I am staying away from the Iowa game-but go Hawks--might look at the total thou as it made my 1st cut of total possibilities. GL
Week 2 Plays.......
- Thread starter Scott4USC
- Start date
Nevada :thumb:
Thought I better get my write-up posted on this game since it is Friday night and the line is now +9.5.
For starters, I think WSU has a poor pass defense and this does not bode well going against Nevada in Reno on a Friday night. Nevada has 2-3 wideouts that are Nate Burrleson caliber. For some reason this school gets studs at WR. I think Nevada will be able to pass effectively against the WSU defense, especially playing @home.
WSU is also weak at DT. Nevada isn't a strong rushing team but they could exploit this weakness as well. From what I have read, the WSU defense isn't very fast. This plays well for Nevada who is not used to seeing fast defenses.
Nevada is a solid home team. Last year they went 5-1 at home and this years team is supposed to be better and more experienced. They only lost 15 lettermen. More importantly, they return a ton of players on defense with experience. Last year the Nevada defense was poor but look for much improvement. I know the offense will be explosive.
On the flip side, the WSU offense ?can? be explosive and Nevada doesn?t have a great defense either. Last year they were horrible but I think they improve a lot. Hopefully by game 1. :yup The OVER might be a solid play. :yup
But remember, I am not asking Nevada to win. Just to lose by 9pts or less. I predict Nevada plays WSU tough for 3 quarters, maybe even jump to early lead, and then they wear down in the 4th where WSU pulls out a 4-7pt win. Don?t be too surprised if Nevada pulls the upset. They are a decent football team. It is @Nevada and it is never easy to play on the road. Plus WSU might be coming into this game overconfident. (I'll explain that later) This game will be similar to the Oregon/Houston game. Houston hung with Oregon for 3q?s but Oregons depth/talent eventually took over. I think 10pts is too much for WSU to cover.
One of the reasons I only made this a 2 unit play is the Wolfpack have UNLV on deck. I don't think Nevada looks ahead because they are playing a Pac 10 team but that still is somewhat of a negative and must be paid attention too. The last 2 years Nevada has failed to cover the spread prior the UNLV game.
An added bonus........
*Nevada is 4-0 ATS against the Pac 10
*Nevada was 4-1 ATS at home last year
*Last 2 years WSU has been 4-11 ATS as favs.
*Under HC Doba, WSU is only 3-10 ATS after a SU win.
The last trend tells me something. There is a good chance WSU comes overconfident into this game.
Good luck!
Thought I better get my write-up posted on this game since it is Friday night and the line is now +9.5.
For starters, I think WSU has a poor pass defense and this does not bode well going against Nevada in Reno on a Friday night. Nevada has 2-3 wideouts that are Nate Burrleson caliber. For some reason this school gets studs at WR. I think Nevada will be able to pass effectively against the WSU defense, especially playing @home.
WSU is also weak at DT. Nevada isn't a strong rushing team but they could exploit this weakness as well. From what I have read, the WSU defense isn't very fast. This plays well for Nevada who is not used to seeing fast defenses.
Nevada is a solid home team. Last year they went 5-1 at home and this years team is supposed to be better and more experienced. They only lost 15 lettermen. More importantly, they return a ton of players on defense with experience. Last year the Nevada defense was poor but look for much improvement. I know the offense will be explosive.
On the flip side, the WSU offense ?can? be explosive and Nevada doesn?t have a great defense either. Last year they were horrible but I think they improve a lot. Hopefully by game 1. :yup The OVER might be a solid play. :yup
But remember, I am not asking Nevada to win. Just to lose by 9pts or less. I predict Nevada plays WSU tough for 3 quarters, maybe even jump to early lead, and then they wear down in the 4th where WSU pulls out a 4-7pt win. Don?t be too surprised if Nevada pulls the upset. They are a decent football team. It is @Nevada and it is never easy to play on the road. Plus WSU might be coming into this game overconfident. (I'll explain that later) This game will be similar to the Oregon/Houston game. Houston hung with Oregon for 3q?s but Oregons depth/talent eventually took over. I think 10pts is too much for WSU to cover.
One of the reasons I only made this a 2 unit play is the Wolfpack have UNLV on deck. I don't think Nevada looks ahead because they are playing a Pac 10 team but that still is somewhat of a negative and must be paid attention too. The last 2 years Nevada has failed to cover the spread prior the UNLV game.
An added bonus........
*Nevada is 4-0 ATS against the Pac 10
*Nevada was 4-1 ATS at home last year
*Last 2 years WSU has been 4-11 ATS as favs.
*Under HC Doba, WSU is only 3-10 ATS after a SU win.
The last trend tells me something. There is a good chance WSU comes overconfident into this game.
Good luck!
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Adding 3 units Georgia Tech -12 over North Carolina
*All shops seem to have it at -12.5 but Pinny not only had it at -12 but -106 vig! :spotting:
Other games I am looking at:
Vandy
MTSU
(might be huge play)
Colorado St.
Georgia
*All shops seem to have it at -12.5 but Pinny not only had it at -12 but -106 vig! :spotting:
Other games I am looking at:
Vandy
MTSU
(might be huge play)Colorado St.
Georgia
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Georgia Tech :thumb:
We all know G-Tech looked impressive last week against Auburn. Kicking myself for not looking at the game and betting big on G-Tech. I seemed to have overlooked it last week.
G-Tech outrushed Auburn 140 to 39 yds, they also intercepted 4 Tiger passes. That is quite impressive. In order for G-Tech to cover this big number (-12) they need to play tough defense and need motivation to play it. @AU was big for them and they turned it up a notch. I think G-Tech does the exact same thing this weekend against UNC.
Last year UNC beat G-Tech 34-13 despite being +8.5 underdogs.
Here is where things get real nice for G-Tech. UNC will be starting an unproven QB in his first game on the road! What if this dude gets hurt or ineffective? UNC has nobody behind him. The #2 and #3 QB's are out!!!! :grins:
Unfortunately I think UNC will be ok at OL despite losing their STAR Center. Maybe I get lucky and get a fumbled snap! :mj09: If they had poor OL in addition to their inexperienced QB and on road, I might have bumped this to a 5+ unit play. Good news is UNC should be weak in the secondary and G-Tech should have a field day throwing the ball. I love their WR Calvin Johnson.
All in all, I am predicting chaos for UNC playing their 1st game of the season (with new QB) on the road against an opponent who I think will be motivated to play. This game could get ugly and I certainly hope it does! Should be a good buzz around campus after their upset over AU and crowd should be backing this team on gameday!
An added bonus........
Georgia Tech is 8-3 ATS against UNC since 1994
Good luck!
We all know G-Tech looked impressive last week against Auburn. Kicking myself for not looking at the game and betting big on G-Tech. I seemed to have overlooked it last week.
G-Tech outrushed Auburn 140 to 39 yds, they also intercepted 4 Tiger passes. That is quite impressive. In order for G-Tech to cover this big number (-12) they need to play tough defense and need motivation to play it. @AU was big for them and they turned it up a notch. I think G-Tech does the exact same thing this weekend against UNC.
Last year UNC beat G-Tech 34-13 despite being +8.5 underdogs.
Here is where things get real nice for G-Tech. UNC will be starting an unproven QB in his first game on the road!
What if this dude gets hurt or ineffective? UNC has nobody behind him. The #2 and #3 QB's are out!!!! :grins:Unfortunately I think UNC will be ok at OL despite losing their STAR Center. Maybe I get lucky and get a fumbled snap! :mj09: If they had poor OL in addition to their inexperienced QB and on road, I might have bumped this to a 5+ unit play. Good news is UNC should be weak in the secondary and G-Tech should have a field day throwing the ball. I love their WR Calvin Johnson.
All in all, I am predicting chaos for UNC playing their 1st game of the season (with new QB) on the road against an opponent who I think will be motivated to play. This game could get ugly and I certainly hope it does! Should be a good buzz around campus after their upset over AU and crowd should be backing this team on gameday!
An added bonus........
Georgia Tech is 8-3 ATS against UNC since 1994
Good luck!
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Nice write ups. I am glad to see you on Rice. I thought I was tthe only one that thought the line was too high.UCLA had tremendous help via special teams play and wouldn't imagine that to happen again. Their running backs look special but passing game and defense don't inspire a lot of confidence. People are saying that this is the best UCLA team in a long time and that they have athletes almost on par with the best. I will only believe that after I see a few more games. Coach Dullard will never be confused with a great offensive mind for sure. And it was San Diego State that they were playing. Supposedly Rice is abandoning their run at any cost offense and opening things up. I guess we will see what happens. I think this is a play against the UCLA defense more than anything else. Looking forward to your write up.
Rice :thumb:
Last week I originally took UCLA -7 over SDSU for 2 units but bought it back and took SDSU +10. 3 biggest reasons for me buying it back was UCLA losing their #1 DT (getting hurt in practice) from a DL that struggled to stop the run last year, the UCLA WR's underachieving, and SDSU having strong practice reports.
It turned out UCLA covered but I was right in my analysis and fears of UCLA. UCLA did below average job stopping the run allowing SDSU to rush for 190 yards. (yards gained rushing) The UCLA WR's were non existent and I'll say it again, UCLA WR's do a poor job in getting separation! That is a big problem! Take away the big plays for UCLA and the bruins don't cover the spread. SDSU HC Craft said thee were 6 plays that changed the game and his team played well.
This leads me to believe UCLA is "overvalued" in this game. They should not be 25pt favorites over Rice, especially if it is based on last weeks game. I would make the line at -19 with a 50/50 cover for each team.
I still see the same problems at UCLA. Rice is prob. not be as good as SDSU and this is a home game for UCLA, but I don't think Rice is 15pts worse!
Rice should be much improved on defense returning 7 starters including their 4 leading tacklers. This unit should hold UCLA offense to under 40pts. Especially if they don't give up the big plays AND Rice offense doesn't turn it over. SDSU gave up the big plays and turning it over prevented them from covering the spread against UCLA.
Rice has scored double digits in 21 of their last 23 games. UCLA has scored over 40pts TWICE in the last 2 years. Both games gave up 16 and 48pts. UCLA D last year held only 1 team under 10pts. I think Rice will score double digits Sat. Meaning UCLA must score min. over 35pts to cover the spread. I'll take my chances!
It is very important to remember UCLA has Oklahoma on deck @ LA. I know for a fact the UCLA players have been pointing to 2 games all year. OU and USC. In the media it seems they always talk/focus on these 2 games. In contrast, ALL the USC players talked only about Hawaii. I am confident UCLA is overlooking Rice and focusing on OU. I also am not confident in Dorrell to motivate his players enough to get at 26+ pt victory.
If SDSU had success rushing against UCLA, I am confident Rice has a decent chance at putting up some decent #'s. All Rice needs is some success running against the Bruins to keep this well within the number. I think UCLA is a very vulnerable team in this spot. In past 5 years, Rice is 6-2 ATS as DD dogs. They will get the job done "again" as DD dogs!
If UCLA turns the ball over, Rice should easily cover this big #. Guess what, UCLA is very turnover prone. Starting RB Drew often has hard time holding onto the ball and the QB Olson can be hot and cold. Throughout his career he has made poor decisions that results in INT's. Getting 25.5 pts we just need 1 maybe 2 turnovers to seal the cover. Could get sloppy play from UCLA with OU on deck! If UCLA was smart they should go conservative after getting double digit lead and not show OU anything offensively and defensively. I don't fear RICE looking ahead to Texas.
This is only a 2 unit play because Rice I think only returns 1 offensive lineman. Otherwise I might have upgraded this.
Good luck!
Glad to see ferdville, fletcher, and Tulah leaning towards the Owls. Thanks Tulah for bringing this game up in my thread. I looked at it closer and made it a solid play.
Last week I originally took UCLA -7 over SDSU for 2 units but bought it back and took SDSU +10. 3 biggest reasons for me buying it back was UCLA losing their #1 DT (getting hurt in practice) from a DL that struggled to stop the run last year, the UCLA WR's underachieving, and SDSU having strong practice reports.
It turned out UCLA covered
but I was right in my analysis and fears of UCLA. UCLA did below average job stopping the run allowing SDSU to rush for 190 yards. (yards gained rushing) The UCLA WR's were non existent and I'll say it again, UCLA WR's do a poor job in getting separation! That is a big problem! Take away the big plays for UCLA and the bruins don't cover the spread. SDSU HC Craft said thee were 6 plays that changed the game and his team played well. This leads me to believe UCLA is "overvalued" in this game. They should not be 25pt favorites over Rice, especially if it is based on last weeks game. I would make the line at -19 with a 50/50 cover for each team.
I still see the same problems at UCLA. Rice is prob. not be as good as SDSU and this is a home game for UCLA, but I don't think Rice is 15pts worse!
Rice should be much improved on defense returning 7 starters including their 4 leading tacklers. This unit should hold UCLA offense to under 40pts. Especially if they don't give up the big plays AND Rice offense doesn't turn it over. SDSU gave up the big plays and turning it over prevented them from covering the spread against UCLA.
Rice has scored double digits in 21 of their last 23 games. UCLA has scored over 40pts TWICE in the last 2 years. Both games gave up 16 and 48pts. UCLA D last year held only 1 team under 10pts. I think Rice will score double digits Sat. Meaning UCLA must score min. over 35pts to cover the spread. I'll take my chances!
It is very important to remember UCLA has Oklahoma on deck @ LA. I know for a fact the UCLA players have been pointing to 2 games all year. OU and USC. In the media it seems they always talk/focus on these 2 games. In contrast, ALL the USC players talked only about Hawaii. I am confident UCLA is overlooking Rice and focusing on OU. I also am not confident in Dorrell to motivate his players enough to get at 26+ pt victory.
If SDSU had success rushing against UCLA, I am confident Rice has a decent chance at putting up some decent #'s. All Rice needs is some success running against the Bruins to keep this well within the number. I think UCLA is a very vulnerable team in this spot. In past 5 years, Rice is 6-2 ATS as DD dogs. They will get the job done "again" as DD dogs!
If UCLA turns the ball over, Rice should easily cover this big #. Guess what, UCLA is very turnover prone. Starting RB Drew often has hard time holding onto the ball and the QB Olson can be hot and cold. Throughout his career he has made poor decisions that results in INT's. Getting 25.5 pts we just need 1 maybe 2 turnovers to seal the cover. Could get sloppy play from UCLA with OU on deck! If UCLA was smart they should go conservative after getting double digit lead and not show OU anything offensively and defensively. I don't fear RICE looking ahead to Texas.
This is only a 2 unit play because Rice I think only returns 1 offensive lineman.
Otherwise I might have upgraded this.Good luck!
Glad to see ferdville, fletcher, and Tulah leaning towards the Owls. Thanks Tulah for bringing this game up in my thread. I looked at it closer and made it a solid play.
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Scott,
You know what I am gonna suggest you play. Where is it? What do you think of the Gophs running all over them or am I missing a aspect of the game?
You know what I am gonna suggest you play. Where is it? What do you think of the Gophs running all over them or am I missing a aspect of the game?
Best of luck this weekend, Scooter.... Looks like we're on the same side on a few of them. Hope I don't jinx you.... LOL :mj14:
...by the way, I enjoy reading your posts a lot more when they're not all about USC. You've posted some good stuff in here, bud.
...by the way, I enjoy reading your posts a lot more when they're not all about USC. You've posted some good stuff in here, bud.
I just want to be clear about something to all those who read and value my thread/picks. ALL my wagers are big plays for me. 1 unit to 5 units to 10 units. All are big wagers and I expect all to win. I expect to sweep the board each and every week. I never just throw a unit on a game for action or to have something to watch. $500 is a lot of money for me and I expect the wager to come through. That is why I have 1 unit = $500. Serious business. Now the bigger the wager the higher prob. I see it covering. DUH! I also make wagers as small as $5 and up to $100. Those are my action plays and TV bets. I still think they will win but not nearly as confident. So if you see a 1 unit play from me, know that it is a big wager for me. Not taking it lightly at all. This is how I do it. Others may do things differently. I give the write-ups to allow you to make your own decision. Even if it means lowering your bet on the opposite side! But I just wanted to make this clear. I know some cappers have 5-10 unit plays on regular basis and might use a 1 unit play as fun bet ect. Nothing wrong with that but I do it differently. 1 unit holds a lot of value for me.
taoist
Glad we moved past the "STFU" bombs! :lol:
I might be adding 2 units on a play you already wagered on. We may side again on one more pick!
Warning documented!
I like CSU and the pts. I think Tulsa played well against Minny but Minny's stud RB made big plays. CSU IMO is better than Tulsa and I really like Lubick. If I get +14 I might have to make it a play. I can't let you be 1-0 against me. I have to even it up 1-1. I am not sold on Minny but it my cost me more $$$ to be convinced.
watrdogg
What plays are you joining me on? Why do you like them or what specifically do you agree with me? If you have different angle, please share it.
But I just wanted to make this clear. I know some cappers have 5-10 unit plays on regular basis and might use a 1 unit play as fun bet ect. Nothing wrong with that but I do it differently. 1 unit holds a lot of value for me. taoist
Glad we moved past the "STFU" bombs! :lol:
I might be adding 2 units on a play you already wagered on. We may side again on one more pick!
Spalding said:Scott,
You know what I am gonna suggest you play. Where is it? What do you think of the Gophs running all over them or am I missing a aspect of the game?
Warning documented!
I like CSU and the pts. I think Tulsa played well against Minny but Minny's stud RB made big plays. CSU IMO is better than Tulsa and I really like Lubick. If I get +14 I might have to make it a play. I can't let you be 1-0 against me. I have to even it up 1-1. I am not sold on Minny but it my cost me more $$$ to be convinced.
watrdogg
What plays are you joining me on? Why do you like them or what specifically do you agree with me? If you have different angle, please share it.
Scott4USC said:
...hey, sweetheart, we ain't moved past nuthin'!!! ...if we don't win this weekend, Jim said he would send JohnnyKnockdown to SoCal if need be!!!! :scared :scared :mj07:
....and here's a lil good luck charm for us....
...a mini - :stfu:
I disagree on your Rice play. I can understand your apprehension w/ UCLA's run D and the big no. but Rice is overmatched.
I think the Rice D will have too many problems with the Bruins physicality and it will wear them down. They may be competitive for the 1st half but I don't think they can score enough to cover...as the Bruins will score 40+.
GL on the FAU play tho.
I think the Rice D will have too many problems with the Bruins physicality and it will wear them down. They may be competitive for the 1st half but I don't think they can score enough to cover...as the Bruins will score 40+.
GL on the FAU play tho.
San Diego St. :thumb:
AF originally opened at -5.5 favorites and were bet up to -8.5 but looks like line is coming back down. I got it locked in at +8. Might add more because I really like this play.
Betting against AF when they are favorites @AF is always a good proposition.
In the last 2 years they are 3-6 ATS as home favorites. Losing 4/9 games outright!
There is a logical reason for AF struggling at home. The players are mandated to daily regimens wit the rest of cadets when they are @home. For example marching 5:30am, convocation @7am after breakfast, and even classes on gamedays. Very strict and they are not treated differently from other cadets. To support this argument in ?handicapping? terms, here is a trend. AF is 1-7 ATS as conference favorites @home by greater than 7pts. In addition, AF has now lost outright 6 of their last 9 home conference games the last 2 years and part of the reason is because of their requirements that I have listed above. What I mentioned has strong merit!
AF struggles against SDSU. Sometimes a team just has your # and always plays you tough. That is SDSU! Doesn?t matter how good/poor SDSU is or how strong/weak AF is. DOESN?T MATTER! SDSU plays AF tough!
*Last year AF was -5.5 favorites at home vs SDSU and lost 37-31.
*2 years ago AF was -4.5 favorites @SDSU and lost 24-12
AF has lost to SDSU 3 straight years! Vegas this weekend is not only asking AF to beat SDSU but to win by double digits?
AF is 2-6 ATS vs SDSU the past 6 years, and the favorite in this series is just 3-9 ATS past 12 years. Last week against UCLA, SDSU outgained UCLA from line of scrimmage. SDSU will move the ball against the AF defense. AF does not match up well to the huge Aztec OL (although inexperienced) and Aztec RB Hamilton. He is def. a top 5 RB in the country on a list of ?RB?s you have not heard of.? He is the real deal and was a big time recruit for SDSU last year. SDSU offense moved the ball well against UCLA but throughout the game SDSU made stupid mistakes. I think the Aztecs will play much cleaner game against AF and remember, SDSU plays well against AF!
Here are some bold statements made by SDSU HC Tom Craft. He said his squad outplayed the Bruins despite losing 44-21. "We had the edge, clearly, in first downs (23 to 16); clearly, in time of possession (33:09 to 26:51); and, clearly, in number of plays (81 to 53). And we were over 50 percent on third-down conversions."
Nobody knows his team better than Craft. Lets take is word for it (even if its just coach speak) and say SDSU did outplay UCLA. I?ll gladly take +8 over AF, a team who not beaten SDSU in 3 years! Don?t be surprised if you see me add a unit on SDSU ML. I really like this play.
An added bonus....
SDSU is 9-2 ATS after UCLA
Good luck!
AF originally opened at -5.5 favorites and were bet up to -8.5 but looks like line is coming back down. I got it locked in at +8. Might add more because I really like this play.
Betting against AF when they are favorites @AF is always a good proposition.
In the last 2 years they are 3-6 ATS as home favorites. Losing 4/9 games outright!
There is a logical reason for AF struggling at home. The players are mandated to daily regimens wit the rest of cadets when they are @home. For example marching 5:30am, convocation @7am after breakfast, and even classes on gamedays. Very strict and they are not treated differently from other cadets. To support this argument in ?handicapping? terms, here is a trend. AF is 1-7 ATS as conference favorites @home by greater than 7pts. In addition, AF has now lost outright 6 of their last 9 home conference games the last 2 years and part of the reason is because of their requirements that I have listed above. What I mentioned has strong merit!
AF struggles against SDSU. Sometimes a team just has your # and always plays you tough. That is SDSU! Doesn?t matter how good/poor SDSU is or how strong/weak AF is. DOESN?T MATTER! SDSU plays AF tough!
*Last year AF was -5.5 favorites at home vs SDSU and lost 37-31.
*2 years ago AF was -4.5 favorites @SDSU and lost 24-12
AF has lost to SDSU 3 straight years! Vegas this weekend is not only asking AF to beat SDSU but to win by double digits?
AF is 2-6 ATS vs SDSU the past 6 years, and the favorite in this series is just 3-9 ATS past 12 years. Last week against UCLA, SDSU outgained UCLA from line of scrimmage. SDSU will move the ball against the AF defense. AF does not match up well to the huge Aztec OL (although inexperienced) and Aztec RB Hamilton. He is def. a top 5 RB in the country on a list of ?RB?s you have not heard of.? He is the real deal and was a big time recruit for SDSU last year. SDSU offense moved the ball well against UCLA but throughout the game SDSU made stupid mistakes. I think the Aztecs will play much cleaner game against AF and remember, SDSU plays well against AF!
Here are some bold statements made by SDSU HC Tom Craft. He said his squad outplayed the Bruins despite losing 44-21. "We had the edge, clearly, in first downs (23 to 16); clearly, in time of possession (33:09 to 26:51); and, clearly, in number of plays (81 to 53). And we were over 50 percent on third-down conversions."
Nobody knows his team better than Craft. Lets take is word for it (even if its just coach speak) and say SDSU did outplay UCLA. I?ll gladly take +8 over AF, a team who not beaten SDSU in 3 years! Don?t be surprised if you see me add a unit on SDSU ML. I really like this play.
An added bonus....
SDSU is 9-2 ATS after UCLA
Good luck!
UAB :thumb:
Last week I won 2 units with UAB over TN. This week I plan on winning 5 units with UAB over Troy. I am expecting a 17+ rout over Troy.
Looks like I will continue my trend this weekend of taking a team that looked impressive last week (UAB) over a team who didn't look real impressive (TROY).
UAB is strong on OL and DL. Reports say they have both the #1 OL and #1 DL in Conf. USA. Both were tested against @TN and IMO passed! In contrast, Troy St. lost their entire DL and are inexperienced at OL as well. Only 1 returning starter on the OL. Let me put this into perspective. A combined 12 starts among both lines! Not good!
Last year Troy St. had an excellent defense lead by Demarcus Ware. He was the 1st player EVER to be drafted in the 1st round from the Sun Belt Conf. This guy was something special and created havoc for opposing offenses. He is gone along with a bunch of other defensive starters!
Troy returns only 7 starters (3-O & 4-D) while UAB returns 15 starters (8-O & 7-D) These are quality returning starters for UAB. 5/15 returning starters for UAB were honored with postseason awards!
UAB has an excellent QB, Hackney, who is a 4-year starter. He is the real deal. Last year threw for 3000 yards and 26 TD's. The WR's are very talented and showed off their skill against TN. Passing is this teams strength but I am confident the UAB OL will have no problem with opening holes against the inexperienced Troy DL. Both starting RB?s for UAB averaged over 5ypc last year.
We certainly don't want to forget about UAB's explosive return specialist, Lindsey. Decent chance he takes one back but good chance he puts the powerful UAB offense in good field position all day.
This is the deepest UAB team in the 11 years since coach Brown as been with the team. They are without question contenders in conf. USA. While TROY is without question in a rebuilding year!
I think people betting Troy are remembering their wins against Memphis & Missouri, and their close games to LSU & South Carolina. THIS IS NOT THE SAME TROY TEAM! I cannot stress that enough.
I am not worried about UAB being ready after near upset of TN.
LY UAB lost to FSU in week 2 34-7 and rebounded the next week beating Memphis 35-28 at +1.5 underdogs!
2 years ago UAB was 30pt underdogs to Georgia and lost 16-13 @UGA. The following week UAB beat Army 24-9.
UAB 18-10 ATS after SU loss the last 6 years
UAB is 4-1 ATS away off SU loss
An added bonus.....
UAB is 15-6 ATS in September games since 1992
Last week I won 2 units with UAB over TN. This week I plan on winning 5 units with UAB over Troy. I am expecting a 17+ rout over Troy.
Looks like I will continue my trend this weekend of taking a team that looked impressive last week (UAB) over a team who didn't look real impressive (TROY).
UAB is strong on OL and DL. Reports say they have both the #1 OL and #1 DL in Conf. USA. Both were tested against @TN and IMO passed! In contrast, Troy St. lost their entire DL and are inexperienced at OL as well. Only 1 returning starter on the OL. Let me put this into perspective. A combined 12 starts among both lines! Not good!
Last year Troy St. had an excellent defense lead by Demarcus Ware. He was the 1st player EVER to be drafted in the 1st round from the Sun Belt Conf. This guy was something special and created havoc for opposing offenses. He is gone along with a bunch of other defensive starters!
Troy returns only 7 starters (3-O & 4-D) while UAB returns 15 starters (8-O & 7-D) These are quality returning starters for UAB. 5/15 returning starters for UAB were honored with postseason awards!
UAB has an excellent QB, Hackney, who is a 4-year starter. He is the real deal. Last year threw for 3000 yards and 26 TD's. The WR's are very talented and showed off their skill against TN. Passing is this teams strength but I am confident the UAB OL will have no problem with opening holes against the inexperienced Troy DL. Both starting RB?s for UAB averaged over 5ypc last year.
We certainly don't want to forget about UAB's explosive return specialist, Lindsey. Decent chance he takes one back but good chance he puts the powerful UAB offense in good field position all day.
This is the deepest UAB team in the 11 years since coach Brown as been with the team. They are without question contenders in conf. USA. While TROY is without question in a rebuilding year!
I think people betting Troy are remembering their wins against Memphis & Missouri, and their close games to LSU & South Carolina. THIS IS NOT THE SAME TROY TEAM! I cannot stress that enough.
I am not worried about UAB being ready after near upset of TN.
LY UAB lost to FSU in week 2 34-7 and rebounded the next week beating Memphis 35-28 at +1.5 underdogs!
2 years ago UAB was 30pt underdogs to Georgia and lost 16-13 @UGA. The following week UAB beat Army 24-9.
UAB 18-10 ATS after SU loss the last 6 years
UAB is 4-1 ATS away off SU loss
An added bonus.....
UAB is 15-6 ATS in September games since 1992
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Scott, earlier in the week you said you were gonna take ND against Mich. at +7. Still leaning that way or backing away from that game. I called in a took ND +7 for 2units a while ago...no play on the over under. Just wondering.
Took OSU ML -215 for 2h (pinny) To win 1.1 units.
$1,182.50 to win $550.00
So I have decent chance at middle since I have FAU +15 for 1 unit. Although I am 0-3 this year in getting middles despite having EXCELLENT chance at getting them. I am not getting lucky at all but I hate to middle. Tonight I am focused on buying my bet back because of the $hit things that happened in 1h.
I handicapped this game perfectly. FAU is just playing stupid and on top of that OSU is getting all the breaks. Very frustrating. Enough of this $hit. Although I still lose a unit if FAU loses by less than 10 pts. Risk I am willing to take. I think FAU defense gets tired since they been on field so much. However that unit played very well. This should be a 7-7 ball game.
$1,182.50 to win $550.00
So I have decent chance at middle since I have FAU +15 for 1 unit. Although I am 0-3 this year in getting middles despite having EXCELLENT chance at getting them. I am not getting lucky at all but I hate to middle. Tonight I am focused on buying my bet back because of the $hit things that happened in 1h.
I handicapped this game perfectly. FAU is just playing stupid and on top of that OSU is getting all the breaks. Very frustrating. Enough of this $hit. Although I still lose a unit if FAU loses by less than 10 pts. Risk I am willing to take. I think FAU defense gets tired since they been on field so much. However that unit played very well. This should be a 7-7 ball game.
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