There appear to be quite a few sides this week where the "evil genius" (bookmaker) is begging for us to take a particular side. Hopefully we can all avoid his traps.
To place the kiss of death on myself, I think there are quite a few playable games this week. I try to evaluate my "confidence level" on Monday and then again on Friday...it is the highest of the year this week. FWIW...last week was low and I ended up well in the black.
I like Kansas State and Arkansas both for many of the same reasons. Each beat their opponent on the road last year (Texas Tech and Miss) after coming back from an early deficit. I think Arkansas is healthy now and I think the line is discounted based on their early season performance. I believe Bill Snyder will not let KS overlook TT and Tech comes off a 3OT emotional road win. I think it will be hard for them to hang in against KS and this game should follow the same blueprint as their loss to OK.
Marshall had a big game last weekend but, they move up in class so I like C Florida giving 2.5/3.
I'm going to take the bait on NW as giving only 6.5 to Iowa appears to be worth a play. I'm also going to ride with N Illinois at -7.
Games on my first look list include AF +3 versus Nevada although I have to figure out what the heck happened to Nevada last weekend. Wisky opened at -6 and is now -7...I think their RB (Ball) is the best I've seen this year.
USC at -6.5 also seems lower than I'd expect and I don't think they will overlook AZ. The Wildcats at home are no bargin.
FSU's running back is out and I would love to take Duke +27.5. Also like Pitt (again). Finally am looking at Nebraska over Michigan and was hoping to get -7 on OK versus Notre Dame as I have no respect for the Irish.
AZ at home with USC looking ahead to Oregon next week with the number set at a key number, AZ or no play for me. I like AF though, with you on that! Does Duke have a letdown after becoming bowl eligible last week?
I like KSU and UCF a fair amount, no play for me on Arky but I side with you on Wisky. I couldnt tell you if NIU is a nice play or not, have yet to look at it.
As for ND, you and I will differ on that one. I have my reasoning to come later when I post my play. GL my friend, great having a discussion each week!:0074