Week 9 plays

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
YTD 132-113-6 +15.19 Units

Illinois -1.5 for 3 Units
Off the bye for the Illini and finally healthy at QB. IU back on the road again and facing a very solid defense in Illinois. Great situational spot and I will lay the small chalk at home.
 

taylormade9998

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 14, 2011
433
10
0
Burlington, New Jersey
YTD 132-113-6 +15.19 Units

Illinois -1.5 for 3 Units
Off the bye for the Illini and finally healthy at QB. IU back on the road again and facing a very solid defense in Illinois. Great situational spot and I will lay the small chalk at home.

I like this game to be an over as well Indiana scores and has no D im not sure what the number is going to be but if its under 55 to 57 I like it
 

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
Illinois has struggled to score this year big time though! IU can put up points but weather will start to be a factor the last 6 weeks of the season in Big Ten country, something to consider. GL!
 

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
UGA +6 for 2 Units
Dawgs struggled on the road off the bye week but full well knowing they had UF on deck. UF on the other hand has had some very physical battles with LSU and South Carolina, not to mention a tough game at Vandy. I really think UGA gets the outright win here so I will gladly take the points.
 

taylormade9998

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 14, 2011
433
10
0
Burlington, New Jersey
I hope you are right I am not a Florida hater but I do like Oregon and I would like to see Oregon v Alabama in title game. FYI I also think Oregon crushes USC next week in LA. Was hoping they would both be undefeated so USC would b the fav but I have a feeling oregon is going to be about -4
 
A

azbob

Guest
There appear to be quite a few sides this week where the "evil genius" (bookmaker) is begging for us to take a particular side. Hopefully we can all avoid his traps.

To place the kiss of death on myself, I think there are quite a few playable games this week. I try to evaluate my "confidence level" on Monday and then again on Friday...it is the highest of the year this week. FWIW...last week was low and I ended up well in the black.

I like Kansas State and Arkansas both for many of the same reasons. Each beat their opponent on the road last year (Texas Tech and Miss) after coming back from an early deficit. I think Arkansas is healthy now and I think the line is discounted based on their early season performance. I believe Bill Snyder will not let KS overlook TT and Tech comes off a 3OT emotional road win. I think it will be hard for them to hang in against KS and this game should follow the same blueprint as their loss to OK.

Marshall had a big game last weekend but, they move up in class so I like C Florida giving 2.5/3.

I'm going to take the bait on NW as giving only 6.5 to Iowa appears to be worth a play. I'm also going to ride with N Illinois at -7.

Games on my first look list include AF +3 versus Nevada although I have to figure out what the heck happened to Nevada last weekend. Wisky opened at -6 and is now -7...I think their RB (Ball) is the best I've seen this year.

USC at -6.5 also seems lower than I'd expect and I don't think they will overlook AZ. The Wildcats at home are no bargin.

FSU's running back is out and I would love to take Duke +27.5. Also like Pitt (again). Finally am looking at Nebraska over Michigan and was hoping to get -7 on OK versus Notre Dame as I have no respect for the Irish.
 

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
There appear to be quite a few sides this week where the "evil genius" (bookmaker) is begging for us to take a particular side. Hopefully we can all avoid his traps.

To place the kiss of death on myself, I think there are quite a few playable games this week. I try to evaluate my "confidence level" on Monday and then again on Friday...it is the highest of the year this week. FWIW...last week was low and I ended up well in the black.

I like Kansas State and Arkansas both for many of the same reasons. Each beat their opponent on the road last year (Texas Tech and Miss) after coming back from an early deficit. I think Arkansas is healthy now and I think the line is discounted based on their early season performance. I believe Bill Snyder will not let KS overlook TT and Tech comes off a 3OT emotional road win. I think it will be hard for them to hang in against KS and this game should follow the same blueprint as their loss to OK.

Marshall had a big game last weekend but, they move up in class so I like C Florida giving 2.5/3.

I'm going to take the bait on NW as giving only 6.5 to Iowa appears to be worth a play. I'm also going to ride with N Illinois at -7.

Games on my first look list include AF +3 versus Nevada although I have to figure out what the heck happened to Nevada last weekend. Wisky opened at -6 and is now -7...I think their RB (Ball) is the best I've seen this year.

USC at -6.5 also seems lower than I'd expect and I don't think they will overlook AZ. The Wildcats at home are no bargin.

FSU's running back is out and I would love to take Duke +27.5. Also like Pitt (again). Finally am looking at Nebraska over Michigan and was hoping to get -7 on OK versus Notre Dame as I have no respect for the Irish.

AZ at home with USC looking ahead to Oregon next week with the number set at a key number, AZ or no play for me. I like AF though, with you on that! Does Duke have a letdown after becoming bowl eligible last week?

I like KSU and UCF a fair amount, no play for me on Arky but I side with you on Wisky. I couldnt tell you if NIU is a nice play or not, have yet to look at it.

As for ND, you and I will differ on that one. I have my reasoning to come later when I post my play. GL my friend, great having a discussion each week!:0074
 

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
Nice to hit last nights total!

UL -3 for 2 Units
Homefield advantage in primetime on a Friday night will be big for UL. They got caught looking ahead last week but survived USF. Defense will be the different as I think UL has this area covered in a huge way!
 

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
Goldsheet plays -

NIU by 18 over WMU
Maryland by 13 over BC
NC St. by 4 over UNC
WKU by 17 over FIU
 

taylormade9998

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 14, 2011
433
10
0
Burlington, New Jersey
Goldsheet plays -

NIU by 18 over WMU
Maryland by 13 over BC
NC St. by 4 over UNC
WKU by 17 over FIU

I agree about NC State I saw the line at unc -7 and was suprised rivalry game and NC st, can score I dont know if they win out right but I def think its a fg game if they lose. I think they will win it outright though.
 

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
I agree about NC State I saw the line at unc -7 and was suprised rivalry game and NC st, can score I dont know if they win out right but I def think its a fg game if they lose. I think they will win it outright though.

I had it circled, I have a few more ready to play but havent posted them yet. NC St. was one of them. I will post the info that the Goldsheet gave, they had solid info on that play. GL:0074
 

Handi Capper

'That Said'
Forum Member
Apr 8, 2004
11,858
642
113
67
northern Ky
UGA +6 for 2 Units
Dawgs struggled on the road off the bye week but full well knowing they had UF on deck. UF on the other hand has had some very physical battles with LSU and South Carolina, not to mention a tough game at Vandy. I really think UGA gets the outright win here so I will gladly take the points.

GL buddy
 
A

azbob

Guest
I can see where USC falls into that trap category but, Kiffin is playing for style points to move up in the polls and AZ's home field has not proven to be an advantage. Redd should have a big game.

I will be on Oregon in the first half up to about -31.

I think good teams suffer a potential emotional let down after a big win but, I don't think teams that have been down for so long (Duke) have the same range of emotions. This one is not on my strong play list but, it will be a play. FSU just seems to be uninterested most of the time.

I like Louisville. NW is a stronger play for me now. N Illinois is 4-0 ATS in the conference and rushed for almost 500 yards vs W Michigan last year in blowing open the game in the 2H.

I can't lay 10 with OK so that will be a no play with me. You have to go into that game knowing that Stoops will be outcoached so that is too many points.

Kent and Rutgers play each other which negates two of my favorite under the radar ATS plays so I have to dig deeper to find my top seven.

Continued success.
 

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
Wisky -6 for 2 Units
MSU off a huge emotional loss against Michigan, now in back to back roadies against a much improved Wisky squad after a slow start. Between homefield and their ability to pound the ball, I think Wisky wears down MSU and get a double digit win.
 

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
Auburn +15 for 2 Units
This team doesnt have much to play for but at home in a night game is always trouble for any opponent at Auburn. A&M are off 2 hard fought road wins at Ole Miss and LT. Then a tough home loss in which they got beat up pretty good in the 2nd half. I think this is a horrible spot for A&M favoured by this many points. Auburn almost stunned LSU earlier in the season at home, they can do it again!
 

capping-guru

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 3, 2011
8,888
26
0
ND +11.5 for 4 Units(just grabbed it at Pinny)
I have been sitting on this game all week waiting for the line to go up. Vegas could have set this number at 14 and they would have had a ton of action on the fav. The total makes no sense for an 11.5 pt. fav. It should be in the mid 50's if Vegas really thought OU was going to cover the number.

Every board you go to has so many people saying OU big with very few giving ND a chance. When see and hear that it makes you even more confident on taking this dog. Public is all over OU and I will take the team that has played the tougher schedule and doesnt have a QB or coach that seem to crap the bed when the chips are down. Sure OU beat Texas but how many times has OU faltered when they have no business losing to inferior teams.

Everyone talks about how ND has no offense but last week was a prime example playing against one of the top 10 defenses in BYU. They kept throwing the ball to Eifert and then eventually when they gave him the attention they wanted, the Irish ran the ball down BYU's throats. 29 plays run in the 2nd half, 26 of them were runs! This offense sets itself up well and takes when the defense gives them. They throttled Miami when all the so-called experts said the Canes speed was too much.

I might end being way off but I see this is a FG game! Give me the points!
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top