college bowl plays & info....

AR182

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i have been betting football for many years & i usually just shrug off a loss, but losing the over bet in the navy / missouri game was probably the worst loss that i have ever experienced....i'm really considering to just pack it in for the season after this weekend....& maybe even before....that's how sick i am over that loss....

happy new year....
 
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joefrog91

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Hang in there man. I started off like gang-busters then faltered, but back on track today. It will work itself out.
 

AR182

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thanks guys....

i decided to get off my under 50 play in the tenn / vt game....the play now looks like this....

under 50(120) tenn /vt....
over 48 (120) tenn / vt....


good luck....
 

AR182

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3-4....

getting a late start today....here's who i have so far for today....

auburn-7....posted this play awhile back....

under 44(120) lsu / penn st....

fla.-9(130)....played this awhile back also....might go for a middle on this....


good luck & happy new year....
 
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AR182

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another tough loss with auburn....hopefully the under 44 in the penn st / lsu game comes in....

5*ohio st+5(120)....

i'll take the dog with the better defense out to prove that they can win the big game....

oregon is 3-7 su & 2-8 (20%) ats as favorites after playing oregon st....

1st year coaches (oregon) are 4-12 ats (25%) in bowl games vs. an opponent that won 10 games....

play on - underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ohio st) - with an opportunistic defense - forcing 2.5 or more turnovers/game, after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers....

over the last 10 seasons the record for this system is....53-20....72.6%....

the average line posted in these games was.... opponent favored by 6.3....the average score in these games was....team 23.6, opponent 25.5....

i'll take the veteran team with a chip on their shoulder to prove that they can win the big game....


good luck & happy new year....
 

AR182

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decided to go for a middle on my fla. play....

fla-9 (130)....
cin.+15(145)....


good luck & happy new year....
 

tulah

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OSU and the Sweater Vest leave Pasadena today with all the Roses....Redemption Baby....
Oregon Def is suspect too...So I love this play....

GL today and Happy New Year AR :toast:
 

AR182

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thanks tulah....

had a decent day yesterday going 2-1 & hitting my big play on osu....my bowl record so far is 5-5 & am in the black for the first time this bowl season....maybe i should quit now while i'm a head....lol....

decided to get off my arkansas-7 play by taking e. carolina+8 (120)...


under 49 (120) so. fla. / n.illinois....


good luck....
 

AR182

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under 49 (120) so. fla. / n.illinois....

bought off the under play.....

under 49 (120) so. fla. / n. ill....
over 48 (130) so.fla. / n.ill....

playing....

n.ill+8 (130)....

play against bowl favorites (s.fla) that were dogs in last 2 games vs an opponent with a rushing offense avg 160 yds per game or more....

the record for this system is....21-9-1....70%....


good luck....
 

AR182

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i previously posted the following angle....

Favorites entering their Bowl game off of two or more consecutive losses are a paltry 5-14 (26%) Against the Spread over the past 20+ years....

based on the above....the following dogs are / were the play....

n. carolina....won....
kentucky......loss....
nw..............won....
n.illinois........?....

the record for the above is 2-1 with the n.ill. play pending....


good luck....
 

AR182

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middle....

under 51 (120) so. car. / conn....
over 49 (120) so. car / conn....

good luck....
 
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AR182

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really annoyed that i let my friend talk me off the under in the first game today & on n. illinois instead....this is a good example of why i shouldn't be followed blindly....
 

spits

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Al....just curious what caused you to switch Arkansas from a play earlier in the bowl season to making ECU a 5* play 10 minutes before gametime:shrug:

I know you bought off the Arkansas play yesterday or earlier today, but just wondering why the sudden switch.

SPITS
 

AR182

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Al....just curious what caused you to switch Arkansas from a play earlier in the bowl season to making ECU a 5* play 10 minutes before gametime:shrug:

I know you bought off the Arkansas play yesterday or earlier today, but just wondering why the sudden switch.

SPITS

spits....

i made some mistakes in my capping for the bowl season & one was to lay points with a team that has a poor defense....i learned my lesson in the auburn play & decided that e. carolina was able to stay with a team that allows about 400 yds. per game on defense....so i switched plays....
 
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