Week 9

[#cruncher]

Week 8: 3-2, +0.30
Overall: 17-11, -2.43

I've added 3 more columns, don't know why I didn't do it last week.

OV = Overall rating (3 points for home field added in)

LG = Last game (3 points for home field), how last game graded out

FV = How they have performed as a favorite

DG = how they have performed as a underdog

3 point HF advantage only added in to CON (Conference), OV (Overall), and LG (last game)

 

[#cruncher]

PS	CST	ROT	STK	Team	LINE	CON	OV	LG	HM	AW	FV	DG
53	26-Oct	103	W-3	Toledo	26	77	71	86	72	70	73	63
20	6:00p	104	L-4	Ball St	60?	22	41	13	40	37	69	32
20	26-Oct	105	W-2	S Alabama	2	63	55	63	55	55	56	54
24	6:30p	106	L-1	Georgia St	49	54	56	43	40	56	61	47
17	26-Oct	107	L-5	E Michigan	44?	67	65	67	64	65	62	66
16	6:00p	108	W-3	N Illinois	7	70	71	82	68	67	67	68
55	26-Oct	109	W-4	Stanford	23	87	85	113	99	67	89	62
20	8:00p	110	L-5	Oregon St	58?	58	52	66	50	48	36	52
21	27-Oct	111	L-1	Florida St	2?	78	79	72	76	82	77	82
20	7:00p	112	W-2	Boston College	45	76	75	100	67	78	67	75
30	27-Oct	113	L-2	Tulane	66	77	63	71	78	49	66	60
38	7:00p	114	W-3	Memphis	10?	76	75	74	70	73	75	68
36	27-Oct	115	L-1	Tulsa	75.5	58	61	47	72	50	60	62
48	8:00p	116	W-1	Smu	10	65	73	61	80	60	75	61
20	28-Oct	117	L-2	Nebraska	48	68	68	53	66	71	73	61
26	6:30p	118	L-2	Purdue	6	78	80	65	76	79	78	76
18	28-Oct	119	L-3	Tennessee	45.5	63	66	62	60	72	71	61
22	6:30p	120	L-1	Kentucky	5?	71	71	47	70	66	68	68
18	28-Oct	121	L-4	Vanderbilt	45?	52	61	46	61	61	74	58
26	3:00p	122	W-2	S Carolina	7	78	77	77	69	78	58	81
22	28-Oct	123	L-3	Buffalo	48?	60	62	46	68	56	65	60
17	10:30a	124	L-1	Akron	3	64	60	50	61	55	69	55
27	28-Oct	127	W-1	Louisville	3	71	74	82	73	76	75	73
38	11:20a	128	L-3	Wake Forest	62	82	83	72	87	77	83	79
41	28-Oct	129	W-6	Miami	20?	86	88	82	87	90	88
17	11:00a	130	L-5	N Carolina	50	58	65	37	65	57	74	58
13	28-Oct	131	W-2	Rutgers	43?	67	61	75	61	63	58	62
24	11:00a	132	L-1	Michigan	23?	79	82	69	78	80	82	66
14	28-Oct	133	W-1	Florida Intl	45?	41	48	76	59	40	43	49
29	1:30p	134	W-5	Marshall	17	74	71	83	69	68	70	66
33	28-Oct	135	W-3	Appalachian St	3.5	56	62	53	67	57	56	73
22	2:30p	136	W-1	Massachusetts	56		57	83	56	50	80	49
25	28-Oct	137	L-1	Virginia	50	63	68	42	62	81	66	74
27	11:30a	138	W-1	Pittsburgh	3	72	71	82	62	73	75	67
14	28-Oct	139	W-1	Georgia Tech	50	88	84	91	89	76	89	76
30	7:00p	140	L-1	Clemson	14?	96	97	74	96	91	94
45	28-Oct	141	W-1	Missouri	12	59	62	97	62	63	65	59
30	5:30p	142	W-2	Connecticut	75?	54	53	69	48	52	48	50
46	28-Oct	143	W-3	Oklahoma St	7.5	85	91	79	92	91	91
29	11:00a	144	W-2	W Virginia	73	78	81	68	86	74	77	80
35	28-Oct	145	L-2	Indiana	4	71	74	72	75	73	81	71
31	2:30p	146	L-3	Maryland	51?	64	68	65	57	69	55	67
12	28-Oct	147	L-4	Duke	48	65	72	62	74	66	71	73
30	6:20p	148	W-2	Virginia Tech	16	95	94	118	93	89	94	76
16	28-Oct	149	L-6	Texas St	56	42	36	33	41	31		36
37	5:00p	150	L-6	Coastal Carolina	8	47	51	58	56	44	55	44
38	28-Oct	151	W-7	Wisconsin	26	86	90	91	91	88	90
11	11:00a	152	L-5	Illinois	48?	55	57	66	54	54	49	56
40	28-Oct	153	L-3	Kansas St	24	75	75	78	78	68	74	75
17	2:00p	154	L-6	Kansas	59	43	46	49	40	45	39	43
14	28-Oct	155	W-1	Minnesota	42?	65	71	64	70	74	68	75
24	5:30p	156	L-1	Iowa	8	85	83	78	84	76	80	80
23	28-Oct	157	L-2	New Mexico	2	61	60	68	69	52	55	61
19	6:30p	158	L-1	Wyoming	47?	65	61	66	54	63	63	56
45	28-Oct	159	W-3	Arkansas St	5.5	79	68	94	87	56	79	53
27	7:00p	160	W-1	New Mexico St	66?	57	62	56	65	57	61	58

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[#cruncher]

PS	CST	ROT	STK	Team	LINE	CON	OV	LG	HM	AW	FV	DG
15	28-Oct	161	L-6	San Jose St	46	35	36	41	42	31		36
19	2:00p	162	L-7	Byu	13		56	38	59	48	50	55
28	28-Oct	163	W-1	Utsa	16	56	62	56	58	64	60	70
12	7:00p	164	L-7	Utep	48	44	41	42	38	39		38
42	28-Oct	165	L-2	La Monroe	61.5	50	52	49	49	55	51	53
27	4:00p	166	L-3	Idaho	2.5	58	47	19	44	44	36	48
32	28-Oct	167	W-2	Air Force	68	56	59	60	61	58	60	59
44	2:00p	168	W-4	Colorado St	11?	74	75	67	73	72	74	67
22	28-Oct	169	L-1	Uab	52?	52	47	41	56	38	41	48
34	6:00p	170	W-3	Southern Miss	14	62	63	70	55	65	56	63
25	28-Oct	171	L-1	California	52?	79	73	75	85	58		73
23	1:00p	172	L-1	Colorado	3.5	66	70	56	68	67	73	60
31	28-Oct	173	L-1	Usc	3	85	81	57	85	74	84	57
28	9:45p	174	W-2	Arizona St	57	86	77	96	71	78	60	80
34	28-Oct	175	L-2	Louisiana Tech	13	55	60	56	59	61	60	60
11	2:30p	176	L-5	Rice	52	54	43	52	36	42	51	35
26	28-Oct	177	L-3	Utah	3?	75	73	57	73	73	73	73
25	4:45p	178	L-3	Oregon	53	69	75	59	76	68	80	50
22	28-Oct	179	W-6	Nc State	59?	86	83	87	85	80	81	87
39	2:30p	180	W-5	Notre Dame	7.5		100	118	97	96	97
19	28-Oct	181	W-1	Ucla	64	69	72	88	80	62	78	60
37	2:30p	182	L-1	Washington	17?	93	94	74	105	84	91
16	28-Oct	183	L-6	Ga Southern	52	49	42	22	49	38		42
31	2:30p	184	W-1	Troy	25?	64	68	79	56	70	62	72
21	28-Oct	185	W-4	Michigan St	1.5	80	78	81	78	78	78	78
16	2:30p	186	W-2	Northwestern	41	80	76	79	76	69	72	75
26	28-Oct	189	L-5	Old Dominion	65	43	46	55	42	50	67	42
44	5:30p	190	L-1	North Texas	11	59	58	32	59	53	52	55
32	28-Oct	191	L-2	Texas	7?	83	81	88	79	84	80	83
20	11:00a	192	L-7	Baylor	55?	67	65	77	69	55	55	63
24	28-Oct	193	W-7	Tcu	6	92	91	91	87	94	89	101
18	2:30p	194	W-3	Iowa St	52	89	88	95	79	90	89	82
35	28-Oct	195	W-7	Georgia	14	101	97	88	94	99	97	93
10	2:30p	196	L-2	Florida	45	75	73	75	77	65	75	64
42	28-Oct	197	W-3	Florida Atl	7.5	81	69	93	70	68	81	57
24	3:30p	198	W-4	W Kentucky	67	60	57	56	62	46	54
34	28-Oct	199	W-1	Washington St	2.5	79	81	94	86	67	77	89
28	8:00p	200	W-3	Arizona	64	78	79	79	74	78	85	67
34	28-Oct	201	L-2	Texas Tech	74	75	76	62	76	76	80	72
49	7:00p	202	W-2	Oklahoma	19.5	80	91	84	90	87	84	110
42	28-Oct	203	L-3	Arkansas	64	63	66	57	66	65	62	67
37	11:00a	204	L-1	Ole Miss	3?	67	69	67	76	56	76	56
23	28-Oct	205	W-7	Penn St	56	97	100	109	104	88	100
18	2:30p	206	W-5	Ohio St	6	114	103	113	92	110	100
34	28-Oct	207	W-2	Mississippi St	53?	82	83	103	97	70	92	74
25	6:15p	208	W-1	Texas A&M	pk	82	80	80	79	75	74	81
35	28-Oct	209	W-3	Boise St	8	77	72	73	67	78	68	83
23	9:00p	210	W-1	Utah St	53	75	65	82	62	63	75	57
19	28-Oct	211	L-3	Unlv	54?	52	58	41	49	67	56	59
36	9:00p	212	W-4	Fresno St	20.5	84	78	94	88	68	78	71
37	28-Oct	213	L-2	San Diego St	8?	65	73	49	67	80	67	87
17	11:00p	214	W-1	Hawaii	53	53	53	56	47	51	52	48
23	28-Oct	215	L-2	Houston	57?	61	67	66	74	59	67
27	2:45p	216	W-7	S Florida	10.5	86	82	72	88	71	79

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[hawkeye]

Your stats are great-I know you spend much time putting this together and I thank you for i t--gl

 

[#cruncher]

Your stats are great-I know you spend much time putting this together and I thank you for i t--gl

That means a lot Hawkeye, thank you very much! It does take some time but fortunately I've gotten better with excel over the years.

 

[boomer1]

thanks for your time !!

 

[#cruncher]

thanks for your time !!

No problem boomer!

 

[128bit]

I'm sorry to ask - but I only ask because I'm so interested - how would you read this if you haven't seen it before? Thanks for your time. :0008

 

[#cruncher]

I'm sorry to ask - but I only ask because I'm so interested - how would you read this if you haven't seen it before? Thanks for your time. :0008

The PS is a predicted score. The CON, OV, LG, HM, AW, FV, DG are just power ratings showing how a team has performed under different situations; against conference opponents only, overall basis (all games), how they have performed at home vs away, and how they have performed as a favorite vs an underdog. The power ratings are all computed the same way, and will be more accurate than the predicted score in the long run. The biggest weakness of the predicted score is that it basically considers all teams as belonging to one big conference; but it doesn't work so 'straight line' as power ratings do; but that can be more predictive at times I think. I really haven't watched it for a long enough time to form a judgement. But I like to do it in spite of it's weaknesses, so I do it.

 

[128bit]

I see- so applying the spread to the the power ranking is like a baseline for what the spread probably should be - for instance -

So SJSU and BYU

13 is the line given to BYU and PR is 36 to 56 - meaning BYU essentially 20 points better - meaning a 7 point differential pased on PR - Spread - which means... kinda... let's take BYU -

That's how I read it - if that's the case this is dope AF - if you can backtest a track record man... you could sell that ... if I have that right

 

[#cruncher]

I see- so applying the spread to the the power ranking is like a baseline for what the spread probably should be - for instance -

So SJSU and BYU

13 is the line given to BYU and PR is 36 to 56 - meaning BYU essentially 20 points better - meaning a 7 point differential pased on PR - Spread - which means... kinda... let's take BYU -

That's how I read it - if that's the case this is dope AF - if you can backtest a track record man... you could sell that ... if I have that right

Exactly. But if there is to big a difference between the line and my overall rating the odds maker is usually right. I might fade myself. I do like to have more than one rating saying the same thing, naturally.

 

[#cruncher]

Maryland/Indiana Over 51.0, -125

Both offenses have gone against some pretty good defenses.

 

[Jimboski]

WOW!

WOW!

From one no. Cruncher to another - absolutely [size=+2]GREAT POST [/size].

I also prefer the technical approach over a subjective approach toward solving the tough puzzles we face every Sat. And I thought I put a lot of effort into accomplishing that goal, not so much any more.

I'm so glad your MJ username caught my eye, we think alike.

It'll be great to see you get handsomely :0071 for all the

you do.

 

[#cruncher]

From one no. Cruncher to another - absolutely [SIZE=+2]GREAT POST [/SIZE].

I also prefer the technical approach over a subjective approach toward solving the tough puzzles we face every Sat. And I thought I put a lot of effort into accomplishing that goal, not so much any more.

I'm so glad your MJ username caught my eye, we think alike.

It'll be great to see you get handsomely :0071 for all the

you do.

I appreciate your kind words Jimbo; I check your thread as soon as it comes out. Thank you!

 

[#cruncher]

7 point tease (-130), 1.5x

Tulane +17.5
Over 56.5

 

[#cruncher]

3 team 10 point tease (-130), 2x

Mississippi St +10.0
Georgia -4.0
Penn St +16.0

3 team 10 point tease (-130), 2x

Virginia +13.0
Arkansas St +7.0
UL Monroe +13.0

3 team 10 point tease (-130), 2x

San Diego St +1.5
Florida Atlantic +3.5
Wake Forest +13.0

 

[#cruncher]

7.5 point tease (-150), 1.5x

SMU -2.5
Over 68

 

[capattack]

Boy am I liking that SMU TT over 43 at home tonight. Passing yards for SMU vs. Tulsa's passing D seems ripe :SIB

 

[T OFF]

Gun to your head crunch

Gun to your head crunch

Florida State ?

 

[#cruncher]

Boy am I liking that SMU TT over 43 at home tonight. Passing yards for SMU vs. Tulsa's passing D seems ripe :SIB

I would love to see me go over 43 Cap!