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  1. Smitty

    Thursday

    a few games where the line just looks out of whack. file these under 'if it looks too good to be true, it probably is'. vcu (-8.5) 2 units. both teams are 8-1 in conference. why the hell is the line so high? ul lafayette (+4) 1 unit. north texas is 16-4. the ragin' cajuns are 5-14. la...
  2. Smitty

    Saturday

    i'm on fire - a 1-game win streak! virginia (-1.5) 2 units. georgia tech hasn't proven they can win on the road yet. st marys (+5) 2 units. i know, i know.... an unranked team is laying points to a ranked team. i hate playing against an angle that has won me so much money over the years...
  3. Smitty

    Thursday

    i am at the point where i really, really hate when my team gets out to a big early lead. that is the kiss of death. southern miss up 25-9 yesterday. i knew they were fucked. nevada (-3) 2 units. this line seems kinda crazy, doesn't it? a 5-13 (2-3 in conference) team laying 3 to a team...
  4. Smitty

    Wednesday

    southern miss (-6.5) 3 units. memphis finally snapped their string of 83 straight losses to the spread (roughly) with their blowout of marshall. but they are still very suspect on the road. the golden eagles have given the tigers a few good battles the last couple years, but haven't broken...
  5. Smitty

    Sunday Big East

    st johns (-3) 2 units. crazy line, isn't it? johnnies just got beat down by 'cuse. and they lost by 15 to the fighting irish just last week. how could you possibly play st johns laying points in this game? well, nd is 0-2 on the conference road, both SU and ATS. and it looks like atkins is...
  7. Smitty

    Saturday

    1 unit each marshall (+4) memphis hasn't covered a game since 12/4 duquesne (-1) vandy (+1.5) lasalle (+2.5) texas a&m (-5) wisconsin (-5.5) nc st/fsu over (135) southern miss (-3) indiana (-3) michigan coming off a very tough stretch. hoosiers have covered 11 of the last 14 meetings and 7 of...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    BREAKING NEWS Various Wire Reports - The Kansas City Chiefs have announced that they are suiting up a new fullback today for their playoff game against the Baltimore Ravens. None other than offensive supergenius and departing offensive coordinator Charlie Weis. Unconfirmed sources are...
  9. Smitty

    The Kraft Fight Hunger With Cheap Macaroni and Cheese Bowl

    boston college (+8) 1 unit. likely my last college game of the year, since i have no opinion on tomorrow night's crap fest (what can i say? i like defense.) the more i look at bc, the lower this play gets. i liked them because they have the #1 ranked rush defense in the country. yup, you...
  10. Smitty

    Compass Bowl

    ah, nothing screams 'championship level football' like the BBVA Compass Bowl on january 8. pitt (-4) 2 units. all the distractions around the program.... sec vs big east.... and line line is rising? while i hate betting against a back-up qb, this is a big advantage for pitt. UK is going from...
  11. Smitty

    I Hope

    the people who run the godaddy.com bowl are very thankful for us degenerate gamblers. because, seriously, who else will be watching this game?
  13. Smitty

    Sugar Bowl

    ohio st (-3) 1 unit. the sec is vastly superior to the big 10. for the last 3 weeks, i expected to play arkansas in this game. this afternoon, i expected to play arkansas in this game. but my gambler's intuition started to kick in. and it's telling me you can't trust ryan mallett in a big...
  14. Smitty

    Orange Bowl

    virginia tech (+4) 2 units. i lost my write-up. i'll sum it up the best i can. i think stanford is pretty overrated, as is the whole pac 10. what is stanford's biggest win this year? arizona? usc? stanford played one team with a defense in the top 20 in scoring defense, and oregon shut...
  15. Smitty

    Sunday NFL

    tampa (+7.5) 2 units. depending on what line you had in their game against washington, tampa is either 9-0 ATS their last 9 on the road, 8-0-1, or 8-1. they're on a great run on the road is what i'm telling you. tampa has won 2 of their last 3 trips to new orleans and 5 of their last 7...
  16. Smitty

    Saturday Bowls

    happy new year to all the madjackers. :toast: Cotton Bowl Texas Tech (-9) 1 unit. it has not been a good year for the red raiders, and the big 12 is very overrated. and this line is a few points higher than it should be, because of the 'home' field advantage. but i still think it's higher...
  17. Smitty

    Wednesday Bowls

    Texas Bowl illinois (-1.5) 2 units. wow, baylor has a better record... illinois' defense hasn't stopped anybody lately... baylor should basically have a home field advantage... and yet illinois is suddenly favored? hmmm..... neither team played well down the stretch. baylor lost their last...
  19. Smitty

    Tuesday Bowl Games

    Champs Sports Bowl nc st (+3) 2 units. before anyone thinks that wvu actually has a great defense this year, check out the offensive rankings of their opponents. this is based on total yards/game. marshall 102 maryland 85 LSU 89 UNLV 118 USF 103 syracuse 106 uconn 96 cincinnati 32...
  20. Smitty

    Poinsettia Bowl

    i think there are two factors people are overlooking tonight. 1) this is san diego state's first bowl game in 12 years. huge motivational edge to the aztecs. 2) san diego st has already played, and beaten, an option team - air force. while it's slightly different than what navy runs, it's a...
  21. Smitty

    Las Vegas Bowl

    it's just not the same without the mormons here this year. boise (-17) 2 units. i still think boise is one of the two best teams in the country this year, and this senior class has accomplished too much to come out flat tonight. this year's utah team just doesn't seem as good to me as the...
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    detroit (+4.5) 1 unit. the lions are still playing hard. they are 9-4 ATS, despite dropping 3 straight to the number in november. tampa is 1-4-1 ATS at home this year, and 1-7-1 ATS at home going back to last year. baltimore (-2) 2 units. yeah, new orleans is on a roll right now. but take...
  23. Smitty

    3rd Straight Road Game

    just an fyi... 3 teams are playing their 3rd straight road game today. atlanta cleveland denver sadly, out of seattle, cincinnatii, and oakland, i think the only one i can play is seattle. and even that's gonna be tough.
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