Defensively the Ravens have a clear advantage over the 2 offensive ends for the Packers. Suggs and Dumerville could combine for 3+ sacks in this game. Rodgers however is maybe the quickest QB to release the ball in the NFL. Any other QB could be suffocated in these conditions. Packers will get their points, but by no means will they just have their way with the Ravens defense.
Offensively, the Ravens won't be setting records on the ground, but with Rice's health improving and the Packers banged up, the Ravens should be able to get in 25-30 productive runs. This sets up the play action, Flacco's meal ticket. Packers were 26th in the league against the pass and that was with Matthews. Ravens could have their best day of the year offensively, dominate the clock and keep Mr Rodgers on the sidelines.
One thing both of these teams have in common is that their play at home is significantly better than their play on the road. Packers have lost 4 in a row on the road and 5 of last 6. Baltimore is one of the toughest venues to play in the NFL, not the best place to turn a road losing streak around.
Play: Ravens +3 -122 (buy to 3) W
Prediction: Ravens 34 Packers 28
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