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  1. Smitty

    Sunday/Monday

    cincinnati 1st H (+4.5) 1 unit cincinnati (+8.5) 3 units cincinnati (ML) 1 unit to win 2.8. the bengals are red hot (you heard me, RED HOT!), while the browns are just playing out a hugely disappointing season after the steelers delivered the death blow last week. hard to even type this, but i...
  2. Smitty

    Thursday - Monday

    happy thanksgiving to all! enjoy the time with your loved ones. doubt i'll have much time tomorrow, so posting this now... dallas (-6.5) 3 units dallas TT over (26.5) 2 units. despite playing ne twice, buffalo still has played the weakest schedule in the league. off the top of my head, i...
  3. Smitty

    Sunday and Monday

    sorry, no time for write-ups bet these on thursday, so lines have changed. det/wash under (42.5) 3 units ny giants (+6.5) 2 units philly (-1.5) 2 units denver (+4) 3 units den/buff under (37.5) 1 unit tenn (-3) 3 units dallas (+6.5) 3 units dallas (ML) 1 unit to win 2.4 dal/ne over (45)...
  4. Smitty

    Sunday/Monday

    houston (+4) 3 units houston (ML) 1 unit to win 1.7. well, i said i'm going to look to bet against this overrated baltimore team pretty much every chance i get. and today looks like a good chance. every team the ravens has played this year has ranked 20th or worse in the league in terms of...
  5. Smitty

    Sunday/Monday

    Cincinnati 1st Half (+6.5) 1 unit Cincinnati (+10) 1 unit. starting right off with this horrible team. they can't stop the run and, yeah, that's all baltimore does. but as i've said many times before, i love betting qbs making their first start. i believe qbs making their first start have...
  7. Smitty

    Sunday

    instead of posting late this week, i'm posting super early. played these today. miami (ML) 1 unit to win 1.3. God help me, but I'm rooting for the dolphins this week. It's hard to tell, but these guys are still professional athletes and they have some pride. In fact, they have covered 3...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    sorry, running a little late today. here's what i have for the late games.... again, i put these in thursday. so the lines have probably changed. clev 1st H (+7.5) 1 unit clev (+13) 2 units clev (ML) 1 unit to win 4.6. as bad as cleveland is... they are probably the best team new england...
  9. Smitty

    Sunday

    ok, first posted plays this season. which means i'll probably take a beating. i put all these in on wednesday, so i'm sure some lines have changed. gb/oak over (47) 2 units. both teams will be focused on other games. which tends to lead to many points. minnesota (-1) 1 unit. this wager...
  10. Smitty

    Smitty's PSA

    Gentlemen (and ladies?), here is my PSA... if you like money, do yourself a favor and HAMMER oakland and the over tonight. i mean, bet it like the game is already over. how can i see the future, you ask. here's how... we now have a casino nearby, so i can legally place my wagers. it opened...
  11. Smitty

    Superb Owl

    that's right, superb owl. i ain't getting sued by the nfl. let me start by saying that i was on the wrong side of 5 straight SBs involving new england, until getting the last 2 right. so rams' backers should be happy. i'll start with all the negatives i can think of off the top of my head...
  13. Smitty

    Conference Championships

    i've been absolutely terrible in the playoffs, so fade away. NO (-3) 2 units under (55.5) 3 units. first of all, i'll say that if this wasn't a playoff game, i wouldn't bet on it. damn lack of discipline rears its ugly head yet again. it didn't look like the extra rest helped brees' tired...
  14. Smitty

    Sunday

    well, no way to sugarcoat it. i've been horrible in the playoffs. LA (ML) 4 units to win 6.8 LA 1H (+3) 3 units. purely an anti-pats play. they went 6-4 outside of the powerhouse afc east and they haven't faced a playoff team since october. in this matchup of the two whiniest qbs in the...
  15. Smitty

    Saturday

    been in a bit of a tailspin since i lost the cowboys game last weekend. big factor i mentioned for today's game drastically reduces my first play. indy (+4.5) 2 units indy (ML) 1 unit to win 1.7. if i had any discipline, i'd stay off this game now. as i said last week, mitchell's status for...
  16. Smitty

    NC

    alabama (-5.5) 3 units under (56.5) 2 units 1st H under (27.5) 3 units. sorry, not much time for a write-up. one of the big differences is going to be lawrence. he's had a great year, but i don't see a freshman beating alabama in the nc game. hopefully the crimson tide have learned to cover...
  17. Smitty

    Sunday

    well, gold bond is not helping to soothe my pain after last night's anal raping. sitting on one of those inflatable donuts now. amazingly, that is not the first time i've lost a bet because the other team's kicker got hurt. but, because i never learn, i'm betting on another bad qb in a...
  19. Smitty

    Saturday

    indy (ML) 4 units to win 4.4. both games between these two were won by the road team by a fg. both teams played pretty weak schedules, only facing 5 playoff teams each. and that includes the two games against each other. but i'd say indy actually improved as the season went on, which makes...
  20. Smitty

    Tuesday

    Happy New Year Madjackers! i think i've had a profitable new years day maybe once or twice in the last ten years, so feel free to fade away. Outback Bowl i was so close to taking a hard pass on this game, and i really should. i mean, how the hell is iowa going to score? but how can i lay 7...
  21. Smitty

    Monday

    well, i probably ain't gonna catch lightning in a bottle again like i did on saturday. not loving too much. if i can eke out a profit today, i'll be happy. Military Bowl virginia tech (+7) 2 units vt (ML) 1 unit to win 2.2. obviously i can't love virginia tech. this is purely an...
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    baltimore (-7) 4 units under (40.5) 4 units. this line is begging for cleveland money. but i like baltimore's defense to absolutely shut down the browns. they gave up a lot of yards to cleveland in the first matchup, but still held them to 9 points in regulation. their pass defense has been...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday

    well, as expected, i've been barely treading water after my great start to the bowl season. losing iowa st on the ML was a real kick in the balls. Peach Bowl it feels like these teams play each other in a bowl game every year, and i am always on the wrong side. i was going to take a hard pass...
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