at 125..he was 5th in walks allowed at 93 ...he was tied for 5th in hr's allowed ...in 4 games pitched vs. pitt he had and era of 8.02...whip of 2.02...and BAA of .330....those are some serious numbers for a look against ....

wells was 0-3 vs. cinci last year but his numbers were more respectable...0-3 with a 3.95 era...whip 1.83...and a 299 avg..his whip and baa are still high...which could lead to trouble...seems from the numbers that cinci simply did not take advantage of some walks or base hits with clutch hitting..or wells pitches better in pressure situations with men on (will look into this)...whats interesting is at the 2 games he pitched at cinci wells gave up 3 earned runs in 11 innings ...

umpire vanover in this game....he umpired 2 pitt road games with scores of 17-10 and 10-5...the 17-10 score was with wells pitching.....in 2002 he umped one game at cinci with a score of 10-5...did not ump any dempster games..

think there is a good chance this game hits 10 for the win...and a good chance dempster may get hit hard...check out these numbers of pitt players vs. dempster in 2002...some players are still there others are not...i put a star next to players i would anticipate in the starting lineup tonight...

AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS GIDP AVG OBP SLG OPS
Tony Alvarez 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .500
Jeff D'Amico 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
J.J. Davis 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333 .333 .333 .667
Nelson Figueroa 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Brian Giles 8 5 0 1 2 5 4 0 1 0 0 .625 .750 1.625 2.375 *
Adam Hyzdu 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
Jason Kendall 10 4 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 .400 .500 .500 1.000 *
Rob Mackowiak 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 .333 .500 .333 .833
Brian Meadows 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Abraham O. Nunez 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000
Aramis Ramirez 11 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 .364 .333 .364 .697 *
Pokey Reese 10 5 0 0 1 5 0 1 0 0 0 .500 .455 .800 1.255 *
Reggie Sanders 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 .333 .333 .333 .667 *
Randall Simon 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 .333 .333 .333 .667 *
Matt Stairs 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 4.000 5.000
Salomon Torres 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Jack Wilson 6 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 .167 .286 .333 .619 *
Craig Wilson 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 .000 .200 .000 .200
Kevin Young 12 6 2 0 0 3 0 2 0 0 2 .500 .500 .667 1.167

cooz
 

cooz3

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thanks smash...no problem PGH..

1.) PITT plus 115
2.) PITT over 9..minus 110

are plays

cooz
 

billiam2005

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Liking both of those Pittsburgh plays tonight. They pounded in a lot of runs on Monday and there is no reason they shouldn't do that again tonight against Dempster.

Good luck to us
 

cooz3

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oakland/seattle....seattle plus 150..local line..

oakland is a solid squad...Zito is a solid pitcher..probably the best on a great staff....but Seattle isnt in the brewers/tampa category...this line has me shaking my head...Zito's numbers in April are not as good as one would think...last year 4.81 whip 1.51... ..career 4.69 ....whip 1.44...these numbers are by far his worst of any month in the season...Moyers numbers in april last yr were not tremendous either at 4.14 and a whip of 1.16...

moyers numbers at oakland in 3 games last year 1.29 and a whip of 0.90...153 BAA...are not too shabby....

just think that seattle can win this game...and once oakie hit 170 locally just lost all value to me....

cooz
 

cooz3

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round up of the plays tonight...

1.) pitt..plus 110...W
2.) pitt over 9...W
3.) Seattle plus 150..pending

cooz
 
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