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  1. Smitty

    Surprising Stat for Tonight

    Denver is 2nd in the league, rushing for 4.8 yds/carry. Buffalo's defense is 3rd-to-last, allowing 4.9 yds/carry. of course, if denver falls behind by 17 in the 2nd quarter, that ain't gonna help.
  2. Smitty

    Thursday

    last year, i did a deep dive on tcu the week before they play texas. their record is awful, both 1st half and game. they happened to play tech last year in this same spot. tech covered the first half, but if i recall correctly, they got brutally screwed by the refs (on a punt return, i think)...
  3. Smitty

    Week 9

    getting a jump on this one. cincinnati (-1.5) 2 units. buffalo still has a lot of problems on defense, and cincinnati is starting to find their stride again. wouldn't be shocked to see this line go up to 3.
  4. Smitty

    Week 8

    washington (+7) 2 units washington ML 1 to win 2.6 LAR (+7) 2 units LAR ML 1 to win 2.4 (look ahead for both dallas and philly, as they play each other next week) GB ML 2 units (+100) NO (-2) 2 units
  5. Smitty

    Week 7

    one unit each LV/Chi over 37.5 Atl ML (+136) Atl/TB under 37.5 Miami/Phil over 52.5 and an alternate line parlay... Wash +3/under 41.5 (+110)
  7. Smitty

    Week 6

    Buffalo 1H (-8.5) 5 units. gmen are horrible in the 1st half (i mean, they're horrible, period. but especially in the 1st half). bills should be focused after the beatdown in london.
  8. Smitty

    Week 4

    Miami/Buffalo under 53.5 4 units. as i've said before, the harder it is to make a bet, the more likely it is to win. well, this is a tough one. Miami/Buffalo 1H under 26.5 2 units Tampa Bay TT under 17.5 1 unit Washington TT under 16.5 2 units LA Rams ML 2.2 to win 2 Cleveland -2.5 2 units...
  9. Smitty

    MLB Play of the Year!!!

    i mean, it's the only baseball play i've posted so, yeah, PLAY OF THE YEAR!!! tarik skubal under 1.5 ER (+115) skubal has been lights out at home. ERA 1.53 and WHIP 0.82. but there's more!! there is a decent chance of rain in the detroit area, should hit around the 3rd inning. so maybe...
  10. Smitty

    Week 3

    denver (+6) 2 units. miami coming off wins at lac and at ne, and have buffalo on deck indy (+7.5) 2 units. better qb playing today, plus baltimore is coming off cincinnati, with cleveland and pittsburgh up next. detroit TT over 24.5 2 units. atlanta opened against bryce young and jordan...
  11. Smitty

    Week 2

    2 units each KC/Jax under 50.5 Seattle +4.5 GB/Atl under 40 Chi ML +120 Balt/Cin under 45.5
  13. Smitty

    UTEP/Northwestern

    anyone else think it's nuts that UTEP is favored at NW? sure, NW is in for a long year. and they may very well lose this game. but UTEP opened the season by losing at Jacksonville St. UTEP was also favored by 1.5 in that game. seems insane to me that the Miners are actually favored here.
  14. Smitty

    Week 1

    figured i'd get this thread going. here's what i've bet so far. 1 unit each AZ/wash under 39 Indy TT under 19.5 Houston TT under 16.5
  15. Smitty

    Smitty's US Open

    not sure how much i'll play, given that we've established i'm a clay court specialist, but i did notice the greatest 1st round match in us open history... Hanfmann vs Sinner!! also known as.... Yannick vs Jannik!! we will finally have the answer to the age-old questions... which is better...
  16. Smitty

    2023-24 Futures

    just played these. probably more to come, but these were big plays for me. Anthony Richardson under 2,800.5 yards (-110) Desmond Ridder under 2,600.5 yards (-115) The only other QB under 3,000 yards is Justin Fields. Just shows you how bad the odds makers expect these guys to be.
  17. Smitty

    DK Strikes Again

    kick, you'll love this one... djokovic to win 2 sets to 0 is -280 djokovic -1.5 sets is -250 and monfils to not win a set is.... -225
  19. Smitty

    August 8th Too Many Tennis Parlays

    Ruud/Medvedev/Tsitsipas +128 same, but Medvedev -1.5 sets +179 Ruud/Medvedev/Tsitsipas/Hurkacz +209 Ruud/Tsitsipas/Hurkacz +172 Ruud/Medvedev/Tsitsipas/Hurkacz/Samsonova -1.5 sets +478 Ruud/Medvedev/Tsitsipas/Hurkacz/Samsonova/Birrell +623 Ruud/Medvedev/Tsitsipas/Hurkacz/Samsonova +493...
  20. Smitty

    July 27th Tennis Action

    let's see if i still have a little clay magic. betting on our old fav... against another old fav. zhizhen zhang to win (+230)** zhizhen to win at least one set (-125) zhizhen/hanfmann first set over 9.5 games (-110) **yes, kick, i know he's down to +215. these wagers were put in yesterday...
  21. Smitty

    Smitty's Wimbledon Thread

    figured i may as well get this started. let's see if i can handle the grass as well as the clay. probably not. shevchenko (+425) as noted in jord's thread, mannarino can hardly move today. he may drop out of this match. but if he plays, i'd take +425 with a ham sandwich. well, a ham...
  22. Smitty

    Cincinnati/Boston Total

    discussion time... either this is a bad line, or the books have some inside info. which always feels like the more likely of the two options. ok, the total is 9.5, with the under at -105. Bello, the Boston starter, after a horrible start to the season, has a respectable 1.22 WHIP in May...
  23. Smitty

    Smitty's French Open

    Ooh la la!! The thread nobody has been waiting for! And 4 people will read (and, frankly, that's more than it deserves). Ok, maybe my one and only posted play in tennis. going with... drum roll please... Zhizhen Zhang +155. Dammit, I already lied to you. Adding a second play.... although...
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