WEEK 1

[Subcloser]

South Florida -20 -110
North Dakota +23? -120
Washington U -30? -110

this is what I have put in so far

 

[Subcloser]

Washington...2 factors in this one for me...#1 this game and S. Florida fit into the same awesome historical trend (play on any road team favored by 14+ pts in week 1)...This doesn't make it an auto-play for me but pretty close, there are 1 or 2 other games on the board that fit the profile of this trend but I haven't pulled the trigger on em on account there are some other litigating factors involved...back to Washington, #2 Washington is in that group of what I call 2nd tier title contenders (legit teams but by their ranking are on the outside looking in)...in other words Washington needs to win and needs to win impressively, if they have the chance they will run up the score to send that message to voters that they are a real contender...if a Pac-12 team goes to the bottom feeder of the BIG10 and doesn't destroy them and finish the game with athority they will be labeled average to the voters and it will be hard to get off that list...At the end of the day Washington can name the score in this one and I believe they will...I am always on the lookout for teams that fit this criteria in the first few weeks.

South Florida is just that much more talented than SJST...speed, speed, and more speed, this game will be at warp speed for the Spartans...Charlie is going to want to send a message in his debut...more importantly they fit into my week 1 historical trend...sometimes its just that simple to pull the trigger on a game

North Dakota is a different beast and if your going to play it you better get it in now...Pretty simple really, North Dakota is a legit top ten FCS team and this is their super bowl...A win here will propel them into the top tier of FCS...Utah is on the decline, while they will have more athletes/depth than ND they will be lesser than from fundamentals standpoint...Utah isn't playing for national titles or conference championships they are trying to get to the Caribbean Bowl (2nd tier bowl game in a nice local) and beat their rivals...Utah has BYU on deck, a win in week 2 will make their season and perhaps save a few jobs in the Utah coaching dept...they will not be motivated to play the X-Fighting Sioux...this is a game they want to make sure they win and get out of there to get ready for BYU...Even if Utah manages to get up by 4+ scores this one could easily come home with a backdoor cover...Motivation is a huge factor in this play, with one team playing its game of the year and the other team knowing they just have to show up for this one and get ready for BYU in WK2...Don't be surprised if the Sioux give em a run for their money just to win the game

I have 2 more FCS teams I will be looking hard at closer to game days

 

[#cruncher]

I like your write-ups, I was just thinking about the same with Washington myself. And Strong should be motivated I would think after having to leave Texas, and not feeling he got enough time to build. However, when he was at Louisville, he pretty much always performed real well as a dog, but not necessarily as a favorite. I do agree though, they shouldn't have much problem with SJS. Don't know a lot about Utah or NDS but what you wrote sounds reasonable.

 

[Subcloser]

I usually do a one of these each the first couple weeks...last year lost week one and won week two...surprisingly these early season type parlays have fared better than you might guess...I realize one of these plays already occured, I'm sure if you want to play this particular parlay with the remaining games it would still issue a nice return


13 Team Parlay...+401 (1/2*)
Pending 8/26/17 7:30pm College Football 295 South Florida -1800* vs San Jose State
Pending 8/31/17 7:00pm College Football 136 Minnesota U -5000* vs Buffalo U
Pending 8/31/17 9:00pm College Football 138 Memphis -5600* vs UL Monroe
Pending 8/31/17 10:30pm College Football 140 Arizona State -2400* vs New Mexico State
Pending 9/1/17 8:00pm College Football 152 Colorado -250* vs Colorado State
Pending 9/2/17 7:30pm College Football 165 Louisville -3000* vs Purdue
Pending 9/2/17 8:00pm College Football 168 Nebraska -950* vs Arkansas State
Pending 9/2/17 7:30pm College Football 180 Mississippi -2500* vs South Alabama
Pending 9/2/17 9:30pm College Football 184 LSU -465* vs BYU
Pending 9/2/17 12:00pm College Football 186 Texas -900* vs Maryland
Pending 9/2/17 8:00pm College Football 206 Alabama -265* vs Florida State
Win 8/24/17 3:00pm Little League Baseball 12053 Mexico -490* vs Canada (Fixed Price)
Pending 8/26/17 11:59pm Boxing Fighting 502 Floyd Mayweather Jr -515* vs Conor McGregor

 

[Subcloser]

Oregon St Beavers +4 -105 (1/2*)

This game means a great deal more to the beavers and at the end of the day that's enough for me...Oregon st and it's coaches know they have to win this game...this game will define their season...I see a hard fought field goal game going either way...this ones for TJ, gl my old friend

 

[LUNCH PAIL]

Oregon St Beavers +4 -105 (1/2*)

This game means a great deal more to the beavers and at the end of the day that's enough for me...Oregon st and it's coaches know they have to win this game...this game will define their season...I see a hard fought field goal game going either way...this ones for TJ, gl my old friend

NOT KNOCKING YOUR PICK, JUST HAVE HARD TIME BUYING INTO PHILOSOPHY THAT IN SPORT WHERE WINNING IS SO CRITICAL THAT GAME MEANS GREAT DEAL MORE TO ONE TEAM THAN THE OTHER. NOT ONLY IS WINNING IMPORTANT FOR RECORD AND POTENTIAL BOWL GAMES AT END OF SEASON, IT IS SO IMPORTANT FOR RECRUITING.

IN AN ERA WHERE LOSING SEASONS ARE NOT TOLERATED FOR LONG BY FAN BASE, BOOSTERS, AND ATHELETIC DEPTS, EACH WIN IS VERY IMPORTANT TO THESE COACHES AND THEIR LIVELIHOOD. JUST IN RECENT HISTORY BOTH THESE PROGRAMS HAVE BEEN STEPPING STONES FOR COACHES TO MOVE ON TO BIGGER AND BETTER PROGRAMS, CONFERENCES AND ALMIGHTY PAYCHECK.

YOU ALSO HAVE 18-22 YR OLDS THAT HAVE BEEN WORKING HARD IN THE OFF SEASON CHOMPING AT THE BIT TO GET ON THE FIELD SO I THINK IT WILL BE EQUALLY AS IMPORTANT TO BOTH SIDES.

MAY CATCH CSU LOOKING AHEAD TO RIVAL GAME WITH BUFFS SO YOU MAY HAVE A WINNAH...THATS WHERE GOOD COACHING COMES IN TO HAVE THEM FOCUS ON ONE GAME AT A TIME.

THOUGHT YOUR COMMENT WAS WORTH THE CONVERSATION...GOOD LUCK THIS SEASON WITH ALL YOUR PICKS! :0008

 

[Subcloser]

NOT KNOCKING YOUR PICK, JUST HAVE HARD TIME BUYING INTO PHILOSOPHY THAT IN SPORT WHERE WINNING IS SO CRITICAL THAT GAME MEANS GREAT DEAL MORE TO ONE TEAM THAN THE OTHER. NOT ONLY IS WINNING IMPORTANT FOR RECORD AND POTENTIAL BOWL GAMES AT END OF SEASON, IT IS SO IMPORTANT FOR RECRUITING.

IN AN ERA WHERE LOSING SEASONS ARE NOT TOLERATED FOR LONG BY FAN BASE, BOOSTERS, AND ATHELETIC DEPTS, EACH WIN IS VERY IMPORTANT TO THESE COACHES AND THEIR LIVELIHOOD. JUST IN RECENT HISTORY BOTH THESE PROGRAMS HAVE BEEN STEPPING STONES FOR COACHES TO MOVE ON TO BIGGER AND BETTER PROGRAMS, CONFERENCES AND ALMIGHTY PAYCHECK.

YOU ALSO HAVE 18-22 YR OLDS THAT HAVE BEEN WORKING HARD IN THE OFF SEASON CHOMPING AT THE BIT TO GET ON THE FIELD SO I THINK IT WILL BE EQUALLY AS IMPORTANT TO BOTH SIDES.

MAY CATCH CSU LOOKING AHEAD TO RIVAL GAME WITH BUFFS SO YOU MAY HAVE A WINNAH...THATS WHERE GOOD COACHING COMES IN TO HAVE THEM FOCUS ON ONE GAME AT A TIME.

THOUGHT YOUR COMMENT WAS WORTH THE CONVERSATION...GOOD LUCK THIS SEASON WITH ALL YOUR PICKS! :0008

I think you said it best COL st has a big game on deck but more importantly Oregon st loses this game their season is going backwards fast...trust me when I say I know the coaching staff and they feel their jobs are at stake in this game...at the end of the day COL st could win this game fairly easily and I don't think it would be a huge surprise to anyone...I stated my angle and I trust my judgement win or lose...I have much more interest in Sfl later today

 

[Subcloser]

0,1,1...-.52 after week 0

I will release Sunday - Friday plays with one post per day as soon as my card is complete for that day...Saturdays I will release in Morning, Afternoon, Evening, and Late night (something like 11-130, 2-430, 5-730, and 8 - the end)...just doing this to keep it a bit more organized in my own books and should be easier for those trying to follow throughout the day...1st release for Thursday 8/31 will be late tonight...gl this year guys

 

[Subcloser]

8/31 Thursday

8/31 Thursday

North Dakota +23? -120
Toledo -41? -120
Florida International +17 -110
Ohio State -20-105

I still have my weekly parlay alive and kicking, plays for Thursday include Minnesota ml, Memphis ml, and Arizona ml...all plays will always be for one unit unless otherwise stated...Friday's card will be up sometime Friday afternoon closer to kickoff

 

[Subcloser]

Friday - September 1st

Friday - September 1st

WASHINGTON -27-105 (2*)
Washington U/Rutgers Over 52? -105
Boston College/Northern Illinois Under 51 1/2 -105
Shallowater TX/Idalou TX Under 46? -120

 

[Subcloser]

Saturday Early Card 11am - 1pm

Saturday Early Card 11am - 1pm

Youngstown State +14? -110
Ball State +5 -106
Maryland/Texas Under 56 -103

 

[Riff-Raff]

I enjoyed the write ups... Good luck to you today!

 

[Subcloser]

I will play no more than 3 2H plays per day...typically I will list them as Morning, Afternoon, and Late 2nd Half plays...starting it off with a Morning 2nd half play that jumps off the board

Morning 2nd Half Play
Missouri State/Missouri 2nd Half Over 40 -110 (3*)

 

[Subcloser]

Afternoon Card
Kentucky -10 -105
Troy +10 -102
USC -27.5 -105 (2*)
Miami Ohio -2? -105
Eastern Washington +10 -110
Eastern Washington/Texas Tech Over 86 -120

*Afternoon Kickball Bonus...Italy (WC-Qual)/Spain (WC-Qual) Over 2 -129 (2*)

 

[Subcloser]

Evening Card
James Madison -1 -105
Louisiana Tech -39? -110
Middle Tennessee +3 -105
Northern Iowa +9? -110
Arkansas State +14? -107

 

[Subcloser]

adding to the evening card

Tulane -13? -105
TCU -59? -105
Louisville/Purdue Over 66? -104
Georgia Southern/Auburn Under 59 -105

added a unit to Middle Tenn St

 

[Subcloser]

Evening 2nd Half Play
James Madison 2nd Half +? -110

 

[Subcloser]

Texas A&M/UCLA un 61 -105