Week 6 Card (Oct 6-10th)

[Irish]

I suck right now... need to get things going.

Mid Tenn St (+4.5) over Troy
I like the blue raider defense in this game. They have forced 13 turnovers and the secondary is playing above where I though they would. They were beating NT 30-7 but let the gree machine skirt back before closing it out. The Blue raider defense is helped out a ton by the offense and first year Co. I mean they have scored almostr 30 per game and thats against some good teams. Troy is coming off an emotional win last week against Ark St. This is in a game where Troy lost the ball on fumbles 3 times. I mean Troy likes to give up the ball and I think the blue raiders take advantage. They droped it 3 times aginst UAB, lost one. They lost three of three against Ark St, lost two of four against florida and recovered its only fumble against BG. So in four games they Troy has put the ball on the turf, JUST FUMBLES MIND YOU a grand total of 11 times. Levi Brown is a good QB that completes about 67% but they just kill themselves during the process. I mean Troy is also hampered by false starts and penalties constantly throughout the game. Troy has won the last three meetings so I mean the Blue Raiders have to have this game circled. Where this game will play out is how a Mid Tenn St offense line handles the troy defense front. If the raiders get time they should be able to pick apart a weak secondary. But considering Md Tenn has played some good defenses they should have enough to get it done on the line. This is also due in part to getting extra time to plan for Troy with the OLD OFFENSIVE CO from the trojans now with Md Tenn St. I mean this should be a good game, both teams know each other well. Md Tenn has issues throwing into coverage but troy has issues being our of position in coverage. Troy has poor ball control and committs too mental mistakes and I think that the blue raiders win this game even at troy because they do not hurt themselves like troy, A bit of a question at QB for Md Tenn but I think the extra help from old coaches help get the raiders over the hump in this game. Troy has had this teams number but I have to take the points and the team that is playing more prepared better coached football and thats the raiders.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Just spent about 45 mins writting up these plays when my computer froze and I lost it all. Thats the way this has been going lately... maybe thats gods way of saying your picks suck and no one should see them???:shrug:

Nebraska (-3) over Mizzou
Big play
Nebraska is the real deal and they have killed lesser talent while playing in a dog fight against VT. They have lost seven road games to ranked opponets but this Mizzou team is over rated in my book. They have played no one and they had a dog fight on their hands against Bowling green and nevada, allowing both teams to move the ball and score against them. The tigers play a soft defense and Nebraska has an offense that can score, they will prove they are the better team. The huskers have a loss to a ranked team this year and they will not have another. Mizzou riding last years records to this years ranking. The tigers can pass the ball but they cannot run it, the huskers can defend the run using the front four and some LB help but then can concentrate on playing pass. Gabbert has not thrown a pick this season but I see that ending on thursday. I think Nebraska has more to play for and they are the better team. They will prove they deserve the game and they will come with their A game considering Mizzou was ranked. Too much offense for the huskers, they get on Mizzou and the tigers will not be ready to play a good team. They will look confused when the things that have worked so well do not and the game plan will cause them to implode. Lean on the passing attack all night and even with a few plays made I expect the front four of Nebraska to get on Gabbert all night, make him uncomfortable and Mizzou will follow.

Arkansas (+2.5) over Auburn
Big win for the razor backs last week. They will have too much success in the air for Auburn to stay with. Auburn was torched by WVU deep and the razor backs have a far better qb and much more talent at WR. This is a situation where there is no pressure on the home team. They have nothing to lose and they can take a lot of chances. WVU game the tigers the game and I do not think Arky does the same. They come in looking for a big win for the program and they get it against a Auburn team that has been over achieving to this point. You cannot over look Auburn is 5-0 they have been playing well but look at who they have played. 4 home games and one away, Tennessee showed they are down right bad against Auburn and Crompton is a terrible QB. WVU had a commanding lead and gave the tigers that game. Arky has showed they can score and have a very good offense, I think the ability for the razorbacks to score and the home firld gives the razorbacks the WIN on saturday. A ranked team for the first time this season coming off an emotion road win in the division against a team with nothing to lose and the ability to sscore proves that Auburn is a good team but they might be given a little too much credit for beating teams they should beat.

WVU (-10) over Cuse
Small play
Cuse is that bad, WVU even on the road cannot afford another loss they should run all over the orange. I look for the offense of WVU to get all over them unlike what S.Fla did last game. The bulls came in with a hangover while WVU needs to find themselves. This is tough because WVU is not a great road team but they post in this game.

Oregon (-6.5) over UCLA
The ducks have found their offense and UCLA again turns to its back up QB again. This is touch because of the amount of chalk on the road but the ducks are the far better team and they need wins after losing to Boise. The ducks should play with a chip since they lost to a ranked team but ddropped out of the polls. They come in and play offensively like they have been playing they will allow the bruins to score but they should pull away as the game goes on.

Bama (-6.5) over Ol Miss
I think Bama is the better team and after watching Ol Miss in the south Carolina team I think they get out coached and out gameplaned. They are a team that read too much about the florida win last season. Bama knows they are a good team, they come to play and they are the better team on offense and defense.

VT (-13.5) over BC
VT finding the running game has let Taylor come of age throwing the ball. They get the eagles off an emotion win where the whole world was looking at the and Herlich. Now they go to blacksburg, they will come in a bit flat and afte the FSU win I think the hokies take them serious and that means they come to play and have too much running game for BC.

Navy (-13.5) over Rice
Anyone against rice is worth a small play for me.

Washington (+3) over Arizona
Home field, off emotion at ND is going to be tough but I think Arizona is another overrated team. They have been banged up all season and I think Washington has a lot to play for in this game. The huskies are fighting for their pac 10 lives, they are well coached and they have the better QB. I have to think this is going to be a good game and both teams have shots at winning, but with the home field and the points I think the huskies have more to play for knowing what a win would do for them. They beat USC, they lost to ND the huskies run hot and cold but I am hoping the hoime field gets them running hot and they win this game.

Texas (-31.5) over Colorado
Even with a tough game coming up Colorado just sucks. The buffs show up and from the time they get off the bus Texas should be able to do whatever they want. The easy way to game plan against Colorado... run blitz and double #21. I think the horns do this and colorado just quits... bye bye Hawkins and take your son with you!

Iowa (-8) over Michigan
I think the wolverines have run out of gas. They have played some VERY emotional games and looked out right spent at the end of last week. So they lose to Mich St and now travel to Iowa. It seems the hawkeyes only show up for the big games and to them this is a big game. I think the line tells you to take Michigan but looking at the two teams Mich is just lkike ND, they are smoke and mirrors and against good teams they struggle. Iowa comes in ready to play this game and I think Mich runs out of gas before they get on the field. The best way for this to go is Iowa to get on top, they apply pressure until Mich just is out of gas. Also I like the defensive front to really dominate this Mich o-line, get on the young QB that feels it was his fault they lost the game last week. Rip his confidence away from the first series.

Cheers
Irish

 

[bej0101]

like oregon and alabama..gl

love em in a teaser..:00hour

 

[IwantYourPicks]

the line for oregon has dropped to -3.5. Think its because their back up quarterback most likely will start against UCLA?

 

[tulah]

the line for oregon has dropped to -3.5. Think its because their back up quarterback most likely will start against UCLA?

UCLA QB Prince to return in this game but I doubt that worth 3pts swing....Prince only played 2gms this season before the injury @ Tenn....

Is Oregon having Injury issues?
I gotta look into it... I'll be @ the game....Scored awesome 40yd ln seats......

On a side note
UCLA @ the Rosebowl has been very profitable over the last few seasons..... as a fav or a dog...

Will be bumping heads on this one but I do like WVA alot.....


GL Irish:mj06:

 

[Irish]

The reason for the Swing is Roper is expected to start. Personally I like Roper more than Masoli because the guy will throw it before he runs but he has been out of action for a while so thats a lot of rust to shake.

Cheers
Irish

 

[LDB]

bol as always irish

 

[Irish]

Normally don't do this.... But I re-hit and re-hit hard
Nebraska (-3) over Mizzou
My biggest play in almost 5 years. Gotta think the huskers are the better team. I am going with the fact Nebraska has manhandled top teams in low divisions like Ark State and should have won the VT game where they were the better team outside of three or four plays. What can I say but let's dance!

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

WOW... what an unreal 4th quarter. That was the team I expected for all game.

Nevada (+10.5) over La Tech
I see this La Tech team being a little overrated after the entire world saw them dismantle a Hawaii team. The defense looked on a mission as they were in the QB's face almost every snap. Still before that game I wonder what type of defense they have playing game in and out. Now Nevada has been touted all year as a sleeper but it looks like they never woke up to start the season. Taking a 1-3 record into the game tonight the nevada pistol offense just has not looked right. Colin Kapernick just looks to be forcing everything he does in the pocket. Still they have played a very good schedule to be underrated in conference play. They went to south bend, to colorado st and played Mizzou. Those games help give the Nevada team a quiet confidence as they are better then the record shows and every week they get a little better.posting zero points week one, 20 points week 2, 21 points week three and then 63 points in game 4! UNLV is a good team with a lot of returning players. UNLV is a team that was in a dog fight at home against Hawaii and the wolfpack out right hammered them. Also Nevada is starting to get the players involved that they expect to pick up some slack. Everyone knows about Lippencott, Taua and Kapernick but they expect a ton from freshman like Wimberley Patterson (Not a frosh but JUCO), Ball, and a handful of others. The pistol offense allows the line to open holes for the running game and I think La Tech will not be able to handle the ability of Nevada to run the ball. Nevada has a lot of talant and they are home. I think in this a big conference game I expect to see the La Tech defense that has given up hugh chunks on defense. Remember that this defense gave up a TON of yards rushing to Auburn and Navy, and tonight I expect no different. La Tech will struggle against a run first team. Against Hawaii they could not get the passing game moving and it hurt what little running game the warriors wanted to establish. Tonight at home I expect the wolfpack to run all over the bulldogs. This opens up the pass and Kapernick makes some big throws. Taua expected back Lippencott back to 100 percent and the returning WAC player of the year will be too much offensively for La Tech. La Tech averages 25 points per game and give up 22. Navada average 26 but give up 32. So honestly this game could be a bit of a dog fight but still I like Navada's game plan and how they have put up a lot of points last week showing they are goning in the right direction behind the running game. Auburn rushed for 300 plus yards against La Tech and Navy rushed for 290, both were road games for the bulldogs and showes they do not have the same ability on defense away from home. Even at home Nichols state ran for 168 against La Tech, this team cannot stop the run and considering Nevada had 3 100 yard rushers against UNLV and their defense it should be a long day for Bulldog defense, they will be on the field a lot and they will get worn down and then they will get grinded out on drives leading to points.

Cheers
Irish

 

[wareagle]

nice hit last night Irish

gl this weekend

 

[Irish]

Thanks War... I won't lie I was puckered going into the 4th thank god for Captain Morgans!

Okie St (-5.5) over Tex A&M
Big Play
We honestly this should be 10 or more, but everyone is concerned because Bryant is out. Well honerslty he is a WR and Okie has about 6 more that can pick up his slack. I mean Okie State has a loss and they are starting conference play. They have put on average 35 plus on the score board but really have not been challenged. Still they played Houston and Georgia. I mean I watched the Texas A&M game last week, I was on the Aggies and I watch how bad they have hidden their offense behind beating crap teams. They are embarassing to watch and the QB really has no mechanics or touch throwing the ball. Arkansas threw for over 250 yards and they picked apart the secondary of A&M, someing I think Okie st can do as well. Pretty simple as far as a game plan is, Okie state play the run, make Johnson try to beat you and he will end up hurting his own team. This is the first road test for Okie st but I think this team is coming together and they have a ton of talant. I think Robinson is better at reading a defense and scrambling than Arky and he will be able to beat Texas A&M running and throwing. Also I enjoyed as Tex A&M could not generate any pressure outside of their stud linebacker on Arky QB. If Robinson gets that time I don't care who is catching passes they will be big gains. Revenge for Okie state as Robinson was knocked out of this game last year and I am sure they want to make a statement. Okie has the advantage in punting and given how bad Johnson is at moving the chains the punter may play a big role in this game. Not sure if Hunter will be 100% but I think he should play in this game and since moving the o-line around Okie has found a way to open up some running room. Okie has too much returning talant for Tex to score with. Arky showed that Tex A&M is not consistant and if you try to run a track meet against them you will win. I think that the aggies are overrated because of their record but the cowboys are the better team. I also think Okie state is overrated but in this game conference match up with revenge on their minds the cowboys are the more talented team and less than 6 is a good spot for them on the road. Remember kids Sherman is not used to having a QB that can't make decisions in play, he will put his QB in bad spots and Johnson will show everyone he is an unaccurate QB in a TE body. Okie out scores A&M even in the unfriendly enviorment.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Jimboski]

Iowa it is

Iowa it is

I see you're on Iowa. Thems a team I really respect and still believe the oddsmakers are not giving them enough respect. Very well coached and the best defensive team that I've seen in awhile. Like your play a lot and one reason is that Mich. is so erratic. Another good reason is Forcier's shoulder problems.

This is the only OVER/UNDER I liked when the lines first came out and maybe I copied the no. wrong (?) cause I got 49 written down. I just went to get me some and NOW I'm seeing 46 1/2. DAMN. I ain't biting; I already got enough going on with other games.

Good luck with the side play though, Irish. I go by my numbers and they come up as weak vote for the Hawkeyes. Wish they woulda picked them.

 

[AR182]

irish....

nice hit last night on nebraska....


good luck this week....

 

[autt_4]

Good job with that Nebraska pick :mj06:
I thought I had it at half but Mizzo is weak and I should have known better.

Nice Job GL

 

[boilermaker]

Like the Haweyes, Ducks and Cowboys plays Irish. BOL 2 U this weekend.

 

[Irish]

Gt(+3) over fsu
small play based on the issues going on inside fsu. They have talent but they just are poorly coached and disorganized. What kills a poorly coached team an option. Gt will confuse fsu and again they will self distruct. Gt will also go deep because fsu is down right rubish against the pass. Nesbitt has no touch but th boy can chuck it deep and let the receivers go get it.

Lsu (+7) over fla
the tigers go after Florida and it's banged up qb. I like the points here as fla wonders if they should risk the health of tebow. I think he plays but reels the high octane approach out and the points at home are too much for me to pass on.

Ohio state (-16) over wisky
small play based on the line. This scream take wisky. The money is on wisky but the line has not moved. Ohio sts defense at home is good and all I hear is wisky can stay with them if they get the running game going well what if they can. I am just thinking this is an odd line and I'll run toward the smell here.

Pitt (-7) over uconn
I liked the huskies a lot when it was ten but I see a lot of value here. Typically uconn plays solid football but I just don't think they have the talent to push the Pitt defense off the line. I like the size of the Pitt wide receivers and I think the freshman runningbacks for Pitt are for real. They push each other and I do not think uconn can shut them both down for the entire game and play the pass. I like Pitt being at home knowing uconn always plays tough. They can't sleep on the huskies and come to play and have just too much talent as uconn is beat up.

Georgia (ml) over tenn
play on tenn being terrible. Georgia can score points on good team. Tenn cannot play well even at home. A small play on the dawgs cause they need a win and compton stinks something terrible. Tenn will run the ball and they will struggle to exchange scores with Georgia.

Maryland (+12.5) over wake
small play
a big win will give the terps confidence remember it was just about this time last year everyone wrote the terps off and they found their stride. Wake has struggled to beat anyone and especially by this number. Now the terps could lay an egg like they did earlier this season but I think we see a more excited terp team play with emotion and fire and this team does have talent if they use it. Wake will not scare them and they build of a huge win last week. Playing the us against the world card again.

Thanks for the kudos guys but one huge win does not stop the leak that's been present so far. Keep pluggin away

cheers
Irish

 

[hawkeye]

GL on all your plays. Like Ok St. adn I agree Colo sucks big time

 

[Master Capper]

As always good luck Irish

 

[DeadPrez]

BOL Irish

 

[Morris]

Like a lot of them. GL Irish!!