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  1. Smitty

    Belk Bowl

    the game we've all be waiting for... the belk bowl. *side note - a 'belk' is a young male elk. now you know. nc st (-1.5) 2 units. bridgewater is a promising-looking young quarterback ,but going into the last game of the season, he'd thrown just as many INTs as TDs. he still makes some...
  2. Smitty

    Little Caesars Bowl

    alright, i finally lost a bowl game after a 7-0 start. the way these things normally go, that means it's time to start fading me like i was brandon lang. western mich (+3) 1 unit. since the low point of the season, losing to emu, western mich has won 3 of 4, with the only loss being that...
  3. Smitty

    Christmas Eve

    christmas time already? seriously? miami (+9) 2 units. if not for recovering 3 fumbles in denver territory, there's a good chance the pats would have been the latest team to get run over by the tebow train. i know they clamped down after the first quarter, but they still gave up over 250...
  4. Smitty

    Independence Bowl

    gonna post this now, since i promised i'd play every bowl game, and after Saturday morning, i may not get to a computer again until after this game kicks off. north carolina (+5.5) 1 unit. after riding line movements early in the bowl season, this will be the second straight game i'm going...
  5. Smitty

    Hawaii Bowl

    nevada (+8.5) 2 units. this is one of the rare times i'm ignoring the line movement. i simply don't see southern miss being ready to play this game. they pulled off the big upset in the conference usa championship game (and in the process, cost every team in the conference $1.5M). now they...
  7. Smitty

    Friday

    looks like just one play tonight. wagner (+11.5) 2 units
  8. Smitty

    Las Vegas Bowl

    it's just not the same without the mormons from byu in this game. i don't know how long this run is going to last, but i'm sure going to enjoy it while it does. boise (-14) 2 units. boise has dropped 6 straight ATS and obviously they feel like they belong in a much bigger game. but i think...
  9. Smitty

    Thursday

    narrowed it down to just 3 (so far), including one of my favorite plays of all time. well, sort of. princeton (-5) 1 unit. probably a little too easy. i've said this far more times than i can count, but siena has little to no home court advantage. and now that beard has left the team...
  10. Smitty

    Poinsettia Bowl

    sorry for the late post. i was out getting my drink on. overdue for a loser, and it's probably going to happen with my first large play of the bowl season, but.... la tech (+10) 3 units. i'll keep it short. the bulldogs haven't dropped a game SU or ATS since cameron took over at qb. huge...
  11. Smitty

    Tuesday

    off to a slow start on basketball wright st (+3) 1 unit. according to sagarin, idaho should be laying 10. so why only 3? northeastern (-1.5) 2 units. another line that just seems off. sagarin has la tech laying a couple points.
  13. Smitty

    Beef O'Brady's Bowl

    why would anyone call this the 'st petersburg bowl', when you could call it the 'beef o'brady's bowl'? best. bowl sponsor. ever. ok, i said i'd play every bowl game, and that's the only reason i'm picking a side here. i can't find an advantage. well, just one. the 'which team wants to be...
  14. Smitty

    Sunday

    after a good saturday, time for a bad sunday. probably some pretty good fades here. gb/kc under (45.5) 2 units. with the line drop, a strong lean to kc also, but i think the under is the best play here. 73% on the over (gb can score that many themselves!!!), but the total has dropped a...
  15. Smitty

    Saturday Bowls

    i don't remember being less excited for a bowl season. just a ton of mediocre matchups this year. that said, i'll probably still play every effing one of them. starting with the new mexico bowl.... temple (-7) 2 units. i've come full circle on this play. my first instinct was to take the...
  16. Smitty

    Saturday

    after a slow week, time to bust out too many plays... western mich (+3) 2 units byu (-2.5) 1 unit tenn tech (+4) 1 unit florida (-9) 2 units i hope they can make a fucking free throw today. seriously, how do you start a game making 1 of 13 FTs? who here couldn't make more than that while...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    can't catch a winner to save my life. so i'm limiting myself to two losers today. akron (+7) 2 units. all the talk about cleveland st ("they're just like george mason a couple years ago!")... that's usually a great time to bet against a team. boston u (+6.5) 1 unit. this one's just a hunch...
  19. Smitty

    Friday

    lost my last couple and this one's too easy, so probably a good idea to fade. umass (-13) 2 units. siena still with only 8 scholarship players and 3 of their 4 primary backcourt players are freshmen, including both point guards. Their 4 backcourt players combine for 8.1 assists per game and...
  20. Smitty

    Thursday

    Harvard (+5.5) 2 units. one of the keys to stopping harvard is defending the perimeter for the entire shot clock. the last thing uconn's trio of talented young guards want to do is defend for 35 seconds. i expect them to take bad shots on offense in an attempt to quicken the pace. this is a...
  21. Smitty

    Tuesday

    just one play tonight... miami (-2.5) 2 units. unranked team favored over a ranked team... blah blah blah... and the line is creeping up.
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    too many plays today. time to give back all the money i'm making on college football. miami (-3) 2 units. let me get this straight... the 3-8 dolphins are favored over the 7-4 raiders? well don't look now, but after a horrendous start to the season, the dolphins have covered 5 straight...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday

    southern miss (+13) 2 units. i'd be happy with houston winning this game, so i can make some cash playing against them in a bcs bowl (hawaii a few years ago?). but i like southern mississippi's chances today. they only give up 6.03 yards per pass attempt, which is 10th in the country. in...
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