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  1. Smitty

    Sunday

    here we go again... another solid saturday, so time to give some back. detroit (+7) 3 units detroit (ML) 2 units to win 5.6. once i saw trubisky is still oh-for-his career against divisional opponents, i knew i was going to have to hold my nose and play the lions. somebody please sign me up...
  2. Smitty

    Saturday

    ole miss/texas a&m over (68) 5 units. this line is begging for under money. these two offenses COMBINE for an average of 46 points/game in SEC play. however, the ole miss defense is terrible. and the rebels will probably catch a&m looking ahead to next week against uab. :142smilie i think...
  3. Smitty

    Sunday

    washington (-2) 3 units. atlanta is 0-2 on the road and washington has won 3 straight home games, against gb, carolina, and dallas. all 3 of those teams are arguably as good at atlanta is right now. detroit (+4.5) 3 units. i think people have been slow to react to the fact that the vikings...
  4. Smitty

    Thursday

    dammit, what a shitfest. and i'm mad at myself for betting it, because now i may watch some of it. SF (ML) 2 units to win 2.1. i was not going to play this game, but the qb change impels me to try to take advantage of the line swing. teams usually step up when a backup makes his first...
  5. Smitty

    Sunday

    time to give back some of yesterday's winnings... balt/car over (44.5) 3 units. points, points, points! don't ask me how, but it's gonna happen. tb/cin over (55.5) 3 units. counting on last week being an aberration. the bucs were playing hard for their new (interim) dc, and the bengals...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday

    northwestern (+3.5) 4 units. northwesten (ML) 2 units to win 3.2. this actually feels too easy, what with coan making his first career start for the badgers. getting a little value after northwestern laid an egg at rutgers last week. actually, as longtime readers know, i hate betting against...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    usually when i have a big day on saturday, i give back a good chunk of it on sunday. so wise gamblers will fade these... cleveland/tb over (52.5) 4 units. cleveland's defense has been surprisingly bad and tampa bay's defense... well, not a surprise. both are so bad, they might just make...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday

    northwestern/ru under (48.5) 2 units. hard to imagine rutgers scoring much, and northwestern is going to run run run today to rest thorson's arm after 65 passes last week. they need him rested, with wisconsin, nd, and iowa the next three weeks. *side note* rutgers' qb last week... 2 of 16 for...
  10. Smitty

    Sunday

    indy (ML) 2 units to win 2.5. this game is a toss-up, so gotta take the dog. really, any time the jets are favored, the dog is a good play. buf/hou under (40.5) 3 units. in buffalo's 3 road games, they are averaging 197 yards/game. and that includes the 292 they inexplicably put up on...
  11. Smitty

    Saturday

    northwestern (-3.5) 2 units. obviously this line is insane. but unless all 22 starters were at the bar until 4:00 AM, northwestern should win this game comfortably. sure, they are off a big win, but it's definitely not a sandwich game, as they have rutgers next. neb/nw over (59) 5 units...
  13. Smitty

    RIP John Gagliardi

    college football lost a great man today. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Gagliardi if you truly love college football, do yourself a favor and read this book...
  14. Smitty

    Sunday

    trying to take it easy today after a big day yesterday. jacksonville (ML) 3 units to win 4.2. this is the first good pass defense that mahomes has seen. the first four are ranked 18th or worse. jacksonville is #3. detroit (-1) 2 units. under (49.5) 2 units. this is a huge early-season game...
  15. Smitty

    Saturday

    ecu (+10) 2 units ecu (ML) 1 unit to win 2.9. this is a good matchup for ecu. temple is struggling in the passing game. russo is completing 47% of his passes and has thrown 1 TD and 5 INTs. they rely on the ground game. ecu is 9th in the country, allowing 94.8 yards/game. northwestern...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday

    cin/atl over (51.5) 3 units. first team to 30 wins! chicago (-2.5) 2 units. i'm assuming fitzpatrick is starting. he should be good for 3 or 4 turnovers before he gets pulled. apparently he almost got pulled last week for ryan griffin (a 5th year guy out of tulane. and, yes, i had to look...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    Virginia (ML) 2 units to win 3.7. nc st is 3-0, but those wins are over james madison, georgia st, and marshall. virginia dominated a bad louisville team last week and i really like their chance of getting a win in raleigh today. virginia's ground game has been great so far and i think the...
  19. Smitty

    Sunday

    atlanta (-1.5) 2 units. i don't understand all the love for NO. the saints lost at home to the bucs and should have lost to the browns. minnesota (-16.5) 2 units. yeah, laying this many points in the nfl is foolish. but i'm going to keep betting against buffalo until they give me a reason...
  20. Smitty

    Saturday

    running late. just the noon games for now. iowa st (-19.5) 2 units. this line baffles me. akron is coming off a win at northwestern. iowa st opened with losses against iowa and oklahoma and they have tcu next week (followed by 2 more ranked conference opponents). hard to believe they'll be...
  21. Smitty

    Sunday

    ah, week two in the nfl. the best week to make money because everybody overreacts to week one. i keep saying that, one of these years, i'm going to get my ass handed to me on week two. probably this year, because i'm finally increasing my plays this week. pittsburgh (-4) 4 units. the...
  22. Smitty

    Saturday

    syracuse (ML) 2 units to win 2.8. syr/fsu over (69.5) 3 units. gotta believe syracuse has had this one circled since last year. dungey missed most of the first half after breaking his foot, and yet he still threw for 278 yards and ran for another 109 in a 3-point loss. the noles struggled...
  23. Smitty

    Sunday

    here we go... Houston (+6.5) 2 units Houston (ML) 1 unit to win 2.2. it's time for the pats to come back down to earth. jj watt will "accidentally" eat the pretty dog on his 4th sack. Cincinnati (Pk) 2 units. the colts are awful, and it's hard to believe luck will have much impact just yet...
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