check out this cfb system

[ageecee]

damn why didnt i see this earlier

 

[UMRebel]

damn why didnt i see this earlier

I missed it too! 😰. Plz post for week 9 and on! Much thx

 

[loophole]

this system has truly been on fire of late; however, don't forget the 10 year win % is 56% so it appears we're enjoying a bit of a statistical blip - is a regression towards the mean inevitable? meanwhile, i have some bad news and good news. the bad news is i misspoke above and the system ends it's plays at the end of october, not november, so ten more days. the good news is a quick glance at next week tells me there will be more than 10 plays.


glta

 

[MadJack]

Check out the post I tailed it need one more with a total of 70 I like it

Dude.

 

[smax]

Good stuff Loop ! :0008

I thank you for the input. Made a good day for me. Looking forward to next week.

 

[kirbjones]

Thanks for this! Parlayed all of em and saved my Saturday!

 

[kenman]

WK 7 11-0 UN
WK 8 5-0 UN


9 GMs on the Plate for WK9

OHU BALL UN62.0 --> THUR night game
BOIS AIR UN58.0
CAL WAS UN45.0
HOU SFL UN73.0
AKST LLAF UN65.5
PUR MCST UN49.0
MIZ KTKY UN54.5
WIS NORW UN50.5
OKLA KAST UN64.0
STBR JMAD UN47.0 -- most book don't offer the total for this game

pick you poison and throw it in a 3, 4, 5, ....9 teams par ..:shrug:

Not sure I can post the link to the database that generate these game by query. Not advertising for any site. but here the link ..

http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/query?output=default&sdql=season+%3D+2018+and+p%3Apoints+%3E%3D+49+and+C+and+division+%3D+1A+and+month+%3C+11&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

14 OV 43 UN 2 Push so far this season.

GLTA

 

[loophole]

kenman's tally looks right to me. let me make a correction to original post and restate that games with totals 49 and under, not under 49 as originally posted, have hit at a rate of over 73%. two games fit this weekend - purdue @ mich st (49) and cal @ was (45).


glta

 

[hawkeye]

want to clarify that statement--"have hit at a rate of over 73%. Does that mean they are "overs" 73% of the time or are winners at under 73% of the time. TIA

 

[UMRebel]

kenman's tally looks right to me. let me make a correction to original post and restate that games with totals 49 and under, not under 49 as originally posted, have hit at a rate of over 73%. two games fit this weekend - purdue @ mich st (49) and cal @ was (45).


glta

Confused! So is the play on the under? Or the over?

 

[loophole]

umr, i know its counterintuitive, but the under plays get stronger on totals of 49 and below.

 

[Trucker Gambler]

Dude.

Did I say something wrong Jack

 

[#cruncher]

umr, i know its counterintuitive, but the under plays get stronger on totals of 49 and below.

Hadn't followed along that closely, but that makes sense to me, not that any other doesn't. Have never liked playing an opening total of 49 or less as an over play; or an opening total of 60 and above, as an under play. Just a general rule of thumb for me. Although I've broke both multiple times!

 

[loophole]

agree completely #cruncher. I'd rather be under a low total and over a high one.

 

[kenman]

kenman's tally looks right to me. let me make a correction to original post and restate that games with totals 49 and under, not under 49 as originally posted, have hit at a rate of over 73%. two games fit this weekend - purdue @ mich st (49) and cal @ was (45).


glta

loop,

if I am understand what you saying that the totals for the game is 49 and UN ... then the record since 2008 are 15 OV 46 UN 3 P ... so UN are hit at 75.4%.


http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...month+<+11+and+total<=49&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

if we uses total of 49 or lower, there only 4 games this season and UN are 4-0.

http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...month+<+11+and+total<=49&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++


WK9
CAL/WAS O/U 45
STBR/JMAD O/U 49
PUR/MCST O/U 51.5 --- total moved up not qualify

 

[loophole]

yes kenman numbers i cited earlier have not been updated, yours appear correct.

 

[kenman]

I am going to tighten this system/trend up to get better winning % ....

play UNDER any game where the total between 49 and 60, in which one of the teams scored 49 or more pts the previous week against a conference opponent and now play a conference opponent, before the month on NOV.

1 OV 10 UN that 90.9% winning % on the UN

http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...and+45<=total<=60+and+C+&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++



WK9

BOIS/AIR UN58
CAL/WAS UN45
PUR/MCST UN51.5
WIS/NORW UN51
STBR/JMAD UN49 -- IF BOOKS OFFER.


I am going to hit the 4 in bold straight and round robin parlay all 4.

GLTA

Sorry ... Total for the game should me between 45-60 not 49-60 above.

 

[hawkeye]

So we went from 9 games to just 4?

 

[OrlandoBronco]

I am going to tighten this system/trend up to get better winning % ....

play UNDER any game where the total between 49 and 60, in which one of the teams scored 49 or more pts the previous week against a conference opponent and now play a conference opponent, before the month on NOV.

1 OV 10 UN that 90.9% winning % on the UN

http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...and+45<=total<=60+and+C+&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

WK9

BOIS/AIR UN58
CAL/WAS UN45
PUR/MCST UN51.5
WIS/NORW UN51
STBR/JMAD UN49 -- IF BOOKS OFFER.


I am going to hit the 4 in bold straight and round robin parlay all 4.

GLTA

Tailed

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[OrlandoBronco]

We should have round robin parlayed it last week.

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