Let me start off by sayin I first take stats and run them thru a little system that I created. No bias at all, just simply numbers. After I am done, I find all the games that have a significant difference between the number vegas has and the number I got...
In this case I had lsu by 10.
After finding the games that stick out, I then try to figure out good reasons why I think a certain team will win to further my decision to play them. (I don't play all games that show up)
Lsu:
1. Will be hungry. They know any chance at a national title goes out the door with loss #2. Les miles will have this team ready.
2. Lsu at home is insanley good. That place will be absolutley rocking. Similar to s.c last week, I think lsu hits some big plays early and takes all momentum.
3. Stopping lattimore. Regardless of who s.c has at qb, they key to beating them is stopping lattimore. Lsu will do so. Miles has amazing schemes and gameplans for big games. Lsu secondary is top notch even without honeybadger. Stop lattimore, stop s.c on the road. Driskell had like 60 yds passing but florida ran well...lsu will make a point to stop the run...and their secondary is nasty so will be able to contain sc passing game
4. Run the ball. Georgia struggled last week, but they did have some succes running the ball. If they wouldn't of had to throw because of a large deficit, they would ripped off 200 yds rushing I almost gaurantee it... ware will get downhill......lsu line play has been bad, but miles will play to their strenghts ...if u can't block clowney, put 2 on em...
5. Like stated above lsu secondary is insane. They will make plays and I suspect a few turnovers. I love the playmakers here. Turnovers are the most crucial part of the game imo...lsu is good at making plays in big spots...
6. Line just seemed weird to me....two teams most people feel are going in opposite directions....#3 ranked team in the country gettin spotted points...just strange to me...
7. I do not whatsoever see s.c going unbeaten. Just don't. Dumb reaosn to play a game, but they will lose. Noone better then lsu to take em down...
8. Night game at lsu....come on man
These are all just reasons I like lsu, but like stated, the main reason I play games is when my numbers don't match what vegas has....I am have lsu by 10 which honestly was good enough for me without considering all of this...
Like I said, initially I just take stats and run them thru, keeping all bias out of the equation.
These are just reasons I selected lsu as one of the plays.
May not be the most ideal way to pick games, but it has worked for me for 6 years.