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  1. Smitty

    Saturday

    marshall (ML) 4 units to win 6. taking a shot against the hokies. they've had a very disappointing season, but then pulled off a miraculous win over virginia. i don't know how much focus they've put on marshall this week. are they really going to be fired up to go to some mediocre bowl game...
  2. Smitty

    Friday

    conference championship games already? wow. northern ill (ML) 2 units to win 2.8. two similar teams, in that both emphasize the ground game. in fact, each team runs the ball about 60% of their snaps. UB certainly does it better, as they average 4.7 yards/carry while the huskies average 4.1...
  3. Smitty

    Sunday

    seattle/carolina under (46.5) 2 units. both teams will try to pound the ball. should be a close, low-scoring game. let's call the final score... 20-17. ne/nyj under (46.5) 3 units. ne's defense was embarrassed by the titans. they shouldn't have much trouble shutting down whichever mccown...
  4. Smitty

    Saturday

    indiana 1st Half (ML) 2 units to win 2.4. indiana (ML) 2 units to win 3.2. taking a shot with the hoosiers. they've been playing better lately and purdue has been very inconsistent. they've lost 3 of their last 4 and they're coming off that tough triple OT game against wisconsin. the battle...
  5. Smitty

    Friday

    nebraska (+7.5) 4 units nebraska (ML) 2 units to win 5.2. nebraska has won 3 of their last 4 against D1 opponents after their horrible start, covering all 4 games. today is their bowl game. i think they finish strong with a big game at iowa. the hawkeyes haven't beaten a big 10 team with a...
  7. Smitty

    Thursday

    Happy Thanksgiving!! chi/det under (42.5) 2 units. maybe a little too easy, but it's hard to see either team putting up many points today. washington (+7) 3 units washington (ML) 1 unit to win 2.7. under (40.5) 3 units. while the 'skins are 3-1 SU & ATS on the road, it hasn't been because of...
  8. Smitty

    Saturday

    northwestern (ML) 2 units to win 2.6. ok, i don't know how minnesota is favored in this game. maybe the wildcats are going to have a huge letdown after clinching a spot in the conference championship game. and maybe the gophers have really figured things out. but they're going to have to...
  9. Smitty

    Monday

    i play very few primetime nfl games, but when i saw nick mullens was starting 11 days ago, i jumped on the niners. teams always seem to step up for the backup making his first start. and it doesn't hurt that it was against the raiders. but most of the time, when that backup makes his second...
  10. Smitty

    Sunday

    here we go again... another solid saturday, so time to give some back. detroit (+7) 3 units detroit (ML) 2 units to win 5.6. once i saw trubisky is still oh-for-his career against divisional opponents, i knew i was going to have to hold my nose and play the lions. somebody please sign me up...
  11. Smitty

    Saturday

    ole miss/texas a&m over (68) 5 units. this line is begging for under money. these two offenses COMBINE for an average of 46 points/game in SEC play. however, the ole miss defense is terrible. and the rebels will probably catch a&m looking ahead to next week against uab. :142smilie i think...
  13. Smitty

    Sunday

    washington (-2) 3 units. atlanta is 0-2 on the road and washington has won 3 straight home games, against gb, carolina, and dallas. all 3 of those teams are arguably as good at atlanta is right now. detroit (+4.5) 3 units. i think people have been slow to react to the fact that the vikings...
  14. Smitty

    Thursday

    dammit, what a shitfest. and i'm mad at myself for betting it, because now i may watch some of it. SF (ML) 2 units to win 2.1. i was not going to play this game, but the qb change impels me to try to take advantage of the line swing. teams usually step up when a backup makes his first...
  15. Smitty

    Sunday

    time to give back some of yesterday's winnings... balt/car over (44.5) 3 units. points, points, points! don't ask me how, but it's gonna happen. tb/cin over (55.5) 3 units. counting on last week being an aberration. the bucs were playing hard for their new (interim) dc, and the bengals...
  16. Smitty

    Saturday

    northwestern (+3.5) 4 units. northwesten (ML) 2 units to win 3.2. this actually feels too easy, what with coan making his first career start for the badgers. getting a little value after northwestern laid an egg at rutgers last week. actually, as longtime readers know, i hate betting against...
  17. Smitty

    Sunday

    usually when i have a big day on saturday, i give back a good chunk of it on sunday. so wise gamblers will fade these... cleveland/tb over (52.5) 4 units. cleveland's defense has been surprisingly bad and tampa bay's defense... well, not a surprise. both are so bad, they might just make...
  19. Smitty

    Saturday

    northwestern/ru under (48.5) 2 units. hard to imagine rutgers scoring much, and northwestern is going to run run run today to rest thorson's arm after 65 passes last week. they need him rested, with wisconsin, nd, and iowa the next three weeks. *side note* rutgers' qb last week... 2 of 16 for...
  20. Smitty

    Sunday

    indy (ML) 2 units to win 2.5. this game is a toss-up, so gotta take the dog. really, any time the jets are favored, the dog is a good play. buf/hou under (40.5) 3 units. in buffalo's 3 road games, they are averaging 197 yards/game. and that includes the 292 they inexplicably put up on...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday

    northwestern (-3.5) 2 units. obviously this line is insane. but unless all 22 starters were at the bar until 4:00 AM, northwestern should win this game comfortably. sure, they are off a big win, but it's definitely not a sandwich game, as they have rutgers next. neb/nw over (59) 5 units...
  22. Smitty

    RIP John Gagliardi

    college football lost a great man today. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Gagliardi if you truly love college football, do yourself a favor and read this book...
  23. Smitty

    Sunday

    trying to take it easy today after a big day yesterday. jacksonville (ML) 3 units to win 4.2. this is the first good pass defense that mahomes has seen. the first four are ranked 18th or worse. jacksonville is #3. detroit (-1) 2 units. under (49.5) 2 units. this is a huge early-season game...
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