2019 College Football
- Thread starter BASON
- Start date
Last week's 3-team 10 point tease hit so here is the one for this week:
Ohio +15
Coastal Carolina+17.5
EMU+26
I had a very hard time picking the 3 I wanted to use. Pitt did not look good at all last week so I like Ohio to definitely keep this close. I thought Coastal would win last week as a home dog but they lost by a TD to EMU who was better than I thought so I am using them both again! Kansas is not very good so I think Coastal can score enough to keep it close. EMU is 19-4 ATS as a dog in their last 23 games. You can always use the Hawaii Ov 68 to replace one of the above as I think there will be a lot of points in that game.
A couple other interesting stats I stole from somewhere:
Bama is 0-4 ATS when favored by 50+
Wisky is 0-5 ATS when favored by 31+
Ohio +15
Coastal Carolina+17.5
EMU+26
I had a very hard time picking the 3 I wanted to use. Pitt did not look good at all last week so I like Ohio to definitely keep this close. I thought Coastal would win last week as a home dog but they lost by a TD to EMU who was better than I thought so I am using them both again! Kansas is not very good so I think Coastal can score enough to keep it close. EMU is 19-4 ATS as a dog in their last 23 games. You can always use the Hawaii Ov 68 to replace one of the above as I think there will be a lot of points in that game.
A couple other interesting stats I stole from somewhere:
Bama is 0-4 ATS when favored by 50+
Wisky is 0-5 ATS when favored by 31+
Maryland vs Syracuse
MD -1.5/Ov 58.5
A lot of talk about this 12:00 ESPN game. Syracuse opened as a field goal favorite and the line quickly got bet down and settled in with Maryland as a small favorite. I noted the line from the start as I thought the game would open Even or with MD as a small favorite since it is a home game. Syracuse is ranked 21, but that is more or less meaningless unless you like stats. Since 2015 there have been 23 games where a team ranked in the 20's has been a dog to an unranked team. The ranked team is 4-19 SU in these games and was 1-5 last year. Interesting, but does not come into play for me when capping the game. More interesting factor is scheduling. Syracuse has ESPN game week coming to NY for a massive home game against Clemson (the only ranked team on what is a rather easy schedule) next week after Clemson plays Texas A&M at home this week. Not the best situation for them from a scheduling perspective at all as they have to be looking a little ahead. On the other hand, this is a huge national spotlight game for Maryland giving Locksley a chance to prove they are on the right track.
Both teams are off FCS wins that really did not reveal much about either team. MD's game against Howard ended up as a glorified scrimmage where they worked on their passing game since Howard decided to play man all over the field. Josh Jackson (graduate transfer from VA Tech) looked good, but not great in my opinion. He had wide open receivers all over the place and many of his passes were a little off. He did a good job at staying in the pocket and his stats were good, and it was a good start for his confidence. Maryland played 4 quarterbacks and did not reveal much else on the offensive side. Like I said, Locksley used it as a scrimmage and kept a lot of the running game out of the playbook. The best takeaway for me was that they played a disciplined game with very little penalties and mistakes which is a huge turnaround from last year.
Syracuse dominated the line of scrimmage against Liberty, especially on defense which was to be expected. Liberty has been a good offense team in the past so Syracuse proved they will be strong again on defense, especially upfront. Offensively, DeVito struggled with his accuracy and threw two interceptions, but they were able to run the ball and lean on their defense. They also were moving some OL around. Babers has stated that the timing is simply off with his receivers as they have had injuries during camp. I like Dino Babers as a coach, and similar to Locksley, I think he held back some on offense so as not to show his whole hand to Maryland. I expect them to be better tomorrow.
Syracuse relied on its defense to set up their offense in 2018. They created a whopping 31 turnovers last year and put relentless pressure on opposing QBs. The strength on this team is their ability to pressure the QB with Robinson and Coleman. They have 8 returning starters on defense and have maybe the best defense, besides Clemson, in the ACC. Their one vulnerability appears to be their linebacking group. The key to this game is going to be Maryland's offensive line's ability to control the rush and use their speed on offense to take advantage of the aggressiveness of Syracuse's defense. I expect Maryland to focus on running the ball and using the short passing game and crossing patterns to prevent the rush from getting to Jackson and to exploit the linebackers. This is something Locksley did relentlessly at Alabama against SEC defenses. As I said last week, Maryland's offense is Alabama's offense. I expect to see much, much more of the running game this week and many McFarland touches.
DeVito has to look better this week at QB or Syracuse will have some issues offensively. I expect him to play much better. Maryland will likely force him into passing the ball and look to stop the run and use outside pressure from their two graduate transfers both of which looked very good last week. Maryland had some trouble against the run last year, so it has been a point of emphasis this year. Syracuse runs the ball well, but they also do not have an offensive line like many of the better Big 12 teams. I think Syracuse will have some trouble controlling the line of scrimmage and I expect the Maryland defense to play well, but I also think they will be prone to giving up a few big plays in the passing game or with DeVito running the ball.
This is a long winded way of saying I think we will see a very competitive game likely desided by a few big plays. As with any game, turnovers are key, but it is especially important in this game since Syracuse thrives on forcing opposing teams to turn the ball over since their offense has a tendency to turn it over themselves. I liked MD getting three, but I think the more prudent play is:
Maryland/Syracuse Un 60 -125
I bought a point and a half. One thing I know about Syracuse is that they have a very, very good defense. Maryland has great potential on offense, but they have a couple questions on the offensive line and it has yet to be seen if they are ready to execute against a good defense. I am also confident that Maryland's defense will be up to the task against an offense that is not yet up to speed. All the questions with both offenses and the few certainties we can point to dictate an under play for me.
I think the game is a toss up and lean to a MD victory at home due to a couple big running plays. I also think the look ahead may also play a small role. If MD could actually produce a real crowd I would like them more, but there will probably be almost as many Syracuse fans there as Maryland fans. This is one thing that Locksley and the Athletic Department have to work on since they rarely have a true home field advantage.
Looking forward to this one, so enjoy the game!!
MD -1.5/Ov 58.5
A lot of talk about this 12:00 ESPN game. Syracuse opened as a field goal favorite and the line quickly got bet down and settled in with Maryland as a small favorite. I noted the line from the start as I thought the game would open Even or with MD as a small favorite since it is a home game. Syracuse is ranked 21, but that is more or less meaningless unless you like stats. Since 2015 there have been 23 games where a team ranked in the 20's has been a dog to an unranked team. The ranked team is 4-19 SU in these games and was 1-5 last year. Interesting, but does not come into play for me when capping the game. More interesting factor is scheduling. Syracuse has ESPN game week coming to NY for a massive home game against Clemson (the only ranked team on what is a rather easy schedule) next week after Clemson plays Texas A&M at home this week. Not the best situation for them from a scheduling perspective at all as they have to be looking a little ahead. On the other hand, this is a huge national spotlight game for Maryland giving Locksley a chance to prove they are on the right track.
Both teams are off FCS wins that really did not reveal much about either team. MD's game against Howard ended up as a glorified scrimmage where they worked on their passing game since Howard decided to play man all over the field. Josh Jackson (graduate transfer from VA Tech) looked good, but not great in my opinion. He had wide open receivers all over the place and many of his passes were a little off. He did a good job at staying in the pocket and his stats were good, and it was a good start for his confidence. Maryland played 4 quarterbacks and did not reveal much else on the offensive side. Like I said, Locksley used it as a scrimmage and kept a lot of the running game out of the playbook. The best takeaway for me was that they played a disciplined game with very little penalties and mistakes which is a huge turnaround from last year.
Syracuse dominated the line of scrimmage against Liberty, especially on defense which was to be expected. Liberty has been a good offense team in the past so Syracuse proved they will be strong again on defense, especially upfront. Offensively, DeVito struggled with his accuracy and threw two interceptions, but they were able to run the ball and lean on their defense. They also were moving some OL around. Babers has stated that the timing is simply off with his receivers as they have had injuries during camp. I like Dino Babers as a coach, and similar to Locksley, I think he held back some on offense so as not to show his whole hand to Maryland. I expect them to be better tomorrow.
Syracuse relied on its defense to set up their offense in 2018. They created a whopping 31 turnovers last year and put relentless pressure on opposing QBs. The strength on this team is their ability to pressure the QB with Robinson and Coleman. They have 8 returning starters on defense and have maybe the best defense, besides Clemson, in the ACC. Their one vulnerability appears to be their linebacking group. The key to this game is going to be Maryland's offensive line's ability to control the rush and use their speed on offense to take advantage of the aggressiveness of Syracuse's defense. I expect Maryland to focus on running the ball and using the short passing game and crossing patterns to prevent the rush from getting to Jackson and to exploit the linebackers. This is something Locksley did relentlessly at Alabama against SEC defenses. As I said last week, Maryland's offense is Alabama's offense. I expect to see much, much more of the running game this week and many McFarland touches.
DeVito has to look better this week at QB or Syracuse will have some issues offensively. I expect him to play much better. Maryland will likely force him into passing the ball and look to stop the run and use outside pressure from their two graduate transfers both of which looked very good last week. Maryland had some trouble against the run last year, so it has been a point of emphasis this year. Syracuse runs the ball well, but they also do not have an offensive line like many of the better Big 12 teams. I think Syracuse will have some trouble controlling the line of scrimmage and I expect the Maryland defense to play well, but I also think they will be prone to giving up a few big plays in the passing game or with DeVito running the ball.
This is a long winded way of saying I think we will see a very competitive game likely desided by a few big plays. As with any game, turnovers are key, but it is especially important in this game since Syracuse thrives on forcing opposing teams to turn the ball over since their offense has a tendency to turn it over themselves. I liked MD getting three, but I think the more prudent play is:
Maryland/Syracuse Un 60 -125
I bought a point and a half. One thing I know about Syracuse is that they have a very, very good defense. Maryland has great potential on offense, but they have a couple questions on the offensive line and it has yet to be seen if they are ready to execute against a good defense. I am also confident that Maryland's defense will be up to the task against an offense that is not yet up to speed. All the questions with both offenses and the few certainties we can point to dictate an under play for me.
I think the game is a toss up and lean to a MD victory at home due to a couple big running plays. I also think the look ahead may also play a small role. If MD could actually produce a real crowd I would like them more, but there will probably be almost as many Syracuse fans there as Maryland fans. This is one thing that Locksley and the Athletic Department have to work on since they rarely have a true home field advantage.
Looking forward to this one, so enjoy the game!!
ML Dog Parlay
Texas St +235
Akron +270
I play one of these a week. Usually 2 to 3 teams and try to focus on home dogs that I think have a chance to win. A buddy of mine and I have been doing this for many, many years and we usually hit a couple a year. Do not always post them but had some extra time.
Wyoming may still be high from their win last week over a less than impressive Mizzu squad and they are much better at home than away. Akron looked bad last week in a blowout loss, but UAB is not the same team as they have been the last couple years so I give them a shot here at home.
At 11.5 to one it is worth a few bucks. My buddy threw in Texas at +205 for the 37 to 1 payoff.
Texas St +235
Akron +270
I play one of these a week. Usually 2 to 3 teams and try to focus on home dogs that I think have a chance to win. A buddy of mine and I have been doing this for many, many years and we usually hit a couple a year. Do not always post them but had some extra time.
Wyoming may still be high from their win last week over a less than impressive Mizzu squad and they are much better at home than away. Akron looked bad last week in a blowout loss, but UAB is not the same team as they have been the last couple years so I give them a shot here at home.
At 11.5 to one it is worth a few bucks. My buddy threw in Texas at +205 for the 37 to 1 payoff.
I think both the two teamer and three teamer have a decent chance to cash. All three teams are live dogs IMO.
I hope we are right BG!!
Nothing else to add right now. I like the over in the Hawaii game, but I can wait to see how the day goes.
Nothing else to add right now. I like the over in the Hawaii game, but I can wait to see how the day goes.
News Flash: Mike Locksley can coach offense. After watching Canada's disaster last year, can not tell how you how refreshing it is to watch a MD team with an offense. They are shredding a good Syracuse defense right now. Long way to go, but Under not looking so good. Will look for a halftime play.
Wow, impressive half by Maryland I am not making a halftime play. The under is a certain loser, but I also have a lot of money on MD so no need to play anything. If I had to bet it I would probably take Cuse -.5.
Maryland is completely dominating this game and is simply the better team. The offense is for real. Play calling has been excellent and they are killing them with the short passing game as I said may happen. No way to predict though that they would be this good against a strong defense. I am sure they will run the ball a lot on the second half but I do not think they will let up much. Probably see Pigrome a lot in the second half but it is not a big drop-off.
Maryland is completely dominating this game and is simply the better team. The offense is for real. Play calling has been excellent and they are killing them with the short passing game as I said may happen. No way to predict though that they would be this good against a strong defense. I am sure they will run the ball a lot on the second half but I do not think they will let up much. Probably see Pigrome a lot in the second half but it is not a big drop-off.
Hey Bason after two weeks The Terps are the most impressive team In college football. I?m looking at their remaining schedule gotta be a let down coming. So far impressive brother
Thanks man. Their schedule is brutal, but they are going to have to be reckoned with this year. Last year their offense was bad but this year it is for real. Key for them will be beating Penn State at home in two weeks at night and not having a let down next week at Temple. If they can win those two they will have real momentum. They may not beat Michigan and Ohio State but they will give them games. Remember, they had Ohio State beat last year. It is just nice to have a good coach that should make them competitive for years to come.
If they can beat the State Penn. Temple will be no match that game don?t bother me it?s after that. :0003 You and SVP are only MD. Backers I know I?m rooting for some fresh blood. Keep up the work Bason. :toast:
Thanks. Maryland has athletes and can play. They just needed a coach. Think they have one now.
I am getting sick of hearing about Tom Herman and I was a fan. I will never understand how a team will not have a QB take a snap inside the 10 yard line. It is a huge pet peeve of mine with these mickey mouse spread offenses and I will never understand how you do not have a goal line offense. Just piss poor coaching in my opinion. Sorry for the mini rant, but this just drives me nuts. I know I am bit old school but it makes no sense when you have good offensive lineman. So glad to see that Maryland put the goal line offense in.
And UCLA sucks!!
I am getting sick of hearing about Tom Herman and I was a fan. I will never understand how a team will not have a QB take a snap inside the 10 yard line. It is a huge pet peeve of mine with these mickey mouse spread offenses and I will never understand how you do not have a goal line offense. Just piss poor coaching in my opinion. Sorry for the mini rant, but this just drives me nuts. I know I am bit old school but it makes no sense when you have good offensive lineman. So glad to see that Maryland put the goal line offense in.
And UCLA sucks!!
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And now Herman completely mismanaged the clock and they give up another 7. As usual, Texas is totally overrated.
I need them to cover 15.5 to hit a large DE lottery super teaser I did for the hell of it. Just did a bunch of dogs. I actual liked LSU all week, but thought getting 2 TDs at home would be safe. Not sure they have the offense to come back in this one. Ehrlinger is not the answer.
I need them to cover 15.5 to hit a large DE lottery super teaser I did for the hell of it. Just did a bunch of dogs. I actual liked LSU all week, but thought getting 2 TDs at home would be safe. Not sure they have the offense to come back in this one. Ehrlinger is not the answer.
Yeah, Hawaii was a disappointment.
So, so week. Only good for me due to Terps win despite the horrible under post. Also hit the teaser again.
Just waiting for my outs to post lines.
Teaser will likely be a big two teamer with MD/Navy. I think both lines should open around 7, MD could be higher due to the hype. There will be lots of talk about this being a down week after the win, getting ranked and with a Friday night game against Penn State next, but I do not think it will happen. Temple has beaten them 2 out of last 3 years and dominated them defensively at home last year, so I expect them to be motivated for this game with a significantly better offense. The Penn State game is three weeks away, so I expect the coaching staff to have them ready.
Navy had the week off and should be ready. East Carolina is no offensive powerhouse so I expect Navy to outscore them. Navy has made some changes to the offense adding some Hawaii like passing plays and has change the defensive to hopefully get better against all the passing teams in their conference.
So, so week. Only good for me due to Terps win despite the horrible under post. Also hit the teaser again.
Just waiting for my outs to post lines.
Teaser will likely be a big two teamer with MD/Navy. I think both lines should open around 7, MD could be higher due to the hype. There will be lots of talk about this being a down week after the win, getting ranked and with a Friday night game against Penn State next, but I do not think it will happen. Temple has beaten them 2 out of last 3 years and dominated them defensively at home last year, so I expect them to be motivated for this game with a significantly better offense. The Penn State game is three weeks away, so I expect the coaching staff to have them ready.
Navy had the week off and should be ready. East Carolina is no offensive powerhouse so I expect Navy to outscore them. Navy has made some changes to the offense adding some Hawaii like passing plays and has change the defensive to hopefully get better against all the passing teams in their conference.
Check out the early UNC Wake Forest line. May lose but just jumped on UNC plus 3.5.
Would not surprise me if there are more UNC fans at Grove Stadium than WF fans.
Would not surprise me if there are more UNC fans at Grove Stadium than WF fans.
I agree Lowell as that one did catch my eye, but I think I am more interested in the total. Not up yet for me, but I see 65.5 out there, so I am interested. Wake can move the ball. I think there could be potential for a lot of points in that game.
Also interested in KY+8.5 or so as I think Florida is overrated, especially on offense.
Can Hawaii go 3-0 against the Pac 10? Maybe not a win, but a cover? Washington did not look very good Saturday night.
Maryland line continues to climb but still do not have it yet on my outs.
Also interested in KY+8.5 or so as I think Florida is overrated, especially on offense.
Can Hawaii go 3-0 against the Pac 10? Maybe not a win, but a cover? Washington did not look very good Saturday night.
Maryland line continues to climb but still do not have it yet on my outs.
Not sure if this hurts or helps the UK +8.5, but starting QB appears to be done for the season. Not sure what they have as far as a backup...
