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  1. Smitty

    Saturday Bowls

    i plan to keep with tradtion and play every bowl game. should be plenty of good fading material, since i've been terrible since late september. New Mexico Bowl nevada (+8.5) 1 unit. hard to love this game. no defense from either team. and no strong edge in some categories i love to use for...
  2. Smitty

    Sunday

    chicago (-3) 3 units. this is very simple. the bears are 0-3 against good teams (SF, GB, & houston) and 8-0 against everyone else. well, on the road, seattle is not a good team. i won't continue to rehash wilson's number home vs road, going back to his nc st days, but it's been a huge...
  3. Smitty

    Saturday

    first hoops post of the season. providence (-13) 2 units. see corley's post. nothing more i can add. delaware (+20) 2 units. wait, let me get this straight. a mediocre delaware team only catching 20 at duke? hmmm.... toledo (+4.5) 1 unit. i know grady's out, but this line still seems...
  4. Smitty

    Saturday

    pitt/usf over (46.5) 2 units. let's see... we have pitt coming off their big win over rutgers, and now they get a vacation down in tampa. and a south florida team that apparently gave up on the season in september. i don't imagine there's been a lot of focus from either team on this game...
  5. Smitty

    Sunday

    2 units each buffalo (+2) even ryan fitzpatrick should have a big day against this colts secondary. it will be interesting to see what the blowout loss to the pats does to the colts pysche. tampa (+1) the bucs are on a roll right now. miami (+3) i won't rehash the numbers for the 50th time...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday

    uconn (+10.5) & pitt (-1.5), 2 units each. huge look-ahead for both louisville and rutgers, as they play on thursday for the big east championship. maybe even more of a look-ahead for rutgers, as louisville beat them by 2 last year. line drop in the uconn game, and just a crazy line in the...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    philadelphia (+3.5) 1 unit. upgrade at qb. might help. tampa (-1) 2 units. probably way too easy, but tampa did a great job shutting down newton the first game of the season. huge swing in the line since then - carolina was laying 3 at tampa, theoretically indicating they were about 6...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday

    michigan st (-7) 3 units. i will preface these comments by saying it seems like i always lose the first game i post for the day. so fade away, especially on a big play like this. but this line is fucked up. why the hell is michigan state laying a td here? they are BEGGING for nw money. the...
  10. Smitty

    Saturday

    been heading in the wrong direction for about 6 weeks now. indiana (+7.5) 2 units. call me crazy (you wouldn't be the first one), but i really like the hoosiers today. might even take a shot on the money line. they have to be feeling about as confident as an indiana football team has in a...
  11. Smitty

    Saturday

    i've been so focused on horses this week, haven't had much time to look at football. but here goes. kentucky (+6.5) 1 unit. this vandy team shouldn't be laying points on the road in conference to anybody. they had lost 12 straight conference road games before winning at missouri, and i still...
  13. Smitty

    Sunday

    miami (+1) 3 units. how crazy is this? in 5 weeks, the jets went from a 2.5 point favorite AT miami to being only a 1 point favorite at home against miami. barring a team losing a qb, i gotta figure that's just about the largest swing ever over a 5-week period. detroit (-2.5) 2 units. going...
  14. Smitty

    Saturday

    iowa (+5.5) 2 units. i expect vandenberg to have a solid game today. no surprise, he's struggled against good pass defenses from iowa st, michigan st, and penn st. but northwestern's pass defense has been somewhat porous, allowing 280 yards/game and 6.7 yards/attempt. and they've only picked...
  15. Smitty

    Tuesday Night Over/Under

    96.5% of the people watching this game have money on it. i'm taking the over.
  16. Smitty

    Saturday

    LSU (-3.5) 2 units. i haven't seen anything from texas a&m to indicate that they're ready to beat the best teams in the sec. their defense is porous enough that they make lsu's offense look compentent. and they're probably still tired from chasing patton all over the field last saturday...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    iowa st (+6) 2 units. the line drop doesn't make sense. iowa state's big win last week was against a tcu team that just lost its qb. and k st is just rolling through their schedule. you think maybe the wildcats are looking ahead to wvu next week? k st/iowa st under (48) 2 units. another...
  19. Smitty

    Thursday

    as anyone who reads my posts knows, i've been playing wku every week going back to the middle of last season. and they have covered 14 straight games now. and they are 11-2 SU their last 13 games. oh, and those two losses were at LSU and alabama. that said, this is another big trap game for...
  20. Smitty

    Saturday

    temple (+3.5) 3 units. classic sandwich game for the bulls, between florida st and louisville. temple, coming off a bye, making their big east debut. lean to the under, too, but not ready to pull the trigger just yet. ku/kst under (54) 2 units. just feels like it's begging for over money...
  21. Smitty

    Sunday

    not really loving this card today. one unit each. car/atl under (48.5) no reason for this to have dropped, unless they're expecting some bad weather in the dome today. miami (+5) just a hunch that the dolphins win this game. jacksonville (-1) the swing from +1 to -1 is somewhat meaningless...
  22. Smitty

    Saturday

    indiana/nw over (59.5) 3 units. this is either the easiest total i've seen in a while, or the biggest sucker bet i'll make this year. central florida (-2) 1 unit. after getting manhandled by south carolina, missouri players have to have some serious confidence issues. next week, they play...
  23. Smitty

    Monday

    wow. what an incredible weekend. easily the most profitable weekend i've ever had from anything other than horses or blackjack. i hope a few guys who read my posts jumped on board. if not for the dolphins blowing that game, yesterday would have been perfect. alrighty, one more game this...
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