Cnotes 2018 College Football Thru The Bowl Games News- Trends-Stats-Best Bets !

Cnotes53

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college football best bets aug-sept.

Date w-l-t % units record

09/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/01/2018 30-22-0 57.69% +29.00
08/31/2018 4-8-0 33.33% -24.00
08/30/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
08/25/2018 4-0-0 100.00% +20.00

total..............46-34-0.......57.50%.....+14.00



best bets ats and o/u

09/03/2018.............0 - 1..............-5.50....................1 - 0...............+5.00..............1 - 1.........-0.50
09/02/2018.............1 - 0..............+5.00...................1 - 0...............+5.00..............2 - 0........ +10.00
09/01/2018............13 - 6.............+32.00.................5 - 2...............+14.00............18 - 8.......+46.00
08/31/2018.............1 - 3..............-11.50..................2 - 4...............-12.00..............3 - 7.........-23.50
08/30/2018.............2 - 1..............+4.50...................2 -1...............+4.50...............4 - 2.........+9.00
08/25/2018.............2 - 0..............+10.00.................2 - 0..............+10.00..............4 - 0........+20.00

total......................19 - 11............+34.50.................13 - 7.............+26.50............32 - 18......+61.00
 
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Who's Hot and Who's Not
September 3, 2018


Week of September 3rd

Ahh, step back and take a breath. That first full week of college football is behind us and it's time to sink or swim. Last week was busy, but with the NFL now thrown on top, you'd better be ready to look ahead to the next week by Monday morning at the latest to succeed long term in this industry.

And while it's extremely important not to overreact to one week's worth of action, but Week 1 was very interesting for a few different countries across the land. How you use that information this week is up to you, but the conversation for best/deepest division in all of college football has to be put to rest for at least one week, and another Conference is already put on blast after some rough Week 1 results.

Who's Hot

SEC West Teams ? 7-0 SU, 6-0-1 ATS


Remember in many of those college football previews you read/listened too and how many of them talked about how good the Big Ten East division will be this year and how it's likely the best in football from top to bottom? Well, there is still plenty of time to make that statement a true one, but it sure doesn't look like it after one week.

Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, and Penn State all began the year ranked but you wouldn't really know it from their Week 1 results. Michigan was the only one to lose SU, but combined they went 1-3 ATS with the lone cover coming despite Ohio State allowing 30+ to a bad Oregon State team. Penn State almost watched their season go up in flames by nearly losing to App State, and Michigan State wasn't overly impressive in a seven-point win as -20+ favs against Utah State. Needless to say, there is plenty of room for improvement in that division (although they did go 6-1 SU overall).

Compare those numbers from the best of the best in the Big 10 East with what the SEC West accomplished in Week 1. Alabama rolled over Louisville, LSU rolled over Miami, Ole Miss flipped to a road favorite just before beating up on Texas Tech, and Auburn came out on top in the Top 10 showdown with Washington. All in all, SEC West teams did lose ATS against the closing number and many of them did it with highly potent offenses.

Of the seven SEC West wins this weekend, four of them saw teams score 50+, and the average margin of victory was 31.7 points. That number is huge and while there were a couple of cupcakes in there, the SEC West teams made those games look as easy as they were supposed too while someone like Penn State needed to convert a 4th and 2 late just to have a shot at forcing OT.

It will be interesting to see what the ATS records for these SEC West teams is after Week 2, because outside of Mississippi State's game at Kansas State, and Texas A&M hosting Clemson, the rest of them will be saddled with -30+ point spreads against much lesser competition and maybe those big spreads are a shade higher than normal after these Week 1 results.

Who's Not

Big 12 Conference ? 6-3 SU; 2-7 ATS


The Pac 12 took some shots late Saturday night after Saturday brought losses to the likes of Washington, Arizona, and UCLA, but bettors were lamenting the Big 12 much more as it looks like there are two teams at the top who've got a QB, and everyone else is just catching up.

A 2-7 ATS record through one week for the Big 12 is nothing to be proud of here, although when the two ATS wins come in dominant fashion by arguably your two best programs in Oklahoma and West Virginia, there is a bit of a silver lining. But those are also the two schools with the most known talent at QB this year with Kyler Murray ? the $4 million MLB player ? and Will Grier calling out the plays. Those two teams could easily become the best bets of this Conference in 2018, but if your backing any other Big 12 team you may want to think twice.

A couple of those ATS defeats came with Baylor and TCU easily blowing out their lesser-tier competition but failing to cover the lofty numbers those games bring. Sometimes those ATS defeats can be excused to some degree ? especially in TCU's case where they lose by a few points ? but there was quite of bit of inexcusable offenses by teams in this conference as well.

Texas lost outright as 13-point favorites to a Maryland team that's got some very big issues off the field, while Kansas lost SU to FCS school Nicholls State. Kansas State narrowly avoided a similar fate when they needed a late comeback to beat South Dakota 27-24, while Texas Tech got blasted by the aforementioned Ole Miss Rebels who took control of that game early on.

Now you'd have to think that a bounce back week may be coming for the Big 12 soon, but I'd hold off on that being Week 2. Both teams from Kansas already proved they shouldn't be trusted and now they face Central Michigan (Kansas) and Mississippi State (Kansas State) this week. Both have already opened up as about TD underdogs there, so can you even consider taking the points?

Oklahoma ? who looked great ? hosts UCLA in a game that could be a little inflated after Week 1's results, while TCU and Texas have potential trip up games against SMU and Tulsa respectively.
 

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Games to Watch - Week 2
September 3, 2018


College Football Week 2: Games to Watch

Week 1 of the 2018 college football season is in the books, and as always, there were a couple of shockers and some close calls to get the season rolling.

Most of the teams that we are looking ta as potential playoff favorites won quite handily, though, but there are going to be some tougher tasks ahead for all of them.

Week 2 will be upon us before you know it, so let?s look ahead at three games that should be getting your attention this weekend. We will take a quick look at what each of the teams did in their opener, as well as breaking down the current odds.

No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks (CBS, 3:30 p.m. ET)

The general consensus is that the SEC East is Georgia?s to lose, with the belief being that the Gamecocks are the only team that have a legitimate shot at taking them down. It goes without saying that this match-up is absolutely huge, with the Bulldogs in as a 9 ? point favorite early on. Georgia took care of Austin Peay in Week 1 with a 45-0 win, falling just short of covering the spread, which was set at 46. The Gamecocks made short work of Coastal Carolina, winning 49-15 and covering the 31-point spread with the total in that game going OVER. Georgia is 6-4 versus South Carolina in their last 10 meetings, but just 3-6-1 ATS in those games.

Early Lean: I like Georgia to win this one going away, covering the 9 ? points spread in the process.

No. 13 USC Trojans at No. 15 Stanford Cardinal (FOX, 8:30 p.m. ET)

The USC Trojans found themselves in a dogfight early on in their season opener against UNLV. The game went back and forth on the first half before USC pulled away in the second half for a 45-21 win. The Trojans did not cover the 24 ? point spread, and the point total fell UNDER the 59 points. Stanford opened with a workmanlike, if somewhat unspectacular, 31-10 win over San Diego State, covering the 13 ? point spread in the process, while also falling UNDER the 49 ? point total. Stanford are in as a 3 ? point favorite over the Trojans this weekend and have a 6-4 record in their last 10 meetings with USC. They have the same record ATS in those meetings.

Early Lean: I like the Cardinal to win and cover this coming Saturday.

No. 2 Clemson Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

We always knew that we weren?t going to learn much about the Tigers from their season opener versus the Furman Paladins, and that certainly proved to be the case. They rolled out to a comfortable 48-7 win, falling short of covering the 49-point spread in that game. This week should prove to be a little tougher, as a trip to College Station is never an easy one to make. Jimbo Fisher saw his tenure get off to a winning start, with the Aggies ripping open Northwestern State in a lopsided 59-7 win, covering the spread in the process. They are not likely to get that sort of joy this weekend, as they are in as a 12 ? point underdog versus Clemson.

Early Lean: The Tigers look ready to make another run this season, so I like them to win and cover in Week 2.
 

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Early Line Moves - Week 2
September 4, 2018
By BetDSI

College Football Week 2 Opening Line Report

The second week of the college football season is upon us and it is the first real week where we can track early line moves. The first week of the season was completely different because the college football odds were up for months in some cases. This time around the odds were released on Sunday night or Monday morning, so we will get true early line movement we can track.

Let?s look at the early line moves for Week 2 college football action, some line moves around the key number of three and a few smaller line moves on some of the marquee games for Week 2.

Week 2 Early Moves

TCU -17.5 to -22.5 at SMU

The first game of Week 2 is getting a lot of action, as bettors are pounding the TCU Horned Frogs at SMU. The Horned Frogs looked good last week in a 55-7 rout of Southern, while the Mustangs were routed 46-23 at North Texas. This Friday night game can be seen on ESPN 2.

Liberty +12 to +9.5 at Army
The Flames are getting some action on Saturday on the road at Army. Liberty opened up as a 12-point underdog and that number is down to 9.5. This is one of the few dogs that got a lot of early action.

Florida Atlantic -7.5 to -10 vs. Air Force
Bettors must be ignoring what happened last week to the Owls, as they were humiliated by Oklahoma. The Falcons rolled over Stony Brook in Week 1, winning 38-0.

Vanderbilt -7.5 to -10 vs. Nevada
The Commodores are getting a lot of love from bettors, as they are now double-digit favorites vs. the Wolf Pack. Vanderbilt rolled over Middle Tennessee last week, while Nevada crushed Portland State.

Utah State -21 to -24 vs. New Mexico State
Utah State looked really good last week and nearly beat Michigan State. This will be the third game for New Mexico State and they already look like one of the worst teams in college football.

Michigan State -4 to -7 at Arizona State
This is a strange move, as Michigan State didn?t look good last week in close win over Utah State, while Arizona State looked as good as they have in years in winning their opener under Herm Edwards.

Key Number Line Moves

Georgia Tech -2 to -3 at South Florida

The Yellow Jackets had no trouble in their opener, as they routed Alcorn, while South Florida won by 20 points over Elon.

BYU -2.5 to -3.5 vs. California
One of the most impressive performances in Week 1 came from the Cougars as they went on the road and dominated Arizona in a game that was not as close as the final score indicated. The Golden Bears got past North Carolina in Week 1, winning by a touchdown.

Marquee Games Line Moves

Clemson -11 to -12.5 at Texas A&M

One of the marquee games this week has Clemson on the road to take on A&M. The Tigers are considered one of the best teams in the country, but Jimbo Fisher knows Clemson really well. Bettors are backing the No. 2 team in the country in this game on ESPN.

Georgia -9 to -9.5 at South Carolina
The No. 3 ranked Bulldogs had no trouble in Week 1, as they dominated Austin Peay, winning 45-0. South Carolina rolled over College of Charleston, winning 49-15. This contest can be seen on CBS on Saturday.

Pittsburgh +9 to +7.5 vs. Penn State
The Nittany Lions didn?t look good last week on defense, as they gave up a lot of points to Appalachian State. The Nittany Lions were fortunate just to get an overtime win. The Panthers were not that great, but they did get past Albany 33-7. This game is the feature game on ABC on Saturday night.

USC +4 to +3.5 at Stanford
This game on FOX has seen a little bit of movement to the Trojans. Stanford didn?t look that good last week in a win over San Diego State, while USC rolled over UNLV.
 

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4th Quarter Covers - Week 1
September 4, 2018
By Joe Nelson


Glancing at the scoreboard won?t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the first big college football weekend. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Northwestern (+1) 31, Purdue 27 (49?): The Wildcats led 31-17 at halftime, but only were up by four early in the fourth quarter on a spread that fell from +3 to just +1 by kickoff on opening night. Purdue got a big stop with the Wildcats going for it on 4th and 6 just outside field goal range, but they had to punt the ball right back. From there, Northwestern burned nearly eight minutes of clock over 14 plays, with a personal foul penalty negating a 3rd down stop that would have given the Boilers the ball back.

Wake Forest (-7?) 23, Tulane 17 (55?): At no point in the game was Tulane not covering the closing spread, but this line was at just +6? much of the week before a late rise. Wake Forest threw a red zone interception in the fourth quarter up by three that allowed Tulane to tie the game with a field goal with just over three minutes remaining, converting a big 4th-and-11 play along the way. Going first in overtime, Tulane went backwards and came up empty after facing 4th-and-25. Wake Forest needed seven plays to score the game-winning touchdown, but they didn?t need the extra-point, which saved those on the underdog Wave.

Stanford (-14?) 31, San Diego State 10 (48?): The Cardinal trailed 7-0 early but an 80-yard pass play on 3rd-and-long put Stanford up by 14 late in the third quarter to sit on or near the spread for most with the number hovering around 14 all week. The Aztecs went for it on 4th and 1 early in the fourth quarter in Stanford territory, but fell short and Stanford added another touchdown on the subsequent drive to push the margin to 21 points. San Diego State reached Stanford territory on its final possession, but back-to-back sacks made for 4th and very long and the Aztecs just opted to punt and didn?t see the ball again. Those on the ?under? also held on with only seven points in the fourth quarter despite both teams having a pair of drives across midfield in the final frame.

Ohio State (-39) 77, Oregon State 31 (62): This matchup of OSUs from the Pac 12 and the Big Ten was never expected to be close, and it wasn?t. The Buckeyes put up 21 points in the first quarter on two Dwayne Haskins touchdown passes, compared to 7 points by the Beavers who were playing with second-string quarterback Conor Blount for most of the game. The second quarter would not get any closer as the Buckeyes put up another 21 points including a Nick Bosa fumble recovery and return for a touchdown. At the half, the score was 42-14. The third quarter was unique as the Beavers outscored the Buckeyes, 17-14. Beavers' running back Artavis Pierce broke off touchdown runs of 78 and 80 yards to bring the score to 56-31 at the end of three quarters of play leaving those on the hefty underdog in pretty good position down 25 with two touchdowns to spare on the closing number. The fourth quarter was back to looking more like the beginning of the contest -- all Ohio State. The Buckeyes exploded for yet another 21-point quarter, putting the game away, and covering the spread with the final score coming with fewer than four minutes remaining as Master Teague broke a 33-yard run on a 4th down play.

Indiana (-13) 38, Florida International 28 (56): The spread on this game was -10 or -10? most of the week before rising to -13 by kickoff. The Hoosiers were just past that number by halftime with a 28-14 advantage and turned it into a 35-14 edge midway through the third quarter. Florida International delivered a 16-play touchdown drive late in the third quarter to get back to within 14 and Indiana settled for a short field goal early in the fourth quarter to leave the backdoor open. Back-to-back defensive penalties helped the cause as FIU went the distance including getting a 4th-and-4 conversion to put the underdog in position to cover down 10. Things got interesting late as Indiana recovered the onside kick attempt and rushed down the field with the clock running out, eventually ending the game on the FIU 2-yard-line.

Auburn (-1?) 21, Washington 16 (50?): Washington traveled across the country to take on Auburn in the Chick-fil-a Kickoff this past Saturday in Atlanta and they gave us a classic. Auburn started off the game on fire, scoring the first nine points on a Jarrett Stidham touchdown pass and an Anders Carlson field goal. The Huskies would answer back with 2:59 to go in the first quarter on a Peyton Henry 31-yard field goal. Both teams would trade field goals to open the second quarter of play. Auburn?s Anders Carlson would add a 53-yard field goal at the 1:23 mark to make the score 15-6. Jake Browning took only 40 seconds to strike back on a 13-yard pass to receiver Quinten Pounds to end the half with a score of 15-13 in favor of the Tigers.

Scoring would halt in the third quarter though not without chances for both teams. Missed field goals were traded early in the third quarter and Washington came away empty despite reaching 1st-and-goal after a fumble on a 3rd down sack. Washington place-kicker Peyton Henry put a 30-yard field goal through the uprights at the 14:05 mark to give Washington the lead 16-15. Scoring would pause with a pair of punts until Auburn?s JaTarvious Whitlow scored on a ten yard run with 6:15 remaining in the game. Whitlow?s carry would prove to be the deciding factor in this matchup of Top 10 teams as Auburn would take home the win 21-16 with Browning sacked for the fifth time on 4th and long after Washington had reached the Auburn 37-yard-line in the final minutes. Those on the ?under? were never threatened on the scoreboard, but 51 first downs and 818 total yards suggested a higher scoring outcome. 22 combined penalties for more than 200 yards played a role along with settling for nine field goal attempts including three that were missed.

California (-7) 24, North Carolina 17 (57?): In a rematch from last season?s 35-30 win for California to open the season, the Bears led 17-0 at halftime against a North Carolina squad shorthanded with suspensions. A 38-yard interception return touchdown was among the scores as the edge for California was more about the failures of the Tar Heels than the success of the offense for the Bears. North Carolina got on the board late in the third quarter with a field goal, but California answered with a touchdown drive for a 24-3 edge heading into the fourth quarter. Pinned deep, North Carolina finally got its offense going, delivering a 19-play, 92-yard touchdown drive to trim the margin to 10 points. With four minutes remaining, the Tar Heels got the ball back and again drove into the end zone with just over a minute remaining to put the margin at seven, right on the number for many. Initially, North Carolina recovered the subsequent onside kick but it was taken back with an early block ruling on replay review.

Washington State (-3) 41, Wyoming 19 (45): The post-Josh Allen era for Wyoming started off great last weekend when the Cowboys trounced New Mexico State, this weekend was not so favorable. Mike Leach?s Washington State Cougars traveled to Laramie to face the upstart Cowboys in a game that many thought would be a close one. The game started off all Wazzu as they took a 10-point lead with 3:28 left in the first quarter. Wyoming would answer with a rare safety to make the score 10-2 at the end of one. The Cowboys outscored the Cougars, 14-3 in the second quarter to take a 16-13 lead into the locker room. The second half started off slow as Wyoming added a field goal midway through the third quarter, but Washington State took the lead by the end of the frame with a 75-yard drive capped off with a Max Borghi reception. The fourth quarter was where the game broke open as the Cougars exploded for 21 unanswered points to wind up with a 41-19 final result for the favorite cover as well as hitting the ?over? with Wyoming posting a net total of zero yards combined on its final five possessions.
 

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UCLA at Oklahoma
September 4, 2018
By BetDSI


By Tom Wilkinson

College Football Preview ? UCLA at Oklahoma


The Oklahoma Sooners are heavily favored to defeat the UCLA Bruins on Saturday in a game that can be seen on FOX.

The Chip Kelly era at UCLA did not start well, as the Bruins were beaten 26-17 by Cincinnati. Not only did UCLA lose the game, but their starting quarterback Wilton Speight suffered a back injury. He is questionable for this contest. On the other side, the Sooners looked great, routing Florida Atlantic by a score of 61-14.

Let?s look at Saturday?s matchup and college football picks.

Date and Time: Saturday, September 8, 2018, 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
College Football Odds at BetDSI: Oklahoma -29, Total 64.5
UCLA vs. Oklahoma TV Coverage: FOX


What do we make of UCLA?s loss to Cincinnati in Week 1? It was thought that the Bruins would be a high scoring team under Chip Kelly, but they looked lost in the first week. It didn?t help that Speight got hurt, but is he really any good? The problem for Kelly this season is that he doesn?t have a quarterback who is ready to start. Speight is a Michigan transfer who couldn?t win the job at Michigan, so he transferred. He didn?t do himself any favors in Week 1, as he was 8-for-12 for 45 yards and an interception before getting hurt.

The Bruins played 11 true freshmen in the opener, including quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson who came in to replace Speight. Kelly probably made a mistake in going with Speight, but he chose him because of his experience. Thompson-Robinson or redshirt sophomore Devon Modster look better suited to run Kelly?s system. ?It?s a really, really young team to begin with and Wilton has a calming influence around everybody,? Kelly said about Speight.

Thompson-Robinson didn?t play well either, as he was 12-for-25 for 117 yards and he fumbled. ?First college game wasn?t up to par ? to my standards, at least,? Thompson-Robinson said to the media. ?And so I?m definitely looking to get better.?

The Sooners rolled in their opener and look like a serious national title contender. Kyler Murray looked really good in replacing Baker Mayfield, as threw for 209 yards and two touchdowns. He didn?t even play the second half, as the Sooners rolled. Florida Atlantic head coach Lane Kiffin said after the game that he would be surprised if any team in the country is better than the Sooners.

Oklahoma has 650 total yards in the win. Running back Rodney Anderson had 100 yards on just five carries and could be a Heisman Trophy contender.

Player to Watch

Keep an eye on Rodney Anderson. He is already being compared to some of the great Oklahoma running backs in history. Samaje Perine was thought to be tough to replace, but Anderson looks ready. Oklahoma head coach Lincoln Riley said to the media that Anderson is a great player. ?His skill set is different in some ways, but he?s an elite player. There?s no doubt about it. I think he?s teed up to have a great year.? Keep in mind that Anderson had 201 yards and two touchdowns last season in a game against Georgia.

Key Stats

The Bruins are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games. The Bruins are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. The Sooners are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games. The Bruins have gone over in four of their last six road games.

UCLA vs. Oklahoma Picks

It really doesn?t matter whether Speight starts this game or not, as the Bruins are simply not a good team right now under Kelly. I think he will eventually get his system and his players in place, but that isn?t going to happen for a while. Did you catch what I said earlier about how many freshmen played for the Bruins in Week 1? It is almost impossible for a team as young as UCLA to go on the road against a top team and be competitive. I will lay the points and take the Sooners on Saturday.

UCLA vs. Oklahoma Pick: Sooners minus the points
UCLA vs. Oklahoma Score Prediction: Oklahoma 48, UCLA 17
 

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Clemson opens double-digit fave, draws early action vs. Texas A&M
Patrick Everson

After a riveting and lengthy Week 1 of the college football season, it?s time to move on to a more standard Week 2. Covers checks in on the opening lines and early action for a trio of games, with insights from Mike Piranio, sportsbook director at Mandalay Bay on the Las Vegas Strip.

Clemson Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies (+11)

Clemson, which won the national title two seasons ago and lost to Alabama in the College Football Playoff semifinals last year, coasted into action this season. The Tigers (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) played host to FCS outfit Furman on Saturday and rolled to a 48-7 victory, though they failed to cash as massive 50-point favorites.

Texas A&M opened a new coaching era this season with Jimbo Fisher, who exited Florida State after an eight-year stretch at Florida State. The Aggies also opened with an overmatched FCS foe, walloping Northwestern State 59-7 as a 46.5-point home chalk Thursday night.

?Clemson opened at -11 and immediately went to -13,? Piranio said. ?Clemson?s a public team, A&M has a new coach, that?s gonna make a difference in the public?s mind on how they?re doing, although he?s a good coach. But it?ll take a while for (the Aggies) to adjust. That game might go up a little bit, but it?s made its move already.?

In fact, Mandalay Bay and other MGM books were sitting at Clemson -12.5 late Monday afternoon.

No. 4. Georgia Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks (+9)

Georgia, which lost to Alabama in overtime in last year?s national championship game, also eased its way into the 2018-19 campaign. The Bulldogs blanked Austin Peay 45-0, but fell just short of cashing as 48.5-point home faves Saturday.

South Carolina is coming off a 9-4 season, including a victory over Michigan in the Outback Bowl. Last week, the Gamecocks at least scheduled an FBS opponent, but it was Coastal Carolina out of the Sun Belt Conference. South Carolina breezed to a 49-15 win and cover laying 31 points at home.

?That one hasn?t moved much. It started at 9, there are 9.5s and 10s,? Piranio said. ?But I look for that to stick around 9.5, not move too much, because both teams are quality teams. We have a lot of action on South Carolina winning the SEC, so the public has some ties to that game.?

Southern California Trojans at Stanford Cardinal (-4)

These Pac-12 rivals got two cracks at each other last season, in Week 2 and in the conference title game, with Southern Cal winning both times and splitting the cash. The Trojans opened 2017-18 with a 43-21 victory over UNLV on Saturday as a healthy 24-point chalk.

Stanford exacted a little revenge in its season opener, after losing outright on the road to San Diego State last year. The Cardinal didn?t take the lead until just before halftime Friday night, at 9-7, but pulled away in the second half for a 31-10 victory giving 14 points at home.

?It opened up at -4 Stanford, it?s gone to 3.5. I look for that game to go back up to 4,? Piranio said Monday afternoon, and indeed MGM books were later at 4, though dipping again is certainly not out of the question. ?The public likes the Southern California teams, and (those bettors) come in here a lot.?
 

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NCAAF
Long Sheet


Friday, September 7

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TCU (1 - 0) at SMU (0 - 1) - 9/7/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
SMU is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 8

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LIBERTY (1 - 0) at ARMY (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LIBERTY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LIBERTY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games since 1992.
ARMY is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UAB (1 - 0) at COASTAL CAROLINA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 1-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (1 - 0) at S FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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W MICHIGAN (0 - 1) at MICHIGAN (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (0 - 1) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at PURDUE (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (1 - 0) at WISCONSIN (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (1 - 0) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 1) at OLD DOMINION (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLD DOMINION is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
OLD DOMINION is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (1 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 0) at KANSAS ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 150-117 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (0 - 1) at HOUSTON (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEVADA (1 - 0) at VANDERBILT (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (1 - 0) at NC STATE (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
GEORGIA ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
GEORGIA ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (0 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 2) at UTAH ST (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 91-124 ATS (-45.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (0 - 1) at C MICHIGAN (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 125-163 ATS (-54.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 125-163 ATS (-54.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 76-114 ATS (-49.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 46-81 ATS (-43.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 46-81 ATS (-43.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 117-154 ATS (-52.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 96-130 ATS (-47.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTEP (0 - 1) at UNLV (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
UTEP is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
UTEP is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in September games since 1992.
UNLV is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
UNLV is 87-123 ATS (-48.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (1 - 0) at NAVY (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NAVY is 167-125 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 167-125 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 94-57 ATS (+31.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 151-112 ATS (+27.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 106-71 ATS (+27.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (0 - 1) at E CAROLINA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (1 - 0) at OHIO ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 185-140 ATS (+31.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 185-140 ATS (+31.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 155-121 ATS (+21.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 167-126 ATS (+28.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (1 - 0) at TEMPLE (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (1 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (1 - 0) at UTSA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (1 - 0) at ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (1 - 0) at NEBRASKA (0-0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (1 - 0) at SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALL ST (1 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (0-0) at IOWA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (1 - 0) at BOWLING GREEN (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 1) at GA SOUTHERN (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON (1 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (1 - 1) at MISSOURI (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (1 - 0) at INDIANA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (1 - 0) at FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (1 - 0) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 97-71 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UTAH is 63-35 ATS (+24.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (1 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (1 - 0) at COLORADO ST (0 - 2) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (1 - 0) vs. MIAMI OHIO (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (1 - 0) at TEXAS (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (0 - 1) at OKLAHOMA ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (1 - 0) at STANFORD (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALIFORNIA (1 - 0) at BYU (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (0 - 1) at BOISE ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 141-102 ATS (+28.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 141-102 ATS (+28.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (1 - 0) at ARIZONA ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 10:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (0 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (1 - 1) at HAWAII (2 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 11:59 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,106
55
48
NCAAF

Week 2


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 7

Texas Christian @ Southern Methodist
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


Saturday, September 8

Mississippi State @ Kansas State
Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Kansas State
Kansas State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home

Nevada @ Vanderbilt
Nevada
Nevada is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Nevada's last 18 games on the road

Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vanderbilt's last 10 games
Vanderbilt is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Arizona @ Houston
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games

Houston
Houston is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games at home

Duke @ Northwestern
Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing Northwestern

Northwestern
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Georgia Tech @ South Florida
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games
Georgia Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

South Florida
South Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
South Florida is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games

Liberty @ Army
Liberty
Liberty is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Liberty is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Army is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

Towson @ Wake Forest
Towson
Towson is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Towson is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games

Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Wake Forest is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Western Michigan @ Michigan
Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
Western Michigan is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

Michigan
Michigan is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Michigan's last 18 games at home

Eastern Michigan @ Purdue
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Purdue's last 20 games at home
Purdue is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

New Mexico @ Wisconsin
New Mexico
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
Wisconsin is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home

Georgia State @ North Carolina State
Georgia State
Georgia State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia State is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road

North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

California-Los Angeles @ Oklahoma
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road

Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Oklahoma is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

Holy Cross @ Boston College
Holy Cross
No trends to report

Boston College
Boston College is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Boston College is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Portland State @ Oregon
Portland State
Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Oregon
Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oregon's last 12 games at home

William & Mary @ Virginia Tech
William & Mary
William & Mary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
William & Mary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games

Air Force @ Florida Atlantic
Air Force
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games on the road
Air Force is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Kansas @ Central Michigan
Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games on the road
Kansas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
Central Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Arkansas State @ Alabama
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arkansas State's last 11 games on the road

Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Alabama is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games

Georgia @ South Carolina
Georgia
Georgia is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Georgia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road

South Carolina
South Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of South Carolina's last 11 games when playing at home against Georgia

Colorado @ Nebraska
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Nebraska

Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Nebraska is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado

North Carolina @ East Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing East Carolina

East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 8 of East Carolina's last 11 games
East Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina

Wagner @ Syracuse
Wagner
Wagner is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Wagner is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Syracuse's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Syracuse's last 20 games

Rutgers @ Ohio State
Rutgers
Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Rutgers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Buffalo @ Temple
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Buffalo's last 11 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Temple
Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Temple is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Howard @ Kent State
Howard
Howard is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Howard is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Kent State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 6 games
Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Memphis @ Navy
Memphis
Memphis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Memphis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Navy
Navy is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games at home

Morgan State @ Akron
Morgan State
Morgan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Morgan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

Akron
Akron is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games at home

Ball State @ Notre Dame
Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games on the road
Ball State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

Southern Illinois @ Mississippi
Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Southern Illinois is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Mississippi
Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

East Tennessee State @ Tennessee
East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
Tennessee is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

Lamar @ Texas Tech
Lamar
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Lamar's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Lamar's last 6 games

Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Texas Tech's last 24 games at home
Texas Tech is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

North Dakota @ Washington
North Dakota
North Dakota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
North Dakota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Iowa State @ Iowa
Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa

Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa State
Iowa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Youngstown State @ West Virginia
Youngstown State
Youngstown State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Youngstown State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games
West Virginia is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

Savannah State @ Miami-FL
Savannah State
Savannah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Savannah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Miami-FL is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

Massachusetts @ Georgia Southern
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Massachusetts's last 11 games on the road
Massachusetts is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Georgia Southern is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

Maryland @ Bowling Green
Maryland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Maryland's last 10 games

Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
Bowling Green is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games

Appalachian State @ Charlotte
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

South Carolina State @ Central Florida
South Carolina State
South Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
South Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Eastern Kentucky @ Marshall
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games
Marshall is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

Southeastern Louisiana @ Louisiana State
Southeastern Louisiana
Southeastern Louisiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Southeastern Louisiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Louisiana State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Wyoming @ Missouri
Wyoming
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 6 games on the road
Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Missouri
Missouri is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Missouri is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Clemson @ Texas A&M
Clemson
Clemson is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Clemson is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games

Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas A&M is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

Baylor @ Texas-San Antonio
Baylor
Baylor is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games on the road

Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games
Texas-San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Indiana State @ Louisville
Indiana State
Indiana State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Indiana State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

Louisville
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games

Southern University @ Louisiana Tech
Southern University
Southern University is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Southern University is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana Tech is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home

Tennessee-Martin @ Middle Tennessee
Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Louisiana-Monroe @ Southern Miss
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 12 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Southern Miss
Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Miss is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Alabama-Birmingham @ Coastal Carolina
Alabama-Birmingham
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 5 games on the road
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Coastal Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Florida A&M @ Troy
Florida A&M
Florida A&M is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Florida A&M is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Troy
Troy is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Texas Southern @ Texas State
Texas Southern
Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Texas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Texas State's last 19 games

Samford @ Florida State
Samford
Samford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Samford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Florida State
Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Alabama State @ Auburn
Alabama State
Alabama State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games at home

Kentucky @ Florida
Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 7 games

Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kentucky
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky

Utah @ Northern Illinois
Utah
Utah is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games

Virginia @ Indiana
Virginia
Virginia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Virginia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Western Illinois @ Illinois
Western Illinois
Western Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Western Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Illinois's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games

Fresno State @ Minnesota
Fresno State
Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games on the road

Minnesota
Minnesota is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

Florida International @ Old Dominion
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games

Old Dominion
Old Dominion is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 7 games

Incarnate Word @ North Texas
Incarnate Word
No trends to report

North Texas
North Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home

Maine @ Western Kentucky
Maine
Maine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Maine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games at home

Arkansas @ Colorado State
Arkansas
Arkansas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Arkansas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Colorado State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado State's last 7 games at home
Colorado State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

Southern Utah @ Oregon State
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State's last 6 games at home

South Alabama @ Oklahoma State
South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Alabama's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of South Alabama's last 10 games

Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
Oklahoma State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Tulsa @ Texas
Tulsa
Tulsa is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tulsa's last 15 games on the road

Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas's last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games at home

Penn State @ Pittsburgh
Penn State
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Penn State's last 8 games

Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

New Mexico State @ Utah State
New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games when playing Utah State

Utah State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
Utah State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Mexico State

Cincinnati @ Miami-OH
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Miami-OH

Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-OH's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Nicholls State @ Tulane
Nicholls State
Nicholls State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Nicholls State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Tulane
Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Tulane is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Southern California @ Stanford
Southern California
Southern California is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing Stanford

Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Texas El Paso @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Texas El Paso
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 1-6-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 17 games at home
Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Sacramento State @ San Diego State
Sacramento State
Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

San Diego State
San Diego State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
San Diego State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

California @ Brigham Young
California
California is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
California is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Brigham Young is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home

Connecticut @ Boise State
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
Connecticut is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road

Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boise State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Michigan State @ Arizona State
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games on the road

Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 6 games
Arizona State is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games at home

San Jose State @ Washington State
San Jose State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 6 games on the road
San Jose State is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games

Washington State
Washington State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Washington State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Rice @ Hawaii
Rice
Rice is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
Rice is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hawaii

Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 6 games
Hawaii is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Rice
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2


Friday, September 7

TCU won its last six games with SMU (3-2-1 vs spread), winning 33-3/56-0 in last two visits here (short drive from Ft Worth to Dallas). Last seven years, Horned Frogs are 8-14 as road favorites, but were 3-1 LY. Last four years, SMU is 5-11 as home underdogs. Mustangs got pounded 46-23 at North Texas Saturday; they were outgained 529-256. TCU cruised over a I-AA opponent. Last five years, Big X teams are 11-10 vs spread when playing AAC teams; they were 5-2 LY.


Saturday?s best 13 games
Florida Atlantic was crushed 63-14 at Oklahoma last week, giving up 10.5 yards per play; Owls have ten starters back on defense, have an experienced OL, but Kiffin has some damage control to do, getting FAU to bounce back and cover a 9-point spread here. Owls were 9-2 vs spread as a favorite in Kiffin?s first year LY. Air Force beat a I-AA team 38-0 LW; they were just 2-8 passing, though. Falcons covered seven of last nine tries as a road underdog. Last 3+ years, C-USA teams are 9-3 vs spread when facing a Mountain West opponent, 3-2 when favored.

Northwestern beat Duke two of last three years; Blue Devils lost 24-13 here in 2016. Duke beat Army 34-14 LW; yardage was just 381-365. Last three years, Duke is 5-7 as a road underdog. Wildcats beat Big 14 rival Purdue 31-27 LW; they were outgunned 472-401, giving up 202 rushing yards to the Boilers. Last three years, Northwestern is 9-5 as a home favorite. Last 4+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-11-1 vs spread when playing an ACC team.

Kansas State was down 24-12 after 3rd quarter to a I-AA team LW; they rallied to win 27-24, but that is a red flag. Wildcats were -4 in turnovers LW; since 2011, they?re 27-9 vs spread as an underdog, 9-3 at home. Mississippi State crushed a I-AA team LW without QB Fitzgerald (suspended)- he is back here. Since ?11, Bulldogs are 8-8-1 as road favorites- they have new coach this year, with Mullen off to coach Florida. Last 7+ years, SEC teams are 8-6 vs spread when favored over a Big X team.

Houston (-1) won 19-16 at Arizona LY; yardage was 383-371. Wildcats had 21 first downs but only one TD. Cougars whacked local rival Rice 45-27 LW, gaining 577 yards (257 on ground, 320 PY). Houston was 4-2 as home favorites LY in Applewhite?s first year as coach. Arizona was upset 28-23 at home by BYU LW; Tate was just 17-34 passing- they were outgained 392-326. Since 2015, Wildcats are 2-9 as road underdogs; Sumlin was 6-9 as a road underdog at A&M. Last 4+ years, AAC teams covered four of five games vs Pac-12 opponents.

Oklahoma crushed FAU 63-14 LW, running/passing for 300+ yards; last 3+ years, Sooners are 14-4 vs spread as home favorites- they have Big X opener at Iowa State next week. UCLA lost 26-17 at home as a 14-point HF to Cincinnati LW; QB Speight got hurt, a true freshman backup threw 25 passes for 4.7 ypa. Since 2009, Bruins are 13-21 as road underdogs. Last 7+ years, Big X teams are 15-10-1 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 opponent, 5-5 when favored.

Navy beat Memphis two of last three years, beating them 42-28 here in ?16; Memphis won LY?s game 30-27 at home, thanks to +4 turnover ratio (5-1). Navy ran ball for 312 yards in that game, and in their 59-41 loss at Hawai?i LW. Rainbows had 436 passing yards- Navy was just 6-13/85 passing. Memphis crushed a I-AA team LW, which means nothing; they?re 5-7 as home favorites in Norvell?s first two years as coach. Tigers have 15 starters back, 114 starts back on OL.

Georgia beat South Carolina last three years, by 32-14-14 points; their 28-14 win here in ?16 was their first in last four visits to Columbia. Favorites are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight series games. Dawgs are 5-2 as road favorites in two years under Smart; last 20 years, they?re 4-3-1 vs spread as favorites in Columbia. Both teams had easy wins LW; Dawgs over a I-AA team, Gamecocks beat Coastal Carolina 49-15, running for 263 yards. Last nine years, Carolina is 9-3 vs spread as a home underdog.

Colorado spanked Colorado State 45-13 LW, running ball for 258 yards, throwing for 338; last three years, Buffaloes are 8-5 as road underdogs- they?ve got only four returning starters on offense. Nebraska?s game was rained out LW; they?re playing a freshman QB, with walk-ons as backups. Last five years, Cornhuskers are 11-17-1 as home favorites; they?ve got new coach in former UCF coach Frost. Last 3+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-6 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 team.

Iowa won four of last five games with Iowa State, scoring 42-44 points last two years; Iowa won LY?s game 44-41, rallying from down 31-21 in 4th quarter. Cyclones won two of last three visits to Iowa City- they covered 8 of last 10 visits here. Iowa beat Northern Illinois 33-7 LW, running ball for 209 yards; Cyclones played part of their game LW, before it was rained out. State is 6-3 as road underdogs under Campbell; since 2012, Hawkeyes are 13-22-1 as home favorites. Last 4+ years, Big X teams are 7-5-1 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.

Texas A&M coach Fisher is familiar with Clemson from his days at Florida State; Tigers beat FSU 37-34/31-14 last two years. Clemson has 15 starters back, 84 starts back on OL- they?re 7-11 as road favorites the last four years. Clemson?s top two QB?s split 31 passes LW. Texas A&M crushed a I-AA team LW, hard to tell much there. Last four years, Aggies are 1-4-1 as home underdogs. A&M has 101 starts back on its OL. Last 3+ years, ACC teams are 20-16-1 vs spread when facing an SEC opponent.

PSU-Pitt split couple games last two years, with home team winning, dogs covering both- teams renewed rivalry for first time since 2000. Panthers outgunned PSU in both games. Penn State survived an OT game with App State LW, tying game in last minute; ASU outgunned the Lions, 451-434. Under Franklin, Penn State is 5-3 as road favorites. Pitt beat up on a I-AA team LW; they?re 2-4 as home underdogs, under Narduzzi. Penn State has a senior QB with 28 starts. Last 4+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-11-1 vs spread when playing an ACC team.

USC is 6-5 in its last 11 games with Stanford; they beat Cardinal twice LY, 42-24 at home, then 31-28 in Pac-12 title game. Trojans lost three of last four visits to the Farm. USC beat UNLV 43-21 LW but gave up 308 rushing yards; game was only 19-14 at the half. Trojans start a true freshman QB who left HS a year early- very young kid- since 2012, they?re 3-9 as road underdogs. Cardinal pulled away from San Diego State in 31-10 win LW; they?re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 games as home favorites.

Michigan State held off Utah State 38-31 LW; Aggies threw ball for 319 yards. Yardage in game was 452-344. Last three years, Spartans are 1-8 vs spread when laying points on road- they?ve got 19 starters back, a QB with 16 career starts. Arizona State whacked UTSA 49-7 LW in Herm Edwards? first game as a college HC; Sun Devils were 5-2 as home underdogs the last two years. ASU has a senior QB with 24 starts, but only four returning starters on defense. Last 3+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-6 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 team.
 

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Eight more possible FCS wins over the FBS
September 5, 2018
By STATS LLC Editorial


(STATS) - Not feeling a Savannah State upset of the Miami Hurricanes? Or Alabama State against Auburn?

OK, there are realistic limits to FCS teams upsetting FBS programs.

The Week 2 schedule is smaller than what occurred in the season-opening week, when the FCS posted five wins over the FBS and there were other close calls, but this week is still significant with 29 more matchups between the two Division I tiers.

Even having a week to fear the FCS (yes, #FearTheFCS) may not be enough to rescue some FBS teams.

Here are eight possibilities for Week 2 upsets:


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Towson (1-0) at Wake Forest (0-1), noon

Just down the road in Baltimore, Towson has a big fan in Joe Flacco. His younger brother, Tom, is the Tigers' starting quarterback. Wake Forest has improved significantly in recent seasons under coach Dave Clawson, but it barely escaped Tulane with an overtime win and at least early in the season, it has a freshman, Sam Hartman, starting at quarterback.

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Howard (0-1) at Kent State (0-1), 3:30 p.m.

Two years ago, MEAC power North Carolina A&T won at Kent State. Last year, Howard posted an FBS win. Put those two scenarios together, and, well, you get it. Caylin Newton (speaking of the younger brothers of NFL quarterbacks) racked up 532 yards of total offense against another MAC program, Ohio, in Week 1.

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Southern Illinois (1-0) at Ole Miss (1-0), 4 p.m.

Southern Illinois coach Nick Hill put two FBS wins on his resume (Indiana in 2006 and Northern Illinois in 2007) while he was the Salukis' quarterback. This time, he's trying to figure out how to slow down Ole Miss' quick-strike offense. At least his defense was opportunistic in its opener, forcing six turnovers from Murray State, including three for touchdowns.

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Eastern Kentucky (1-0) at Marshall (1-0), 6:30 p.m.

EKU struggled to a 4-7 record last season, but it hung close with two FBS opponents. With Marshall playing at South Carolina next week, the Thundering Herd may get caught looking ahead. The Colonels need to consistently run the ball and convert on third downs.

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No. 9 Samford (1-0) at Florida State (0-1), 7:20 p.m.

If Samford quarterback Devlin Hodges can start doing duck calls at the line of scrimmage and distract the Seminoles. No wait, the All-American is so talented he doesn't even have to do that, he just has keep slinging touchdown passes (84 in his career). Florida State's next touchdown will be its first of the season.

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No. 22 Maine (1-0) at Western Kentucky (0-1), 7:30 p.m.

While Willie Taggart will be trying to get his first win as Florida State's coach, one of his old schools, Western Kentucky, will trying to fend off a Maine squad that hammered preseason No. 7 New Hampshire in Week 1. The Black Bears defense allowed only nine first downs and 108 yards and had six sacks.

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Western Illinois (0-1) at Illinois (1-0), 7:30 p.m.

A win across the state will be difficult even though Western Illinois has beaten an FBS opponent in two straight seasons - Northern Illinois in 2016 and Coastal Carolina last year. Quarterback Sean McGuire, on his way to being a 3½-year starter, provides the much-needed experience and talent at the position. Plus, the Illinois are reality young and still feeling their way along in coach Lovie Smith's third season (a 6-19 record).

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No. 11 Nicholls (1-0) at Tulane (0-1), 8 p.m.


There are only about 60 miles between these schools, but they're meeting for the first time. The Colonels are seeking a second straight FBS win after opening the season with a 26-23 overtime victory at Kansas. Yes, Dorothy, they pull off FBS wins in Louisiana as well.
 

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USC at Stanford
September 5, 2018


By Tom Wilkinson

College Football Preview ? USC at Stanford


It is a matchup of Top 20 teams on Saturday night, as the USC Trojans visit the Stanford Cardinal in a game that can be seen on FOX. Both teams opened up with wins last week, although neither was that impressive, as USC defeated UNLV 43-21, while Stanford took care of San Diego State 31-10. There has been some slight line movement toward Stanford, as the game opened up with Stanford a 4-point favorite and that number is up to 5.5.

Let?s look at Saturday?s game and college football picks.

Date and Time: Saturday, September 8, 2018, 8:30 p.m. ET
Location: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
College Football Odds at BetDSI: Stanford -5.5, O/U 56.5
USC vs. Stanford TV Coverage: FOX


The Trojans started slowly against UNLV last week but they got going in the second half, outscoring the Rebels 24-7 to win 43-21, but failing to cover the spread. J.T. Daniels led the way, as the freshman quarterback threw for 282 yards and one touchdown. Freshman wide out Amon-Ra St. Brown had seven catches for 98 yards and a touchdown.

The concern for USC is the defense, as they gave up 405 yards to UNLV, most of it on the ground, as the Rebels rushed for 308 yards.

Stanford defeated San Diego State in their opener even though Heisman Trophy contender Bryce Love did next to nothing. He had 2,118 yards and 18 TD?s last season but against San Diego State he had just 29 yards on 18 carries. The Aztecs stuffed the box and Love had no room to run. Quarterback K.J. Costello played well, throwing for 332 yards and four touchdowns with one interception. The defense held the Aztecs to just 263 total yards.

Player to Watch

Last week?s poor game probably cost Bryce Love any chance to win the Heisman, as rarely does a player have a terrible game early in the season and come back to win the award. Love will be the focal point on Saturday night, especially since USC was gashed by the Rebels last week on the ground. Love should actually have a much easier time running the ball against USC. The Aztecs were top 25 in total defense last season and they look better on defense than does USC. The Cardinal proved last week they can throw the ball effectively and that means Love should find some running room in this one.

Key Stats

The Trojans were underdogs twice last season and were blown out both times, losing to Notre Dame and Ohio State. USC has been a disaster of late against the spread, going 3-12-1 in their last 16 games. The Trojans did beat Stanford twice last season, once at home and once in the Pac-12 title game.

The Trojans are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games. The Trojans are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

The Cardinal are 4-0 against the spread vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Cardinal are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Looking at the total, the Over is 5-1 in the Trojans last 6 conference games. The Under is 6-2 in Stanford?s last 8 conference games. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in this series.

USC vs. Stanford Picks

When this line first came out it moved slightly toward USC down to 3.5, but has since jumped up to 5.5. Those types of line moves usually win. The big factor for me in this one is USC?s defense, which simply isn?t that great.

The Trojans gave up 23 points or more nine times last season and they gave up 21 in this year?s opener to a weak UNLV team. I can?t see the Trojans stopping Love in this one, so I will lay the points and go with Stanford in what could end up being a high scoring game.

USC vs. Stanford Pick: Stanford -5.5
USC vs. Stanford Score Prediction: Stanford 34, USC 23
 

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*NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2*

*College trends for non-top 13 games*

Michigan is 5-9 vs spread in its last 14 games when laying 20+ points; they’re 3-6 vs spread coming off a loss. Since 2013, Western Michigan is 14-6 as a road underdog.

Eastern Michigan covered 10 of its last 11 games as road underdogs; Purdue covered seven of its last eight games as home favorites- they’re 7-3 when laying 10+ points.

Under Mason, Vanderbilt is 4-8 as a home favorite. Last two years, Nevada is 4-7 as a road underdog- they covered two of last eight non-league games.

Since 2009, Kansas is 13-29-2 as a road underdog, 6-12 when getting less than 10 points. Jayhawks are 5-13 vs spread in last 18 non-league games. Since 2013, Central Michigan is 5-8 as home favorites.

East Carolina lost to a I-AA team LW; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as a home underdog, 8-17-1 when coming off a loss. since 2013, North Carolina is 6-2 as road favorites.

Since 2008, Temple is 29-14 vs spread out of conference; they were 0-3 as home favorites LY, after going 8-3 from 2014-16. Since 2015, Buffalo is 5-8-1 as road underdogs. Under is 10-2 in Buffalo’s last 12 road games.

Last two years, Bowling Green is 0-8 vs spread in non-MAC games; they’re 1-5 as home underdogs under Jinks. Falcons are 5-10 in last 15 games as an underdog. Since 2010, Maryland is 4-6 as road favorites; they’re 18-31 coming off a win, but are 8-3 when laying 10+ points.

Missouri covered five of its last six games when laying double digits; they’re 6-5 as home favorites under Odom. Under Bohl, Wyoming is 11-7 as a double digit underdog.

Since 2015, Indiana is 8-4 vs spread outside the Big 14: they were 5-1 vs spread as favorites LY. Virginia is 5-6 as road underdogs under Mendenhall; they’re 5-4 in non-ACC games.

Under Stoops, Kentucky is 7-13-2 when a double digit underdog; since 2016, they’re 6-3 as road underdogs. Since 2016, Florida is 6-4 as a home favorite. Under is 11-7 in their last 18 home games.

Since 2015, Minnesota is 5-11 as home favorites; they crushed New Mexico State 48-10 LW. Fresno State was 4-0 as road underdogs LY, after being 2-10 in 2015-16. Bulldogs were 10-4 LY in Bedford’s first season as coach, after going 1-11 the year before.

Since 2011, Arkansas is 0-5 as road favorites; their last cover as a road favorite was in 2010. Colorado State allowed 43-45 points in losing its first two games this season; they covered six of last eight games when getting double digits.

Underdogs covered last five Cincinnati-Miami OH games; Miami is 6-8 as home favorites under Martin. Since 2015, Bearcats are 8-4 as road underdogs.
 

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Week 2 Upset Alerts
September 5, 2018
By Sportsbetting.ag


NCAAF Week 2 Upset Alerts

The debut of this weekly piece a week ago held it's own as the three underdogs finished with a 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 straight up record. Rice was able to get it going in the right direction by taking a 24-17 lead at halftime as +25.5-point underdogs to easily get the cover, while the smallest dog SMU got blown out from start to finish against North Texas.

But it was the play of the Cincinnati Bearcats (and depending how you look at it, the play of UCLA) that capped off the day. Cincinnati never looked in trouble in that game after a sloppy first quarter found them down 10-0, as UCLA appears as though they've got a long way to go in the Chip Kelly era to be competitive. UCLA is catching +30 on the road against Oklahoma this week and that says a lot. But it was a great start to Year 2 under coach Fickell in Cincinnati and they'll probably have a few more underdog wins in them this year.

Yet, it's on to Week 2 now and that means it can be classic overreaction week. Whether it's in the perception or the actual betting lines themselves, Week 2 brings classic reactions and overreactions to what they saw a week ago and let them too heavily influence their handicapping process. But there's a good chunk of teams who won't look anything like the team they were in Week 1 by season's end, so keep your preseason projections for every team weighed heavier than the 60 minutes of action last week.

Hopefully we can take advantage of a few of those potentially inflated underdog numbers this week. So let's get right to it:

Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range

YTD: 0-1 SU; 0-1 ATS

Nevada +9 over Vanderbilt


This is a line that immediately jumped off the board to me because Vanderbilt seems to be getting way too much respect for a strong Week 1 performance. That and Nevada took some time before blowing out a FCS team last week. Put it all together and a week after Vandy got no respect from bettors ? Vandy line went from -6 to -3 before they won 35-7 ? it seems like now they are getting way too much respect.

Without question Vanderbilt will be a big step up for a Nevada team that looks to be on the rise, but 70+ points is still 70+ points and they won't even need half of that to potentially come out of Vandy with an outright victory. We shouldn't see this Wolfpack attack get stifled by Vandy's defense in a similar fashion to Middle Tennessee did a week ago, and Vandy's offense didn't exactly do a whole lot of impressing either in that win.

But drastically outperforming the line and clearly the consensus opinion as well Vanderbilt forced oddsmakers to overadjust here and I'll gladly take the points with Nevada and dash a bit on the ML as well. Vandy's not a school you can trust laying chalk ? as so many bettors believed a week ago with that line move ? and sticking with that line of thought should pay off here.

Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range

YTD: 1-0 SU; 1-0 ATS

Bowling Green +16 over Maryland

Bowling Green isn't likely to be a great team this year and the fact that they got run over by Oregon last week doesn't really do them any favors. But this play is more about fading a Maryland team that probably played well over their heads last week in their own big outright upset (+13.5) over Texas. There really is nowhere to go but down for Maryland from here given all they've got going on regarding the program, and laying this many points on the road could end up being disastrous.

For one, if Maryland did indeed play well over their heads, then there is going to be a ?coming down? part naturally on the field. But even just the mental and emotional preparation and intensity has to drop a bit for a multitude of reasons. The hype of it being the first game of a trying off-season is now gone, there's no added hype of being up against a big name program at home on national television, and now it's actually you guys who are the hunted and in hostile territory. Not a good recipe for a successful meal at all.

Secondly, Bowling Green may have lost 58-24 in Oregon last week, but who really goes there as a non-Power 5 road team and really has a chance. The Falcons are true to their identity of being in the MAC though as they aren't shy about putting up points when they can ? they did score 24 vs Oregon ? and can you really trust Maryland's defense on the road?

This game just feels like it's going to be a huge letdown/disaster for Maryland and like the Cincinnati/UCLA game in this spot a week ago, a Bowling Green SU victory would not be surprising at all.

Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range

YTD: 1-0 ATS

Ball State +34.5 vs Notre Dame


Speaking of MAC teams catching points against an opponent in a tougher spot, we've got Ball State catching 30+ against the Fighting Irish, just six days after they beat up on Michigan in one of the biggest games of the weekend.

Notre Dame definitely got done what they needed to in that Michigan game to remain in the national championship picture as an Independent, but being an Independent team can also put you in some tougher scheduling spots because everyone wants to boost their resume (if they can) by playing you. This week they host a Ball State squad that would love to raise the name of their own brand against an Irish team in a classic letdown spot.

Coming down from the euphoric emotions after that Michigan win is going to be tough, especially knowing you've got another upstart team from another Power 5 conference that's looking to make a name off your brand next week as well; the aforementioned Vanderbilt Commodores. There is no looking ahead for Notre Dame here though, but the perception of this team has risen drastically since beating Michigan and this looks to be a few too many points.

Ball State got the monkey of a nine-game losing streak entering the year off their back with a dominant win against FCS play, but for as insignificant as a win like that may seem to most, it probably wasn't that insignificant for the players. First off, it gave them their confidence back that they could win again, and growing confidence is never a bad thing when you're going into try and shock the entire college football world.

Secondly, it allowed Ball State's offense to sense and feel what a highly successful offensive game looks and feels like. Moving the ball against Notre Dame's defense will be a completely different story, but the Cardinals likely only have to score on a couple of possessions against a less interested Irish defense to keep it within this number. Ball State won't win this game but they'll keep the margin of defeat within the 20's.
 

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Big Ten Report - Week 2
September 5, 2018
By ASA

2018 BIG 10 STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Illinois 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-1
Indiana 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-0
Iowa 1-0 0-0 1-0 0-1
Maryland 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Michigan 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-1
Michigan State 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-0
Minnesota 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Nebraska 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Northwestern 1-0 1-0 1-0 1-0
Ohio State 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0
Penn State 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-0
Purdue 0-1 0-1 0-1 1-0
Rutgers 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-0
Wisconsin 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-1

Games Scheduled for Saturday

Duke at Northwestern (-3) - (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)

DUKE ?
The Blue Devils had an impressive revenge win last weekend beating Army 34-14. After the Cadets topped Duke 21-16 last year, the Devils put a heavy emphasis on this game and played well. Most impressive was their rush defense as they held Army to just 168 yards rushing on 47 carries (just 3.6 YPC). What made the defensive effort even more imposing was the fact that Army led the nation in rushing last year averaging 362 YPG. Duke pushed ahead 17-0 by halftime forcing a non-passing team in Army to throw the ball a whopping 21 times. To put that in context, the Cadets attempted 65 passes the entire year in 2017! Army did throw for almost 200 yards which has to be a bit concerning as they do not emphasize the passing game yet looked good throwing against the Devils. Duke QB Daniel Jones led a balanced attack (197 passing & 184 rushing) throwing for just under 200 yards and rushing for 43.

NORTHWESTERN ? The Wildcats were outplayed in the stat sheet last week at Purdue but came away with the 31-27 win. They were outgained by 70+ yards but benefitted from 3 Boiler QB interceptions which directly led to 21 points for Northwestern. Starting QB Clayton Thorson was returning from ACL surgery and split time with junior TJ Green. Thorson looked great on his first 2 drives leading the Cats to TD?s in each. He took 50 snaps under center while Green took 29. After listening to head coach Pat Fitzgerald after the game it sounds like he?ll continue the 2 QB system at least in the immediate future saying he wants to keep Thorson on a ?series count? because he is returning from a serious injury. The Cats may have also found a replacement for all time leading rusher Justin Jackson who is now with the Chargers. Sophomore Jeremy Larkin ran for 143 yards on 26 carries in the first start of his career. The run defense, however, looks like it might be a concern as they allowed Purdue to rush for over 200 yards on 8.1 YPC.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? The Cats were destroyed at Duke last year 41-17. The score could have been worse as the Devils gashed Northwestern for 538 yards while holding the Cats to just 191. These two have met 13 times since the start of the 1996 season with Northwestern winning 10 of those meetings (7-6 ATS). The underdog in this series has covered 6 of the last 7 meetings.

Western Michigan at Michigan (-27.5) - (FS1, 12:00 p.m. ET)

WESTERN MICHIGAN ?
The Broncos opened the season as a 5-point underdog at home vs Syracuse. WMU hadn?t played host to a Power 5 team since 2015 so it was a great opportunity for their program to start the season with a huge win. The Broncos fell behind 34-7 at half as Syracuse scored on 6 of their first 7 possessions. Western come out after halftime and scored TD?s on 4 of their first 5 possessions to cut the lead to 41-35 late in the 3rd quarter. The Orange pulled away a bit in the 4th quarter en route to a 55-42 win. WMU actually outgained the Cuse 621 yards to 560 as neither defense could slow down the opposing offense. What was even more impressive about WMU?s offensive performance is the fact they ran 27 fewer plays than Syracuse. The Broncos ran the ball extremely well against their Power 5 opponent rolling up 242 yards on a whopping 8.6 yards per carry. The problem was, the Western defense couldn?t stop the Orange on the ground as they racked up 334 yards rushing with QB Eric Dungey leading the way with 200 yards.

MICHIGAN ? It will be interesting to see how the Wolverines respond after losing at Notre Dame 24-17 last Saturday night. After the line bounced around during the week with each side favored by 1 to 1.5 points at different times, Michigan went off as a 3-point favorite at many places. There were months of hype leading into their game vs the Irish and the loss could linger into this week?s contest against a team that played very well offensively last week. Speaking of offense, that was Michigan?s weakness last season and looks like it might be again this year. While they did average 25 PPG a year ago, against the top teams in the Big Ten (OSU, PSU, Wisconsin, and Michigan State) the Wolverines only put up 13 PPG. The struggles continued against the Irish last Saturday with Michigan averaging only 4.4 yards per play (307 total yards) and scored only one offensive TD. New QB Shea Patterson, a transfer from Ole Miss, had a non-descript opener passing for 227 yards, no TD?s and 1 interception. His offensive line struggled to keep him clean in the pocket as the Irish had 3 sacks and 6 QB hurries. The Michigan defense was as advertised holding Notre Dame to just 302 total yards. The Wolverines really locked down in the 2nd half limiting the Irish to only 69 total yards and just 3 points.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS - Michigan is a perfect 4-0 both SU & ATS (since 2000) in this in-state series winning by an average margin of 24 PPG. These two last met in 2011 with Michigan winning that game 34-10. Since 1987, the Wolverines are just 2-11 ATS when coming off a loss and favored by 21 points or more. Since 1999, WMU is 10-4-1 ATS when tabbed an underdog of 24 or more.

Eastern Michigan at Purdue (-16.5) - (Big Ten,12:00 p.m. ET)

EASTERN MICHIGAN ?
The Eagles had an impressive opener jumping out to a 30-3 halftime lead before finishing off Monmouth 51-17. While a win over an FCS opponent may not move the needle for most, Monmouth was a solid 9-3 a year ago and made the FCS playoffs so it was a decent win. EMU?s offense looked solid scoring 4 TD?s on their first 6 possessions and had 473 total yards on 7.1 yards per play. The Eagle defense was solid early holding Monmouth to just 73 total yards on their first 5 possessions. The Hawks did end up with 386 total yards but much of that came late with the game already out of hand. Eastern Michigan played one Big Ten foe last year upsetting Rutgers on the road 16-13 and will try to do the same on Saturday.

PURDUE ? The Boilers opened at home vs Northwestern in one of their more anticipated home games in years. Northwestern rolled up 31 points by halftime and led 31-17. However, 21 of their 31 points were the direct result of 3 Purdue interceptions. After a shoddy first half, the Purdue didn?t have a turnover in the 2nd half and the defense held the Wildcats scoreless. It was to little too late as Purdue, who went off as a 1-point favorite, came up 4 points short. There were some definite positives as the Boiler running game shredded a Northwestern defense for over 200 yards on 8.1 yards per carry. That was against a Wildcat defense that allowed just 96 YPG rushing in conference games last season. Elijah Sindelar and David Blough split time at QB, just as they did last year, and combined for 270 yards through the air. Purdue outgained Northwestern by 71 total yards despite running 8 fewer plays. The Boilers played last Thursday so they did have a few extra days to recover from their tough home loss to the Wildcats.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? These two have met just twice with Purdue winning both by a combined score of 103-19. Their most recent meeting was in 2012 with the Boilers rolling over EMU 54-16. Surprisingly, the Boilers are just 5-5 SU their last 10 meetings vs MAC opponents.

New Mexico at Wisconsin (-34.5) - (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)

NEW MEXICO ?
After beating Incarnate Word last week 62-30, the Lobos and head coach Bob Davie take a huge step up in competition this week facing #4 Wisconsin at Camp Randall Stadium. The Lobos has relied very heavily on their running game over the last few seasons and it looks like they will again this year under new offensive coordinator Calvin Magee (came from Arizona). Last Saturday they ran the ball 66 times for 319 yards. We?ll see how they fare against a Wisconsin defense that finished 3rd nationally last year in rush defense allowing only 98 YPG and gave up just 25 yards on 25 carries to Western Kentucky last Friday. New Mexico looked good in their new run-based spread offense putting up 680 total yards. Defensively they were poor at best. They allowed Incarnate Word, an FCS team that was 1-10 a year ago, to put up 566 yards on a ridiculous 7.7 yards per play. For comparison, Incarnate Word played only one FBS team last year vs Fresno State and they lost that game 66-0.

WISCONSIN ? The Badgers opened the season rolling over Western Kentucky 34-3 on Friday Night. They missed the cover by a few points as Wisconsin went off as a 36 point chalk. The offense was extremely balanced with 257 yards passing and 234 yards rushing. QB Alex Hornibrook was an efficient 17 of 29 with 7 different receivers catching a pass. All American RB Jonathan Taylor had 145 yards on 18 carries. The defense, which ranked 2nd nationally last year allowing just 262 YPG, allowed WKU to top 300 yards (305). That may not seem like much but this UW defense allowed only 4 of their 14 opponents last year to top 300 total yards. They are replacing both defensive ends and their two corners are both very inexperienced. That being said, they did hold WKU scoreless on just 58 total yards in the first half. The Hilltoppers did move the ball in the 2nd half but the game was already out of reach with Wisconsin up 24-0 at the break. The Badgers put their 40 game home non-conference winning streak on the line again this Saturday. The last time they lost a non-conference game at home was back in 2003.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? This is the first time these two schools have faced off on the football field. Since Barry Alvarez?s 2nd season in Madison (1991) the Badgers are an impressive 92-73 ATS at Camp Randall Stadium. However, since 2014 the Badgers are just 1-6 ATS when favored by 28 or more at home.

Rutgers at Ohio State (-34.5) - (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET)

RUTGERS ?
The Scarlet Knights rolled over Texas State last week 35-7 outgaining the Bobcats by 247 yards. It actually could have been worse as Rutgers turned the ball over 4 times. One was one a pick 6 which was turned into the points Texas State was able to score and another an interception in the endzone going in to score. Both were thrown true freshman QB Arthur Sitkowski who threw for 205 yards but also threw 3 interceptions in his collegiate debut. The Knights also ran for over 200 yards keeping their offense very balanced in game one. Defensively they held Texas State to just 123 total yards on 55 offensive plays. While it was an impressive opener for Rutgers, keep in mind Texas State was 2-10 last year and ranked 107th in total offense.

OHIO STATE ? The Buckeyes were extremely impressive in their season opener crushing Oregon State 77-31. With head coach Urban Meyer serving the first of his three game suspension, the offense looked unstoppable scoring TD?s on 11 of their 13 offensive possessions. The Bucks only non-scoring drives ended in a punt and a fumble. They gashed the Beavers for 721 yards and new starting QB Dwayne Haskins looked very good throwing for 313 yards and 5 TD?s. OSU does look like they may have some concerns on the defensive side of the ball. They allowed Oregon State, a team that averaged just 20 PPG a year ago, to post 31 points on nearly 400 yards. The Beavers were able to hit some big gains against the Buckeye defense with 7 plays of 20 or more yards. Oregon State did much of their offensive damage with their back up QB Colin Blount as starter Jake Luton went out just 6 plays into the game with a potential concussion.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? Ohio State is a perfect 4-0 both SU & ATS vs Rutgers since the Knights joined the Big Ten in 2014. The average margin of victory for OSU in those 4 meetings is 46 points and they?ve held Rutgers scoreless in each of the last 2 meetings. The Buckeyes have scored at least 49 points in all four meetings vs the Scarlet Knight while Rutgers has scored just 24 points combined in their four match ups.

Colorado at Nebraska (-4.5) - (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

COLORADO ?
The Buffs offense looked in mid-season form last weekend racking up almost 600 yards and 45 points vs in-state rival Colorado State (45-13 win). However, while CU?s offense, led by QB Steven Montez, could be very good this year, we?ll take a wait and see approach. That?s because CSU?s defense has looked horrendous over their first two outings (vs Colorado & Hawaii) allowing a combined 88 points on over 1,200 yards. Montez, who now has 16 career starts under his belt, had a near flawless performance completing his first 12 passes of the game en route to a 22 for 25 and 4 TD outing. Defensively the Buffalos held a good CSU offense, which had 653 yards a week earlier vs Hawaii, to just 284 yards in 3.8 yards per play.

NEBRASKA ? While Colorado comes in with an experienced QB, the Huskers are working with a true freshman under center. New head coach Scott Frost was hoping to get new QB Adrian Gonzalez some much needed experience last week vs Akron, it wasn?t meant to be as the game was cancelled due to weather. They tried to reschedule the game for Sunday but Akron was unable to accommodate the request and flew home late Saturday night. The schools have discussed the possibility of making up the game in week 14 of the season should either team need the game to become bowl eligible. Thus the Huskers will open their season this Saturday vs Colorado.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? These two, once rivals in the Big 12, have not met since the Huskers left for the Big Ten in 2011. When they were both in the Big 12, Nebraska covered 11 of the last 15 meetings between 1996 ? 2010. The Huskers have been favored in 26 of the last 31 meetings vs Colorado dating back to the 1980 season.

Iowa State at Iowa (-4) - (FOX, 5:00 p.m. ET)

IOWA STATE ?
The Cyclones are coming off one of their most successful seasons in decades going 8-5 including two wins over top 5 teams (Oklahoma & TCU) and winning their bowl game. Last week?s home game vs South Dakota State got off to a fast start with ISU scoring a TD on their opening drive of the game. That?s where everything came to a screeching halt as the game was cancelled just four minutes in due to poor weather. So now ISU will officially open their season on the road at in-state rival Iowa this Saturday. It?s a game they?ve been pointing to after blowing a 38-31 lead late in the game last year and losing 44-41 in overtime.

IOWA ? Iowa came away with what looked like a comfortable 33-7 win last Saturday vs Northern Illinois but it wasn?t as easy as the final score may have indicated. The Hawkeyes led just 3-0 at half but held NIU to -2 yards in the third quarter and pushed to a 17-0 lead after 3. The offense, despite scoring 33 points, wasn?t overly impressive gaining 352 total yards on 73 plays (just 4.8 YPP). QB Nate Stanley threw for only 108 yards on 11 completions. Defensively this team looks like they?ll be very solid especially up front. The Huskies came in with high hopes offensively after averaging 29 PPG last year and returning most of their starters on that side of the ball including QB Marcus Childers. The Hawkeye defense held them to just 211 total yards and the Huskies were just 3 of 14 on 3rd & 4th down. Their only score came on a TD with just over 2:00 remaining in the game. NIU was only able to cross midfield once in the 2nd half as Iowa pulled away.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? Iowa was favored by 3.5 points last year at Iowa State in their 44-41 win in OT. They are laying basically that same number this Saturday but are now playing in Iowa City. The Hawkeyes have been a double digit favorite vs ISU in 6 of the last 7 meetings in Iowa City. The Cyclones are 11-4 ATS their last 15 visits to Iowa City.

Maryland (-16) at Bowling Green - (ESPN+, 6:00 p.m. ET)

MARYLAND ?
The Terps pulled off a huge upset last week vs revenge minded Texas winning 34-29 as 13.5 point underdog. Not only were they nearly a 2 TD underdog, there is also the major distraction of having their head coach DJ Durkin suspended indefinitely shortly before the season began. On top of that, the man that is now leading this team in the interim, Matt Canada, wasn?t even with the team last year as he was the offensive coordinator at LSU. Despite all of that, Maryland jumped out to a 24-7 lead early in the 2nd quarter. Even when it looked like Maryland had a chance to fold under pressure after the Horns came back and took a 29-24 lead late in the 3rd quarter, this team responded with what ended up being the game winning TD drive on their next possession. While the yardage was nearly dead even both passing and rushing, Maryland was +3 in turnovers as Texas gave it away on each of their final 3 possessions. Now after the emotion of winning their first game under touch circumstances we?ll see how they respond in their first road game.

BOWLING GREEN ?
The Falcons traveled west last Saturday and were blasted 58-24 by the Oregon Ducks. The offense looked solid putting up almost 400 yards and returning starting QB Jarret Doege threw for 252 yards and 3 TD?s. He also threw a pick 6 which contributed to the Ducks 58 points. While the offense looked decent, the defense did not. New defensive coordinator Carl Pelini stated before the season it would probably take a full season for his team to fully grasp all of his schemes and it looks like he was correct. Oregon put over 500 yards on the stat sheet while only having to complete 11 passes the entire game. Those 11 completions did go for almost 300 yards which was the theme for this BG defense. Too many big plays allowed including TD?s of 83, 48, 40, and 33 yards. Now the Falcons come home to host a Big Ten team for the first time since 2014.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? These two have met just one time since 1980 ? that was a 48-27 road win by Bowling Green win in 2015. The Terps have been road favorites of more than 2 TD?s just 9 times since the start of the 1980 season (9-0 SU & 5-4 ATS). However, Maryland is only 16-24 ATS as a road favorite since 1987.

Virginia at Indiana (-7) - (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m. ET)

VIRGINIA ?
Last Saturday UVA fell in a 7-0 hole early vs FCS foe Richmond after new QB Bryce Perkins threw a 72-yard pick 6 midway through the first quarter. From that point on the Cavs outscored Richmond 42-6 the rest of the way for an easy 42-13 win. Both teams threw for the exact same 191 yards but the Cavaliers dominated the ground game with 301 rushing yards to just 34 for the Spiders. Minus his pick 6, Perkins was very good for Virginia throwing for 185 yards while rushing for 108. The junior college transfer became the first Cav QB to rush for over 100 since 2009. While Virginia looked good against an FCS opponent, we?ll see how this young roster, 11 players made their collegiate debut last week, does on the road where they are 4-26 SU their last 30 away from home.

INDIANA ? IU opened the season on the road and pulled off a solid 38-28 win at Florida International. The Hoosiers dominated the stat sheet and were very balanced on offense with 252 yards passing and 213 rushing. There was a QB battle heading into the fall and veteran Peyton Ramsey won out getting the start. However, highly touted freshman QB Michael Penix Jr got some time as well and performed well completing 8 of his 10 passes for 96 yards and a TD. The was OK but showed some vulnerability vs the run as FIU rushed for 170 yards. That could be problem this week vs a UVA team that looks like it can run the ball well and has a dual threat QB. The defense is young with only 3 starters back and we?ll have a better read on that side of the ball after this weekend.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? These two met in Virginia last year and the Hoosiers pulled off the big 34-17 win as a 3.5 point favorite. Despite the 17-point margin, the yardage was almost dead even in the game. UVA has a 3-24 SU record over their last 27 road games. All but 5 of those 24 losses have come by at least a TD.

Fresno State at Minnesota (-2.5) - (FS1, 7:30 p.m. ET)

FRESNO STATE ?
The Bulldogs have high expectations this year bringing 15 starters back from a team that went 10-4 last year and topped a solid Houston team in their bowl game. They started the 2018 season with a huge 79-13 win over Idaho. While Fresno was impressive and they did obviously dominate the game, the score was a bit deceiving. That?s because 21 of their 79 points came on a 74-yard blocked FG return, a 71-yard blocked FG return and a 39-yard interception return. Idaho had 7 turnovers in the game while the Bulldogs 0 giveaways. Fresno ?only? outgained Idaho by 179 total yards despite the 66-point win. This team isn?t afraid to go on the road and test themselves as they played both Alabama & Washington on the road last year (losing to both by wide margins).

MINNESOTA ? The Gophs started slow last week and were tied 7-7 with New Mexico State after one quarter. Minnesota then scored on every 2nd quarter possession to take a 35-7 lead into half in their 48-10 win. After gaining just 54 yards on their first 5 possessions, the Gopher offense kicked it into gear and accumulated 468 yards and 41 points over the final 3 quarters. They outgained the Aggies 522 to 271. They went with true freshman Zack Annexstad and he played well throwing for over 220 yards and did not commit a turnover. The defense held NMSU to only 38 yards on the ground on 20 carries. We will temper our enthusiasm however as New Mexico State lost 29-7 at Wyoming a week earlier and only gained 135 total yards in that game. They take a big step up in competition this week vs a solid Fresno State team.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? This is the first meeting between these two schools. Minnesota is 17-1 SU their last 18 at home vs non-conference opponents. Fresno is 8-1-1 ATS their last 10 road games. However the Bulldogs are just 7-20 SU their last 27 away from home.

Penn State (-8.5) at Pittsburgh - (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

PENN STATE ?
The Nittany Lions got a serious scare last week squeaking by Appalachian State in OT as a 23 point favorite. App State actually had a chance to win in regulation but missed a 56 yard FG with 15 seconds remaining. The Mountaineers played PSU toe to toe the entire game and actually outgained the Nits 451 to 434. While we had a good idea the PSU offense would again be very solid despite the loss of Saquon Barkley, we have some solid contacts in Happy Valley that told us the defense is a big time work in progress. They lost 8 of their 11 defensive starters and 7 of their 8 top tacklers from a year ago. The defensive work in progress definitely looks to be the case after App State averaged almost 6 YPP. To put that in perspective, only Washington, Nebraska, Ohio State, and Iowa averaged 6 YPP or more vs PSU last year.

PITTSBURGH ? Pitt got the 2018 season started with a bang as they returned the opening kick for a TD last Saturday vs Albany. The Panthers never looked back and rolled up an easy 33-7 win. The game could have been much worse as Pitt scored TD?s on their first 5 possessions (including kick return to open the game) and led 33-7 at half. They took their foot off the pedal and went fairly conservative in the 2nd half running the ball 19 times with just 10 pass attempts. The offense and new QB Kenny Pickett looked very good in the first half racking up 270 total yards and 33 points. However, they did lose a number of key players on that side of the ball including 3/5 of their offensive line. Dominating an FCS team that was 4-7 last year was expected. The defense should be the strength of this team with 8 of their top 9 tacklers back from last year.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? PSU cashed Pitt in Happy Valley last year but just barely. The Nittany Lions were favored by 18.5 in the game and won 33-14 getting the half point cover. Looking at the offensive plays run, it?s amazing that PSU won the game at all much less by 19 points. Pitt ran 86 offensive plays to just 52 for the Lions. The favorite is just 2-7 ATS the last 9 meetings in this PA rivalry.

Michigan State (-7) at Arizona State - (ESPN, 10:45 p.m. ET)

MICHIGAN STATE ?
MSU rolled into last week?s home game vs Utah State as a 23.5 point favorite and they were pushed to the limit in the 38-31 win. It took a come from behind Spartan TD and 2-point conversion with only 2:00 minutes remaining to pull out the win. MSU?s defense looked very similar to last season when they dominated vs the run (USU had just 25 yards rushing) and struggled at times vs the pass (USU had 319 yards passing). One concern offensive is MSU is a run first team which sets up their QB Brian Lewerke to have success in the pass game. They were only able to run for 3.9 yards per carry on Saturday vs a Utah State team that allowed 217 YPG rushing a year ago. The offensive line needs to get better in order for this team to play up to their #11 pre-season rankings.

ARIZONA STATE ? The Sun Devils opened the Herm Edwards era with a resounding 49-7 win over UT San Antonio. ASU jumped out to a 28-0 halftime lead and led 49-0 before UTSA scored late in the game for their only points. Third year starting QB Manny Wilkins, whose thrown for over 5,500 yards in his career, was solid with 237 yards passing, 4 TD?s and no turnovers. He should be able to do some damage against an MSU defense that at times struggles vs the pass as we stated above. Defensively Edwards had implemented a new 3-3-5 swarming scheme that looked very good in week one. They held the Roadrunners to just 220 yards and had 9 sacks. The offense should again be solid as it has been for years (7 straight years averaging 30+ points). If Edwards can turn around the defense which allowed a whopping 450 YPG last season, ASU will be a formidable team in 2018. Could the late start (10:45 PM ET) and heat be an advantage for the Devils?

INSIDE THE NUMBERS ? MSU is an impressive 31-18 SU in road games over the last decade. They are 17-11 ATS as a road favorite during that stretch. Dating back to 2005, Arizona State is 12-5 ATS as a home underdog winning 6 of those games outright. Since the start of the 1997 season, ASU has been a non-conference home dog of 7 or more only one time. That was vs Georgia in 2008 a game the Devils lost 27-10 as an 8-point dog.
 

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TCU at SMU
September 5, 2018
By Brian Edwards


Matchup: (16) TCU at SMU
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
Time/TV: Friday, Sept. 7, ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET


Southern Methodist will try to shake off a dismal debut to the Sonny Dykes Era on Friday night when it plays host to TCU in the Battle for the Iron Skillet. As of Wednesday afternoon, most betting shops had the Horned Frogs installed as 22-point road favorites with a total of 58.5. The Mustangs were +1250 on the money line at both 5Dimes.eu and SBG Global (risk $100 to win $1,250).

TCU (1-0 straight up, 0-1 against the spread) has won five games in a row over SMU by at least 19 points, including last year?s 56-36 win that resulted in a push as a 20-point home favorite. Gary Patterson?s program has beaten the Mustangs 16 times out of the past 18 meetings in this in-state rivalry.

When these schools collided at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Ft. Worth in 2017, the 92 combined points soared ?over? the 65-point total. SMU took a surprising 19-7 lead until TCU woke up midway through the second quarter and scored back-to-back TDs to go ahead, 21-19. The Mustangs responded with their third short field goal of the half to go back in front 22-21 with 17 seconds left until intermission.

However, TCU quarterback Kenny Hill found Jalen Reagor for a 38-yard scoring strike on the last play of the second quarter to put the Frogs back ahead at halftime. It was still a one-possession game (35-29) going into the final stanza, but TCU scored 21 straight points to put the game away.

Hill threw for 365 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Darius Anderson rushed for 89 yards and two TDs on 14 carries, while KaVontae Turpin had seven receptions for 88 yards and one TD. Reagor had three catches for 79 yards and one TD, and Kenedy Snell scored TDs on a 71-yard reception and a 10-yard scamper.

SMU quarterback Ben Hicks connected on 17-of-37 passes for 305 yards with two TDs and two interceptions. Ke?Mon Freeman rushed for 57 yards and two TDs on 12 carries, while James Proche caught three balls for 93 yards and one TD.

TCU returned five starters on offense and six on defense from last season?s team that finished 11-3 SU and 6-7-1 ATS. One of those returning starters on defense was lost to a season-ending injury during camp in August, though. Sophomore nose tackle Ross Blacklock, who was the Big 12?s Co-Defensive Freshman of the Year and a Freshman All-American in ?17, will miss the entire 2018 campaign. Blacklock produced 27 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss and two sacks last year.

Patterson is the second-longest tenured coach in the FBS behind only Iowa?s Kirk Ferentz. The 58-year-old has been offered a slew of jobs to leave, turning down all of them during his 18-year tenure. Patterson has produced 11 seasons with double-digit win totals, winning at least 11 games 10 different times.

He is 161-57 overall and has overseen smooth transitions from the now-defunct WAC to the Mountain West (2005) and then into a Power Five league in the Big 12 (2012). Patterson?s program started slowly in the Big 12, going 4-5 and 2-7 in league action in ?12 and ?13. Since then, however, the Frogs are 26-10 vs. Big 12 foes over the last four seasons.

TCU beat up on FCS foe Southern by a 55-7 count last week, but it failed to cover the number as a 50-point home favorite. True sophomore QB Shawn Robinson made his second career start, completing 17-of-24 passes for 182 yards and three TDs without an interception. He had 45 rushing yards and two TDs on runs of 36 and nine yards on his only attempts.

Turpin produced 108 all-purpose yards on 10 touches, while Reagor had four receptions for 47 yards and one TD. Reagor also had a nine-yard run on his lone carry and a 37-yard kickoff return. Anderson, a third-team All-Big 12 selection when he ran for a team-best 768 yards and eight TDs while averaging 6.0 yards per carry last year, will be fresh for SMU after rushing for 36 yards on merely eight attempts vs. Southern.

Reagor, a sophomore WR, led TCU in TD catches (eight) and receiving yards (576) on 33 catches as a true freshman in ?17. He is a preseason fourth-team All-Big 12 pick in Phil Steele?s preseason magazine. Anderson is a preseason second-team All-Big 12 choice, while junior OT Lucas Niang is a third-team selection and junior OG Cordel Iwuagwu is a fourth-teamer like Reagor.

Steele?s Big 12 Unit Rankings shine a bright light on TCU?s defense. As for the offense? Not so much. The Frogs are ranked seventh (in the 10-team conference) at the QB position, fourth at RB, sixth at WR and seventh on the offensive line.

The defense is a much different deal, as Patterson?s unit is ranked tops in the league on the defensive line, at linebacker, in the secondary and on special teams. Steele?s National Unit rankings have TCU at ninth on both the d-line and at LB, 12th in the secondary and third on special teams.

Turpin is a preseason first-team all-conference choice in Steele?s mag as the kick and punt returner. He averaged 16.2 yards per punt return with one TD last year, in addition to averaging 30.8 yards per kick return with another TD. The dynamic senior had 41 receptions for 394 yards and one TD, and he also ran for 86 yards and a pair of scores on 11 totes for a 7.8 YPC average.

Senior DE Ben Banogu is the star of the defense, garnering first-team All-Big 12 honors last season when he tallied 49 tackles, 8.5 sacks, eight tackles for loss, seven QB hurries, three forced fumbles and one pass broken up. Other defensive standouts for the Frogs include senior LB Ty Summers, senior safety Niko Small and junior CB Jeff Gladney.

Summers recorded five tackles, one sack, one TFL and one QB hurry in last week?s opener. He had 64 tackles, five PBU, four sacks, four TFL?s, three QB hurries, one interception and one forced fumble in ?17. Gladney tallied 28 tackles, five PBU and two interceptions for 94 return yards and one TD last year. He had two tackles, one TFL and one PBU vs. Southern.

TCU scored at a 33.6 points-per-game clip in ?17, while its defense surrendered just 19.0 PPG. The Frogs enjoyed a 1,229-yard advantage over their foes in total offense last season, and they were +3 in turnover margin.

Patterson?s team won its first seven games of ?17 to climb up to No. 4 in the national rankings. TCU?s unbeaten season ended with a 14-7 loss at 25th-ranked Iowa State. After bouncing back to thump Texas 24-7, the Frogs saw their College Football Playoff hopes disappear in a 38-20 defeat at fifth-ranked Oklahoma. They handily won at Texas Tech and vs. Baylor at home to qualify for the Big 12 Championship Game and a rematch with the Sooners, who delivered similar treatment in a 41-17 triumph to clinch a CFP berth.

To its credit, TCU rallied from a big first-half deficit to knock off 15th-ranked Stanford 39-37 at the Alamo Bowl. The Cardinal took the money as a three-point underdog, however.

SMU (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) saw head coach Chad Morris leave to take the Arkansas job after leading the school to its first bowl game since 2012. The Mustangs went 7-6 SU and 6-6-1 ATS last year, dropping a 51-10 decision to La. Tech at the Frisco Bowl. (Dykes served as HC in this game, but he?d only been on the job for about two weeks.)

Dykes?s squad returns six starters on offense and eight on defense. The Mustangs lost just 19 lettermen, but they still took woodshed treatment in a 46-23 loss at North Texas as three-point road underdogs in last week?s opener. The 69 combined points slithered ?under? the 71.5-point total.

SMU trailed the Mean Green 20-0 at halftime and 36-0 going into the fourth quarter. North Texas enjoyed an enormous 529-256 advantage in total yards and a 30-9 edge in first downs.

Hicks completed only 12-of-24 throws for 252 yards and two TDs with one interception. He had zero help from the ground game that was limited to four yards on 19 attempts (0.2 YPC). Senior RB Braeden West had a five-yard TD run and caught three passes for 86 yards and one TD. Proche had two receptions for 77 yards and one TD.

Hicks was outstanding as a sophomore in ?17, completing 58.5 percent of his passes for 3,569 yards with a 33/12 TD-INT ratio. He has 25 career starts under his belt. Hicks lost a pair of elite WRs in Trey Quinn and Courtland Sutton, who combined for 182 catches for 2,321 yards and 25 TD grabs last season.

Proche caught 40 balls for 816 yards and six TDs in ?17. He was a second-team preseason All-AAC selection in Steele?s mag. Junior RB Xavier Jones was a second-team All-AAC pick last year and a preseason first-teamer. However, he was only given two carries that gained just three yards against the Mean Green. Jones had 1,075 rushing yards and nine TDs with a 5.9 YPC average in ?17.

Dykes admitted Monday night on his weekly radio show that Jones wasn?t healthy the last couple of weeks of camp. He called him ?probably 85-90 percent? going into the North Texas game. ?The good thing is I think he?ll be back this week full go and he?s doing much better,? Dykes told PonyStampeded.com.

Even if Jones can?t go, West and Freeman are excellent back-up options even if the stats didn?t suggest as much vs. North Texas. West rushed for 568 yards and two TDs with a 7.8 YPC average in ?17, while Freeman had 543 rushing yards, 11 TDs and a 4.1 YPC average.

Since 2014, SMU has limped to a 4-11 spread record in 15 games as a home underdog. Meanwhile, TCU has compiled an 8-14 ATS record as a road favorite since 2011, but we should note that the Frogs went 3-1 ATS in four such spots last season.

Two SMU starters are on the injury report. Junior OT Bryce Wilds is ?questionable? due to an undisclosed issue and junior DE Tyeson Neals is ?out? for the next several weeks with a knee injury. Neals produced 19 tackles, 4.5 sacks, four TFL?s and two QB hurries last year.

For TCU, senior starting DE L.J. Collier and Blacklock?s back-up nose tackle Joseph Broadnax are both ?questionable? due to disciplinary matters. Collier had 18 tackles, four sacks, two QB hurries, one interception and 0.5 TFL?s in ?17, while Broadnax contributed 14 tackles, two TFL?s, 1.5 sacks, one QB hurry and one PBU.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on Friday night at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on ESPN2.

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

-- The ?over? is 7-2-1 in the past 10 meetings of the TCU-SMU rivalry.

-- Former Georgia Tech RB Dedrick Mills was dismissed from the program by Paul Johnson in August of 2017 for an unspecified violation of team rules. As a freshman in 2016, Mills led the Yellow Jackets in rushing yards (771) and rushing TDs with 12. He?s playing juco ball at Garden City Community College in Kansas but missed most of last year injured. Anyway, he announced on his Twitter account this week that he?s verbally committed to Scott Frost and Nebraska. Mills hopes to get a medical hardship waiver from the NCAA for 2017 and if it?s granted, he?ll have two years of eligibility remaining at Nebraska starting in 2019 (assuming he sticks to his verbal pledge).

-- North Texas junior QB Mason Fine had himself a day vs. SMU last week. Fine completed 40-of-50 passes for 444 yards and three TDs without an interception.

-- Hawaii QB Cole McDonald has been nothing short of sensational in first two career starts, leading the Warriors to a pair of easy wins as double-digit underdogs. In Week Zero at Colorado State as a 17-point underdog, McDonald had his team up 37-7 late in the third quarter. The Rams rallied to make it interesting but still lost by a 43-34 count. Then in Week 1, Hawaii trounced Navy 59-41 as a 13-point ?dog. McDonald has completed 71.8 percent of his throws for 846 yards and nine TDs without a pick. He also has a pair of rushing scores.

-- After opening as a 3.5-point home favorite Sunday night for this week?s double-revenge spot vs. USC, Stanford was up to a 5.5-point ?chalk? to the Trojans by Wednesday afternoon. The Cardinal will be without starting senior center Jesse Burkett, who is ?out? for undisclosed reasons. Burkett has 28 career starts to his credit.

-- Former Alabama and Arizona State QB Blake Barnett made his debut for Charlie Strong?s USF team in its 34-14 home win over Elon last week. Barnett completed 24-of-34 passes for 305 yards and three TDs without an interception. He also ran for 31 yards and one TD on eight attempts. The Bulls play host to Ga. Tech this weekend.

-- Indiana is already without its top RB Morgan Ellison due to an indefinite suspension. The Hoosiers will now be sans RB Cole Gest for the rest of the year after he tore his ACL in the team?s opener vs. FIU. Gest rushed for 428 yards and one TD while averaging 4.6 YPC in ?17.

-- Louisville junior DE Jonathan Greenard is ?out? indefinitely with a wrist injury that includes ligament damage. Greenard had 48 tackles, 8.5 TFL?s, seven sacks, eight QB hurries and one PBU for the Cardinals last season.

-- Illinois fifth-year senior WR Mike Dudek sustained a third career season-ending injury in his team?s season-opening win over Kent State. Dudek was a second-team All-Big-Ten selection as a freshman in 2014 when he had 76 receptions for 1,038 yards and six TDs. Best of luck to him in his recovery and his future whether it be on the gridiron or not!

-- Miami, Fl. and Florida State are both 0-1 for the first time since 1975. No wonder I?ve been sleeping like a champ the last two nights!

-- The last time a team lost its season opener and won the national title was Miami in 1983. Who did the Hurricanes lose to? Florida. How do I know? Because I was there. The Gators were up 28-0 in the final seconds as UM moved into UF territory. Former HC Howard Schnellenberger called a timeout with just a few seconds left so his place-kicker could attempt a field goal on the game?s final play. He made the long kick to dodge cream-cheese treatment in the 28-3 loss.
 

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College Essentials - Week 2
September 5, 2018
By Tony Mejia


We?re off and running in September, nearly getting a monumental upset with Appalachian State taking Penn State to overtime in Happy Valley, leading in the final minute of regulation. Utah State harrassed Michigan State and BYU took down Arizona in Tucson, so the upset bug is flourishing early, feasting on a few slumping FBS programs courtesy of FCS schools.

Florida State, Miami, Texas and UCLA had rough debuts, Auburn held off Washington in the game with the most national impact and Notre Dame squashed Michigan as Jim Harbaugh?s tenure at his alma mater grew more disappointing.

Alabama, despite losing standouts like Minkah Fitzgerald and Daron Payne, showed off a fierce defense against Louisville and remain college football?s most impressive force. Almost everyone has dipped a toe into the water. Here?s what we?re looking at for this week for a card that will unfold almost entirely on Saturday outside of TCU sidling up to SMU in Dallas on Friday night:

Saturday

Arizona at Houston, 12 p.m. ET, ABC:
Kevin Sumlin lost his debut with the Wildcats in Tucson, falling to BYU. Heisman candidate Khalil Tate was limited him to just 14 rushing yards on eight attempts. The quarterback I expected to most perform like former Louisville Heisman winner Lamar Jackson was turned into a pocket passer, something that can?t continue if Arizona is going to have a successful season. Sumlin will return to his old stomping grounds in Houston, running into the potential No. 1 overall pick in DT Ed Oliver. He took blame for schematically not getting Tate?s legs more involved into his game plan, so we?ll see what wrinkles emerge this week from he and offensive coordinator Noel Mazzone. Oliver?s presence will be a headache in its own right given the rough showing from the offensive line against the first set of Cougars on the slate.

The U of H Cougs defense had a rough start against crosstown rival Rice but got it together to allow just three second-half points in a commanding first victory. They?ve got big play potential Arizona must be wary of with D?Eriq King also capable of beating you with his arm and his legs. He averaged 19 yards per completion against the Owls and didn?t even have Utah transfer Raelon Singleton out there due to a hamstring issue. Marquez Stevenson, Keith Corbin, Courtney Lark and Bryson Smith each had receptions of at least 20 yards, while running backs Terence Williams, Patrick Carr and Mulbah Car are still competing to become the full-time starter. This early start has a chance to be sabotaged by thunderstorms, but may otherwise turn into a shootout.

Mississippi State at Kansas State, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN: Mississippi State at Kansas State: Nick Fitzgerald is back after sitting out the first game of Joe Moorhead?s head coaching tenure in Starkville due to suspension for getting in trouble back in March. The Tim Tebow-like senior accounted for 29 touchdowns last season after waiting out the Dak Prescott era and remains the unquestioned starter despite the fact backup Keyaton Thompson threw for 364 yards and five scores in a 63-6 rout of Stephen F. Austin. Fitzgerald will be taking his first live snaps since dislocating his ankle in last November?s Egg Bowl. The offense returns almost everyone but has new leadership with Luke Getsy, an NFL assistant the last few years, coming into help Moorhead run the attack. Having Fitzgerald?s experience for a tough challenge in Manhattan should aid the cause. .

K-State?s encounter with an FCS foe went far less smoothly than the Bulldogs? experience with the Lumberjacks. South Dakota led 24-12 entering the fourth quarter, taking advantage of turnovers and miscues. If the Coyotes hadn?t been saddled with a first-time starter who threw 32 incompletions, the Wildcats would?ve been too far behind to snatch away a victory like they managed to. Isaiah Zuber returned a punt 85 yards for a crucial fourth-quarter score and then hauled in the game-winning reception. Starting RB Alex Barnes fumbled three times and both quarterbacks threw interceptions, but it was the lack of push from an offensive line that K-State had high hopes for that looms as the largest concern with an SEC foe in town. These schools haven't played in 41 years. Mississippi State has won both career meetings.

UCLA at Oklahoma, 1 p.m. ET, FOX: The Chip Kelly era began with a resounding thud as Cincinnati came up with an impressive upset as a nearly two-touchdown underdog. Wilton Speight may be somewhat limited, but the Michigan transfer gave the Bruins their best chance to win immediately, so watching him exit and likely not participate this week definitely makes this game nearly impossible to win. True freshman Dorian Thompson-Robinson came in and finished 15-for-25 and led only one scoring drive, so don?t expect much from an attack that is also starting a freshman center in Christaphany Murray, who will be making his first snaps in an opposing stadium to someone taking them for the first time. Kelly couldn?t remember ever being a 31-point underdog, so that will be new for him too. Tailback Soso Jamabo remains suspended, so expect more looks for another freshman, Kazmeir Allen, who was the lone highlight offensively against Cincy, amassing 103 yards on five carries.

Oklahoma toyed with Florida Atlantic and will take aim at a UCLA defense that returned a number of regulars from last year?s group. We?ll see if the Sooners need Kyler Murray to play longer than the single half he participated in last Saturday, but odds are that covering this one may hinge on the work of sophomore backup Austin Kendall, who completed eight of 10 passes for 88 yards and a score against the Owls and has been efficient in limited action. Thunderstorms may be a factor in this contest, which is the fifth meeting all-time between the schools. OU is 3-1.

Georgia at South Carolina, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS: Both teams annihilated overwhelmed their first opponents last week. The Gamecocks showed off new coordinator Bryan McClendon?s faster-paced offense and QB Jake Bentley decisively got everybody lined up and went to work, spreading it around and pushing it downfield. The Dawgs aren?t Coastal Carolina, but South Carolina can?t cower at home if it is going to pull off an upset of the defending national runner-up here. Georgia?s D?Andre Swift isn?t getting much play yet, but considering he?s attempting to replace current pros Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, this is an opportunity for the sophomore running back to begin his Heisman campaign. Freshman James Cook, who racked up 66 yards on six carries, will miss the first half of this one after being ejected for targeting.

Elijah Holyfield, Evander?s son, will be the primary backup to Swift, who was one of six players to score touchdowns against Austin Peay but was clearly the most impressive offensive player. It?s going to be on him and Jake Fromm to move the offense in Columbia against a Gamecocks defense that was middle-of-the-road in the SEC last season and lost top tackler Skai Moore, who made the Colts as an undrafted free agent, to graduation. It will be interesting to see what Will Muschamp does with his new group. Kirby Smart and Mel Tucker?s group finished second in the league in points and yards allowed last season but lost first-rounder Roquan Smith, among others. The secondary, led by Deandre Baker and J.R. Reed, is now UGA?s strength, which lines up nicely against South Carolina?s highly regarded receiving duo, Deebo Samuel and Bryan Edwards. Although some on the West Coast may object, this is Saturday?s most compelling matchup.

Colorado at Nebraska, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC: The Buffs looked fantastic in the Rocky Mountain Showdown, crushing rival Colorado State. Junior QB Steven Montez was sharper than that knife you have to make sure the kids can?t get to. Although the Rams defense has opened the season in a cooperative mood, it?s impossible to ignore that Virginia Tech transfer Travon McMillan gives Colorado a powerful backfield option or that sophomore WR Laviska Shenault might emerge as a force in the Pac-12 due to his size and strength. CSU could do nothing with Colorado, so the ?Huskers will be more effective from a talent standpoint alone. It remains to be seen, however, what talented coordinator Eric Chinander can accomplish since he?ll be working with a new group for the first time after joining Scott Frost in coming over from UCF. Tre Neal joining him and and being listed at first-team safety is a plus, but the group of returnees he inherited got lit up often last season.

Nebraska got to run through the tunnel as Scott Frost led the ?Huskers out for the first time but lightning and torrential rain forced a postponement of its game against Akron. True freshman QB Adrian Martinez now has to debut against a defense that is going to get after him as they look to spoil the party in Lincoln. The 18-year-old beat out another redshirt freshman, Tristan Gebbia, who transferred to Oregon State. If Martinez struggles or gets banged up, the ?Huskers would have to turn to sophomore Andrew Bunch, who hasn?t played either. These former Big 12 rivals haven?t played since 2010. Nebraska is 49-18-2, while Colorado has dropped 14 of its last 15 road openers.

Iowa State at Iowa, 5 p.m. ET, FOX: The Cyclones saw inclement weather cancel their first test against South Dakota State, which has its positives and negatives. Although Iowa State was eager to open a season where there are more expectations than there have been in years, nobody got nicked up and it didn?t have to put anything on tape for the Hawkeyes to study. Iowa got disappointingly inconsistent play from QB Nate Stanley but still managed to stifle Northern Illinois and is favored at home in Iowa City, having won the CyHawk Trophy seven times over the last decade, including the last three.

Iowa won in Ames 44-41 in OT last September, but has dropped this rivalry game twice over the last three meetings at home in Kinnick Stadium. We?ll see if the defense holds up against top rusher David Montgomery, who can really open things up for Iowa State if he gets it going. In 6-foot-6 WR Hakeem Butler, ISU has a tremendous red-zone threat who may emerge as a national breakout candidate since career receptions leader Allen Lazard has moved on, landing on the Jags? practice squad. Both teams are at full strength with starting linemen Tristan Wirfs (Iowa) and Julian Good-Jones (ISU) having served suspensions. Thunderstorms are in Iowa?s forecasts all week and may play a role on Saturday, so keep an eye out.

Clemson at Texas A&M, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN: Jimbo Fisher?s debut in College Station saw his QB choice, sophomore Kellen Mond, excel against FCS foe Northwestern State. The competition will be a lot stiffer with the Tigers in town, so we?ll truly see if he?s taken a step forward when he gets his first taste of adversity from one of the nation?s top defensive fronts. Dabo Swinney may be forced to get serious earlier than he probably wants to in playing true freshman Trevor Lawrence over senior Kelly Bryant since the kid appears to be the better option. He threw for three scores and engineered more scoring drives than Clemson?s starter, opening things up thanks to a better, more consistent arm. Bryant will play here, too, probably as the starter, but the Aggies will see both and are preparing accordingly.

If the Aggies are able to move the ball, I think we?ll see more of Lawrence despite the atmosphere potentially being a daunting one for his first college road game. Beyond Mond?s ability to demonstrate consistency, A&M will utilize RB Trayveon Williams to try and test Brett Venables? defense, which led the ACC in virtually everything last season and allowed just 13.6 points, the second-lowest total in the nation. Williams is leading the country in rushing yards per game (240.0) after torching Northwestern State, but will now be tested by arguably college football?s top defensive line. Clemson was 0-3 against the Aggies before breaking through in their last meeting back in 2005, winning 25-24 in Death Valley. Fisher is 4-4 against the Tigers but lost with FSU each of the last three years.

Kentucky at Florida, 7:30 p.m. ET, SEC: The SEC East looks to be Georgia and everybody else, but South Carolina will be attempting to alter that narrative in Columbia and the winner of this one would be poised to rise up and make their own run. The Gators will be getting a number of players back from suspensions after a host of guys served punishments for offseason transgressions, while the ?Cats will take their shot at an upset with a QB controversy brewing. Gunnar Hoak, who lost the QB competition to former Oregon recruit Terry Wilson in camp, may have passed him after settling everyone down following Wilson?s three first-half turnovers in rallying Kentucky over Central Michigan. In roommates Benny Snell and AJ Rose, UK has a lethal combo to anchor the ground game that could make the offense formidable if it gets consistent production via the pass. USC transfer E.J. Price lived up to his reputation in his debut and has overcome a hand injury in order to factor in here.

This will be the first true test for the Florida defense under esteemed new coordinator Todd Grantham, who inherits a defense that finished seventh in the 14-team SEC in run defense and scoring a year ago. The Gators offense wasn?t tested at all by Charleston Southern but Feleipe Franks threw for five TDs in a 53-6 win and has secured Dan Mullen?s confidence. Mullen took his foot off the gas late in the third quarter or the team could?ve topped 70, but there are still a lot of guys on both sides of the ball who may not be up to speed for one reason or another. It could be the perfect time for Kentucky to snap a 31-game losing streak at the hands of Florida. Kentucky is 2-10 in SEC road openers and fell behind 45-0 in its last trip to Gainesville. If a quarterback emerges and plays well, they should have a shot. Rain is in the forecast, so the "Swamp" could live up to its billing.

Penn State at Pittsburgh, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN: After allowing 28 points and 266 yards in the fourth quarter and OT against Appalachian State, the Nittany Lions should be locked in defensively as they take the field for their first road game. While an upset loss wouldn?t have end their season, Penn State flirted with disaster given its preseason expectations, so watching Trace McSorley come through in the clutch once again has to be reassuring given the loss of Saquon Barkley. New center Michael Menet had some growing pains, according to head coach James Franklin, but he felt the sophomore held up well in his first start against an odd front. This will be his first time snapping in an opposing stadium, although PSU backers should help fill out Heinz Field.

Missed tackles were an issue for Penn State, which committed just two penalties, didn?t turn it over, ran for 204 yards and threw for 230 but still nearly lost to a 24.5-point underdog with a first-time starter at QB. Was that a warning sign that the days of Franklin?s team being vulnerable week in and week out have returned? Pitt outgained PSU last season but fell 33-14 in Happy Valley but it won this matchup in ?16, prevailing in a 42-39 shootout. Pat Narduzzi?s team got up 33-7 on FCS opponent Albany and coasted in the second half. The Panthers? secondary may be back at full strength after missing a trio from their projected two-deep against the Great Danes. Pitt has a veteran team in place and a chip on its collective shoulder from the knowledge that Penn State neither considers its in-state foe a rival nor seems terribly interested in the series continuing beyond next season. Expect the home team to leave no stone unturned.

USC at Stanford, 8:30 p.m. ET, FOX: The Trojans were in a battle with UNLV for a half before the kids warmed up, but they?ve got to prove they can execute on the road against a veteran Cardinal team. Freshman QB JT Daniels and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown have bright futures and sophomore RBs Stephen Carr and Vavae Malepai are talented, but this immense Pac-12 clash may be too early on the schedule for USC to survive. Bryce Love got bottled up by San Diego State but the attention he commanded allowed QB K.J. Costello to shine. Stanford needs that to be a weekly occurrence to maximize its potential and must protect the Farm since it closes out the month with challenging road trips to Oregon and Notre Dame.

Costello hooked up with JJ Arcega-Whiteside six times for 226 yards, scoring three touchdowns and now faces a Trojans secondary that saw safety Ykill Ross leave the team after losing his starting gig due to a hamstring issue and the other projected starter, Bubba Bolden, sidelined with a disciplinary issue. Starting corner Greg Johnson should play but missed practice Monday, so talented Iman Marshall will have added pressure on him to try and bottle up Arcega-Whiteside. Up front, defensive linemen Brandon Pili and Liam Jimmons are dealing with nagging ailments. USC beat Stanford twice last year, ending a run that had seen it drop eight of 10, but has won in Palo Alto only once since ?09. It?s set to be a perfect night for football, a few slight wind gusts aside.

Michigan State at Arizona State, 10:45 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Spartans didn?t play to their potential and QB Brian Lewerke looked shaky as Utah State stormed into East Lansing and fared extremely well, hanging around for four quarters as a 24-point underdog. There?s no way Michigan State expected to be punched in the mouth the way it was. Left tackle Cole Chewins, who missed the Friday night victory, has a chance to return and would upgrade the offensive line. The Spartans were also without their most talented corner, sophomore Josiah Scott, who will likely be out a few months. Given how well the Aggies passed it, his absence is going to be a major obstacle for the MSU secondary.

Sparty wouldn?t cop to underestimating Utah State will have no one but itself to blame if Mark Dantonio doesn?t have everyone ready to play in Temple given what the Sun Devils put on display in Herm Edwards? debut. QB Manny Wilkins put the ball where it had to be all night against Texas-San Antonio, allowing playmakers N?Keal Harry and Eno Benjamin to shine. The senior threw four touchdown passes and made some plays with his feet, while suspended backup RB Trelon Smith?s void was filled nicely by fellow sophomore Isaiah Floyd. Edwards will have linebacker Jaya Jay Wilson back from suspension but may be down a starting offensive lineman if guard Steven Miller can?t get healthy. This is the first meeting between these schools since 1986. The high in Tempe on Saturday is set to be 107, so Michigan State is fortunate that this one won't get underway until after sunset.

Other games to watch: California at BYU, Memphis at Navy, Duke at Northwestern, Georgia Tech at South Florida, Nevada at Vanderbilt, Virginia at Indiana, Fresno State at Minnesota, Rutgers at Ohio State
 

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College Football Picks: Conference bragging rights on line
September 5, 2018
By The Associated Press


The first few weeks of the season often set the tone for which conference will be deemed best for the rest of the season.

It's a debate that can be both fun and tedious. Does it really matter whether Kentucky is better than California when it comes time to figure out if the Pac-12 champion should be in the College Football Playoff?

The Southeastern Conference, which has touted itself on being No. 1 for years (and is usually correct), got off to a great start in week one going 13-1 with four victories against other Power Five conference teams. The Atlantic Coast Conference, Big Ten, Big 12 and Pac-12 combined for four Power Five nonconference victories.

This week, nine nonconference games match Power Five teams, including No. 2 Clemson at Texas A&M (ACC vs. SEC); UCLA at No. 6 Oklahoma (Pac-12 vs. Big 12); No. 13 Penn State at Pitt (Big Ten vs. ACC); No. 15 Michigan State at Arizona State; and No. 18 Mississippi State at Kansas State (SEC vs. Big 12).

There are also numerous opportunities for teams from the Group of Five to make a statement against Power Five opponents. For those conferences, competing against each other for a spot in the New Year's Six bowls, notable nonconference victories can help separate the competition. The big ones this week include: Georgia Tech at South Florida (ACC vs. AAC); Arkansas at Colorado State (SEC vs. Mountain West); and Utah at Northern Illinois (Pac-12 vs. MAC).

It's never too early to build those resumes.

The picks:

No. 16 TCU (minus 21+) at SMU (Friday)


The Horned Frogs have won six straight in the crosstown Battle for the Iron Skillet ... TCU 49-21, BEST BET.

Arkansas State (plus 36+) at No. 1 Alabama

Arkansas State is getting $1.7 million for this game, so don't feel too bad ... ALABAMA 45-14.

No. 2 Clemson (minus 12) at Texas A&M

The first big test for Jimbo Fisher's Aggies comes too soon ... CLEMSON 35-17.

No. 3 Georgia (minus 10) at No. 24 South Carolina

Bulldogs have won three straight and four of five in the traditional early SEC opener ... GEORGIA 35-21.

Rutgers (plus 35) at Ohio State

Scarlet Knights have not scored against the Buckeyes since 2015 and have lost all four since joining the Big Ten by a combined 219-24. ... OHIO STATE 55-8.

New Mexico (plus 35+)at No. 5 Wisconsin


Can the Lobos' option frustrate the Badgers' typically stingy defense? ... WISCONSIN 48-20.

UCLA (plus 30) at No. 6 Oklahoma

If the Bruins couldn't handle Cincinnati in the Rose Bowl last week, can't expect them to be ready to compete with the Sooners ... OKLAHOMA 49-21.

Ball State (plus 34+) at No. 8 Notre Dame

Good week for the Fighting Irish to get their new running backs confidence and carries ... NOTRE DAME 52-13.

No. 17 Southern California (plus 5+) at No. 10 Stanford


Cardinal star Bryce Love had 285 yards on 39 carries and two touchdowns in two games against the Trojans last season, both losses ... STANFORD 31-27.

No. 13 Penn State (minus 8+) at Pittsburgh

It's a cool old-school rivalry that the Nittany Lions don't love because there is little for Penn State to gain these days by beating Pitt and a lot to lose ... PENN STATE 35-28.

No. 15 Michigan State (minus 5+) at Arizona State

Sun Devils are 9-0 against Big Ten teams in Tempe, not including losses to Nebraska and Penn State before they were in the conference ... ARIZONA STATE 34-27, UPSET SPECIAL.

No. 18 Mississippi State (minus 9+) at Kansas State

The Wildcats barely escaped an FCS upset last week but expect a better effort from Bill Snyder's bunch ... MISSISSIPPI STATE 28-21.

UConn (plus 31) at No. 20 Boise State

Poor Huskies go from UCF to the Blue Turf ... BOISE STATE 45-10.

Western Michigan (plus 28) at No. 21 Michigan

Shea Patterson and the Wolverines should be able to work out the kinks in that offense. Right?? ... MICHIGAN 48-16.

Kentucky (plus 13+) at No. 25 Florida

Gators' winning streak against the Wildcats is at 31 ...FLORIDA 28-20.

TWITTER REQUESTS

Duke (plus 3) at Northwestern - JeffMiles9


Fourth straight season for the Grad Rate Bowl, where Northwestern (99 percent) was No. 1 in most recent football rankings and Duke (96 percent) was tied for third ... DUKE 24-21.

Iowa State (plus 4) at Iowa - (at)bkupka05

Officially dubbed the Iowa Corn Cy-Hawk series just in case corn did not already come to mind when these two play ... IOWA 28-21.

Colorado (plus 4) at Nebraska - (at)Jordan-Dallas

Fascinating opener for Scott Frost's Huskers after last week's game was canceled. You would think the Buffs should have the edge on continuity alone ... COLORADO 31-24.

Arizona (plus 4+) at Houston - (at)natedub9

Bet QB Khalil Tate has more than eight rushing attempts for the Wildcats this week; All-America DT Ed Oliver will be waiting for the Cougars ... ARIZONA 35-31.

----

Record last week: 16-5 straight; 12-8-1 against the spread.

Upset specials: 1-0 (straight up).

Best bets: 1-0 (against the spread).
 

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TCU at SMU
September 5, 2018
By Brian Edwards


Matchup: (16) TCU at SMU
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
Time/TV: Friday, Sept. 7, ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET


Southern Methodist will try to shake off a dismal debut to the Sonny Dykes Era on Friday night when it plays host to TCU in the Battle for the Iron Skillet. As of Wednesday afternoon, most betting shops had the Horned Frogs installed as 22-point road favorites with a total of 58.5. The Mustangs were +1250 on the money line at both 5Dimes.eu and SBG Global (risk $100 to win $1,250).

TCU (1-0 straight up, 0-1 against the spread) has won five games in a row over SMU by at least 19 points, including last year?s 56-36 win that resulted in a push as a 20-point home favorite. Gary Patterson?s program has beaten the Mustangs 16 times out of the past 18 meetings in this in-state rivalry.

When these schools collided at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Ft. Worth in 2017, the 92 combined points soared ?over? the 65-point total. SMU took a surprising 19-7 lead until TCU woke up midway through the second quarter and scored back-to-back TDs to go ahead, 21-19. The Mustangs responded with their third short field goal of the half to go back in front 22-21 with 17 seconds left until intermission.

However, TCU quarterback Kenny Hill found Jalen Reagor for a 38-yard scoring strike on the last play of the second quarter to put the Frogs back ahead at halftime. It was still a one-possession game (35-29) going into the final stanza, but TCU scored 21 straight points to put the game away.

Hill threw for 365 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Darius Anderson rushed for 89 yards and two TDs on 14 carries, while KaVontae Turpin had seven receptions for 88 yards and one TD. Reagor had three catches for 79 yards and one TD, and Kenedy Snell scored TDs on a 71-yard reception and a 10-yard scamper.

SMU quarterback Ben Hicks connected on 17-of-37 passes for 305 yards with two TDs and two interceptions. Ke?Mon Freeman rushed for 57 yards and two TDs on 12 carries, while James Proche caught three balls for 93 yards and one TD.

TCU returned five starters on offense and six on defense from last season?s team that finished 11-3 SU and 6-7-1 ATS. One of those returning starters on defense was lost to a season-ending injury during camp in August, though. Sophomore nose tackle Ross Blacklock, who was the Big 12?s Co-Defensive Freshman of the Year and a Freshman All-American in ?17, will miss the entire 2018 campaign. Blacklock produced 27 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss and two sacks last year.

Patterson is the second-longest tenured coach in the FBS behind only Iowa?s Kirk Ferentz. The 58-year-old has been offered a slew of jobs to leave, turning down all of them during his 18-year tenure. Patterson has produced 11 seasons with double-digit win totals, winning at least 11 games 10 different times.

He is 161-57 overall and has overseen smooth transitions from the now-defunct WAC to the Mountain West (2005) and then into a Power Five league in the Big 12 (2012). Patterson?s program started slowly in the Big 12, going 4-5 and 2-7 in league action in ?12 and ?13. Since then, however, the Frogs are 26-10 vs. Big 12 foes over the last four seasons.

TCU beat up on FCS foe Southern by a 55-7 count last week, but it failed to cover the number as a 50-point home favorite. True sophomore QB Shawn Robinson made his second career start, completing 17-of-24 passes for 182 yards and three TDs without an interception. He had 45 rushing yards and two TDs on runs of 36 and nine yards on his only attempts.

Turpin produced 108 all-purpose yards on 10 touches, while Reagor had four receptions for 47 yards and one TD. Reagor also had a nine-yard run on his lone carry and a 37-yard kickoff return. Anderson, a third-team All-Big 12 selection when he ran for a team-best 768 yards and eight TDs while averaging 6.0 yards per carry last year, will be fresh for SMU after rushing for 36 yards on merely eight attempts vs. Southern.

Reagor, a sophomore WR, led TCU in TD catches (eight) and receiving yards (576) on 33 catches as a true freshman in ?17. He is a preseason fourth-team All-Big 12 pick in Phil Steele?s preseason magazine. Anderson is a preseason second-team All-Big 12 choice, while junior OT Lucas Niang is a third-team selection and junior OG Cordel Iwuagwu is a fourth-teamer like Reagor.

Steele?s Big 12 Unit Rankings shine a bright light on TCU?s defense. As for the offense? Not so much. The Frogs are ranked seventh (in the 10-team conference) at the QB position, fourth at RB, sixth at WR and seventh on the offensive line.

The defense is a much different deal, as Patterson?s unit is ranked tops in the league on the defensive line, at linebacker, in the secondary and on special teams. Steele?s National Unit rankings have TCU at ninth on both the d-line and at LB, 12th in the secondary and third on special teams.

Turpin is a preseason first-team all-conference choice in Steele?s mag as the kick and punt returner. He averaged 16.2 yards per punt return with one TD last year, in addition to averaging 30.8 yards per kick return with another TD. The dynamic senior had 41 receptions for 394 yards and one TD, and he also ran for 86 yards and a pair of scores on 11 totes for a 7.8 YPC average.

Senior DE Ben Banogu is the star of the defense, garnering first-team All-Big 12 honors last season when he tallied 49 tackles, 8.5 sacks, eight tackles for loss, seven QB hurries, three forced fumbles and one pass broken up. Other defensive standouts for the Frogs include senior LB Ty Summers, senior safety Niko Small and junior CB Jeff Gladney.

Summers recorded five tackles, one sack, one TFL and one QB hurry in last week?s opener. He had 64 tackles, five PBU, four sacks, four TFL?s, three QB hurries, one interception and one forced fumble in ?17. Gladney tallied 28 tackles, five PBU and two interceptions for 94 return yards and one TD last year. He had two tackles, one TFL and one PBU vs. Southern.

TCU scored at a 33.6 points-per-game clip in ?17, while its defense surrendered just 19.0 PPG. The Frogs enjoyed a 1,229-yard advantage over their foes in total offense last season, and they were +3 in turnover margin.

Patterson?s team won its first seven games of ?17 to climb up to No. 4 in the national rankings. TCU?s unbeaten season ended with a 14-7 loss at 25th-ranked Iowa State. After bouncing back to thump Texas 24-7, the Frogs saw their College Football Playoff hopes disappear in a 38-20 defeat at fifth-ranked Oklahoma. They handily won at Texas Tech and vs. Baylor at home to qualify for the Big 12 Championship Game and a rematch with the Sooners, who delivered similar treatment in a 41-17 triumph to clinch a CFP berth.

To its credit, TCU rallied from a big first-half deficit to knock off 15th-ranked Stanford 39-37 at the Alamo Bowl. The Cardinal took the money as a three-point underdog, however.

SMU (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) saw head coach Chad Morris leave to take the Arkansas job after leading the school to its first bowl game since 2012. The Mustangs went 7-6 SU and 6-6-1 ATS last year, dropping a 51-10 decision to La. Tech at the Frisco Bowl. (Dykes served as HC in this game, but he?d only been on the job for about two weeks.)

Dykes?s squad returns six starters on offense and eight on defense. The Mustangs lost just 19 lettermen, but they still took woodshed treatment in a 46-23 loss at North Texas as three-point road underdogs in last week?s opener. The 69 combined points slithered ?under? the 71.5-point total.

SMU trailed the Mean Green 20-0 at halftime and 36-0 going into the fourth quarter. North Texas enjoyed an enormous 529-256 advantage in total yards and a 30-9 edge in first downs.

Hicks completed only 12-of-24 throws for 252 yards and two TDs with one interception. He had zero help from the ground game that was limited to four yards on 19 attempts (0.2 YPC). Senior RB Braeden West had a five-yard TD run and caught three passes for 86 yards and one TD. Proche had two receptions for 77 yards and one TD.

Hicks was outstanding as a sophomore in ?17, completing 58.5 percent of his passes for 3,569 yards with a 33/12 TD-INT ratio. He has 25 career starts under his belt. Hicks lost a pair of elite WRs in Trey Quinn and Courtland Sutton, who combined for 182 catches for 2,321 yards and 25 TD grabs last season.

Proche caught 40 balls for 816 yards and six TDs in ?17. He was a second-team preseason All-AAC selection in Steele?s mag. Junior RB Xavier Jones was a second-team All-AAC pick last year and a preseason first-teamer. However, he was only given two carries that gained just three yards against the Mean Green. Jones had 1,075 rushing yards and nine TDs with a 5.9 YPC average in ?17.

Dykes admitted Monday night on his weekly radio show that Jones wasn?t healthy the last couple of weeks of camp. He called him ?probably 85-90 percent? going into the North Texas game. ?The good thing is I think he?ll be back this week full go and he?s doing much better,? Dykes told PonyStampeded.com.

Even if Jones can?t go, West and Freeman are excellent back-up options even if the stats didn?t suggest as much vs. North Texas. West rushed for 568 yards and two TDs with a 7.8 YPC average in ?17, while Freeman had 543 rushing yards, 11 TDs and a 4.1 YPC average.

Since 2014, SMU has limped to a 4-11 spread record in 15 games as a home underdog. Meanwhile, TCU has compiled an 8-14 ATS record as a road favorite since 2011, but we should note that the Frogs went 3-1 ATS in four such spots last season.

Two SMU starters are on the injury report. Junior OT Bryce Wilds is ?questionable? due to an undisclosed issue and junior DE Tyeson Neals is ?out? for the next several weeks with a knee injury. Neals produced 19 tackles, 4.5 sacks, four TFL?s and two QB hurries last year.

For TCU, senior starting DE L.J. Collier and Blacklock?s back-up nose tackle Joseph Broadnax are both ?questionable? due to disciplinary matters. Collier had 18 tackles, four sacks, two QB hurries, one interception and 0.5 TFL?s in ?17, while Broadnax contributed 14 tackles, two TFL?s, 1.5 sacks, one QB hurry and one PBU.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on Friday night at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on ESPN2.

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

-- The ?over? is 7-2-1 in the past 10 meetings of the TCU-SMU rivalry.

-- Former Georgia Tech RB Dedrick Mills was dismissed from the program by Paul Johnson in August of 2017 for an unspecified violation of team rules. As a freshman in 2016, Mills led the Yellow Jackets in rushing yards (771) and rushing TDs with 12. He?s playing juco ball at Garden City Community College in Kansas but missed most of last year injured. Anyway, he announced on his Twitter account this week that he?s verbally committed to Scott Frost and Nebraska. Mills hopes to get a medical hardship waiver from the NCAA for 2017 and if it?s granted, he?ll have two years of eligibility remaining at Nebraska starting in 2019 (assuming he sticks to his verbal pledge).

-- North Texas junior QB Mason Fine had himself a day vs. SMU last week. Fine completed 40-of-50 passes for 444 yards and three TDs without an interception.

-- Hawaii QB Cole McDonald has been nothing short of sensational in first two career starts, leading the Warriors to a pair of easy wins as double-digit underdogs. In Week Zero at Colorado State as a 17-point underdog, McDonald had his team up 37-7 late in the third quarter. The Rams rallied to make it interesting but still lost by a 43-34 count. Then in Week 1, Hawaii trounced Navy 59-41 as a 13-point ?dog. McDonald has completed 71.8 percent of his throws for 846 yards and nine TDs without a pick. He also has a pair of rushing scores.

-- After opening as a 3.5-point home favorite Sunday night for this week?s double-revenge spot vs. USC, Stanford was up to a 5.5-point ?chalk? to the Trojans by Wednesday afternoon. The Cardinal will be without starting senior center Jesse Burkett, who is ?out? for undisclosed reasons. Burkett has 28 career starts to his credit.

-- Former Alabama and Arizona State QB Blake Barnett made his debut for Charlie Strong?s USF team in its 34-14 home win over Elon last week. Barnett completed 24-of-34 passes for 305 yards and three TDs without an interception. He also ran for 31 yards and one TD on eight attempts. The Bulls play host to Ga. Tech this weekend.

-- Indiana is already without its top RB Morgan Ellison due to an indefinite suspension. The Hoosiers will now be sans RB Cole Gest for the rest of the year after he tore his ACL in the team?s opener vs. FIU. Gest rushed for 428 yards and one TD while averaging 4.6 YPC in ?17.

-- Louisville junior DE Jonathan Greenard is ?out? indefinitely with a wrist injury that includes ligament damage. Greenard had 48 tackles, 8.5 TFL?s, seven sacks, eight QB hurries and one PBU for the Cardinals last season.

-- Illinois fifth-year senior WR Mike Dudek sustained a third career season-ending injury in his team?s season-opening win over Kent State. Dudek was a second-team All-Big-Ten selection as a freshman in 2014 when he had 76 receptions for 1,038 yards and six TDs. Best of luck to him in his recovery and his future whether it be on the gridiron or not!

-- Miami, Fl. and Florida State are both 0-1 for the first time since 1975. No wonder I?ve been sleeping like a champ the last two nights!

-- The last time a team lost its season opener and won the national title was Miami in 1983. Who did the Hurricanes lose to? Florida. How do I know? Because I was there. The Gators were up 28-0 in the final seconds as UM moved into UF territory. Former HC Howard Schnellenberger called a timeout with just a few seconds left so his place-kicker could attempt a field goal on the game?s final play. He made the long kick to dodge cream-cheese treatment in the 28-3 loss.
 

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FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 7
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


TCU at SMU 08:00 PM
SMU +22.5
O 59.0
 
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