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    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 9

    It’s not the first time a QB could win MVP after playing an easy schedule, and this is not to minimize the value of Jaylen Hurts play, but he’s only played trash teams thus far (or good teams with significant starters injured), and given the Eagles’ remaining super-soft schedule, he could end up...
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    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 9

    Before anointing the Eagles and Bills runaway favorites for the Super Bowl, it bears looking at just who they’ve beaten thus far - who’s had the harder road to travel - and who’s improved their roster for the immediate future. Standing head and shoulders above the crowd are the Ravens and...
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    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 9

    While the model modestly won ATS this past week, the straight-up results remain abysmal, which – for data projection purposes – are a killer. After 8 weeks, straight-up results should be in excess of 60%. The model is, I think, league-wide, underestimating defenses as a game factor (unders are...
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    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 8

    I meant to add this to Odds & Ends, but forgot.
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    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 8

    Tom Brady should have stayed retired. He might have saved his marriage, and spared himself from playing with a team that has turned back into the trash heap they were before he got there. Not that he’s setting the world on fire himself – though he is playing decently - but a team that can’t run...
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    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 8

    To all the Jets’ fans who hammered me last week, it looks like I was mostly wrong. You guys still need a QB, and losing Breece Hall is a killer, but after watching the Pats clown-show Monday night, NE is ripe to take down Sunday. Liking the Giants a little better today, as I’m betting Metcalf is...
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    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 8

    Another crappy week for numbers. It’s one thing for outcomes to be hard to predict, but another when past performance data cannot be reliably projected. The weird thing is that I’m ahead for the season so far. I usually make money on the NBA, and blow it all on football, but I’m holding my own...
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    The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 7

    The good thing about a data-driven NFL power ranking is that it’s blind – which is exactly what’s bad about it. The Jets at 8th and 7th ?!!!!! They’re winning despite Zach Wilson, who’s regressed badly – the 3rd worst in my rankings - and they’ve won against teams who are reeling from the...
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