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  1. Smitty

    Opening Day of Bowl Season

    finished the regular season barely above .500, but profitable, so it's all good. let's see if i continue my usual trend in the bowl games... start strong and finish terribly. New Mexico Bowl byu (-11.5) 2 units. nothing i can really add here... two teams finished the season going in opposite...
  2. Smitty

    Saturday Hoops

    Loyola Chi (-3.5) 1 unit butler (-9) 2 units alabama (+5.5) 1 unit richmond (-7) 1 unit wichita st (-4.5) 2 units
  3. Smitty

    Monday

    minnesota (+5) 2 units. same as dallas without phillips, i'll continue riding the vikings without childress. as terrible as jackson is, at least he has some mobility to escape that giants pass rush. i love how so many guys were betting against the giants last week because they were in their...
  4. Smitty

    Sunday

    tampa (-1) 1 unit. i know i sound like a broken record every time the bucs go on the road, but they have now covered 8 straight road games. clev/buff under (39.5) 1 unit. a steady diet of hillis (plus delhomme throwing, if required) should help keep this game under. chicago (+3) 2 units...
  5. Smitty

    Sunday

    still giving away money. fade away. miami (-5.5) 2 units. after beating new orleans and new england in back-to-back games (did that really happen), the browns have dropped 3 straight ATS. everybody on cleveland, and the line is rising. isn't delhomme expected to start for the browns? no...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday (Nice Beaver)

    la tech (+8) 2 units. this line movement is insane. i have a feeling this is going to be a shootout. last team with the ball, wins. la tech/nevada over (69.5) 1 unit. oregon st (+16) 1 unit. i liked 'em a lot more until i really started looking at the numbers. this is not a typical...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    minnesota (-2) 1 unit. sorry vikings backers, didn't realize my play would swing this line 4 points. :0074 dallas has covered 3 straight after canning philips; expect a similar result here. only problem, the vikings still have favre, so it's hard to make this a big play. which incredibly...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday

    penn st (+1.5) 1 unit. starting with their beatdown at iiowa, michigan st has dropped 3 straight to the number. psu has covered 4 of their last 5. va tech (-23) 2 units. the favorite has covered 7 of the last 8 in this matchup. va tech is 8-1 ATS since the debacle against jimmy madison...
  10. Smitty

    Friday

    wvu/pitt under (41) 1 unit. i've been riding wvu unders, no reason to stop now. their last 3 road games haven't gone over 34 points, and all 4 have gone under. alabama (-4) 3 units. this is the first good team auburn has played on the road all year (miss st has improved, but they haven't...
  11. Smitty

    Thursday

    one play today. murray st (pk) 2 units. i like the racers to prevail in a low-scoring game.
  13. Smitty

    Saturday

    i continue to hemorrage cash. do yourself a favor and fade away. wvu/loiuisville under (43) 1 unit. wvu has gone under in 4 straight games. and the under is 3-0 in wvu road games. michigan (+4) 1 unit. it's almost impossible to take michigan in this game, isn't it? here's the list of...
  14. Smitty

    Thursday

    been going the wrong direction lately, so feel free to fade away. miami (-2.5) 2 units. well, for one thing, it seems odd that the line is drifting up with miami down to their 3rd string qb. but is this really much of a drop-off? anyway, for me this boils down to one simple factor. maybe...
  15. Smitty

    Monday

    ah, college hoops. here we go. wofford (+10.5) 1 unit fairfield (+1.5) 1 unit. how bad is rutgers? minnesota (-16) 3 units. wow, what a line jump. this is nowhere near the same siena team as two years ago, and not even close to last year. this team is going to struggle. unfortunately...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday

    detroit (+2) 2 units. getting points from a team that's 0-8. detroit is 7-1 ATS, with their only loss by one point. buffalo is 0-3 ATS at RW stadium. cleveland (+3) 1 unit. don't like them nearly as much as last week, but this team has to be gaining some confidence after back-to-back wins...
  17. Smitty

    Saturday

    cincinnati (+5) 2 units. i lost the extensive write-up i did for this game, and i am too pissed off to type it all again. suffice to say, wvu hasn't played an offense in the top 85 all year. yes, you read that right. that defense probably isn't as good as it has looked. missouri (-13) 1...
  19. Smitty

    Sunday

    detroit (+5.5) 2 units. don't look now, but detroit is 6-1 ATS, with the only loss by one point. they are 3-0 ATS at home. i'm kinda excited to watch calvin johnson vs derrelle revis. the jets are 2-0 without revis this year and 3-2 with him. probably a coincidence. atlanta (-9.5) 1 unit...
  20. Smitty

    Saturday

    no great plays jumping out at me this weekend. iowa/indiana over (53.5) 2 units. iowa's 55th ranked pass defense will be tested by ben chappell. it'll be tough for iowa to focus on this game. here's their last 4 games - penn st, at michigan, wisconsin, and michigan st. next week they have...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday

    i'm heading up to lake placid for some hockey today, so i'm trying to stay focused on just a few games. indiana (+3.5) 2 units. not sure how northwestern bounces back after that loss to michigan st. the dog has covered 4 straight in this matchup, and 6 of the last 7. the home dog has won 4...
  22. Smitty

    MNF Thoughts

    i'll start out with a blunt point. if you're betting the cowboys tonight because it's a 'must-win' or they are 'desperate', you really should not be betting on football. that is one of the dumbest angles to wager on. do you think the linesmakers have no idea the cowboys are 1-4 and 'need'...
  23. Smitty

    Sunday

    miami (+3) 1 unit. "sigh* nobody is on miami, are they? guess i'll take one for the team. this is where the steelers' schedule gets interesting. at miami, at new orleans, at cincinnati (monday night), and new england. pitt/miami over (41) 2 units. seems pretty high, doesn't it...
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