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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 4
When dogs cover, stat-based projections – like those of Number Fire, Team Rankings and The Limper get ass-kicked; and, dogs are covering at 61% after 3 weeks. A reminder that numbers are only ever a guide to the bettor, and not, by any means, slam-dunk predictions – which are up to the bettor to...- WillyBoy
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- Replies: 5
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 3
xx- WillyBoy
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- Replies: 4
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 2
On my way to Vegas, so I haven’t time to wait for injury reports. GLTA- WillyBoy
- Post #3
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 2
XX- WillyBoy
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- Replies: 2
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 1
The dropping line on Thursday let the model claim a win (by a hair) it didn’t deserve, but it has always lost more of these than it won over the season, so we won’t throw it back in the water. Suddenly the model has flipped to dogs, just when I started liking favorites. I think picking...- WillyBoy
- Post #9
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 1
Not many changes from last week, but there are still notable injury questions yet to be resolved. I’ll post updates early Thursday. GLTA- WillyBoy
- Post #7
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 1
No surprise, the model likes favorites (11), but is solid on road teams (10). We’ll see how the lines change and starter movement goes.- WillyBoy
- Post #6
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 1
Can’t bear watching my Red Sox play, so with time on my hands, played with some numbers, and came up with this. Much of this is based on last season’s data, but with upgrades/downgrades as I see them. Wouldn’t take those win/loss totals to the bank, however, as there was a hefty dose of...- WillyBoy
- Post #5
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 1
Sometimes numbers lie. Carolina’s big jump over the Browns (nearly 2 points), all because Mayfield was plugged in as the starter, is the result of Mayfield’s slight statistical edge over Darnold. I like Baker, but IMO, he’s not that big of an upgrade. On the other hand, if I plug in Pickett over...- WillyBoy
- Post #4
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 1
Without fresh numbers, not a lot to build on last sear’s data, so these new projections based a bit on eyeballing preseason games. I may need to glasses but I liked Philly and Pittsburgh, while Dallas and the Giants seem to be going backwards, and Houston, Seattle and the Pats will be hunting...- WillyBoy
- Post #3
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 1
A month early but what the heck. Based solely on 2021 data (minus position upgrades and downgrades), these projections are really iffy, and I’ll be posting weekly updates.- WillyBoy
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- Replies: 9
- Forum: Flying Pigskins (NFL)
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