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  1. Smitty

    Tuesday

    ok st (-2) 1 unit. this falls under the 'the harder it is to play a team, the more likely they are to win' category. the cowboys are really struggling. the home team has covered 8 straight in this matchup though. virginia (-1.5) 2 units. another tough one to pull the trigger. i lost a big...
  2. Smitty

    Sunday

    solid day yesterday. the way i've been running lately, that means i'll give it back today. south alabama (+1.5) 2 units. yup, i love the jaguars today. (did i really just type that?) FAU has nothing to play for, near as i can tell. south alabama has covered 7 of the last 8 matchups between...
  3. Smitty

    Saturday

    virginia (-2.5) 2 units. i hit the big one with miami at bc a few days ago, and i'm going to come right back with another anti-bc play. the 'bc is on the bubble' talk was absolutely laughable. virginia may be playing their best ball of the year. they've covered 5 of their last 6, with the...
  4. Smitty

    Wednesday

    i've been treading water at best for a while now. depaul (+13.5) 1 unit. as a general rule, any time a team that has been bad for a long time has a good season, they still struggle as a favorite. it's just a role they are not used to. depaul has covered 4 straight games, i believe, so...
  5. Smitty

    Tuesday

    mississippi (-1.5) 2 units. sc has dropped 4 straight home games, SU and ATS. plus they may feel like they have a little unfinished business against georgia, and they get a rematch with the bulldogs in their next game. northern iowa (-6) 1 unit. it's damn near impossible to play uni here...
  7. Smitty

    Sunday

    so far, just two plays. clemson (+1) 1 unit. hard to trust the tigers on the road, but miami is 0-6 ATS at home in conference. purdue (-1) 2 units. if craft had gone through crunch time in the big 10 before, i would love ohio state's chances here. i think he's going to be a very good...
  8. Smitty

    Saturday

    remember when the BB started, it was teams that were legitmately on the bubble? now it includes sacramento st against se missouri st and jacksonville st against eastern michigan (and, yes, i'm playing one of those games). progress! all games 1 unit, unless otherwise noted. oh, and way, way...
  9. Smitty

    Thursday

    temple (-6) 2 units. the line seems just a bit higher than necessary, doesn't it? two 9-2 teams in the a-10. it's very difficult to make a case for temple laying 6. so i gotta do it. denver (-13.5) 2 units. i'm mad at myself for never looking at this until now, but it makes sense that as...
  10. Smitty

    Wednesday

    georgetown (+2.5) 1 unit. maybe this is a little too easy. georgetown is on a roll right now, and their style should frustrate the young huskies. illinois (-9.5) 1 unit. the home team has covered 17 of the last 20 matchups between these two.
  11. Smitty

    Tuesday

    well, now that i've been called a "fucking genius", i got some pressure on me. to alleviate the pressure, i've drunk (drank?) quite a bit of 'death's door' gin. good stuff, but a bit harsh. anyway. on to tonight's losers. sorry, that's too negative. on to tonight's selections.... one unit...
  13. Smitty

    Monday

    i can't believe i'm doing this, but... kansas st (+3.5) 3 units. what an insane line. it opened at 4.5 and already got bet down to 3.5? seriously? k st is so bad... that team has zero heart to begin with (pullen saying a month ago that if they go to the NIT, he won't play? really?), they...
  14. Smitty

    Saturday

    st louis (+10) 2 units. richmond is not the kind of team that blows anyone out. they have lost at least 4 straight home games ATS when favored by 9 or more. maryland (-2.5) 2 units. maryland is 4-0 ATS in conference road games. vanderbilt (-1) 1 unit. UK is 1-4 SU and ATS on the...
  15. Smitty

    Tuesday

    xavier (+4) 1 unit. pretty basic here - i just think xavier is the better team. i am unsure of the motivation though... 10-15 years ago, a team like xavier would have been very fired up to get a chance against a middle-of-the-pack SEC team. now though? xavier has made a habit of making the...
  16. Smitty

    Monday Night Maaction

    "monday night maaction" is copyrighted, so you need my permission to use it. :0008 loyola (+4) 2 units. wow, how often can i go to the 'bet against siena at home' well? as long as they keep failing to cover, i reckon. siena hasn't covered as a favorite since 2010. the road team has...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    james madison (-2.5) 1 unit. let me get this straight... a 7-5 team in conference is laying points to a 10-2 team, and the line is rising? hmmmm.... northwestern (-1) 2 units. yeah, it looks like everybody is on them, and i hate that. but i love the angle of a team favored (even by a...
  19. Smitty

    Friday Night Degenerate Special

    who's ready for a night of really bad basketball? maac fever... catch it. manhattan (+12) 2 units. god help me. manhattan is so very, very bad. but this siena team has no business laying 12 to anybody. manhattan is 4-0 ATS on the conference road, and they've covered at least 5 straight...
  20. Smitty

    Thursday

    somebody's gotta do it... georgia tech (+5.5) 1 unit. as bad as GT is, miami has turned losing close games into an art form. they have now lost 4 straight games, all by 4 points or less. they are 0-2 ATS in conference as a favorite and 0-3 ATS in conference at home.
  21. Smitty

    Wednesday

    just two tonight, and both were very overrated until they got exposed in conference play. based on these lines, it looks like both of them should right the ship tonight. syracuse (+3) 2 units. really? syracuse is basically getting the same number they got at marquette 5 days ago? that's...
  22. Smitty

    Monday

    the lines on both big games seem to be begging you to take the road teams. so naturally i'm on: georgetown (-5) 1 unit texas a&m (+1.5) 2 units. this line is crazy. texas is 6-0 in conference, including wins over mizzou and kansas. a&m just lost to nebraska. they easily could have made...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday

    after a perfect night on thursday, i can't wait to see how much i give back today. mississippi st (+5.5) 2 units. let's start with this crappy team. this is more of an anti-florida play. tough spot for the gators. coming off that OT game at georgia, and they have a revenge game against...
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