week 5

[EXTRAPOLATER]

2025 NFL: 23-28-2 +94.26
--straight: 8-4-2 [sides: 8-4-1 (fave:5-4-1, dog:3-0) totals: 0-0-1 (ov:x-y, un:0-0-1)]
--teasers: 14-15 [6, 6.5 & 7pts: 7-11, T3/10: 4-3, T4/13: 3-1]
--parlays: 1-9
===*===

Two winning weeks in a row, here, despite a harmful multiples addiction. Packers on bye so that should save me money.

===

Rams -6.5 -106 106/100
Browns +3.5 -110 110/100
cowboys -2.5 -104 104/100
Seahawks -4 +101 100/101
chiefs -4 +102 200/204
=620(5)

T2/6 Rams -1.5 / Colts -1 -130 65/50
T2/6 Rams -1.5 / Cardinals -1.5 -130 65/50
T4/13 49ers@Rams un58 / vikings-Browns un49 / Ravens +14 / patriots +22.5 -140 70/50
T3/10 49ers@Rams un55 / broncos@Eagles un53.5 / lions -0.5 -130 65/50
T4/13 Browns +16.5 / broncos@Eagles un56.5 / buccaneers@Seahawks un57.5 / patriots +22.5 -140 70/50
T2/6 Colts -1 / lions -4.5 -130 65/50
T2/6.5 buccaneers@Seahawks un51 / lions -4 -120 60/50
=460(7)

P3 1H Rams -5.5 -110 / 1H Seahawks -1.5 -110 / 1H lions -6.5 -118 <+573> 40/229.33
P2 Rams -299 / chiefs -185 <+105> 100/105.58
P2 cowboys -2.5 -106 / chiefs -185 <+199> 50/99.69
P2 Seahawks -3 -127 / chiefs -185 <+175> 50/87.68
=240(4)

===*===

-Carson Wentz gets antsy and plays like shit when pressured.
-All quarterbacks are pressured by Browns.
-Therefore, Socrates is mortal.

I am much too spaced out to fabricate any more secrets of the universe. Handicapping was done in a more coherent and rational state. I hope.

Alive for five.

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[EXTRAPOLATER]

I'm noticing a pattern, here; are you still a Ravens fan Jack?
Still have a place in my heart due to that last pre-Brady Bowl.
Times are tough, however. See no evil within.

I'm already down 376 from earlier 1320 due to getting Rammed Thursday. Got some last-minute adds due to confidence or intoxicants. Not mutually exclusive.

===
Seahawks -4 +101 100/101
---
T4/13 Browns +16.5 / Seahawks +9.5 / patriots +22.5 / chiefs +9.5 -140 70/50
T3/10 vikings@Browns un46 / giants@Saints un52 / lions -0.5 -130 65/50
T3/10 broncos@Eagles un54.5 / texans +9 / buccaneers@Seahawks un45.5 -130 65/50
---
P2 texans -113 / 1H Seahawks -3 +100 <+277> 50/138.50
P2 Browns +153 / Colts -9.5 +126 / Cardinals -9.5 +117 <+1141> 20/228.15
===*===

--Darnold's wild-eyed stare still scares me, and last week was a miracle hit with 'Hawks. I'm thinking the Bucs travel and their injury issues gives a solid edge to Seahawks here. If opponent passer rating is a thing (I'm undecided), through 4 weeks the Seahawks are 4th at 76.4 while the Buccaneers are 20th at 95.7.

--Vikings O-line is suffering and Wentz is mortal like Socrates, as mentioned. Who knows if Dillon Gabriel will survive, but he's backed by a much better D than Jaxson Dart had with Giants as they beat the Chargers. Sure as hell should stay close and the number alone says not to expect tons of points.

Hoping for some good games.
Enjoy.

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[MadJack]

are you still a Ravens fan Jack?

I expected them to be the #1 seed. Then I certainly expected them to be the division winner. Now I don't know what to think.

Coaching. I've been saying it for years, going back to the Flacco days.

They need to win one of the next two (Texans - Rams) then they have their BYE week.

Flag this post so somebody can bring it back up to prove me an ass.

They somehow get to 5-5 and finish the season 5-2 and win the division at 10-7. We'll play the Chiefs or Broncos at home in the WC round then play the Jags or Colts in the DR, then kick some Bills ass in the AFCC game.

 

[ChasDee]

I think they get the win today, Jackson! As long as Harballs doesn't f*** things up!
Even w/o Lamar. King Henry to the rescue vs a suspect run defense.
(Besides, I need this one today for my Futures bet on the Ravens...)

 

[MadJack]

I think they get the win today, Jackson! As long as Harballs doesn't f*** things up!
Even w/o Lamar. King Henry to the rescue vs a suspect run defense.
(Besides, I need this one today for my Futures bet on the Ravens...)

I sure hope so.

I guess Bisciotti is going to stick with Harbaugh but man! they really need to clean house and fire the whole coaching staff or they are wasting all that money they pay Lamar. FFS!

Lot of injuries today.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Steelers max.--what?--maybe 9 or 10 wins? Long way to go for Rodgers. They face some violent tacklers next week vs Browns.

Hit my only other middle with Chiefs & Giants +a bunch, but my live Ravens +14 looks grim.

Too many defensive injuries. How they can't manufacture anything is bewildering.

Going split-screen Seahawks and Blue Jays shortly, I figure.
Cheesy-assed tiny laptop.
First-world problems.

===

Just reading above and notice I have a typo, but editing would be satanic.
T3/10 broncos@Eagles un54.5 / texans +9 / buccaneers@Seahawks un45.5 -130 65/50
on my last grabs. Didn't add the 10pts to Bucs@Seahawks under, should be 55.5.

Zero chance it topples that, I figure.
Go Jays!

 

[MadJack]

I give up.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

I still need the Chiefs tomorrow, but won't save my week 5. I like it even more now, with Chargers loss, and I don't think they will pass on available opportunity. Division first.

Against my nature, but I'm rooting for the Patriots for fun and profit. Am I right if they win it won't be a shootout?

-821 I think, so far
(non-winning, not super-favorite)

===

P2 patriots +369 / patriots@Bills under 48 +106 <+866> 50/433.07
mon chiefs -3 -123 246/200

===

I like upcoming week 6 too merrily.
Barring a Chiefs loss, which ain't happening.

Go <cough> Pats!
<choke cough gag>

cheers

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