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  1. Smitty

    Kentucky Derby

    ok, ok, thousands of you have been begging for smitty's derby picks. figured i'd throw this out there for shits and giggles. spreading more than a $10 whore. betting against the top two choices (the Pletcher horses,15 & 5). i think both will need to run faster than they ever have to win this...
  2. Smitty

    Just a note on UConn/Gonzaga

    noticed this the other day... uconn is 0-4 in games decided by less than 6 points this year. in fact, they only have 2 wins by less than 8 points. one was against... georgetown. the other was in the big east tournament against providence when they blew most of a 26-pt lead. if this is close...
  3. Smitty

    Just something to think about Creighton/Baylor

    The game is in Denver. Creighton is NOT deep. Other than the starters, they have one guy who averages more than 10 minutes/game. And he's not very good. Baylor has 10 (10!!) guys who average over 12 minutes/game. They are a MUCH deeper team. Could be a big factor in the 2nd half today...
  4. Smitty

    Tax Question for the Panel

    Other than, you know, an actual accountant, I can't think of a better place to ask this question... how do you guys handle (legal) online wagering on your taxes? Other than the W2-Gs, which obviously need to be reported. Do you report everything? Or just the W2-Gs?
  5. Smitty

    Sunday 2/26

    13-11 Illinois (-4.5) Belmont (-4) Indiana St (-8) The Sycamores have covered 9 straight Mt. St. Mary's (+5.5) Wisconsin (+6) Wisc/Mich Under (129.5) Wichita/Tulane Over (151.5) Drake (+3.5) Drake/Bradley 1H Under (62) Drake/Bradley Under (133.5) Drake is allowing 63 pts/game in regulation in...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday 2/25

    7-4 Texas Tech (-2) Arkansas (+8.5) Arizona (-12) UTEP (+12) Campbell (+4.5) That gets us through the 2:00 games. More to come.
  8. Smitty

    Friday 2/24

    Posted Record 3-3 ODU (+3) ODU/Marshall Over (149.5) Lipscomb (+1.5) Lipscomb Over (148.5) Jacksonville St (+1.5)
  9. Smitty

    Thursday 2/23

    UTEP (-1.5) Long Beach St (+5) Posted Record 2-3
  10. Smitty

    Wednesday 2/22

    it's been a while since i've posted college hoops plays. i'm a lot better at football. but i've been on a very good run, so thought i'd put an end to that by posting my plays. we'll see how this goes. i am going to throw out one factor that has been helping me. normally, i'm fairly...
  11. Smitty

    Super Bowl Thread

    OMG, I said "Super Bowl". I hope the NFL doesn't sue me. :scared Alrighty, figured I'd get this started with the side and total, and I assume I'll be adding some props over the next few days. Playoffs Record Sides 6-2 +19.3 ML 2-3 +2.7 Totals 13-10 +18.1 Props 5-5 -2.5 KC (ML) 4 to win 4.2...
  13. Smitty

    NFC/AFC Championship Games

    Playoffs Sides 6-1 +13.7 ML 2-3 +2.7 Totals 9-9 +6.1 Props 5-5 -2.5 Alright, I have some open bets that will influence my plays here. About 4 days before Garoppolo got hurt, I bet SF to win the NFC at +275. So, while I really like SF today, I will not be adding more on the Niners. And prior...
  14. Smitty

    Divisional Round

    Playoffs Sides 4-0 +10.0 ML 1-1 +1.7 Totals 1-6 -15.8 Props 4-2 +3.1 Hmmm.... I usually do fairly well on totals. Well, another weekend full of overs will not be good for me. Saturday After liking the Jags all week, I'm having 2nd thoughts. Seeing way too much love for them, but the line has...
  15. Smitty

    Wildcard Weekend

    Alright, let's get this party started. Seattle @ SF After a surprising 6-3 start to the season, Seattle went to Germany and lost to TB. That began a 3-5 finish to the season, with wins over the Rams (twice, barely) and the Jets. Geno Smith has looked more like, well, Geno Smith since that...
  16. Smitty

    NC

    Bowl Record Sides: 14-14 +6.6 ML: 8-9 +12.0 Totals: 26-24 -3.7 That late TD in the Rose Bowl put me in the red on totals for Bowl Season. Not the greatest couple weeks, but still a solid profit. Sorry, not gonna delve into the numbers for this game. We know who these teams are. Magical...
  17. Smitty

    NFL Week 18

    ugly card this week. clev (ML) 6 to win 7.2. Great, riding the Browns again. But this line is BEGGING for Steelers money. They have something to play for, the Browns don't. The Browns are in turmoil, as evidenced by the Clown(ey) situation. Cleveland has lost 47* straight games in...
  19. Smitty

    Monday 1/2 Bowls

    ReliaQuest Bowl Illinois' offense... meh. Brown had a good year, and he's out for this game. Not as big a loss as you might think. He only averaged 5.0 yards/carry. They just gave him the all a LOT. That tells me he's probably a product of good offensive line play. Miss St was vulnerable...
  20. Smitty

    NFL Week 17

    Needed a lot of advil and ice after the brutal beating i took yesterday. New day, new year. Carolina (+3.5) 6 units Carolina (ML) 4 to win 6.6 Carolina/TB Under (40.5) 2 units Carolina/TB 1H Under (20.5, -125) 4 units Carolina 1H (ML) 4 units to win 5.8. Tampa has been so bad, particularly in...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday 12/31 Bowls

    Bowl Record Sides: 12-10 +20.4 ML: 7-7 +7.6 Totals: 23-17 +15.2 December 31st? Seriously? Man. Sugar Bowl This one's really not about x's and o's. Despite what they are telling the media, there's no way Alabama is excited for this game. Are they good enough that they could catch a few...
  22. Smitty

    Friday 12/30 Bowls

    Well, my computer picked a fine day to shit the bed. Luckily, I already got a new laptop, but I haven't set it up yet. So I'm doing the best I can, but fucking around with this has me way behind today. We'll see how this goes... Mayo Bowl Both teams have good numbers against the pass. NC...
  23. Smitty

    Thursday 12/29 Bowls

    Bowl Record Sides: 10-10 +10.4 ML: 5-6 +5.8 Totals: 18-14 +10.4 Cheez-It Bowl Meh. We have a now-overrated FSU team against an OU team that... well, sucked this year. There does appear to be a distinct motivational edge, as a couple key members of the FSU defense (Verse and Robinson) who...
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